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Georgia 2008 Climate Change Summit Al Gore: an inconvenient truth IPCC: 4th Assessment Report 2007 Nobel Peace Prize INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE WMO 4th Assessment Report UNEP Summary for Policy Makers “Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as is now evident from observations of increases in global average air and ocean temperatures, widespread melting of snow and ice, and rising global average sea level.” “Most of the observed increase in globally averaged temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic UNEP greenhouse gas concentrations.” What about skepticism and uncertainty? Scientific skepticism is alive and well, as scientists continue to analyze data, refine theories, and improve models Puzzle Analogy While several of the pieces are not yet in place, we have confidence that we know what the overall picture is Local Warming: Georgia Sea level rise Heat waves Droughts & floods Hurricanes Air quality Infectious diseases Agriculture Forests Fisheries/wildlife IMPACTS: economy, ecosystems, public health & safety, quality of life Impacts of drought Mandatory water use restrictions; running out of water Lack of reliable water supply will hurt industry, economic development, property development Impacts energy generation (hydropower, power plant cooling) Stress on forests; wildfires Stress on agriculture, livestock QuickTime™ and a TIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor are needed to see this picture. Stress on landscape, tourism, recreation industries Stress on river ecosystems 2007 drought has cost N. Georgia over $1.3B CLIMATE CHANGE Human interference •Adaptation is alteration of activities to minimise consequences of climate change Initial Impacts Autonomous Adaptations Net Impacts VULNERABILITIES MITIGATION IMPACTS Exposure ADAPTATION Policy responses •Mitigation is reduction of greenhouse gas emissions to prevent dangerous climate change IPCC, 2001 Adapting to an Uncertain World: Georgia’s Water Resource Planning Goals: • Protect public health and environmental quality • Meet future water need while protecting aquifers, instream uses, downstream users Strategies: • Increase water conservation, efficiency, reuse • Maximize water returns to the basin of origin • Meet increases for demand through water storage, aquifer management, and reducing demands • Protect water quality by reducing pollutants from discharges and runoff from land Challenges to regional climate change assessment, mitigation and adaptation Some uncertainty in climate change projections Lack of understanding of how to apply this knowledge to support decision making and risk analyses Impacts of regional climate change and local vulnerabilities have been inadequately studied Local/regional mitigation/adaptation strategies are further complicated by political, cultural, and economic issues Political will is needed to develop policy and technology options that are practically feasible and cost effective population increase environ degradation resource consumption climate change The Challenge: Sustainable Management of an Ever-Changing Planet Brook Byers Institute for Sustainable Systems @ Georgia Tech http://sustainability.gatech.edu Integrating research, education, green campus, and partnerships and innovative policies Major themes: Sustainable energy systems Climate and environmental stewardship Sustainable enterprise Sustainable urban systems