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Introduction to Climate Change Causes of Global Climate Change Effects of Climate Change Melting Ice and Rising Sea Level Changes in Precipitation Patterns Effects on Organisms Effects on Human Health Effects on Agriculture Dealing with Global Climate Change Greenhouse Gas Gas that absorbs infrared radiation Ex: Carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide (N2O), chlorofluorocarbons and tropospheric ozone Positive Feedback Change in some condition triggers a response that intensifies the changed condition Infrared Radiation Radiation that has a wavelength that is longer than that of visible light, but shorter than that of radio waves…think heat Greenhouse Effect Increase of heat in a system Some evidence for Climate Change Temperature increase of 1.4 degrees F since 1880 ▪ Extreme northern latitudes – 7.4 increase (40% of N. polar ice cap melt) 9 of the 10 warmest years between 2000-2009 Ice core sampling measures greenhouse gases up to 500,000 years ago. (CO2 and temp. correlate) Human produced greenhouse gases are most plausible explanation Greenhouse gas concentrations increasing Increased concentration of CO2 (right) Burning fossil fuels in cars, industry and homes Deforestation Burning of forests Atmospheric Aerosols tend to cool the atmosphere Both human and natural sources Tiny particles that remain in troposphere for weeks or months Contain many chemicals, but often contain sulfur Complicates models of climate change (but accounted for) Climate affected by: winds, clouds, ocean currents, and albedo Used to explore past climate events Advanced models can project future warming events Models are only as good as the data and law used to program them They have limitations Ocean as CO2 sink - excess CO2 is starting to harm ocean life (acidification decline of coral reefs) Sea level rise caused in 2 ways Thermal Expansion ▪ Water expands as it warms Melting of land ice ▪ Retreat of glacier and thinning of ice at the poles Melting has positive feedback Increased melting decreases ice, which decreases albedo leading to further warming Threatens small islands and coasts: flooding + erosion and intense storms 1957 1998 Melting permafrost Support structure for Tundra plants, houses, roads Release CO2 and methane from decomposing material (remember bacteria decompose more/faster at warmer temperatures.) ▪ See article Near Fairbanks, Alaska Some areas will get more water, some areas will have greater droughts Ex: Hurricanes will likely get stronger due to warmer water Exaggerate El Nino effects Zooplankton in parts of California Current have decreased by 80% since 1951 Effecting entire food chain Polar ice cap melting – too far for Polar bear to swim to hunt seals Polar bear seal (seal carcass to Arctic fox) Decline in krill around Antarctica Caused decrease in penguin populations Species have shifted their geographic range Migrating birds are returning to summer homes earlier Food is not available at this time Coral reefs can be bleached (right) due to increase in water temperature Affects coral symbiotes and makes them more susceptible to diseases to which they would otherwise be immune Increased number of heat-related illnesses and deaths: malaria, schistosomiasis, leishmaniasis Rise in sea level will inundate/destroy flood plains and river valleys (lush farmland) Warmer temperatures will decrease soil moisture- requiring more irrigation Location (i.e. elevation and altitude) where certain crops can be grown may have to change Difficult to anticipate Productivity will increase in some areas and decrease in others Rising sea levels Change in precipitation patterns Sensitive organisms decline; decrease # of organisms at bottom of food chain Increase range of disease causing organisms Decrease ability to grow crops in certain areas Kyoto Protocol Provides rules on reducing greenhouse gases US and Australia have not signed it- difficult to implement without US backing ▪ US concern: LDC not have same expectations to lower Two ways to attempt to manage climate change Mitigation/Reduction: ▪ Focuses on limiting greenhouse gas emissions to moderate global climate change Adaptation ▪ Focuses on learning to live with to the environmental changes and societal consequences brought about by global climate change Locate/invent alternative fuels to fossil fuels Increase efficiency of cars and trucks Drive less: bike lanes, carpool, wide sidewalks Sequestering carbon before it is emitted Plant and maintain trees to naturally sequester carbon Rising sea levels and coastal populations Move inland Construct dikes and levees Adapt to shifting agricultural zones NYC sewer line