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Transcript
Public Opinion on
Climate Change
WorldPublicOpinion.org is a project managed by the
Program on International Policy Attitudes at the
University of Maryland
Perception of Problem of
Climate Change
Assumption: Scientists on Global Warming
There is a consensus among the great majority of scientists that
global warming exists and could do significant damage.
PIPA/KN 6/05
PIPA/KN 6/04
Cambridge Rpt. 9/94
52%
43%
28%
There is a consensus among the great majority of scientists that
global warming does not exist and therefore poses no significant
threat.5%
4%
8%
Scientists are divided on the existence of global warming and its
impact.
39%
50%
58%
PIPA/KN 6/2005
Need for Action
Kyoto Treaty
Based on what you know, do you think the U.S. should or
should not participate in the Kyoto agreement to reduce
global warming?.
Should Participate
PIPA/KN 6/05
CCFR 7/04
CCFR 6/02
73%
71%
64%
Should Not Participate
16%
19%
21%
PIPA/KN 6/2005
Kyoto Protocol
Do you think the U.S. SHOULD or SHOULD NOT
participate in the Kyoto agreement to reduce
global warming?
U.S. Public: Favor
71%
All Leaders: Favor
72%
68%
Administration Officials: Favor
All Staffers: Favor
55%
Rep. Staffers21%
Senate vote on McCain-Lieberman Climate Stewardship Act: yea: 43
nay:55 Setting standards on greenhouse gas emissions similar to
Kyoto
Pro-Stewardshipship members’ Public:
Favor
Anti-Stewardship members’ Public:
63%
66%
PIPA/KN 9/04
Kyoto Treaty
Preference: Adopting Kyoto Protocols
Public:
71%
72%
68%
Leaders:
Administration:
All staffers:
55%
Republican staffers:
21%
Percentages Correctly Estimating Majority Public Position:
Leaders overall:
38%
Administration:
41%
All staffers:
Republican staffers:
15%
29%
PIPA/KN 9/04
Perceptions of Public
Overall, compared to the average American, would
say you are more supportive or less supportive of
taking steps to reduce global warming?
More supportive
66%
6/04
68%
10/98
Less supportive
30%
22%
PIPA/KN 6/2004
Readiness to Accept
Costs
Support for Other
Measures
The DevelopedDeveloping Country
Dispute
Developing Countries and Emissions
The less-developed countries produce a substantial and growing
amount of greenhouse gas emissions.Therefore they should be
required to CUT their emissions.
22%
6/04
10/98
19%
The more-developed countries produce far more greenhouse gas
emissions and have not begun to make meaningful reductions. So
the less-developed countries should NOT be required to limit their
emissions UNTIL the more-developed countries reduce theirs.
30%
31%
Because the less-developed countries are poorer and produce far
lower emissions, they should not be required to cut back. But they
should be required to MINIMIZE the increase of their emissions
through greater energy efficiency.
42%
45%
PIPA/KN 6/2004
Climate Policy
Priority for American and European
Percentage saying “Climate
change” should be the top or
Leaders
second priority for the next American president and
European leaders
Germany
France
Spain
Portugal
Netherlands
Italy
UK
Poland
Romania
Slovakia
Turkey
US
Bulgaria
European
average
60
53
50
46
46
43
39
21
21
21
19
18
16
41
Transatlantic Trends, 2008
To view additional reports and analyses online,
please visit us at: www.WorldPublicOpinion.org
G8 Summit and Climate Change
President Bush and the leaders of the other major developed
countries will be meeting in Scotland, July 6-8 at what is
called the G-8 Summit. One of the major topics for
discussion will be climate change or global warming. Do you
think that if the leaders of these other countries are willing to
act to limit the greenhouse gases that cause climate change,
President Bush should or should not be willing to act to limit
such gases in the US?
Should Be Willing
86%
Should Not be Willing
12%
PIPA/KN 6/2005
US Emissions Relative to Other
Developed Countries: Preferred
At the G-8 Summit some countries may be willing to do more
than other countries to limit their greenhouse gases. As
compared to the other developed countries do you think the
US should do:
More than Average to Limit Its Greenhouse Gases
44%
About the Average
50%
Less than Average
3%
PIPA/KN 6/2005
US Emissions Relative to Other
Developed Countries: Assumed
At present, do you think the US, compared to other
developed countries does:
More than Average to Limit Its Greenhouse Gases
24%
About the Average
44%
Less than Average
27%
PIPA/KN 6/2005
Legislation to Reduce Emissions
(McCain-Lieberman Bill)
Legislation requiring large companies to reduce greenhouse
gas emissions to 2000 levels by 2010 and to 1990 levels by
2020
Favor
83%
81%
PIPA/KN 6/05
PIPA/KN 6/04
Oppose
13%
16%
CBS 9/03
Assuming $15 monthly cost for average household:
Favor
68%
67%
PIPA/KN 6/05
PIPA/KN 6/04
Oppose
28%
30%
PIPA/KN 6/2005
Support for Emissions Reduction Strategies
Tax incentives to utility companies to encourage them to sell
environmentally clean energy, such as solar and wind power, to consumers
81%
Cash incentives like tax credits and rebates to households that upgrade to
more energy efficient appliances like refrigerators and air conditioners.
81%
Requiring that by 2010, half of all new cars produced are hybrid-electric or
some other type that is very fuel efficient?
70%
Continuing the tax credit for purchasing a
hybrid-electric car?
77%
Requiring car manufacturers to meet higher fuel efficiency standards-assuming it would then cost more to buy or lease a car
PIPA/KN 1/05
77%
PIPA/KN 6/2005
Economic Consequences of Reducing
Emissions
Which comes closer to your opinion?
The US economy will become more competitive because these
efforts will result in more efficient energy use, saving money in
the long run
71%
67%
67%
PIPA/KN 6/05
PIPA/KN 6/04
CBS/NYT 11/97
Efforts in the United States to reduce the release of
greenhouse gases will cost too much money and hurt the US
economy
23%
29%
20%
PIPA/KN 6/2005
Business Costs and Emission Allowances
STATEMENT: If this bill were to pass, each large company would
be allowed to emit a limited amount of greenhouse gasses. A
controversial aspect of the bill is that allows companies to buy and
sell their allowances to each other. The idea is that it will cost
some companies much more than other companies to change
business practices to lower their emissions. If companies with low
costs could reduce their emissions further, they could sell their
emission allowances to other companies who would save money
by buying those allowances. Here are some arguments on these
issues. Please select whether you find them convincing or not.
Mandatory Reduction of Emissions
It is just not right for companies to buy the right to
emit greenhouse gases. All companies should have
to reduce their emissions.
Convincing
77%
Unconvincing
20%
PIPA/KN 6/2004
Beneficial Long-Run Costs
Requiring all companies to lower their emission levels the
same amount will force them to adopt new technologies that
may be expensive in the short run but will be economically
beneficial in the long run.
Convincing
77%
Unconvincing
20%
PIPA/KN 6/2004
Emission Allowances and Household Costs
If companies are not allowed to buy and sell their emission
allowances, the costs of lowering emissions will be
substantially higher than presently estimated for the average
American household.
Convincing
55%
Unconvincing
41%
PIPA/KN 6/2004
Business Costs vs. Reduction of Emissions
If we do not let companies buy and sell emission allowances,
this would be unfair to companies for whom it is more
expensive to lower their emissions, and overall would make it
more costly to reduce emissions.
Convincing
53%
Unconvincing
44%
PIPA/KN 6/2004
Buying and Selling Emission Allowances
Now, having considered these arguments, do you favor
or oppose permitting companies to buy and sell their
allowances to emit greenhouse gases?
Favor
34%
Oppose
62%
PIPA/KN 6/2004
Steps for the Federal Government to Take
Which of these would you rather see the federal government
do:
Require companies and individuals to do things to reduce global
warming
52%
Offer tax cuts to encourage these things, but not require them
38%
Do nothing to influence these things
8%
ABC/Time/Stanford 3/06
Gasoline Tax
(For each of the following, please tell me whether you favor
or opposite it as a way for the federal government to try to
reduce future global warming.)…Increase taxes on gasoline
so people either drive less, or buy cars that use less gas
Favor
31%
Oppose
68%ABC/Time/Stanford 3/06
What if the increased tax on gasoline would cut down on
energy consumption and reduce global warming, then would
you favor or oppose an increased federal tax on gasoline?
Favor
Oppose
59%
34%
CBS/NY Times 2/06