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Transcript
Earth’s Future Climate
Mark A Saunders
Benfield Greig Hazard Research Centre, Department of Space and Climate Physics, University College
London, Holmbury St Mary, Dorking, Surrey RH5 6NT, U.K.
Abstract. Climate change occurs on timescales ranging from annual changes associated with El
Niño, through decadal changes, to multidecadal trends linked to global warming. It affects us all in
our daily lives, impacts the performance of much of industry, and leads to billions of pounds of
damage worldwide each year. In many countries the general public is becoming concerned as press
reports, personal experience and anecdotal information all point to an increase in the frequency and
severity of extreme weather events linked to climate change. Many opinions have been expressed
on the subject from the doomladen to the dismissive. This paper aims to state clearly the current
scientific position on climate change, and to provide informed scientific projections for Earth’s
climate into the next millennium. This will help decision makers, managers of weather risk, and all
with an interest in our future climate.
Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. A, 357, 3459-3480, 1999
(Full version with four colour plates may be obtained from Dr Mark Saunders)