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Transcript
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Crimmins, T. M. et al. Targeted campaign increases activity among participants in Nature’s Notebook, a citizen
science project. Natural Sciences Education (In Press).
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Regetz, J., Davies, T. J., Wolkovich, E. M., Bolmgren, K. & McGill, B. J. Phylogenetically weighted regression: a
method for modeling non-stationarity on evolutionary trees. Systematic Biology (Submitted).
Denny, E. G. et al. Standardized phenology monitoring methods to track plant and animal activity for science
and resource management applications. International Journal of Biometeorology (2014). doi:10.1007/s00484014-0789-5
Matthews, E. R. et al. Natural Resource Report - California Phenology Project (CPP) plant phenological
monitoring protocol: Version 1. Natural Resource Report (National Park Service , 2014).
Archetti, M, Richardson, AD, O’Keefe, J, Delpierre, N. Predicting Climate Change Impacts on the Amount and
Duration of Autumn Colors in a New England Forest. PLoS ONE (2013). doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0057373
Ault, T. R. et al. The False Spring of 2012, Earliest in North American Record. EOS 181-182 (2013).
doi:10.1002/2013EO200001
Benz, S. et al. Workshop 1: Conference on Public Participation in Scientific Research 2012: An International,
Interdisciplinary Conference The. Bulletin of the Ecological Society of America (2013).
de Beurs, K. M, et. al. "Vegetation Phenology in Global Change." In Phenology: An Integrative Environmental
Science . 2nd ed. Phenology: An Integrative Environmental Science. Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Kluwer
Academic Publishers, 2013.
de Beurs, K. M, Robert B Cook, SJ Mazer, Brian Haggerty, Alisa Hove, G.M. Henebry, LoriAnne Barnett, Carolyn
L Thomas, and Bob R Pohlad. “Phenology In Higher Education: Ground-Based And Spatial Analysis Tools ”. In
Phenology: An Integrative Environmental Science . 2nd ed. Phenology: An Integrative Environmental Science.
Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 2013.
Courter, J. R., Johnson, R. J., Bridges, W. C. & Hubbard, K. G. Assessing migration of Ruby-throated
Hummingbirds (ARCHILOCHUS COLUBRIS ) at broad spatial and temporal scales. The American Ornithologists’
Union 107−117 (2013).
Crimmins, T. M., Bertelsen, D. C. & Crimmins, M. A. Within-season flowering interruptions are common in the
water-limited Sky Islands. International Journal of Biometeorology (2013).
Crimmins, T. M., Crimmins, M. A. & Bertelsen, D. C. Spring and summer patterns in flowering onset, duration,
and constancy across a water-limited gradient. American Journal of Botany 1-11 (2013).
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Davies, T. J. et al. Phylogenetic conservatism in plant phenology. Journal of Ecology, Volume 101, Issue 6,
pages 1520–1530 (2013).
Davies T.J., et al. Phylogenetic conservatism in plant phenology. Journal of Ecology (2013). doi:10.1111/13652745.12154
Enquist, C. A. F., Kellermann, J. L., Gerst, K. L. & Miller-Rushing, A. J. Phenology research for natural resource
management in the U.S. . International Journal of Biometeorology (2013).
Euskirchen, E. S., Carman, T. B. & McGuire, A. D. Changes in the structure and function of northern Alaskan
ecosystems when considering variable leaf-out times across groupings of species in a dynamic vegetation
model. Global Change Biology (2013). doi:10.1111/gcb.12392
Fleishman, E. et al. Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwestern US. National Climate Assessment,
Southwest Climate Alliance (2013).
Haggerty, B. P., Matthews, E. R., Gerst, K. L., Evenden, A. G. & Mazer, S. J. The California Phenology Project:
Tracking Plant Responses to Climate Change. BioOne, Madroño 1-3 (2013).
doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.3120/0024-9637-60.1.1
Haggerty, B., Hove, A., Mazer, S. J. & Barnett, L. Birds, Butterflies, Bullfrogs and Beyond: Bring Biology to Life
through Citizen Science (Cornell Lab of Ornithology, 2013).
Henebry, GM " Phenologies of North American Grasslands and Grasses." In Phenology: An Integrative
Environmental Science . 2nd ed. Phenology: An Integrative Environmental Science. Dordrecht, The
Netherlands: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 2013.
Henebry, G.M., and Kirsten M De Beurs. “Remote Sensing Of Land Surface Phenology: A Prospectus”. In
Phenology: An Integrative Environmental Science . 2nd ed. Phenology: An Integrative Environmental Science.
Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 2013.
Inouye, David, Wielgolaski, Frans E. "Phenology at High Altitudes." In Phenology: An Integrative
Environmental Science . 2nd ed. Phenology: An Integrative Environmental Science. Dordrecht, The
Netherlands: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 2013.
Janetos, A. C. et al. National Climate Assessment Indicators: Background, Development, & Examples.
Technical Input Report for the US Global Change Research Program 2013. National Climate Assessment
(2013).
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Jeong, S. - J., Medvigy, D., Shevliakova, E. & Malyshev, S. Predicting changes in temperate forest budburst
using continental-scale observations and models. Geophysical Research Letters 1-6 (2013).
Liang, L. & Schwartz, M. Testing a growth efficiency hypothesis with continental-scale phenological variations
of common and cloned plants. Int J Biometeorol (2013). doi:DOI 10.1007/s00484-013-0691-6
Matthews, E. R. et al. California Phenology Project: Report on pilot phase activities, 2010-2013. Natural
Resource Report (National Park Service, 2013).
Mazer, S. J. et al. Flowering date of taxonomic families predicts phenological sensitivity to temperature:
Implications for forecasting the effects of climate change on unstudied taxa. American Journal of Botany
(2013).
McCabe, J. G., Ault, T. R., Cook, B. I., Bentancourt, J. L. & Schwartz, M. D. Influences of ENSO and PDO on the
Timing of North American Spring. International Journal of Climatology (2013). doi:10.1002/joc.3400
McCabe, G. J., Betancourt, J. L., Pederson, G. T. & Schwartz, M. Variability Common to First Leaf Dates and
Snowpack in the Western Conterminous United States. American Meteorological Society (2013).
doi:10.1175/2013EI000549.1
Medvigy, D., Jeong, S. - J., Clark, K. L., Skowronski, N. S. & Schäfer, K. V. R. Effects of seasonal variation of
photosynthetic capacity on the carbon fluxes of a temperate deciduous forest. American Geophysical Union
(2013). doi:10.1002/2013JG002421
Pau, S. et al. Clouds and temperature drive dynamic changes in tropical flower production. Climate Change
(2013).
Posthumus, E. E. et al. Nature's Notebook and Extension: Engaging Citizen-Scientists and 4-H Youth to
Observe a Changing Environment. Journal of Extension (2013).
Richardson, A. D. et al. Climate change, phenology, and phenological control of vegetation feedbacks to the
climate system. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 156-173 (2013).
Rosemartin, A. H. et al. Organizing Phenological Data Resources to Inform Natural Resource Conservation.
Biological Conservation (2013).
Schwartz, M. D., Hanes, J. M. & Liang, L. Comparing Carbon Flux and High-resolution Spring Phenological
Measurements in a Northern Mixed Forest. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Volume 169, 136-147
(2013).
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Schwartz, M. D., Ault, T. R. & Betancourt, J. L. Spring onset variations and trends in the continental USA: Past
and regional assessment using temperature-based indices. (2013). doi:0.1002/joc.3625
Schwartz, M. D., Hanes, J. M. & Liang, L. Comparing Carbon Flux and High-resolution Spring Phenological
Measurements in a Northern Mixed Forest. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Volume 169, 136-147
(2013).
Schwartz, MD, E Beaubien, JF Weltzin, and TM Crimmins. “Phenological Data, Networks, And Research: North
America”. In Phenology: An Integrative Environmental Science . 2ndnd ed. Phenology: An Integrative
Environmental Science. Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 2013.
Schwartz, M. D., Enquist, C. A. F. & Denny, E. G. Phenological implications of warming temperatures and
extreme climatic events. EOS, Transactions American Geophysical Union (2013).
Schwartz, M. D., Enquist, C. A. F. & Denny, E. D. Phenological Implications of Warming Temperatures and
Extreme Climatic Events. EOS 99 (2013).
Staudinger, M. D. et al. Biodiversity in a changing climate: a synthesis of current and projected trends in the
U.S. Frontiers in Ecology & Evolution 11:465-473 (2013).
Stein, B. A. et al. Preparing for and managing change: climate adaptation for biodiversity and ecosystems.
Ecology and the Environment 502-510 (2013).
Tierney, G. et al. Phenology monitoring protocol: Northeast Temperate Network. Natural Resource Report
NPS/NETN//NRR—2013/681 (National Park Service, 2013).
Wielgolaski, Frans E., and David W. Inouye. "Phenology at High Latitudes." In Phenology: An Integrative
Environmental Science . 2nd ed. Phenology: An Integrative Environmental Science. Dordrecht, The
Netherlands: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 2013.
Cleland, E. E. et al. Phenological tracking enables positive species responses to climate change. Ecology 17651771 (2012).
Cook, B. I., Wolkovich, E. M. & Parmesan, C. Divergent responses to spring and winter warming drive
community level flowering trends. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of
America 9000-9005 (2012).
Cook, B.I., et al. Sensitivity of spring phenology to warming across temporal and spatial climate gradients in
two independent databases. Ecosystems (2012).
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Courter, J. R., Johnson, R. J., Stuyck, C. M., Lang, B. A. & Kaiser, E. W. Weekend bias in Citizen Science data
reporting: implications for phenology studies. International Journal of Biometeorology 1-6 (2012).
doi:10.1007/s00484-012-0598-7
Cross, M., Girvetz, E., Schragg, A. & Enquist, C. Integrating Climate Change Science into Large-Scale
Conservation. Conservation and climate disruption: Ecoregional science and practice in a changing climate
(2012).
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Davies, T. N., Kraft, N. J. B., Salamin, N. & Wolkovich, E. M. Incompletely resolved phylogenetic trees inflate
estimates of phylogenetic conservatism. Ecology 242-247 (2012).
Dhruv, S. Backyards and Beyond: Neighborhood Nature Clubs Community Organizational Guide and Tool Kit.
Backyards & Beyond, The University of Arizona, Cooperative Extension, 4-H Youth Development 22 (2012).
Dhruv, S. Backyards and Beyond: Club Explorer's Journal. Backyards & Beyond, The University of Arizona,
Cooperative Extension, 4-H Youth Development 94 (2012).
Diez, J. M. et al. Forecasting phenology: from species variability to community patterns. Ecology Letters 15,
545-553 (2012).
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Enquist, C., Rosemartin, A. & Schwartz, M. D. Identifying and prioritizing phenological data products and tools.
Eos Meeting Reports (2012).
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Fleishman, E. et al. Chapter 8, in: Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: a Technical
Report Prepared for the U.S. National Climate Assessment. A report by the Southwest Climate Alliance.
outhwest United States: a Technical Report Prepared for the U.S. National Climate Assessment (2012).
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Hufkens, K., et al. Ecological impacts of a widespread frost event following early spring leaf-out. Global
Change Biology 2365-2377 (2012). doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02712.x
Hufkens, K., et al. Linking near-surface and satellite remote sensing measurements of deciduous broadleaf
forest phenology. Remote Sensing of Environment 307-321 (2012). doi:10.1016/j.rse.2011.10.006
Migliavacca, M. et al. On the uncertainty of phenological responses to climate change and its implication for
terrestrial biosphere models. Biogeosciences 2063-2083 (2012). doi:10.5194/bg-9-2063-2012.
Sankey, J. B., Germino, M. J., Benner, S. G., Glenn, N. F. & Hoover, A. N. Transport of biologically important
nutrients by wind in an eroding cold desert. Aeolian Research (2012). doi:10.1016/j.aeolia.2012.01.003
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Schwartz, M. D., Betancourt, J. L. & Weltzin, J. F. From Caprio’s Lilacs to the USA National Phenology Network.
Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment (2012).
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Sonnentag, O. et al. Digital repeat photography for phenological research in forest ecosystems. Agricultural
and Forest Meteorology 159-177 (2012). doi:doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2011.09.009
Staudinger, M. D. et al. Chapter 2, in: Impacts of Climate Change on Biodiversity, Ecosystems, and Ecosystem
Services: Technical Input to the 2013 National Climate Assessment. (2012).
Stein, B. A. et al. Chapter 6, in: Impacts of Climate Change on Biodiversity, Ecosystems, and Ecosystem
Services: Technical Input to the 2013 National Climate Assessment. A Cooperative Report to the 2013
National Climate Assessment. (2012).
Weltzin, J. F. "Citizen science: Tracking global change with public participation in scientific research."
Observation and Ecology: Broadening the Scope of Science to Understand a Complex World. 25-26 (Island
Press, 2012).
Wolkovich, E. M. et al. Warming experiments underpredict plant phenological responses to climate change.
Nature 494-497 (2012).
Auer, T., Rosemartin, A., Miller, D., Marsh, L. & Crawford, S. Web-based Visualization of Phenology Data. IEEE
VisWeek (2011).
Crimmins, T. M., Crimmins, M. A. & Bertelsen, C. D. Onset of summer flowering in a ‘Sky Island’ is driven by
monsoon moisture. New Phytologist 191, 468-479 (2011).
Crimmins, S. M., Dobrowski, S. Z., Greenberg, J. A., Abatzoglou, J. T. & Mynsberge, A. R. Changes in climatic
water balance drive downhill shifts in plant species’ optimum elevations. Science 331, 324-327 (2011).
Enquist, C. Landscape Conservation Cooperatives: A budding partnership. The Wildlife Professional (2011).
Glick, P. et al. Scanning the conservation horizon: a guide to climate change vulnerability assessment. The
National Wildlife Federation (2011).
McCabe, G. J., Ault, T. R., Cook, B. I., Betancourt, J. L. & Schwartz, M. D. Influences of the El Nino Southern
Oscillation and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation on the timing of the North American spring. International
Journal of Climatology (2011). doi:10.1002/joc.3400.
Miller-Rushing, A. & Enquist, C. Standards and tools for using phenology in science, management, and
education. Park Science (2011).
Nolan, V. P. & Weltzin, J. F. Phenology for Science, Resource Management, Decision Making, and Education.
EOS (2011).
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Pau, S. et al. Predicting phenology by integrating ecology, evolution and climate science. Global Change
Biology 3633-3643 (2011). doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02515.x
Souza, L., Bunn, W. A., Weltzin, J. F. & Sanders, N. J. Similar biotic factors affect early establishment and
abundance of an invasive plant species across spatial scales. 255-267 (2011). doi:10.1007/s10530-010-9805-9
Crimmins, M. A., Bertelsen, C. D. & Crimmins, T. M. Complex responses to climate drivers in onset of spring
flowering across a semi-arid elevation gradient. Journal of Ecology 1042-1051 (2010).
Davis, C. C., Willis, C. G., Primack, R. B. & Miller-Rushing, A. J. The importance of phylogeny to the study of
phenological response to global climate change. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological
Sciences 365, 3201-3213 (2010).
Forrest, J. & Miller-Rushing, A. J. Toward a synthetic understanding of the role of phenology in ecology and
evolution. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B 3101-3112 (2010). doi:10.1098/rstb.2010.0145
Ibanez, I. et al. Forcasting phenology under global warming. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B 3247-3260 (2010).
doi:10.1098/rstb.2010.0120
Kish, G. R., Sheftall, W. L., Reinman, J. & Farmer, A. F. Meeting review of the First Florida Phenology
Workshop, Gainesville, Florida, May 13, 2009. Bulletin of the Ecological Society of America 262-263 (2010).
Lambert, A. M., Miller-Rushing, A. J. & Inouye, D. W. Changes in snowmelt date and summer precipitation
affect the flowering phenology of Erythronium grandiflorum (glacier lily; Liliaceae). Am. J. Bot. 97, 1431-1437
(2010).
Miller-Rushing, A. J. Wildlife Watchers Aid Climate Research: A New Effort to Monitor Changes in Wildlife
Phenology. The Wildlife Professional Summer 2010, (2010).
Miller-Rushing, A. J., Hoye, T. T., Inouye, D. W. & Post, E. The effects of phenological mismatches on
demograpy. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B 3177-3186 (2010). doi:10.1098/rstb.2010.0148
Schwartz, M. D. & Hanes, J. M. Continental-scale phenology: warming and chilling. International Journal of
Climatology 1595-1598 (2010).
Schwartz, M. D. & Hanes, J. M. Intercomparing Multiple Measures of the Onset of Spring in Eastern North
America. International Journal of Climatology 1614-1626 (2010).
Weltzin, J. F. Phenology and ecosystem processes (book review). Ecology 91, 1874-1875 (2010).
Crimmins, T. M., Crimmins, M. A. & Bertelsen, C. D. Flowering range changes across an elevation gradient in
response to warming summer temperatures. Global Change Biology 15, 1141-1152 (2009).
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Miller-Rushing, A. J. & Primack, R. B. The impact of climate change on the flora of Thoreau's Concord. Arnoldia
66, 2-9 (2009).
Miller-Rushing, A. J. & Weltzin, J. Phenology as a tool to link ecology and sustainable decision making in a
dynamic environment. New Phytologist 184, 743–745 (2009).
Primack, R. B., Higuchi, H. & Miller-Rushing, A. J. The impact of climate change on cherry trees and other
species in Japan. Biological Conservation 142, 1943–1949 (2009).
Primack, R. B. & Miller-Rushing, A. J. The role of botanical gardens in climate change research. New
Phytologist 182, 303–313 (2009).
Primack, R. B., Miller-Rushing, A. J. & Dharaneeswaran, K. Changes in the flora of Thoreau. Biological
Conservation 142, 500–508 (2009).
Schwartz, M. D. et al. : Intercomparison, Interpretation, and Assessment of Spring Phenology in North
America Estimated from Remote Sensing for 1982 to 2006. Global Change Biology 2335-2359 (2009).
Schwartz, M. D. & Hanes, J. M. Short Communication. International Journal of Climatology (2009).
West, J. M. et al. U.S. Natural resources and climate change: concepts and approaches for management
adaptation. . Environmental Management (2009). doi:10.1007/s00267-009-9345-1.
Crimmins, M. A. & Crimmins, T. M. Monitoring plant phenology using digital repeat photography.
Environmental
(2008).
Crimmins,
T. M.,Management
Crimmins, M.41,
A.,949–958
Bertelsen,
D. & Balmat, J. Relationships between alpha diversity of plant
species in bloom and climatic variables across an elevation gradient. International Journal of Biometeorology
52, 353–366 (2008).
McNeil, B. E., Denny, E. G. & Richardson, A. D. Coordinating a Northeast regional phenology network. Bulletin
of the Ecological Society of America 188-190 (2008).
Miller-Rushing, A. J. & Primack, R. B. Global warming and flowering times in Thoreau's Concord: a community
perspective. Ecology 89, 332–341 (2008).
Miller-Rushing, A. J., LLOYD-EVANS, T. L., Primack, R. B. & Satzinger, P. Bird migration times, climate change,
and changing population sizes. Global Change Biology 14, 1959–1972 (2008).
Miller-Rushing, A. J., Primack, R. B. & Stymeist, R. Interpreting Variation in Bird Migration Times as Observed
by Volunteers. The Auk 125, 565–573 (2008).
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Miller-Rushing, A. J., Inouye, D. W. & Primack, R. B. How well do first flowering dates measure plant responses
to climate change? The effects of population size and sampling frequency. Journal of Ecology 96, 1289–1296
(2008).
Miller-Rushing, A. J. & Primack, R. B. Impacts of winter temperatures on two birch (Betula) species. Tree
Physiology 28, 659–664 (2008).
Morisette, J. T. et al. Tracking the rhythm of the seasons in the face of global change: phenological research in
the 21st century. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment (2008).
Willis, C. G., Ruhfel, B., Primack, R. B., Miller-Rushing, A. J. & Davis, C. C. Phylogenetic patterns of species loss
in Thoreau's woods are driven by climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 105,
17029 (2008).
Miller-Rushing, A. J. & Primack, R. B. Global phenomenon in your back yard. Boston Globe (2007).
Miller-Rushing, A. J. et al. Impact of global warming on a group of related species and their hybrids: cherry
tree (Rosaceae) flowering at Mt. Takao, Japan. American Journal of Botany 94, 1470 (2007).
Primack, R. B. & Miller-Rushing, A. J. Tracking global warming in public gardens. Public Garden 22, 7-9 (2007).
Primack, R. B., Miller-Rushing, A. J., Primack, D. & Mukunda, S. Using Photographs to Show the Effects of
Climate Change on Flowering Times. Arnoldia, Issue 65 (2007).
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Schwartz, M. D. et al. On the use of the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer for development of
prognostic land surface phenology models. Ecological Modelling 144-156 (2007).
Zhang, X., Tarpley, D. & Sullivan, J. T. Diverse responses of vegetation phenology to a warming climate.
Geophysical Research Letters 34, L19405 (2007).
Miller-Rushing, A. J., Primack, R. B., Primack, D. & Mukunda, S. Photographs and herbarium specimens as
tools to document phenological changes in response to global warming. American Journal of Botany 93, 1667
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Miller-Rushing, A. J. & Primack, R. B. Thoreau and climate change science. Thoreau Society Bulletin 256, 6-7
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Richardson, A. D., Bailey, A. S., Denny, E. G., Martin, C. W. & O’Keefe, J. Phenology of a northern hardwood
forest canopy. Global Change Biology 1174-1188 (2006).
Schwartz, M. D., Ahas, R. & Aasa, A. Onset of spring starting earlier across the northern hemisphere. Global
Change Biology 12, 343-351 (2006).
Tweed, E. J. et al. Breeding biology and success of a reintroduced population of the critically endangered
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Miller-Rushing, A. J. & Primack, R. B. Herbarium specimens indicate climate change. Plant Talk 39, 11 (2005).
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spring in the western United States. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 82, 399–415 (2001).
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