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Transcript
REKLIM
Insa Meinke, Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Institute of Coastal Research, North German Climate Office, Contact: [email protected]
The Institute of Coastal Research is
part of the Helmholtz Climate Initiative
REKLIM (Regionale Klimaänderungen/
Regional climate change).
In REKLIM eight research centres within the Helmholtz
Association use their unique combination of competence in
regional climate, observations and process studies coupled
with model simulations to better understand regional climate
change and its impacts. This research provides a solid basis
for climate-related decision support. Via the Helmholtz
Regional Climate Offices and the Climate Service Center
policymakers and other decision makers are supported in
assessing risks and opportunities and designing mitigation
and adaptation strategies.
The institute of coastal research contributes to seven of the ten REKLIM-topics
Topic 1:
Coupled modelling of regional earth systems
Topic 2:
Sea-level changes and coastal protection
How does the climate evolution depend on the interaction between
atmosphere, ocean, ice and land surfaces? Which influence do natural
and anthropogenic processes have?
How large are the losses of the continental ice masses (in particular of
Greenland) and how does the regional sea level react on melt water runoff and ocean warming?
Topic 3:
Regional climate changes in the Arctic:
Forcing and long-term effects at the land-ocean
interface
Which specific changes of land, ocean, and atmosphere in the shelf sea and
permafrost regions of the Arctic are due to climate change and which
interactions
exist?
Dynamic downscaling cascade („magnifying glass“) with regional climate models for
Europe and the Baltic Sea. The acronyms of the models used are given in parenthesis.
(Figure: Hans von Storch)
Topic 6:
Extrem weather events - storms, heavy
precipitation, floods and droughts
How do severity and frequency of extreme weather events, especially
storms, change in recent and future climate?
Regional average sea level for the German Bight determined with two different methods
(mean approach 1843–2008 (black); EOF method 1924–2008 (green)) derived from 15
tide-gauges in the German Bight. The period 1843–1924 is only given for one tidegauge, three additional time series exist for the period since 1900. (Graphic: HZG)
Topic 7:
Socio-economics and management for
regional climate change adaptation and
mitigation strategies
Integrated climate policies comprise the of mitigation greenhouse gas
emissions and adaptation to climate change. Is there an optimal route
to be taken?
Model domain and CCLM subregions: Arktic-West (1), Arktic-East (2), Midde-West (3),
Middle (4), Mitte-East (5), South West (6) and South-East (7) .
Topic 8:
Rapid climate change derived from proxy data
Which mechanisms, processes and regional climate patterns increase rapid
climate changes within interglacials and at glacial-interglacial transitions?
How has storminess in the south western Baltic Sea changed during the last
centuries?
HZG analyses changes of storm activity like typhoons, polar lows, medicanes or
extratropical storms in different parts of the world for the past decades. Thereby regional
climate simulations are forced by global reanalysis data to achieve high-resolution and
homogeneous data sets which allow for deriving storm statistics. The figure shows an
index of storm activity for the North Atlantic and Northern Europe after Alexandersson et
al. (1998) for coastDat-2 (black) and observations (blue). The changes in storm activity in
coastDat-2 are consistent with observations. The stippled line shows the 99th percentile,
the solid line the 95th percentile.
Topic 10:
Risk analysis and risk management
What are the climate change-related risks and how can these risks be
assessed from an economic point of view? While addressing these risks,
how can policymakers and other decision makers be supported by
science?
Main subjects of research
arranged, according to the
different phases of a flood
event.
(Source: Steinführer et al.,
2009, UFZ)
Comparison between reconstructed temperature trends derived from proxy data (circles and
rectangles) and model simulations (ECHO-G) covering the last 7000 years. Model simulated
temperature trends are calculated using annual mean temperatures. Colored frames of
rectangles and circles show the season which agree best with model derived data.(Graphic:
Thomas Laepple and Gerrit Lohmann, AWI)
Climate mitigation and climate adaptation can complement each other through
synergies as with the thermal insulation of buildings or can be in conflict, such as air
conditioning systems as climate adaptation measures in buildings. At the same time
measures to improve carbon sequestration in forests or in urban green corridors must
be coherently connected with the goals of biodiversity and urban development policies.
In order to exploit synergies, integrated climate policies must fulfil a set of political
coherence characteristics. (Figure: UFZ)
Outreach:
The Helmholtz Regional Climate Offices and the
Climate Service Center support stakeholders in
assessing risks and opportunities and designing
mitigation and adaptation strategies on the
scientific basis of REKLIM
Regionale Klimabüros
Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht • Max-Planck-Straße 1 • 21502 Geesthacht • Phone +49 (0)4152 87-0 • Fax +49 (0)4152 87-1403 • www.hzg.de