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National policy framework for increasing resilience towards the adverse impacts of climate change Monday February 6, 2017 Yara Daou Climate change projects UNDP – Ministry of Environment 1. How vulnerable is Lebanon Future climate risks Moderate case scenario – mid century ▣ 1.2˚C warming and up to 3.2°C by 2100 ▣ 4% decrease in precipitation, up to 5.8 mm decrease in average monthly precipitation ▣ Temperature and precipitation extremes will also intensify causing the seasonal prolongation and geographical expansion of drought periods ▣ 15 additional days with maximum daily temperature higher than 35°C Impacts on Lebanon ▣ Less snow ▣ Less water availability ▣ Increase drought period ▣ Less agriculture productivity ▣ Higher energy demand ▣ Weakened tourism ▣ Sea level rise ▣ Forests at risk ▣ Increased mortality and morbidity ▣ Damaged infrastructure Economic costs from climate change impacts in 2040 Potential costs from cumulative effects of global GHG emissions Potential savings in 2040 from reducing global GHG emissions to the lowest emissions scenario What about agriculture? ▣ The effects of climate change on five main crop types: cereals, fruit trees, olives, industrial crops, such as sugar beets and tobacco, and vegetables, such as potatoes (a strategic crop). 2. How is Lebanon planning to adapt Technology Needs Assessment – adaptation in the agriculture sector Conservation Agriculture Risk Coping Production Systems Selection of adapted varieties and rootstocks Rainwater harvesting from hill lakes Rainwater harvesting form roads Integrated Pest Management Rainwater harvesting from greenhouse tops Integrated Production and Protection for greenhouses Efficient water use irrigation system Early Warning System - ICT Water users’ association Index Insurance Soilless agriculture Early warning system through snowpack monitoring Use of treated wastewater in irrigation Strategy of the Ministry of Agriculture Intended Nationally Determined Contribution National Adaptation Plan on the way Thanks! Any questions? [email protected] [email protected]