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“Snowball Earth” MET 112 Global Climate Change - Lecture 11 A hypothetical state in which all surface water is frozen. Some geologists think it may actually have happened. Other scientists find the idea hard to support. “Freeze – Fry” Episodes of the Late Precambrian Eugene Cordero Evidence: San Jose State University, Spring 2004 Outline Reference: Hoffman and Schrag’s Scientific American Article. Positive and negative feedbacks MET 112 Global Climate Change 1 “Freeze-Fry” Episodes 3 The Cooling Phase – Outline of Theory Something happened to cause an imbalance in the long-term carbon cycle The Earth cooled Ice began to expand from the poles The , accelerating the cooling Evaporation decreased (due to cooling of oceans) Water vapor concentration decreased, A hypothesis that: – Earth experienced – from very cold (“Snowball Earth”) to – Period of very hot temperatures This accelerated the cooling even more Ice continued to expand until Earth was frozen – Many times back and forth!! MET 112 Global Climate Change MET 112 Global Climate Change 5 The Situation MET 112 Global Climate Change 8 Before cooling A snowball Earth would have a high albedo, perhaps as high as 60%. It would be difficult to “thaw out” such a planet (see next slides) Reflection Albedo = Incoming Sunlight MET 112 Global Climate Change 10 MET 112 Global Climate Change 11 After cooling With Greenhouse Gases Restored Reflection Reflection Albedo = Albedo = Incoming Sunlight Incoming Sunlight MET 112 Global Climate Change 13 Thawing Out the Earth MET 112 Global Climate Change 15 Resolutions Restoring greenhouse gases to original levels is not sufficient Much higher levels of CO2 would be required Question: how much higher CO2 would be required to thaw out the earth? – One possibility – a large increase in volcanic eruptions over a long period – Another possibility – a decrease in silicate-tocarbonate conversion Why would this happen? How could CO2 levels get so high? MET 112 Global Climate Change 17 The Warming Phase -- Outline 19 Warming (Continued) The long-term carbon cycle became unbalanced in the opposite sense (more CO2 going into atmosphere than going out) – Eventually, CO2 levels became very high Earth began to warm up Albedo decreased, accelerating the warming Evaporation increased, increasing water vapor Greenhouse effect became stronger, accelerating the warming (Continued) MET 112 Global Climate Change MET 112 Global Climate Change After about 10 million years of warming, ice started to melt at the equator 22 MET 112 Global Climate Change 24 Getting Rid of the Excess CO2 Evidence for such an event Layers of carbonate rocks found directly above glacial rock debris Carbonate rocks are generally formed in warm oceans Now, atmosphere is incredibly hot (+50°C) because of high CO2 levels Hot oceans ⇒ evaporation rate (globally) ⇒ precipitation rate (globally) ⇒ rates of chemical weathering ⇒ rate of silicate-to-carbonate conversion ⇒ Rapid removal of CO2; rapid formation of carbonate rocks MET 112 Global Climate Change 27 Climate Feedbacks MET 112 Global Climate Change 28 Positive Feedbacks Earth/Atmosphere is delicate balance – Processes that accelerate a change – Note: Feedbacks cannot initiate change; they can only alter the pace of change Important examples: – Ice-albedo feedback – Water-vapor feedback Slight changes in balance can cause – These changes can be enhanced or diminished by positive or negative feedbacks Positive feedback: – Negative feedback: – MET 112 Global Climate Change 30 Ice-Albedo Feedback (Cooling) MET 112 Global Climate Change Ice-Albedo Feedback (Warming) Initiating Mechanism Initiating Mechanism Earth Cools Earth Warms Ice Coverage Increases Ice Coverage Albedo Increases Albedo Absorption of Sunlight Decreases MET 112 Global Climate Change 32 Absorption of Sunlight 33 MET 112 Global Climate Change 35 Water Vapor Feedback (Warming) Water Vapor Feedback (Cooling) Initiating Mechanism Initiating Mechanism Earth Warms Earth Cools Evaporation Evaporation Atmospheric Water Vapor Content Atmospheric Water Vapor Content Greenhouse Effect Greenhouse Effect 37 MET 112 Global Climate Change Positive Feedback Exerted by Water Vapour in the Atmosphere Positive Feedback Exerted by Snow and Ice Enhanced greenhouse warming Increased warming by trace gases (including water vapour) Increased water vapour Increased air temperatures Greater waterholding capacity Figure 12.6 Positive feedback exerted by water vapour (as a greenhouse gas) in the atmosphere. Possible Role of Cloud in Warming or Cooling the Atmosphere Increased warming by trace gases (including water vapour) Increased air temperatures Increased water vapour Increased cloud amount Increased trapping of terrestrial radiation g n mi ar W Increased reflection of solar radiation Co ol in g 39 MET 112 Global Climate Change Net warming or cooling Figure 12.7 Role of cloud in both warming and cooling the atmosphere. Greater absorption of solar radiation Decreased albedo Melting of snow and ice Figure 12.8 Positive feedback exerted by snow and ice albedo in the atmosphere.