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Transportation & Climate Change in Manitoba – 2003 Workshop impacts emission reductions adaptation outreach & awareness Transportation & Climate Change in Manitoba – Workbook Prepared for: Manitoba Transportation & Government Services Prepared by: University of Manitoba Transport Institute February 2003 University of Manitoba Transport Institute 631 – 181 Freedman Crescent Winnipeg, Manitoba R3T 5V4 Tel: (204) 474-9842 Fax: (204) 474-7530 www.umti.ca Transportation and Climate Change – Workbook Revised March 2, 2003 Transportation & Climate Change in Manitoba – 2003 Workshop impacts emission reductions adaptation outreach & awareness Transportation and Climate Change in Manitoba - Workbook This workbook is designed to stimulate thought in preparation for the breakout session of the workshop. Please review the following questions and use the space provided to record your answers. You may give this to workshop staff as a tangible record of your anonymous comments or keep it for you own reference. If you are not attending the workshop, you may complete the workbook and submit it to Connie van Rosmalen by March 12, 2003 at: [email protected] or by mail to: 631-181 Freedman Crescent; Winnipeg, MB; R3T 5V4. Definitions Impacts: of climate change on Manitoba are predicted to include an increase of 34oC in summer temperatures by 2080, and an increase of 5-8oC in winter temperatures. Manitoba is predicted to experience warmer, wetter winters and springs, and longer, warmer, drier summers. Springtime precipitation is expected to increase by 5-10%, and summer precipitation is expected to decrease by 10-20%. Climate change will also increase the frequency of extreme weather events, such as thunderstorms, tornados, hailstorms, floods, heat waves, and droughts. It is expected that rainstorms will be less frequent and more severe, and that dry periods will last longer. Cold spells are expected to be less severe. Other problems that are likely to result from climate change include erosion of coastlines, increased risk of fires, pests, and disease to farms and forests, and damage to water and wetlands. Manitoba’s boreal forests are predicted decline in the south due to lack of moisture, but will not move further northward due to lack of suitable soil. Adaptation: involves making adjustments in our social and economic activities to enhance their viability and reduce their vulnerability to climate change. This includes strategies aimed at minimizing negative impacts of climate change and maximizing new opportunities. Adaptation is aimed at dealing with the environmental changes that can occur because of climate change. For example, the Confederation Bridge connecting PEI and New Brunswick was built taking into account potential changes in sea level resulting from climate change. Another example is relocating some winter road routes to extend operating windows. Emission Reduction/Mitigation: refers to actions intended to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in an effort to slow and eventually stabilize the amount of GHGs in the atmosphere. These actions are critical to slow the rate of climate change and reduce the risk of negative impacts. Three main approaches to emission reduction are: (1) technological improvements to vehicles, fuels and infrastructure; (2) shifts in transportation modes (e.g., selecting the most fuel-efficient means of shipping freight in each unique situation); and (3) urban planning that decreases the need for commuting by personal vehicles and increases public transit usage. PAGE 2 Transportation and Climate Change – Workbook Revised March 2, 2003 SECTION 1: Impacts on Transportation Systems 1. Based on the expected impacts of climate change on the weather and landscape of Manitoba, how do you feel your operations will be affected? 2. Impact identification: a. Considering all modes of transport (i.e. rail, road, urban, air, marine, offroad/agricultural), list three impacts of climate change on transportation in the following regions of the province. NORTHERN MANITOBA SOUTHERN MANITOBA URBAN CENTRES 1. 2. 3. b. From the impacts you have just identified, choose the five that are the most important/feasible to address. Rank them from 1 to 5 (1=most important, 5=least important). When evaluating ‘importance/feasibility,’ consider criteria such as the cost of the impact (i.e. economic/social), urgency of dealing with the impact (i.e. short-term, long-term), timeline of the impact (e.g., happening now vs. predicted to happen in 10 years vs. in 100 years), technical capabilities, etc. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. PAGE 3 Transportation and Climate Change – Workbook c. Revised March 2, 2003 In the first column, please list the five most important climate change impacts that you identified in question 2b. What knowledge/research/ training is needed before these impacts can be addressed? IMPACT KNOWLEDGE/RESEARCH/TRAINING NEEDED 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. PAGE 4 Transportation and Climate Change – Workbook Revised March 2, 2003 3. Outreach & Awareness of Climate Change Impacts: In the first column, please list the five most important climate change impacts that you identified in question 2b. a. How would you create awareness of these climate change impacts among the public and within your company/organization? (Complete second and third columns) b. Who should be responsible for creating this awareness? (Complete last column) CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT 1. STRATEGIES FOR INCREASING PUBLIC AWARENESS STRATEGIES FOR INCREASING AWARENESS WITHIN YOUR COMPANY/ORGANIZATION 2. 3. 4. 5. PAGE 5 WHO IS RESPONSIBLE FOR CREATING AWARENESS Transportation and Climate Change – Workbook Revised March 2, 2003 SECTION 2: Transportation Sector Adaptation Strategies From the Primer document, recall the basic categories of adaptation measures: (1) prevent loss, (2) spread or share loss/burden, (3) change activity, (4) change location, and (5) tolerate the loss. 4. In the first column, please list the five most important climate change impacts that you identified in question 2b. a. For each of the five most important impacts you identified in question 2b, what is the best strategy for adapting? (Complete second column) b. How feasible (high – H, medium – M, low – L) are these adaptation strategies? Consider criteria such as anticipated costs, current level of knowledge and technologies, and level of funding/support in your decision. (Complete third column) c. Who should bear the costs of the strategies (i.e. individuals, private industry, federal, provincial, municipal governments)? (Complete last column) CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ADAPTATION STRATEGY 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. PAGE 6 FEASIBILITY (H, M, L) WHO SHOULD BEAR COSTS Transportation and Climate Change – Workbook Revised March 2, 2003 5. In the first column, please list the five adaptation strategies that you identified in question 4a. Complete the sentence, “In order to implement these strategies the following knowledge/research/training is needed…” (Complete second column) ADAPTATION STRATEGIES KNOWLEDGE/RESEARCH/TRAINING NEEDED 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. PAGE 7 Transportation and Climate Change – Workbook Revised March 2, 2003 6. Outreach & Awareness of Adaptation Strategies: In the first column, please list the five adaptation strategies that you identified in question 4a. a. How would you create awareness of these adaptation strategies among the public and within your company/ organization? (Complete second and third columns) b. Who should be responsible for creating awareness of these adaptation strategies? (Complete last column) ADAPTATION STRATEGY STRATEGIES FOR INCREASING PUBLIC AWARENESS STRATEGIES FOR INCREASING AWARENESS WITHIN YOUR COMPANY/ORGANIZATION 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. PAGE 8 WHO IS RESPONSIBLE FOR CREATING AWARENESS Transportation and Climate Change – Workbook Revised March 2, 2003 SECTION 3: Transportation GHG Emission Reduction (Mitigation) 7. List the emission reduction programs/strategies currently in place within your organization, government department or industry sector. 8. Considering all modes of transportation (i.e. rail, road, urban, air, marine, and off-road/agricultural), what other strategies NOT currently in place could be implemented to reduce emissions? RAIL ROAD URBAN AIR 1. 2. 3. PAGE 9 MARINE OFF-ROAD/ AGRICULTURAL Transportation and Climate Change – Workbook Revised March 2, 2003 9. Of the emission reduction strategies that you have identified in the previous question, which five are the most feasible to implement? In your decision, consider factors such as anticipated willingness to support/fund, cost, technical capability, and effectiveness (the amount of reduction). 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. PAGE 10 Transportation and Climate Change – Workbook Revised March 2, 2003 10. Outreach & Awareness of Emission Reduction Strategies: In the first column, please list the five emission reduction strategies that you identified in question 9. a. How would you create awareness of these emission reduction strategies among the public and within your company/organization? (Complete second and third columns) b. Who should be responsible for creating awareness of these strategies? (Complete last column) EMISSION REDUCTION STRATEGY STRATEGIES FOR INCREASING PUBLIC AWARENESS STRATEGIES FOR INCREASING AWARENESS WITHIN YOUR COMPANY/ORGANIZATION 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. PAGE 11 WHO IS RESPONSIBLE FOR CREATING AWARENESS