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Projects in Meso-America: LA_06: Assessment of Impacts and Adaptation Measures for the Water Resources Sector due to Extreme Events under Climate Change Conditions in Central America Countries: Guatemala, Belize, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica and Panama. Sectors: Water resources and interacting sectors (Agriculture, tourism, disaster management) PI: Dr. Walter Fernández, UCR. LA__29: Integrated Assessment of Social Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Variability and Change Among Farmers in Mexico and Argentina Countries: 2, Mexico and Argentina, also includes Colombia, Brazil and Chile. Sectors: Agriculture and Water PI: Dr. Carlos Gay, UNAM. SIS_06. The Threat of Dengue Fever – Assessment of Impacts and Adaptation to Climate Change in Human Health in the Caribbean. Countries: Jamaica, Barbados, Trinidad and Tobago and St. Kitts. Sectors: Climate-Health and disease. PI: Drs. A. A. Chen, UWI and S. C. Rawlins, CAREC. LA06: LA29 Methodology for V&A: Hypothetical “Amoeba” Diagram of Community Adaptive Capacity Accessibility of Services Income 100 Agricultural Diversity 75 50 25 Production Costs Hazard frequency 0 Yield Variability Physical Resource Index Market Involvement Optimum Community 1 Community 2 SIS06, Methodology include: Retrospective study (interdisciplinary) Statistical downscaling Pilot Project SRES emission scenarios The linkage between climate and nonclimate scenarios will be achieved by Interdisciplinary teams work. Future Global and Regional Scenarios (Tools like MAGICC & SCENGEN, PRECIS ?,…). Climate Information used by the three projects includes 1. Historical climatic data. – a. Local/regional data. Public domain databases. National Meteorological Services & Local stations – b. Re-analyses (NCEP) 2. Aerological DataBases: CARDS, PACSSONET 3. GCM outputs. Variables required for I, A & V assessment: Temperature (Max., Min., Mean) Precipitation Solar Radiation Winds Runoff Also, some non-climate variables: power generation, yields, population growth, GDP, etc. Some Critical Uncertainties in the projects are: Spatial downscaling of climate and socio-economic scenarios. Behaviour of Extreme Events in climate change scenarios: trends, frequency, intensity. Baseline. Spatial and Temporal scales include: Spatial scale: – Local / Regional. – Global. For climate change downscaling techniques scenarios and Temporal: daily, monthly, seasonal, annual, decadal. Baseline: 1961-1990 or at least 30 years of data of the variables described. Other projects in the region: “Development of a regional climate model system for Central America”. Supported by NOAA-OGP. PI. Dr. Jorge A. Amador, CIGEFI-UCR, Costa Rica. “Climate variability and its impacts on the Mexican, Central American and Caribbean region”. Supported by IAI as a CRN. PI. Dr. Victor Magaña, UNAM, México. “When Oceans conspire: Examining the effect of concurrent SST anomalies in the Tropical Atlantic and Pacific on Caribbean Rainfall”. Supported by IAI as a PESCA project. PIs. Drs. Michael Taylor and Anthony Chen, UWI, Jamaica. “Multi-objective study of climate variability for mitigation in the trade convergence climate complex”. Supported by IAI as a CRN. PI. M.Sc. Pilar Cornejo, ESPOL, Ecuador.