Download Strategic Overview of policies to deliver the 80% emissions

Strategic Overview of policies
to deliver the 80% emissions
reduction target
Cameron Maxwell
Climate Change Division, the Scottish Government
Sustainable Development Commission Scotland:
Climate Change Seminars, 6 November 2008
UK Climate Change Bill
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Sets 80% emissions reduction target by 2050
All GHG gases
Establishes the Committee on Climate Change
CCC to provide advice to UK Gov.t and DAs
Creates five yearly carbon budgets
Scottish Climate Change Bill
• 80% emissions reduction target in 2050
• Interim 50% target in 2030
• Statutory framework based on annual targets
– Set more than 10 years in advance
– Based on advice from CCC
• All GHG gases
• Includes international aviation and shipping
• Introduced by the end of 2008
The size of the challenge
100%
90%
80%
Business (incl. industrial processes)
Waste
70%
Transport
60%
50%
40%
30%
Public
Residential
Energy Supply
20%
10%
0%
Agriculture
Land Use , Land Use Change & Forestry
-10%
2005
2050
Population
growth
On/off shore
wind
Carbon capture
and storage
Economic
growth
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?
80%
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EU
ETS
?
Eco-driving
Afforestation
20%
?
Carbon Reduction
Commitment
Energy efficiency
Buildings
standards
Marine and
tidal energy
Overview Objectives
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To deliver a high level discussion document
for publication in 2009
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key sectors for abatement
high level policy options
short (2012), medium (2020) and long term (2030
and 2050)
highlighting key milestones
barriers to implementation
To stimulate discussion and analysis within
the SG on potential pathways to 80% target
Sources of information
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Committee on Climate Change
AEA Mitigation Report
Stern Review
Internal SG policy analysis
Committee on Climate Change
Interim advice
• Energy efficiency improvement in buildings
and industry
• Decarbonisation of the power sector
• Transport sector decarbonisation
• Heat sector decarbonisation
• Decarbonisation of industry
AEA Mitigation Report
Assumes delivery of existing and planned policies
• Improved vehicle technologies and Smarter
Choices
• CCS for energy generation and industry
• Increased forest area
• Renewable heat
• Buildings energy efficiency
Stern Review
3 essential elements
• Establish a carbon price
– Tax, trading, regulation
• Develop low carbon, high efficiency technologies
– Cost of technologies fall with scale and experience
• Removal of barriers to behavioural change
– Regulatory measures, information policies, shared
understanding
Carbon assessment
To judge the carbon impact of spending
• High level project
– Contracted with Pricewaterhouse Coopers
– Examine carbon associated with high level SG spend
– International workshop on 24/25th November
• Individual level project
– review current carbon assessment work across SG
and public bodies
– Apply Defra carbon assessment tool to policies/
projects