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Climate Sustainability: The Journey from Rio to Copenhagen Jeffrey Barber Copenhagen Climate Exchange 3 December 2009 The journey from crisis to sustainability Global temperatures are rising … Source fossil fuel emissions deforestation atmospheric CO2 Sink CO2 flux (Pg C y-1) …with rising carbon emissions land ocean Source: Global Carbon Project 2009; Le Quéré et al. 2009, Nature Geoscience …from a range of sources … with major impacts on our world We are driving ourselves to the brink of collapse Leaving this for our children to confront Climate change Ecosystem collapse Economic insecurity Trying to understand the consequences Trying to understand the consequences The evidence accumulates … Ozone hole Seveso Love Canal 3 Mile Island Amoco Cadiz Chernobyl Danube Hanford Bhopal Exxon Valdez Piper Alpha Massey Our Stolen Future Baia Mare Bangladesh arsenic Global 2000 Rpt …as our ecological footprint grows We look for answers We look for innovative solutions … and we talk to each other 1992 IPCC Supplementary Rpt. 1990 1st IPCC Assessment Rpt 2001 3rd IPCC Assessment Rpt 1995 1st IPCC Assessment Rpt 2007 4th IPCC Assessment Rpt 2009 COP-15 (Copenhagen) 1995 COP-1 (Berlin) 1996 COP-2 (Geneva) 1997 COP-3 (Kyoto) 1998 COP-4 (Buenos Aires) 1999 COP-5 (Bonn) 2000 COP-6 (The Hague) 2001 COP-6 bis (Bonn) 2001 COP-7 (Marrakech) 2002 COP-8 (New Delhi) 2003 COP-9 (Milan) 2004 COP-10 (Buenos Aires) 2005 COP-11 (Montreal) 2006 COP-12 (Nairobi) 2007 COP-13 (Bali) 2008 COP-14 (Poznan) New climate treaty? We make plans and proposals We look for leadership Right now, to commit to global and national targets to reduce global emissions, to establish a binding Treaty. However, this is just one step in a series of steps and actions to reduce national and global carbon emissions. We each have a leadership role to play in these steps forward. This is part of our journey to sustainability. The major challenge is not simply to “reduce emissions” but for us to transform the system of production and consumption that generates them. Changing the system of production and consumption To lower GHG emissions, we need to change the production/consumption cycle… …in each economic sector. Sustainable development and climate change “Develop a domestic policy framework that will encourage a shift to more sustainable patterns of production and consumption.” 10 Year Framework of Programs for Sustainable Consumption and Production (CSD18-19) We only have one planet to get this right We need more than a climate treaty, we need a global transformation To build a sustainable global economy. Low-carbon. Protecting the ecosystems upon which we all depends. It must also be fair, providing economic security and improving the quality of life for everyone. This is the challenge of “sustainable development.”