Download EC Project Officer - ENSEMBLES Project

Research on Climate Change
Dr Georgios AMANATIDIS
Environment Directorate
Research DG, European Commission
ENSEMBLES Kick-off Meeting, Hamburg, 15-16 September 2004
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
The Historical Perspective
From research on environmental protection
to integration of sustainability into research
FP3 & 4: Research on ecosystem functioning, climate
and environment protection technologies
FP5:
Integration of the environmental dimension in
research; more attention to climate change,
water, coastal integration and urban dynamics
FP6:
Sustainability to be integrated in all areas of
research, especially Energy, Transport and
Agriculture
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
FP5 (1999-2002)
Climate Research
Over 180 research projects funded in areas (budget: 250 M€)
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Climate change prediction
Climate dynamics and abrupt changes
Interactions between ecosystems and carbon/nitrogen cycle
Atmospheric composition Change
Stratospheric ozone depletion
Mitigation and adaptation
European contribution to global observation systems
Natural hazards research
Contribution to IGBP, WCRP, IHDP and IPCC
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
Some pertinent results of FP5
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EPICA: Ice coring reached a depth of 3100m. Climate history record of
past 900,000 years
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DEMETER: Capability demonstrated to predict seasonal/interannual
climate variations – implications for energy, agriculture, tourism and
health
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CARBOEUROPE: Carbon absorption capacity of Europe’s terrestrial
biosphere reported to be about 7-12 % of the annual anthropogenic CO2
emissions
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GECS: Global scenarios analysing the impact of post-Kyoto policies
under flexibility mechanisms for emission reduction
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TRADEOFF: Aviation cirrus clouds impacts on climate is three times
larger than that from CO2 emissions alone
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
Radiative forcing (RF) from air traffic in 1992 from IPCC (1999; coloured columns and bars with vertical end-lines)
and revised estimates (white columns and bars with end-diamonds) based on recent research results (EU-project
TRADEOFF, and papers by Marquart et al (2003), Mannstein, and others at this conference). The revised RF from
CO2 applies to the year 2000. Note that the revised total now includes the cirrus clouds.
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
The 3 interrelated pillars of FP6
Priority 6: Sustainable Development,
Global Change and Ecosystems
 Sustainable energy systems (810MEuro): clean energy, energy
savings, alternative motor fuels, fuel cells, energy
carriers/transport/storage
 Sustainable surface transport (610MEuro): environmentally
friendly transport, interoperability, safety
 Global change and ecosystems (700MEuro): greenhouse gas
emissions, water cycle, biodiversity and ecosystems, natural
disasters, land management, climate observation,
complementary research, cross-cutting issues
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
FP6 (2003-2006)
Global Change and Ecosystems
I.
Impact and mechanisms of greenhouse gas emissions and
atmospheric pollutants on climate, ozone depletion and carbon
sinks
II.
Water cycle, including soil-related aspects
III. Biodiversity and ecosystems
IV. Mechanisms of desertification and natural disasters
V.
Strategies for sustainable land management, including coastal
zones, agricultural land and forests
VI. Operational forecasting and modelling including global climatic
change observation systems
VII. Complementary research
VIII. Cross-cutting issue: Sustainable Development concepts and tools
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
Work Programme on Area I
Impact and mechanisms of greenhouse gas emissions
and atmospheric pollutants on climate, ozone depletion
and carbon sinks
Research priorities
I.1
I.2
I.3
I.4
I.5
I.6
Carbon and nitrogen cycles: sources and sinks
Atmospheric pollutants and their regional impacts
Climate dynamics and variability
Prediction of climate change and its impacts
Stratospheric ozone and climate interactions
Adaptation and mitigation strategies
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
FP6 Climate Research Projects
1st Call, 2003
 ENSEMBLES – IP: Ensemble-based Predictions of
Climate Changes and their impacts
 SCOUT-03 – IP: Stratosphere-Climate Links with
emphasis on UTLS
 ACCENT – NoE: Atmospheric Composition Change: A
European Network
 CARBOEUROPE – IP: Assessment of European
Terrestrial Carbon Balance
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
Specific Support Action
A Europe-South America network
for climate change assessment and impact studies (CLARIS)
Duration:
EC support:
Objective:
Coordinator:
Partners:
36 months
500 K€
to strengthen collaboration between research groups
in Europe and S. America to develop common research
strategies on climate change and impact issues in the
subtropical region of South-America through a multiscale integrated approach
J.-P. Boulanger, CNRS, France
14 from France, Germany, Argentine, Brazil, Italy,
Spain, Uruguay and the Netherlands
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
2nd Call – New Instruments
(NoE and IP) in Indent I
I.1
Carbon and nitrogen cycles: sources and sinks;
Assessment of marine carbon sources and sinks
I.2
Atmospheric pollutants and their regional impacts;
Atmospheric pollutants and climate forcing
I.3
Climate dynamics and variability;
Hot spots in the earth system
Coupled climate system (STREPS)
Novel palaeoreconstruction methods (STREPS)
I.5
Stratospheric ozone and climate interactions;
Aviation and surface transport impacts on climate
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
2nd Call for Proposals – Selected IP
 CARBO OCEAN – IP: Marine carbon sources and sinks
assessment
 AMMA – IP: African monsoon multidisciplinary analysis
 QUANTIFY – IP: Quantifying the climate impact of global
and European transport systems
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
Integrated Project in I.3
“African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis” (AMMA)
Duration:
EC support:
Objective:
Coordinator:
Partners:
5 years
< 11.7 M€
to improve the ability to predict the West African
monsoon (WAM) and its impact on intra-seasonal to
decadal timescales as well as the consequences of
climate change on WAM variability.
J. Polcher, CNRS, France
40 from France, Germany, UK, Spain, Italy, Denmark,
Belgium, the Netherlands, Finland, Niger and Burkina
Faso
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
STREP
“Understanding the Dynamics of the Coupled Climate System”
(DYNAMITE)
Duration:
EC support:
Objective:
Coordinator:
Partners:
36 months
2M€
to explore the fundamental dynamical mechanisms of two
important modes of climate variability, the NAO/AO and the
ENSO
H. Drange, NERSC, Bergen, Norway
13 from Norway, UK, France, Germany, Italy,
Romania and China
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
3rd Call for Proposals
Deadline October 26, 2004
Climate related research topics:
1. Nitrogen cycle and its interaction with C-cycle (IP)
2. Ocean-atmosphere-chemistry interaction (STREP)
3. Adaptation and mitigation strategies (IP)
4. The past climate and its dynamics (IP)
5. Climate observations (IP): Contribution to GEO and
GCOS
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
Third Call for Proposals
Deadline October 26, 2004
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Earth System Observations (Integrated Project)
Enhance coordinated efforts at data analysis and fill gaps
in regional observing systems
Interfaces, interoperability, integration and linkages
between observing systems
Improvement of monitoring technologies and standards
Identification of a set of geo-observational products
Observations for detection and documentation of climate
change, including extreme events (e.g. ENSO)
Provide contribution to the Group on Earth Observation
(GEO) and Global Climate Observing System (GCOS)
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
Third Call for Proposals
Deadline October 26, 2004
Specific Support Actions
 Enhancing co-operation between Europe and the
developing countries within the context of global earth
observation systems (GEO)
 Exploitation of results of research projects relevant to the
GEO
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
3rd Call for proposals
November 2004
Instrument
IP and NoE
STREP and CA
SSA
Budget € (millions)
150
50
5
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
Earth Observation Summit:
EU contribution
July 31, 2003, Washington D.C.
Summit declaration
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Coordinated Earth-Observation system or systems
Reference to Jo’burg and Evian Summits
EO-Summit II, Tokyo, April 25, 2004
Earth Observation Summit III, February 16, 2005,
Brussels, to discuss and approve 10-year Implementation
Plan
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
Earth Observation Summit:
EU Contribution
Ad hoc Group on Earth-Observation (GEO):
 Co-chair: Dr. A. Mitsos, Director-General, Research DG,
EC
 GEO II meeting, 28-29 November 2003, Baveno, Italy
 Participation in GEO- Sub groups and the GEO
Secretariat
 GEO – Governance meeting, 27-28 September 2004, EC,
Brussels
 Earth Observation Partnership Conference, 15 October
2004, Brussels
 GEO V meeting, 27-30 November 2004, Ottawa, Canada
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
Global Monitoring of
Environment and Security
Climate Change
Noise
Health
Water
Floods
Air
Fires
Soils
Industrial Risks
Forests
Urban
Agro-environment
Coastal Zones
Nature &Biodiversity
GMES
Monitoring
Air
Soil
Land-Use Hazards/Risks Topography
Water Habitats Socio-Economic
Meteo and climate data
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
The Six Axes of FP7
1.
2.
3.
Consolidate transnational collaboration through
common projects and networking in order to create
European « Pôle of excellence »;
Launch technological initiatives, at European scale, in
order to implement common research agendas in
support of a European Industry Policy in key areas of
technological progress;
Stimulate competition among individual teams, in
particular in basic research, through the setting up of a
European Research Agency;
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
The Six Axes of FP7
4. Reinforce human resources through the support of
training and mobility of researchers in the perspective of
enabling and developing European scientific careers;
5. Develop research infrastructure through support for the
creation and for the exploitation of infrastructure of
European interest as experienced with the TransEuropean Networks;
6. Promote the co-ordination between national and regional
research programmes.
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
Information
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To build on current EU Research:
www.cordis.lu
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Information on FP6:
europa.eu.int/comm/research/nfp.html
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FP6 Instruments:
europa.eu.int/comm/research/nfp/networks-ip.html
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Future research:
http://europa.eu.int/comm/research/future/index_en.html
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS