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Transcript
Climate Change and its Impacts on Africa:
The Role of Youth and Civil Society
1st Africa Sustainable Development Forum
Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
May 11, 2016
Key Messages
➜
Human influence on the climate system is clear
➜
The more we disrupt our climate, the more we
risk severe, pervasive and irreversible impacts
➜
We have the means to limit climate change and
build a more prosperous, sustainable future
AR5 WGI SPM, AR5 WGII SPM, AR5 WGIII SPM
Temperatures continue to rise
Each of the past 3 decades has been successively warmer than
the preceding decades since 1850
Year
Globally averaged combined land and ocean surface
temperatures
AR5 WGI SPM
AR5 SYR SPM
AR5 SYR SPM
AR5 SYR SPM
Sources of emissions
Energy production remains the primary driver of GHG emissions
35%
Energy Sector
24%
Agriculture,
forests and
other land uses
21%
Industry
14%
Transport
6.4%
Building
Sector
2010 GHG emissions
AR5 WGIII SPM
Some of the changes in extreme weather and climate events
observed since about 1950 have been linked to human influence
AR5 WGI SPM
Impacts are already underway
•
•
•
Tropics to the poles
On all continents and in the ocean
Affecting rich and poor countries
AR5 WGII SPM
Projected climate changes
Continued emissions of greenhouse gases will cause further
warming and changes in the climate system
Oceans will continue to warm
during the 21st century
It is very likely that the Arctic sea
ice cover will continue to shrink
and thin as global mean surface
temperature rises
Global mean sea level will
continue to rise during the
21st century
Global glacier volume will
further decrease
AR5 WGI SPM
Impacts on Africa
➜
➜
➜
Precipitation decline in Northern Africa and
southwest part of South Africa
Likely increase in rainfall and extreme rainfall in
Ethiopian Highlands
Greater stress on water availability
Impacts on ecosystems – coral reefs, fisheries
– shifting ranges of some
species and ecosystems
➜ Exacerbate vulnerability of agricultural systems,
particularly in semi-arid areas
➜ Risks to food production
➜
Adaptation Approaches
➜
➜
➜
➜
➜
➜
➜
Ethical dimensions – global support justified
– assess loss and damage
Institutional frameworks to be developed
Create capacity and competence in local
governments
Disaster risk reduction, ecosystem-based
approaches, livelihood diversification
Strengthened interlinkages between adaptation &
development pathways and link with SDGs.
Sub-national and community-based adaptation
essential
Create climate resilient infrastructure and practices
Impacts on the Greater Horn of Africa (1)
➜
Summer Monsoon Precipitation has declined
➜
Rainfall over the Sahel has experienced overall
reduction.
➜
Projections indicate increase in the number of
extreme rainfall days.
➜
Agriculture and Food Security would be
adversely affected.
AR5 WGI SPM, AR5 WGII SPM, AR5 WGIII SPM
Impacts on the Greater Horn of Africa (2)
➜
Agricultural pests, diseases and weeds would
increase.
➜
Projected decline in nutrition indicating climate
change would counteract benefits of socioeconomic development.
➜
Vector-Borne Diseases to increase including
Malaria, Leishmaniasis, Rift Valley fever (RVF)
and tick-borne diseases.
Potential Impacts of Climate Change
Food and water shortages
Increased poverty
Increased displacement of
people
Coastal flooding
AR5 WGII SPM
Climate Change Poses Risk for Food Production
AR5 SYR SPM
Mitigation Measures
More efficient use of energy
Greater use of low-carbon and no-carbon energy
• Many of these technologies exist today
Improved carbon sinks
• Reduced deforestation and improved forest management
and planting of new forests
• Bio-energy with carbon capture and storage
Lifestyle and behavioural changes
AR5 WGIII SPM
What is the POP Movement?
• Addresses the Urgent Need to Share
Information and Knowledge Among Youth
About Solutions to:
➜Achieve
Sustainable Development Goals
➜Mitigate Climate Change
➜Adapt to
the Impacts of Climate Change
PROTECT OUR PLANET
Why the POP Movement?
• Current Lack of Knowledge, Awareness and
Inertia to Implement Climate Change
Solutions are a Major Gap in Action
• The POP Movement Will Create and Serve
the Massive Demand for Action That Can Be
Implemented in Schools, Colleges and
Communities Worldwide
• Knowledge About Climate Change Solutions
Will Be Provided as Part of the POP
Movement
PROTECT OUR PLANET
What Does POP Do?
• The POP Movement:
Mobilizes Young
Protect Our Planet
People
Globally
to
Promotes Collective Action, Especially
Among Youth to Implement Solutions
Needed to Mitigate Climate Change
Recognizes and Reward Youth-Led
Actions, Exemplary Initiatives, and
PROTECT OUR PLANET
Success Stories
POP in 2016
International Advisory Board
PROTECT OUR PLANET
Global Partnerships
Discussions Underway with DREFF, Dominican Republic and the Green
Science Policy Institute and One More Generation in the US
PROTECT OUR PLANET
Launch in Mexico
• POP Launches on Earth Day
2016
• Address in the Mexican
Parliament
• Talk at the Annual
Environmental Film Festival
at Cuernavaca
PROTECT OUR PLANET
Upcoming Dominican
Republic Launch
Launch with DREFF in the Dominican
Republic – September 2016
PROTECT OUR PLANET
POP Festival in New York,
2016
POP Will Host a Festival in New York
➜Showcase
Youth Action to Protect Our
Planet
➜Launch US Partnerships
➜Support Networking and Cross-Learning
PROTECT OUR PLANET
“Education is the most powerful
weapon which you can use to
change the world.”
“Without education, your children
can never really meet the challenges
they will face. So it's very important
to give children education and
explain that they should play a role
for their country.”
- Nelson Mandela