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NORTON SOUND COMMUNITY CLIMATE ADAPTION TRAINING INTEGRATING CLIMATE AND HAZARD MITIGATION PLANNING JANUARY 24, 2017 HAL SHEPHERD WATER POLICY CONSULTING, LLC [email protected] (907)491-1355 WWW.WATERPOLICYCONSULTING.COM “Indigenous Arctic people race to adapt to climate change as 'warning bells' ring on tipping points” - International Business Times (11/28/16) Tipping points may radically change Arctic societies and environment in the rest of the century. "Without rapid action to slow climate change by reducing greenhouse gas emissions, the resilience of the Arctic will be overwhelmed.“ Arctic Council Photo: Carol Oliver – Golovin I-GAP “Tipping points” (Cont.) "Ultimately, realizing resilience in the Arctic will depend on empowering the people of the North to self-organize, define challenges in their own terms, and find their own solutions, knowing that they have the flexibility and external support to implement their plans." International Business Times (11/28/16) Natural Hazards & Climate: Which Hazards? 4 Natural Hazards Impacted by Climate Change Varies by place Varies by time horizon Degree of uncertainty Bigstock 92881379 FEMA Guidance on Climate + HMP Integration May include discussion of the impacts of climate change in risk assessment not required by mitigation planning regulation, but can provide a better understanding of how risk may change in the future May include climate change as a separate section in the plan or within the descriptions of the existing hazards, such as severe storms, flooding, wildfire, and drought Climate adaptation strategies, which are adjustments in natural or human systems to mitigate the impacts of a changing climate, may complement other hazard mitigation strategies FEMA Local Hazard Mitigation Planning Handbook, March 2013, Section 5-8 Natural Hazards & Climate Adaptation Hazard Mitigation Planning: Conditions of Concern: Non-Climate Hazards (e.g. Earthquakes) Man-Made Hazards (e.g. Oil Spills) 6 ICLEI PUBLICATIONS Conditions of Concern: Climate-Related Natural Hazards (e.g. Wildfires) Goal: LongTerm Risk Reduction Response: Planned Policies, Programs Climate Adaptation Planning Conditions of Concern: Slow-Onset Climate Changes Response: Spontaneous/ Unplanned Adjustments Integrating Hazard Mitigation and Climate Adaptation Planning: Case Studies & Lessons Learned. ICLEI, 2014 Integrating Climate & HMP: Why Bother FEMA requires states to “consider climate” Funding It makes sense Accurate assessment of risk Key to increasing climate resilience 7 Bigstock 127770401 Integrating Climate & HMP: Case Studies 8 Integrating Hazard Mitigation Planning and Climate Adaptation Planning: Case Studies and Lessons Learned (2014) Case Study: Climate Preparedness in the San Diego County MultiJurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Update (2016) Both available at ICLEI Publications HMPs: Opportunities to Integrate Climate 9 Five HMP Elements: A: Planning & Stakeholder Engagement B: Hazard Identification & Risk Assessment C: Mitigation Strategy D: Plan Review, Evaluation, and Implementation (Updates Only) E: Plan Adoption Full Baltimore HMP Public and Stakeholder Engagement Bigstock 114235895 10 Requires open public involvement process Climate Stakeholders? Environmental vulnerability Economic vulnerability Social vulnerability Native Village of Golovin Climate Risk Update to HMP Google Maps Why Integrate Climate Adaptation and Hazard Mitigation Planning? Photo courtesy of Deb Kleinman HMP Update: Native Village of Golovin US Coast Guard SPAR , Aug 2016. Photos: Carol Oliver – Golovin I-GAP 13 Storm surge Native Village of Golovin. Fish plant What was planned & what happened Integrate climate into Golovin HMP (Objective 1) Secure FEMA funding to pay for implementation (Objective 2) Team & community engagement (Objective 3) Monitoring and evaluation (Objective 4) Photo: Carol Oliver – Golovin I-GAP Process for HMP Update Photo courtesy of Deb Kleinman What is in the HMP update? New recommendations: Coastal erosion Document happening changes Integrate existing planning documents New planning efforts: Stormwater Integrated mgmt. Water Resources Mgmt. Photo courtesy of Deb Kleinman Key Climate Informed Strategies Apply Traditional & Local Ecological Knowledge Emphasize: Tribal sovereignty Policy Fee-to-Trust Apply for instream flow water rights Photo courtesy of Deb Kleinman Resiliency Employment Public Safety Secure Funding! How did Climate Change the HMP? Photo courtesy of Deb Kleinman Hazard Identification & Risk Assessment 19 When climate is integrated: Climate projections, climate modeling Downscaling global models to support local planning Prioritization of risk includes climate impacts Dealing with uncertainty Bigstock photos 3559504, 3982819, 118215584 Mitigation Strategy 20 Strategic plan that addresses risk assessment Goals Range of specific actions and projects including NFIP participation Action plan Cost benefit analysis How to incorporate these goals into other planning mechanisms Bigstock photos 84714902, 97434614, 91807430 Alaskan Subsistence Hunters' Climate Change-Driven Challenges Biggest difficulty for Alaska’s subsistence hunters: “ just getting out into the field to get to the food.” Climatic Change, Oct 2016 “There’s safety issues. There‘s weather events that are occurring. It seems to be a more unpredictable and unstable environment.” Todd Brinkman, University of Alaska Fairbanks’ Institute of Arctic Biology Alaskan Subsistence Hunters' Climate Change-driven Challenges Personal accounts of subsistence hunters in last five years: Difficulties traversing thawing and squishy tundra Persistently above-normal temperatures well into the fall hunting season or well before breakup. About NFIP and CRS… National Flood Insurance Program Web Page 23 Answers to Questions About the NFIP Reduce impact of flooding Affordable insurance for property owners Promote adoption and enforcement of floodplain management regulations Mitigation Strategy: Plans & Policies 24 Integration with other plans Comprehensive / Land Use Plans Integrated Water Resource Management Plans Local policy and rule making Codes, ordinances, incentives, etc. Bigstock photos 84714902, 97434614, 91807430 Integrated Water Resources Management “[A] process that promotes the coordinated development and management of water, land and related resources, in order to maximize the resultant economic and social welfare in an equitable manner without compromising the sustainability of vital ecosystems.” Global Water Partnership Technical Advisory Committee (2000) Integrated Water Resources Management Work with stakeholders to create an IWRM for rivers and creeks that support: drinking water salmon habitat flood control Focuses on the interconnectedness of the entire watershed to address the effects of climate change on human health and welfare, subsistence and infrastructure. Integrated Water Resources Management Consideration of: 1) Manage water sustainably 2) Balance economics, social equity, & environment 3) Coordination and integration 4) Participation from all water sectors 5) Holistic management of connected resources 6) Process oriented adaptive management 7) Enabling environment of policies & resources and 8) Institutional roles and capacity Climate Resilient Mitigation Activities Aquifer Storage and Recovery (ASR) Floodplain and Stream Restoration (FSR) Flood Diversion and Storage (FDS) Pre- or Post- Wildfire Mitigation Activities Bigstock 41465164 Climate Resilient Mitigation Activities 28 Mitigation Actions that Utilize Green Infrastructure Plan Adoption Bigstock 1312555 29 Who needs to formally adopt plan? Doesn’t change with integration of climate https://www.fema.gov/clim ate-resilient-mitigationactivities-hazardmitigation-assistance Integrating Climate & HMP: Challenges 30 Bigstock 38368153 Who “owns” it Short v. long term Downscaling global climate models What else? FEMA Funding for Mitigation planning and projects Hazard Mitigation Grant HMGP Program assists in implementing long-term hazard mitigation planning and projects following a Presidential major disaster declaration Pre-Disaster Mitigation PDM Program provides funds for hazard mitigation planning and projects on an annual basis Flood Mitigation Assistance FMA Program provides funds for planning and projects to reduce or eliminate risk of flood damage to buildings that are insured under the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) on an annual basis FEMA Funding: Climate Requirements 32 “States must consider how future risk and vulnerability may be affected by changing future conditions… The Guide clarifies that the probability of future hazard events must include considerations of changing future conditions, including the effects of long-term changes in weather patterns and climate on the identified hazards.” FEMA State Mitigation Plan Review Guide FEMA Funding: Climate Requirements 33 Integrating Climate & HMP: The Basics “FEMA will prioritize the competitive projects for selection up to the available funding as follows: •Climate Resilient Mitigation Activities (CRMA) Infrastructure Finance and Innovation Act EPA recently announced the availability of approximately $1 billion in credit assistance for water infrastructure projects under the new Water (WIFIA) program Provides long-term, low-cost credit assistance in the form of direct loans and loan guarantees to creditworthy water projects including: drinking water treatment and distribution, wastewater conveyance and treatment, and enhanced energy efficiency at drinking water and wastewater facilities. Shaktoolik, Alaska: Climate Change Adaptation for an At-Risk Community Sources for Climate Change Adaptation Funding and Technical Assistance https://www.dropbox.com/sh/j9hx46xe 6kiatwm/AACoXAVWj63TDJZuhE_bFmV Ea?dl=0 QUESTIONS?