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CEQ Draft Guidance on Consideration of the Effects of Climate Change and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Seth D. Jaffe Foley Hoag LLP June 2, 2010 © 2009 Foley Hoag LLP. All Rights Reserved. © 2010 Foley Hoag LLP. All Rights Reserved. Topics for Discussion Background to the Proposal – CEQ’s 1997 Draft Guidance – NEPA and Greenhouse Gases in the Courts – 2008 Petition of the ICTA, NRDC, and Sierra Club – http://www.icta.org/doc/CEQ%20Petition%20Final%20Version%202-28-08.pdf CEQ’s Draft guidance – (http://ceq.hss.doe.gov/nepa/regs/Consideration_of_Effects_of_GHG_Draft_NEPA_ Guidance_FINAL_02182010.pdf) – Tone and Significance – Greenhouse Gas Emissions Effects of a Proposed Action • 25,000 tpy of CO2e: a threshold or not? • Approaches to measuring emissions – Climate Change Impacts on a Proposed Action – Open Questions Responses to the Draft Implications and Issues © 2010 Foley Hoag LLP. All Rights Reserved. 2 CEQ’s 1997 Draft Guidance The 1997 Guidance: – Explained that scientific evidence supported the existence of climate change – Stated that NEPA “provides an excellent mechanism for consideration of ideas related to global climate change” – Provided that climate change was a “reasonably foreseeable” impact of emitting greenhouse gases – “Federal agencies must determine whether and to what extent their actions affect greenhouse gases. Further, federal agencies must consider whether the actions they take, e.g., the planning and design of federal projects, may be affected by any changes in the environment which might be cause by global climatic change.” – Suggested that program level analysis of climate change was likely to be more helpful than project level analyses – Urged agencies to stay up to date on climate science in order to better predict impacts climate change might have on federal projects All of these themes reemerge in the 2010 guidance © 2010 Foley Hoag LLP. All Rights Reserved. 3 NEPA and GHGs in the Courts Law already exists holding that NEPA, at least in some circumstances, requires consideration of GHG emissions Several high profile cases have held or implied that GHGs should be considered in NEPA reviews, but have not necessarily clarified the precise obligations agencies have in this regard: – Border Power Plant Working Group v. Department of Energy, 260 F.Supp.2d 997 (S.D. Cal. 2003) (EIS should have considered air emissions including CO2) – Friends of the Earth, Inc. v. Mosbacher, 488 F.Supp.2d 889 (N.D. Cal. 2007) (allowing case alleging international financing actions would generate greenhouse gas emissions to go forward) – Center for Biological Diversity v. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, 538 F.3d 1172, 1217 (9th Cir. 2008) (“The impact of greenhouse gas emissions on climate change is precisely the kind of cumulative impacts analysis that NEPA requires agencies to conduct.”) © 2010 Foley Hoag LLP. All Rights Reserved. 4 The 2008 Petition International Center for Technology Assessment, NRDC, and Sierra Club petitioned CEQ to amend its regulations to clarify that Climate Change analysis should be included in NEPA reviews – Petitioners argued that NEPA and existing regulations included obligations to consider climate change – Nevertheless, the petitioners asked CEQ to amend its NEPA regulations and issue a guidance memorandum so as to “fulfill its statutory responsibilities” to advise and instruct federal agencies on this important issue Center for American Progress issued a document calling for an executive order to clarify that federal agencies must address greenhouse gas emissions in their NEPA reviews © 2010 Foley Hoag LLP. All Rights Reserved. 5 CEQ’s Draft Guidance As part of its 40th anniversary, CEQ proposed steps to “modernize and reinvigorate” NEPA on February 18, 2010 One of those steps was the issuance of draft guidance on the consideration of GHGs The two other draft guidance documents issued on the same date are also significant and are also relevant to how NEPA will be applied to climate change © 2010 Foley Hoag LLP. All Rights Reserved. 6 Current Status Is not currently effective 90 day public comment period ended on May 24th CEQ recently held “listening sessions” © 2010 Foley Hoag LLP. All Rights Reserved. 7 CEQ’s Draft Guidance: Big Picture Follows the same outline as the draft guidance from 1997 Addresses many of the concerns raised in the 2008 petition, but does not reach the level of specificity the petition requested Generally requires consideration for actions causing direct annual emissions exceeding 25,000 metric tons Does not apply to land and resource management actions. Focus on cumulative effects Goes both ways – analysis must assess impact of climate change on project as well as impact of project on climate change Guidance is limited in scope and seems to strain to emphasize its own reasonableness © 2010 Foley Hoag LLP. All Rights Reserved. 8 CEQ’s Draft Guidance: Emission Effects of a Proposed Action 25,000 tpy direct CO2e emissions as a general threshold for NEPA applicability – However – 25,000 tpy is an “indicator,” not an “absolute standard” Examples of actions for which analysis probably should occur: – Approval of a large solid waste landfill; – Approval of energy facilities such as a coal-fired power plant; – Authorization of a methane venting coal mine; – Programmatic actions. Analysis should: – Quantify cumulative emissions over the life of a project; – Discuss GHG reduction measures and alternatives; – Qualitatively discuss link between GHG emissions and climate change. © 2010 Foley Hoag LLP. All Rights Reserved. 9 Some More Details Gives suggested methods for quantifying emissions by referring to other requirements (specifically EPA’s GHG reporting rule) Emphasizes that the purpose of NEPA is to assist the decisionmaking process and that a “rule of reason” should govern the extent of the GHG analysis Encourages consideration of mitigation Encourages agencies to consider GHGs as part of programmatic analyses that can then be incorporated into analyses for individual actions © 2010 Foley Hoag LLP. All Rights Reserved. 10 Impact of Climate Change on a Proposed Action Agencies should consider not only the impact of emissions on climate change, but also the impact of climate change on actions Climate change impacts include: – Exposing structures to greater risk of floods, storm surges, and higher temperatures – Increasing the vulnerability of a resource, ecosystem, or community, and thereby making consequences of proposed actions more damaging than would otherwise be the case Examples include: – An industrial process that draws water from a stream that is dwindling because of decreases snowpack, or adds heat to a water body exposed to increasing atmospheric temperatures – Developing transportation infrastructure along coastal barrier islands that may be impacted by rising sea levels © 2010 Foley Hoag LLP. All Rights Reserved. 11 Impact of Climate Change on a Proposed Action (Cont.) Analyses are bounded by the “rule of reason” Prioritizes analysis of “aspects of the environment that are affected by the proposed action and the significance of climate change for those aspects of the affected environment” – “Agencies should consider the specific effects of the proposed action (including the proposed action’s effect on the vulnerability of affected ecosystems), the nexus of those effects with projected climate change effect on the same aspects of our environment, and the implications for the environment to adapt to the projected effects of climate change.” Acknowledges limits on the ability to predict the impacts of climate change on a regional or project relevant level Agencies are not required to undertake research on the effects of climate change and suggests sources of reliable information © 2010 Foley Hoag LLP. All Rights Reserved. 12 Open Questions Does not apply to land and resource management actions CEQ asked for comments on how to apply NEPA to such actions – While the CEQ Draft Guidance does not propose to apply to land management actions, federal land management agencies often have policies requiring the consideration of GHG emissions in agency actions CEQ has asked for comments on how to apply NEPA to long-range energy and resource management programs CEQ has asked for comments on whether it should provide guidance to agencies on determining whether GHG emissions are “significant” for NEPA purposes © 2010 Foley Hoag LLP. All Rights Reserved. 13 Congressional Response to Draft Barton/Burgess letter to CEQ. Letter focuses on cost of complying with GHG NEPA guidance and whether guidance is consistent with a “jobs first” approach to policy Inhofe Legislation – S. 3230 would preclude federal agencies from analyzing GHGs under NEPA http://www.eenews.net/features/documents/2010/04/20/document_ gw_03.pdf © 2010 Foley Hoag LLP. All Rights Reserved. 14 Public Response To Date Responses to the Draft have been mixed Many see the Draft simply as a general statement that GHGs fall within the scope of NEPA The Draft has been criticized for its generality and for failing to provide clarity to the preparers of NEPA documents Specific criticism has focused on identifying a 25,000 tpy threshold but not making that threshold a trigger Whether and how to address land and resource management actions is likely to be controversial Concerns about increased costs and delays Potential for litigation © 2010 Foley Hoag LLP. All Rights Reserved. 15 Public Response To Date (Cont.) NEPA mitigation requirements could serve as a market driver Federal action may encourage more states to follow suit “Much ado about nothing” – NEPA already requires this © 2010 Foley Hoag LLP. All Rights Reserved. 16 Potential Implications/Issues How much of an impact can NEPA analysis really have – What we can affect v. what really matters – How can NEPA analysis be used for decision-making given an “x plus/minus 10x” situation – Real game is in programmatic analysis Analysis of feedback loop issues is very difficult – No more coastal roads? – What is the role of the market and insurance to address these issues? © 2010 Foley Hoag LLP. All Rights Reserved. 17 Contact Information Seth D. Jaffe Chair, Administrative Law Department Coordinator, Environmental Practice Group Boston 617.832.1203 (t) 617.832.7000 (f) [email protected] www.foleyhoag.com www.lawandenvironment.com © 2010 Foley Hoag LLP. All Rights Reserved. © 2010 Foley Hoag LLP. All Rights Reserved. 18