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Course title: Climate Change: Vulnerability, Impacts, Adaptation and Resilience Course code: NRC 182 No. of credits: 3 L-T-P: 28-0714 Learning hours: 42 Pre-requisite course code and title (if any): Department: Department of Natural Resources Course coordinator: Dr Chubamenla Jamir Course instructor: Dr Chubamenla Jamir Contact details: Course type: Elective Course offered in: Semester 2 Course Description This course is an introduction to the vulnerability of climate change, potential adaptation and resilience options for natural as well as social systems with particular reference to developing countries. The topics include the basics of climate change, the sensitivity (qualitative in general) and impacts on various sectors and regions throughout the world, the state of science with respect to tipping points in the Earth System, mitigation and potential adaptation options. A critical view will be laid on the ‘attribution problem’, the prioritization of adaptation means, mal-adaptations, the implementation problem, ethical views and conflicts with development goals. Win-win-situations and trade-offs between the latter and climate change adaptation is part of the course too. Next to the vulnerabilities, impacts and adaptation possibilities for various sectors and regions (e.g. urban areas and developing countries), one section of the course will deal with methods and concepts. The course is separated into a theoretical part and a seminar part. Whereas the first part consists of lectures, the second part trains students to unearth perceived impacts of climate change and adaptation options from stakeholders. They should interact with planners, architects, officials from the Government authorities and locals. Course objectives 1. A profound view about climate vulnerability and the impacts of advancing climate change 2. Understanding of different adaptation and resilience possibilities, and 3. Learn various challenges and conflicts of implementation Course content SNo Topic L T P 1. 6 Introduction to the impacts of climate change Introduction to extreme events and gradual changes of the climate; impacts on different natural and managed systems/ sectors (ecosystem, agricultural, freshwater, urban infrastructure and society) and regions. 2. 6 2 Vulnerability Introduction to the concept of vulnerability. Focused discussion on the vulnerabilities of different ecological and social systems, coastal vulnerability, particular issues for developing countries, refer to tipping points in the Earth System. Qualitative to semi-quantitative methods to evaluate vulnerabilities and impacts. Discussion on prioritization of different adaptation options, to qualitative measures of decision support, and connections between adaptation and mitigation: trade-offs and mal-adaptation. 3. 8 Adaptation Introduction to the concept, indicators of adaptation, problems of its operationalization. Potential adaptation options for issues of food security, energy security, and transport in developing and developed countries, and the limits of adaptation. Factors influencing adaptation strategies (technical, institutional, financial) and constraints to developing strategies; consequences of adaptation strategies. Resilience to climate change possibilities. 4. 2 2 Seminar Explanation of exercise, how the system’s perception of impacts can be developed with/unearth from stakeholders. Stakeholder dialogue on a case study – students will be divided into different stakeholder group and have a multi-stakeholder dialogue on a case study to decide on adaptation measures. 5. 6 3 14 Practical/ Field work Interaction with planners, architects, officials from the Delhi & NCR authorities, locals, etc. and make their investigations and collect data, draw concept maps, etc. Later analyze results with different evaluation methods (network analysis, including a software solution), and to derive and test various adaptation means. Total 28 7 14 Evaluation criteria Minor test: 20% Assignments 20% Seminar paper: 20% Major test (end semester): 40% Learning outcomes 1. After this course, students should have a profound view about climate vulnerability, the impacts of advancing climate change, different adaptation and resilience possibilities and conflicts of implementation Pedagogical approach Materials Required text 1. Adger N., Paavola J., Huq S. and Mace M.J. (2006) Fairness in Adaptation to Climate Change, Cambridge, MA, MIT Press. 2. Bicknell J., Dodman D. and SatterthwaiteD. (eds.) (2009) Adapting Cities to Climate Change, London,Earthscan. 3. Birkmann J. ( ) Measuring Vulnerability to Natural Hazards: Towards Disaster Resilient Societies, New Delhi, TERI Press, United Nations University. 4. Hagen P. and Horary F.(1983) Structural Models in Anthropology, Oxford University Press, New York 5. Horary F., Norman R.Z. and Cartwright D.(1965) Structural Models: An Introduction to the Theory of Directed Graphs, John Wiley & Sons,Inc, New York, London, Sydney. Suggested readings 1. Patt A.G., Schröter D., Klein R.J.T. and De la Vega-Leinert A.C. (eds.) (2009) Assessing Vulnerability to Global Environmental Change–Making Research Useful for Adaptation Decision Making and Policy, Earthscan. 2. Parikh J.K. and Parikh K. (2002) Climate Change: India’s Perceptions, Positions, Policies and Possibilities, Paris, OECD. 3. Roaf S., Crichton D. andNicol F. (2005) Adapting Buildings and Cities for Climate Change, Oxford: Architectural Press. 4. Shukla P.R., Sharma S.K.,Ravindranath N.H., Garg A. and Bhattacharya S. (Eds.) (2003) Climate Change and India, Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation, Hyderabad, Universities Press. Case studies Websites Journals Additional information (if any) Reports 1. IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) (20072014) Climate Change, the SynthesisReportWG II Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability, Geneva, IPCC. http://ipccwg2.gov/AR5/http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessmentreport/ar4/syr/ar4_syr.pdf 2. Climate Change (2001) Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability-Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge. 3. Kelkar U. andBhadwal S. (2007) South Asian Regional Study on Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation: Implications for Human Development, Human Development Report 2007/2008, Fighting Climate Change: Human Solidarity in a Divided World, Human Development Report Office, Occasional Paper. 4. McMichael A.J., Campbell-Lendrum D.H., Corvalan C.F., Ebi K.L., Githeko A.K., Scheraga J.D. and Woodward A. (Eds.) (2003) Climate Change and Human Health- Risks and Responses, Geneva, World Health Organization. 5. Reckien D., Eisenack K. and Hoffmann E. (2008) Adaptation to Climate Change in the Transport Sector: The Constraining Effect of Actor-interdependencies, Paper presented at the ISEE (International Society for Ecological Economics) Conference, 9th August 2008, Nairobi. 6. Reckien D. andGrothmann T. (2009)Klimafolgen und Anpassungsmaßnahmen in Verkehr und Mobilität, in: Grothmann T, Krömker D, Hornburg A, Siebenhüner B (eds):‚ KyotoPlusNavigator-PraxisleitfadenzurFörderung von Klimaschutz und Anpassungan den Klimawandel–Erfolgsfaktoren, Instrumente, Strategie’; Downloadversion April 2009, pp 283-334; http://www.erklim.de 7. Reckien D., Hofmann S. and Kit O. (2009) Qualiatative Climate Change Impact Networks for Hyderabad/India, Report from the Project: Hyderabad as a Megacity of Tomorrow: Climate and Energy in a Complex Transition towards Sustainable Hyderabad–Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies by Changing Institutions, Governance Structures, Lifestyles and Consumption Patterns, Berlin/Potsdam: Humboldt University Berlin/Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Mai 2009. 8. Roy J. (2006) The Economics of Climate Change, A Review of Studies in the Context of South Asia with a Special Focus on India. Report Submitted to The Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change, Kolkata,http://www.hmtreasury.gov.uk/d/roy.pdf 9. Yedla S. andShrestha R.M. (2007) Prioritization of Strategies to Overcome Barriers for Cleaner and Energy Efficient Alternatives in Urban Transportation–Multi-criteria Approach, Mumbai: Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, WP-2007-012 List of important research papers relevant for teaching 1. Eden C., Ackermann F. and Cropper S. (1992) The Analysis of Cause Maps, Journal of Management Studies, 29(4), pp. 309-324. 2. Jerneck A. and Olsson L. (2008) Adaptation and the Poor: Development, Resilience and Transition, Climate Policy, 8, 170-182. 3. Kovats S. and Akhtar R. (2008) Climate, Climate Change and Human Health in Asian Cities,Environment and Urbanization, 29(1), 165-175, 4, O’Brien, K. (2004) Mapping Vulnerability to Multiple Stressors: Climate Change and Globalization in India,Global Environmental Change, 14, 303–313. 4. Reimann S. (1998) On the Design of Artificial Auto-associative Neural Networks, Neural Networks, 11, pp. 611–621. 5. Revi A. (2008) Climate Change Risk: An Adaptation and Mitigation Agenda for Indian Cities, Environment and Urbanization, 20: 207-229. 6. Schröter D., Polsky C. and Patt A.G. (2005) Assessing Vulnerabilities to the Effects of Global Change: An Eight Step Approach, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 10(4), 573-595. 7. Sivak M. (2009) Potential Energy Demand for Cooling in the 50 Largest Metropolitan Areas of the World: Implications for Developing Countries, Energy Policy, 37(4), 1382-1384. 8. Özesmi U. and Özesmi S.L. (2004) Ecological Models based on People's Knowledge: a Multi-step Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping Approach, Ecological Modelling, 176, 1-2, 43-64. Student responsibilities Attendance, feedback, discipline, guest faculty etc