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CEEweb for Biodiversity Széher út 40, 1021 Budapest, Hungary Phone: +36 1 398 0135 Fax: +36 1 398 0136 [email protected] www.ceeweb.org Analysing national climate strategies in the CEE region Climate change is clearly a top priority issue among environmental matters today. Considering the size of the threat, the capacities devoted to the issue, as well as the interconnectedness of environmental and development issues; what is happening in the field of climate change is largely decisive for the state of environment. Healthy ecosystems and their natural processes are vital elements of the climate system due to their basic role in global cycles of carbon and water, but they are just as important in local and regional adaptation to climate change. Besides, their services are free, and often provide multiple benefits for climate change mitigation and adaptation, biodiversity conservation and sustainable development. Yet there are many attempts nowadays to make climate change a separate sector and favour technological solutions for the mitigation and adaptation challenges, which require large inputs in terms of energy and natural resources. However, as experience shows, such solutions are often very costly and require maintenance. Furthermore, many of them offer end-of-pipe solutions for the challenges of climate change which, since leaving the driving forces untouched, might on the long run even expand the problem and transfer environmental pressure to other fields. There are already signs that climate change actions lead to ecosystem degradation, which in turn further deteriorates also the climate problem. As being parties of the Kyoto protocol, EU Member States are obliged to develop their national programmes on climate change mitigation and adaptation. CEEweb has compiled a questionnaire about these strategies in order to assess CEE governments’ approach to climate change. Our goal with this survey is to draw EU and national decisionmakers’ attention to the critical points and deficiencies in current climate change policies and thus prevent adopting further false “solutions”. Eventually our aim is to work for a sufficient and holistic climate policy both in national and EU level, and to convince EU decision makers to represent a strong position and strengthen the ecosystem approach during the upcoming international negotiations, most importantly UNFCCC COP16 and Rio+20. Questions regarding National Climate Strategies 1. Identifying and targeting the pressures1 behind climate change It is generally agreed that climate change is caused mainly by anthropogenic emissions of CO2 and other greenhouse gases (GHGs). GHGs may well be the most important direct pressures on the climate system, but since the global climate system is very complex determined by many factors, probably there are other important pressures as well, such as large scale degradation of ecosystems and excessive use of natural resources (both leading to disturbed biogeochemical cycles). Does the Strategy identify pressures leading to climate change besides GHGs? If yes, please specify. yes no ..................................................................................................... 1.1. Emissions A good tool for analyzing policy measures is the DPSIR model (Driving Forces-Pressures-State-Impact-Response) developed by European Environmental Agency (EEA). If we apply this holistic approach to the changing climate (being the State) and its adverse effects (being the Impacts), our Responses will be the mitigation and adaptation measures. These Responses can target the Impacts (e.g. building river dams as adaptation to extraordinary floods), the Pressures (e.g. regulating anthropogenic CO2 emissions while keeping the current economic framework) or the Drivers (e.g. decreasing our total demand for energy and space). 1 1 1.1.1. What is the overall CO2 equivalent emission reduction target identified in the Strategy? ..................................................................................................... What sectors are identified as main contributors to the emission reduction? ..................................................................................................... 1.2. Natural resources 1.2.1. Does the Strategy estimate a sum of the use of natural resources? yes 1.2.2. Are natural ecosystems included as ’natural resources’? yes 1.2.3. no no Are there any strategic goals aiming to sustainable use of natural resources? If yes, please specify. yes no ..................................................................................................... 1.3. Land use 1.3.1. Are agriculture and forestry identified as sectors which need to contribute to achieving the emission reduction target? yes 1.3.2. If yes, are synergies between these sectors and biodiversity conservation strengthened? yes 1.3.3. no Does the Strategy count with virtual pressure? (pressure brought on the environment by imported products or natural resources) yes 2. no Beside direct ones, does the Strategy recognize by-pass (indirect) pressures leading to climate change (e.g. excessive use of fertilizers, through the formation of nitrogen oxides)? yes 1.3.4. no no Identifying the drivers2 behind climate change A good tool for analyzing policy measures is the DPSIR model (Driving Forces-Pressures-State-Impact-Response) developed by European Environmental Agency (EEA). If we apply this holistic approach to the changing climate (being the State) and its adverse effects (being the Impacts), our Responses will be the mitigation and adaptation measures. These Responses can target the Impacts (e.g. building river dams as adaptation to extraordinary floods), the Pressures (e.g. regulating anthropogenic CO2 emissions while keeping the current economic framework) or the Driving Forces (e.g. systemic change of current socio-economic framework). 2 2 2.1. Identifying the pressures is very important, yet the real causes for climate change are one step behind: the drivers which have lead to so dramatic increase of these pressures. Does the Strategy identify the drivers of climate change? If yes, please specify. yes no ............................................................................................................... 2.2. Does it identify measures targeting these drivers? If yes, please specify. yes no ............................................................................................................... 3. Does the Strategy aim to satisfy the future needs of energy with increasing share of renewable energy sources? yes no 3.1. Does it prefer sources which are not depletable (solar and wind energy)? yes no 3.2. Does it prefer biomass including biofuels? yes no 3.3. Does it aim to protect forests and other natural or semi-natural ecosystems from the land use change due to the growing need for biomass? yes no 3.4. Does the Strategy determine the possible locations and maximum areas of biomass plantations? yes no 4. Adaptation 4.1.1. Does the Strategy aim to strengthen ecosystem services as adaptation to climate change? yes 4.1.2. Does it propose to stop further degradation of natural ecosystems? yes 4.1.3. no Does it propose floodplain revitalization as a tool for flood protection? yes 4.1.4. no no Which of the following sectoral provisions are included in the Strategy? (please underline) conservation 3 - maintaining heterogenic structure of habitats, with different stages of succession fighting against invasive species establishing green corridors reconsidering and, if needed, enlarging the area of protected land and Natura 2000 in the light of climate change restoring degraded ecosystems increasing ecological coherence at landscape level forestry - increasing the forested area close to nature forest management agriculture - supporting traditional agriculture (meadows, pastures) enhancing heterogeneity of agricultural landscape (small parcel size, balks, hedges, alleys) to increase connectivity of habitats taking steps against expansion of intensive agriculture and large monocultures supporting environment-friendly methods supporting soil- and water-friendly technologies adjusted to the attributes of the site supporting extensive and ecological farming using locally adapted breeds 5. Is the Strategy part of a coherent environmental policy with holistic approach? Does the Strategy propose to integrate the policy of climate change in the following policies? (if yes, please underline) agri-environmental and forest-environmental programmes Water Framework Directive activities rural development regional development plans authority permissions energy policy 5.1. Has a permanent consultation body on climate policy been proposed, for the synthesis of knowledge, development of adaptation strategies, and sectoral integration? yes no 5.2. Does the Strategy aim to support scientific research on the ecological aspects of climate change? yes no 6. Does the strategy propose a monitoring system to detect ecological changes due to climate change? yes no 6.1. Does it aim to integrate this monitoring system into existing national and international monitoring networks? yes no 6.2. What are the indicators? ....................................................................................................................................... 4 7. Does the Strategy aim to raise public awareness about climate change? yes no CEEweb for Biodiversity is a network of non-governmental organizations in the Central and Eastern European region. Our mission is the conservation of biodiversity through the promotion of sustainable development. 5