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NOAA CLIMATE Understanding climate variability and change to enhance society’s ability to plan and respond Climate Working Group Briefing Wednesday 29 March 2006 NOAA Climate Program Office Chet Koblinsky Director, NOAA Climate Program Office 1 1 Outline Overview of Meeting and Agenda Response to March 2005 mtg recommendations NOAA Climate program overview Congressional and EOP update Budget Discussion FY05 Highlights FY06 Enacted FY07 Request FY08 Priorities FY09 Directions NOAA/NASA Research and Operations Transition CCSP Update NOAA Climate in the community Climate Working Group Issues 2006 Meeting schedule Membership 2 2 Meeting purpose and Agenda Purpose: Program review and priorities Agenda - Wednesday 7:30-8:00 8:00-10: 00 10:00-10:30 10:30-10:45 10:45-12:00 Continental Breakfast Executive Session (Closed) Break Welcome and Introductions Overview Mark Abbott, Otis Brown Chet Koblinsky 12:00-1:00 Lunch Carl Burleson, FAA Climate Program Status and Review 1:00-3:00 Observations and Analysis Program Tom Karl, lead 3:00-3:30 Break 3:30-5:30 Observations and Analysis Program (continued) 5:30 Adjourn CWG Dinner with Director 3 3 Meeting Agenda (cont.) Purpose: Program review and priorities Agenda - Thursday 7:30-8:00 8:00- 10:00 10:00-10:30 10:30-11:30 11:30-12:30 Continental Breakfast Climate Forcing Program A.R. Ravishankara, lead Break Climate Forcing Program (continued) Climate Predictions and Projections Ants Leetmaa, lead 12:30-1:30 Lunch 1:30-3:30 3:30-4:00 4:00-5:00 5:00 Climate Predictions and Projections (continued) Break Climate and Ecosystems Kenric Osgood, lead Adjourn 7:00 Reception for retiring NOAA Dep. Admin. James R. Mahoney National Press Club 4 4 Meeting Agenda (cont.) Purpose: Program review and priorities Agenda - Friday 7:30-8:00 8:00-10:00 10:00-10:30 10:30-11:30 Continental Breakfast Regional Decision Support Jim Laver, lead Break Regional Decision Support (continued) Additional Topics and Wrap-up 11:30-12:00 Summary Chet Koblinsky 12:00-2:00 Working Lunch: Executive Session (Closed) 2:00 Adjourn 5 5 Response to March 2005 CWG Recommendations 6 6 Response to Recommendations A relevant question was whether or not there would be changes at OMB in response to changes in Congress? No. Those areas that are still in need of further attention include: • Decision support: water resource and major ecosystem restoration. Not a lot of progress, California RISA activity is still the main link via its CalFed work. Decision support research feedback to guide NOAA R+D decisions. Will be revisited in at Summer Retreat. • Atmospheric composition: Lack of connectivity between this element and modeling strategy across the whole of the program. Still remains an area of concern. Need to evaluate this Session NACP: Lack of integration in the observing and analysis plans remains a concern. Need to evaluate this Session 7 7 Response to Recommendations The discussion that followed Koblinsky’s presentation focused on the overall strategy for the climate program office in the context of the overall vision vis a vis implementation. The overall strategy for promoting new priorities at the expense of established successful programs was questioned. Is the present approach undermining the base? This all depends on whether or not the future requested increases are actually realized. Recent history and the present Federal deficit would suggest that the requested increases will be hard to come by and that more offsets may be anticipated. If this comes to pass, the strategy for new initiatives needs much more careful attention. Otherwise, the implications of this would be that growth in decision support would come from predictions and projections. This led to a discussion as to whether or not the way to increase the budget is via better links to decision support and better links to constituents. 8 8 Climate Program Overview 9 9 NOAA Goals • Protect, restore, and manage the use of coastal and ocean resources through an ecosystem approach to management • Understand climate variability and change to enhance society’s ability to plan and respond • Serve society’s needs for weather and water information • Support the nation’s commerce with information for safe, efficient, and environmentally sound transportation • Provide critical support for NOAA’s mission 10 10 NOAA Climate Goal Understand Climate Variability and Change to Enhance Society’s Ability to Plan and Respond PROGRAMS OUTCOMES • A predictive understanding of the global climate system on time scales of weeks to decades with quantified uncertainties sufficient for making informed and reasoned decisions • Climate-sensitive sectors and the climate-literate public effectively incorporating NOAA’s climate products into their plans and decisions Observations & Analysis Climate Forcing Predictions & Projections Climate & Ecosystems Regional Decision Support 11 11 Program Structure Program Charter Executive Summary Program Requirements Requirement Drivers Legislation Executive/NOAA Directives International agreements) Mission Requirements Links to NOAA Strategic Plan Goal outcomes Goal performance objectives Goal strategies Program Outcomes Program Roles and Responsibilities Participating Line Office, staff office and council responsibilities External Agency/Organization Responsibilities (International Partners) End User or Beneficiaries of the Program 12 12 Climate Goal Directives driving the course and priorities of the NOAA Climate Goal INTERNATIONAL AGREEMENTS US EXECUTIVE BRANCH US LEGISLATION INTERAGENCY AGREEMENTS Bi-lateral agreements Climate Change Science Program Strategic Plan (CCSP) 2003 US Global Change Research Act National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS) Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) Global Earth Observation System of Systems (GEOSS) Global Ocean Observing System (GOOS) Montreal Protocol WMO Global Atmospheric Watch UN Framework Convention for Climate Change (UNFCCC) Magnuson-Stevens Fisheries Act Strategic Plan for the US Integrated Earth Observing System Weather Service Organic Act US Ocean Action Plan Coastal Zone Management Act National Climate Program Act of 1978 North American Carbon Plan (NACP) Integrated Ocean Observing System (IOOS) Integrated Earth Observation System (IEOS) Clean Air Act of 1990 Global Climate Protection Act Oceans Act 2000 PL (106256) 13 13 NOAA Climate Programs vs. NOAA Line Offices OAR NESDIS Observations and Analysis Ocean observations, reanalysis, dataset improvements Climate Reference Network, Data Management, GCOS Climate Forcing Greenhouse gas observing system, extramural carbon cycle research, aerosol and ozone process research Climate Predictions and Projections Intraseasonal forecasting skill, decadal and long-term projections, extramural research on climate variability NWS Seasonal climate outlooks North Pacific Climate and Ecosystems Climate and Ecosystems Regional Decision Support NMFS Decision Support Research, Transition to Applications Regional Climate Centers Operational Climate Services 14 14 OMB PART NOAA’s score: Moderately effective Major findings: The Program is relatively strong and has undertaken steps to improve program management and focus on results. NOAA Climate coordinates with other federal agencies through the Climate Change Science Program Deficiencies in the mgmt of NOAA labs activities as identified by the NOAA Research Review Team Need to better integrate performance into budget decisions Program has appropriate long-term goals and annual measures which demonstrate progress 15 15 Congressional And EOP Update 16 16 Commerce • • • • • • • • • • • Secretary – Carlos M. Guitierrez Deputy Secretary – David A. Sampson UnderSecretary for Atmospheres and Oceans – Conrad Lautenbacher Assistant Secretary for Atmospheres and Oceans – James R. Mahoney (Ret. 3/31/06) Deputy UnderSecretary for Atmospheres and Oceans – Jack Kelly AA for Research – Richard Spinrad AA for Weather Service – D.L. Johnson AA for Satellite and Data Information Service – Greg Withee AA for Ocean Service – Jack Dunnigan AA for Fisheries – Bill Hogarth AA for Planning, Programming and Integration – Mary Glackin 17 17 OSTP 18 18 OSTP • DIRECTOR'S OFFICE – John H. Marburger III, Director OSTP, Science Adviser to the President – Sharon Hays, Chief of Staff – Joan Rolf, Assistant to Director for International Affairs • TECHNOLOGY DIVISION – Richard Russell, Associate Director for Technology – Stanley Sokul, Deputy Associate Director for Technology – Kevin Hurst, Senior Policy Analyst (covers climate change technology) • SCIENCE DIVISION – Associate Director for Science - VACANT – Diane Jones (primary Point of Contact for Science) - Deputy Associate Director for Science – Teresa Fryberger (primary Point of Contact on climate) - Assistant Director, Environment – Rob Dimeo - Assistant Director, Physical Sciences – Mark Weiss - Assistant Director, Social and Behavioral Sciences – Jon Morse - Senior Policy Analyst – Kevin Geiss - Senior Policy Analyst – (OSTP anticipates finding replacement in the next few months for David Halpern who covered climate and oceans, including GEOSS, for OSTP) 19 19 OMB Commerce Branch Head – Randy Lyons; NOAA Climate and CCSP Analyst – Andrea Petro 20 20 HR Science Sen. Rep. Name; State; (Party – District) 16 Jo Bonner, Alabama (R-1) 5 Dana Rohrabacher, California (R-46) 6 Ken Calvert, California (R-44) 4 Lynn C. Woolsey, California (D-6) 8 Michael M. Honda, California (D-15) 13 Brad Sherman, California (D-27) Sen. Rep. Name; State; (Party – District) 7 Roscoe G. Bartlett, Maryland (R-6) 12 Wayne Gilchrest, Maryland (R-1) 8 Vernon J. Ehlers, Michigan (R-3 21 Joe Schwarz, Michigan (R-7) 9 Gil Gutknecht, Minnesota (R-1) 13 W. Todd Akin, Missouri (R-2) Sen. Rep. Name; State; (Party – District) 3 Lamar S. Smith, Texas (R-21) 22 Michael T. McCaul, Texas (R-10) 3 Eddie Bernice Johnson, Texas (D-30) 12 Sheila Jackson Lee, Texas (D-18) 17 Al Green, Texas (D-9) 15 Jim Matheson, Utah (D-2) 16 Jim Costa, California (D-20) 9 Brad Miller, North Carolina (D-13 1 Sherwood L. Boehlert, New York, Chairman (R-24) 19 Dave G. Reichert, Washington (R-8) 6 Mark Udall, Colorado (D-2) 10 Frank D. Lucas, Oklahoma (R-3) 14 Brian Baird, Washington (D-3) 17 Tom Feeney, Florida (R-24) 11 Judy Biggert, Illinois (R-13 5 Darlene Hooley, Oregon (D-5) 14 Timothy V. Johnson, Illinois (R-15) 7 David Wu, Oregon (D-1) 2 Jerry F. Costello, Illinois (D-12) 11 Daniel Lipinski, Illinois (D-3) 20 Michael E. Sodrel, Indiana (R-9) 19 Dennis Moore, Kansas (D-3) 18 Charlie Melancon, Louisiana (D-3) 15 J. Randy Forbes, Virginia (R-4) 4 Curt Weldon, Pennsylvania (R-7) 18 Bob Inglis, South Carolina (R-4) 1 Bart Gordon, Tennessee (D-6) 10 Lincoln Davis, Tennessee (D-4) 2 Ralph M. Hall, Texas (R-4) 21 21 HR Appropriations Committee Jerry Lewis, CA-41 (R - Chairman) Anne Northup, KY-3 (R) David R. Obey, WI-7 (D - Ranking Democratic Member) Patrick J. Kennedy, RI-1 (D) Ralph Regula, OH-16 (R) Robert Aderholt, AL-4 (R) John P. Murtha, PA-12 (D) James E. Clyburn, SC-6 (D) Harold Rogers, KY-5 (R) Jo Ann Emerson, MO-8 (R) Norman D. Dicks, WA-6 (D) Maurice D. Hinchey, NY-22 (D) Frank R. Wolf, VA-10 (R) Kay Granger, TX-12 (R) Martin Olav Sabo, MN-5 (D) Lucille Roybal-Allard, CA-34 (D) Tom DeLay, TX-22 (R) John E. Peterson, PA-5 (R) Steny H. Hoyer, MD-5 (D) Sam Farr, CA-17 (D) Jim Kolbe, AZ-8 (R) Virgil Goode, VA-5 (R) Alan B. Mollohan, WV-1 (D) Jesse L. Jackson, Jr., IL-2 (D) James Walsh, NY-25 (R) John Doolittle, CA-4 (R) Marcy Kaptur, OH-9 (D) Carolyn C. Kilpatrick, MI-13 (D) Charles H. Taylor, NC-11 (R) Ray LaHood, IL-18 (R) Peter J. Visclosky, IN-1 (D) Allen Boyd, FL-2 (D) David L. Hobson, OH-7 (R) John Sweeney, NY-20 (R) Nita M. Lowey, NY-18 (D) Chaka Fattah, PA-2 (D) Ernest J. Istook, Jr., OK-5 (R) Don Sherwood, PA-24 (R) Jose E. Serrano, NY-16 (D) Steven R. Rothman, NJ-9 (D) Henry Bonilla, TX-23 (R) Dave Weldon, FL-15 (R) Rosa L. DeLauro, CT-3 (D) Sanford D. Bishop, Jr., GA-2 (D) Joe Knollenberg, MI-9 (R) Michael K. Simpson, ID-2 (R) James P. Moran, VA-8 (D) Marion Berry, AR-1 (D) Jack Kingston, GA-1 (R) John Abney Culberson, TX-7 (R) John W. Olver, MA-1 (D) Rodney P. Frelinghuysen, NJ-11 (R) Mark Steven Kirk, IL-10 (R) Ed Pastor, AZ-4 (D) Roger F. Wicker, MS-1 (R) Ander Crenshaw, FL-4 (R) David E. Price, NC-4 (D) Todd Tiahrt, KS-4 (R) Dennis R. Rehberg, MT-At Large (R) Chet Edwards, TX-17 (D) Zach Wamp, TN-3 (R) John Carter, TX-31 (R) Robert E. Cramer, Jr., AL-5 (D) Tom Latham, IA-4 (R) Rodney Alexander, LA-5 (R) 22 22 Senate Commerce Seniority, Name; State; Party Seniority, Name; State; Party 1 Ted Stevens - Alaska, Chairman R 9 E. Benjamin Nelson - Nebraska D 10 Mark Pryor - Arkansas D 4 Byron L. Dorgan - North Dakota D 2 John McCain - Arizona R 10 John Sununu - New Hampshire R 5 Barbara Boxer - California D 8 Frank Lautenberg - New Jersey D 6 Bill Nelson - Florida D 8 John Ensign - Nevada R 1 Daniel K. Inouye - Hawaii, Ranking D 7 Gordon Smith - Oregon R 12 David Vitter - Louisiana R 11 Jim DeMint - South Carolina R 3 John F. Kerry - Massachussetts D 5 Kay Bailey Hutchison - Texas R 6 Olympia Snowe - Maine R 9 George Allen - Virginia R 4 Trent Lott - Mississippi R 7 Maria Cantwell - Washington D 3 Conrad Burns - Montana R 2 John D. Rockefeller IV - West Virginia D 23 23 Senate Appropriations Seniority, Name; (Party - State) Seniority, Name; (Party - State) 2 Ted STEVENS (R-Alaska) 7 Conrad BURNS (R-Montana) 8 Richard SHELBY (R-Alabama) 9 Byron DORGAN (D-North Dakota) 10 Dianne FEINSTEIN (D-California) 9 Judd GREGG (R-New Hampshire) 15 Wayne ALLARD (R-Colorado) 4 Pete DOMENICI (R-New Mexico) 2 Daniel INOUYE (D-Hawaii) 4 Tom HARKIN (D-Iowa) 11 Larry CRAIG (R-Idaho) 6 Harry REID (D-Nevada) 13 Mike DeWINE (R-Ohio) 3 Arlen SPECTER (R-Pennsylvania) 11 Richard DURBIN (D-Illinois) 12 Tim JOHNSON (D-South Dakota) 14 Sam BROWNBACK (R-Kansas) 12 Kay Bailey HUTCHISON (R-Texas) 6 Mitch McCONNELL (R-Kentucky) 13 Mary LANDRIEU (D-Louisiana) 10 Robert BENNETT (R-Utah) 3 Patrick LEAHY (D-Vermont) 5 Barbara MIKULSKI (D-Maryland) 8 Patty MURRAY (D-Washington) 5 Christopher BOND (R-Missouri) 7 Herb KOHL (D-Wisconsin) 1 Thad COCHRAN (R-Mississippi, Chairman) 1 Robert BYRD (D-West Virginia, Ranking) 24 24 Active Legislation NOAA & CLIMATE RELATED LEGISLATION UNDER CONSIDERATION OR PASSED (February 2006) (bill reference/title/sponsor/date of last action) • • • • • • • • • • • *HR 50 NOAA Organic Act (Ehlers), May 2005 *HR 1386 National Drought Preparedness Act of 2005 (Hastings), March 2005: Establishes the National Drought Council to develop an action plan *HR 1489 Coastal Ocean Observation System Integration Implementation Act (Gilchrest), May 2005: establish a coastal ocean observation system *HR 1584/S 361 Ocean and Coastal Observation Act (Weldon, Allen, Snowe), July 2005: The Committee on Ocean Policy shall establish and maintain an integrated coastal and ocean observing system. NOAA shall be the lead federal agency in maintaining and operating the system *HR 2995/S 517 Weather Modification Research and Technology Transfer Authorization Act (M. Udall, Hutchinson), June 2005: Establishes in Commerce the Weather Modification Advisory and Research Board including representatives from the American Meteorological Society and American Society of Civil Engineers *S 245 Abrupt Climate Change Research Act of 2005 (Collins), February 2005: NOAA ordered to set up an abrupt climate change research program within OAR *S 342 Climate Stewardship Act of 2005 (McCain), February 2005 *S 786 National Weather Services Duties Act (Santorum), November 2005: Prohibits the National Weather Service from providing a product or service (except for severe weather forecasts and warnings) that is or could be provided by the private sector *S 1281 NASA Authorization Act of 2005 (Hutchinson), SIGNED INTO LAW: Section 306 of S 1281 limits the NASA Administrator’s flexibility to transfer “any NASA earth science mission or Earth observing system to NOAA” until funds to support such a transfer are in the President’s budget request for NOAA. It also specifies that Administrators of both agencies must approve such a transfer. *S 1932 Work, Marriage, and Family Promotion Reconciliation Act of 2005 (Gregg), SIGNED INTO LAW: The Report provides $156 million to “provide for a modern all hazards alert and warning program to provide alerts in response to natural disasters, man-made accidents, and terrorist incidents.” The Republican Policy Committee summary of the Conference Report said that the Commerce Department would administer the program. *National Integrated Drought Information system (NIDIS) Authorization Act, not yet introduced 25 25 Budget 26 26 Where we are Now Planning Programming Execution Congress FY 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 Annual Operating Plan NOAA FY08 Budget Development 27 27 FY05 Highlights Congress maintained a steady budget level for Climate and Global Change research Congress increased the Climate Observations & Services budget by a net $5.4M over FY 2004 Congress increased the CCRI Budget by $17.1M for ocean observations, carbon cycle, aerosols, and climate modeling efforts However, Congress decreased all other activities by $11.7M for NOAA’s Climate Reference Network Network, Baseline Observations, and other climate research such as NWS climate services, RISA, & Weather/Climate Research Climate Program redirected CCRI funding to maintain critical long-term monitoring capabilities. 28 28 FY06 Enacted Congress maintained a steady budget level for Climate and Global Change research and a small increase for ARGO This core capability allows for the infusion of cutting edge climate and global change research from academic and other renowned scientific institutions into NOAA. After setting aside funding for Climate and Global Change research and ARGO, the remaining funds are $14.0M below the FY 2005 appropriation. This reduction deeply undercuts the gains made from the Climate Change Research Initiative (CCRI) started in FY 2003. Congress consolidated budget lines, allowing for more flexibility in determining funding allocations for priority areas. 29 29 SUMMARY FY 2004 - FY 2006 ENACTED CLIMATE BUDGET BUDGET CATEGORY Enacted Budget Difference FY 2004 FY 2005 FY 2006 2006-2004 1,433 1,478 1,478 45 NOAA Research 171,210 173,828 166,098 -5,112 Climate and Global Change 69,659 67,517 67,490 -2,169 Climate Observations and Services 25,393 13,707 12,419 -12,974 Climate Change Research Initiative 22,356 39,427 27,524 5,168 Laboratories and Joint Institutes 47,246 42,860 42,842 -4,404 Arctic Research (less earmarks) 3,637 2,933 2,987 -650 Earmarks (OAR) 2,953 7,384 12,836 9,883 NESDIS 51,651 60,512 59,882 8,231 NESDIS Data Center’s & Info. Mgt. 29,897 35,908 31,781 1,884 Earmarks 21,754 24,604 28,101 6,347 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 17,258 17,634 19,699 2,441 3,464 3,465 3,479 256,669 234,908 30 -11,624 NATIONAL MARINE FISHERIES SERVICE Program Support - Facilities TOTAL CLIMATE 241,552 30 FY06 Earmarks NOAA Climate Program ($ in 000's) FY 2004 Earmarks OAR Climate Research NOAA Joint Institute CA Ozone Climate System Research Center Univ of AL Huntsville Climate Research Intl Council for local environmental initiatives Abrupt Climate Change Research Drought Research Study Coastal Vulnerability to Climate Change Abrupt Climate Change Research (U of ME) Climate & Environmental Change Center for Urban Environmental Research Advanced Study Institute for Environmental Prediction Arctic Research Barrow Arctic Research Center Subtotal, OAR Earmarks FY 2005 Earmarks FY 2006 Earmarks 3,001 247 739 986 492 740 986 247 986 1,480 495 2,458 487 2,438 1,995 986 1,479 2,931 2,953 7,384 12,836 6,051 3,930 5,941 2,073 989 5,766 3,925 5,656 2,464 1,971 5,647 3,930 5,537 2,959 1,972 2,959 2,473 986 2,437 NESDIS Climate Research Archive, Access, & Assessment - KY Archive, Access, & Assessment - MD Archive, Access, & Assessment - WV Regional Climate Centers International Pacific Research Ctr (U of H) Integrated Environmeantal Applications & Information Center Pacific Ocean & Environment Information Center National Climatic Data Center - GOES Date Archive Project National Climatic Data Center - Prototyping Data Grids Quality Assurance / Quality Control Payment to NMAO Comprehensive Large Array Data Stewardship Sys (CLASS) Subtotal, NESDIS Earmarks 297 1,071 328 21,754 24,604 2,335 28,101 Total Climate Earmarks 24,707 31,988 40,937 2,466 296 31 31 Grants Distribution NOAA has maintained a steady proportion of our appropriation for the external community through the Climate Program Office (formerly Office of Global Programs) NOAA has kept its promise to put more money into the external community through the Climate Observations & Services Program (COSP) as a result of the CCRI initiative since FY 2003. However, because the appropriation for CCRI and COSP has been significantly decreased, we expect this portion to go down in COSP FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 (estimate) Climate & Global Change COSP 71 % 48 % 70 % 71 % 56 % 55 % 71 % 48 % 32 32 FY07 Expanding Priorities OSTP Environment Research Initiatives Global Earth Observations “Pilot integrated observing systems, such as those that contribute to natural hazard assessment and disaster warnings.” “Ensure continued coordination and implementation of the US Strategic Plan (for IEOS) and continued strong US leadership in the international community.” Global Climate Change “Implement the 2003 ‘Strategic Plan for the US Climate Change Science Program’ and focus on the topics described in the 2003 ‘US Climate Change technology Program: Research and Current Activities.’” Ocean Observations and Research “Implement activities outlined in the Administration's 2004 US Ocean Action Plan.” Fresh Water Supplies, US and Global “Improve research to understand the processes that control water availability and quality… collect and make available the data needed to ensure an adequate water supply for the future.” FY2007 Administration Research and Development Budget Priorities Release; 8 th July 2005 33 33 FY07 Request National Integrated Drought Information System +$4M Coping with Drought: Impacts Research Improved Climate Predictions +$2M Explain Climate Conditions to Improve Predictions (Reanalysis) Integrated Ocean Observation System +$6.1M Climate Reference Network (CRN) +$1.2M (restores to FY04 level) Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) +$2.7M (restores to FY04 level) 34 34 Comparison of NOAA Climate Budget Structure New Structure Old Structure NOAA RESEARCH – CLIMATE RESEARCH Labs & Joint Institutes Climate Competitive Research Program Labs & Joint Institutes Climate & Global Change Climate Observations & Services Climate Change Research Initiative Arctic Research (from OC&GL) Climate Operations Climate Observations & Services Climate Data & Information Climate Change Research Initiative Other Partnerships Other Partnerships NATIONAL MARINE FISHERIES SERVICE Climate Regimes & Ecosystem Productivity Climate Regimes & Ecosystem Productivity NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Operations and Research Operations and Research NESDIS Archive, Access & Assessment Archive, Access & Assessment NOAA has been working with OMB and Congressional staff to improve its budget 35 structure and enable NOAA to have more flexibility when executing its budget 35 NOAA CLIMATE PROGRAM Operations, Research and Facilities & FY 2004 FY2005 FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2006 FY 2007 Procurement, Acquisition, & Construction Enacted President Enacted President's Enacted President's NATIONAL MARINE FISHERIES SERVICE 1,433 2,000 1,478 2,000 1,478 1,984 Climate Regimes & Ecosystem Productivity 1,433 2,000 1,478 2,000 1,478 1,984 NOAA RESEARCH 171,210 181,204 173,828 174,276 166,098 177,832 Laboratories & Cooperative Institutions 44,163 46,005 42,860 44,627 45,843 44,968 Climate Data & Information 3,049 0 0 0 2,401 6,266 Competitive Research Program 0 0 0 0 110,587 125,712 Climate Operations 0 0 0 0 363 886 Climate & Global Change Program 69,659 59,325 67,517 57,405 0 0 Climate Observations & Services 47,749 72,820 53,134 69,227 0 0 Arctic Research Program 3,637 3,054 4,928 3,017 0 0 Other Partnership Programs 2,953 0 5,389 0 6,904 0 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 17,258 18,060 17,634 21,635 19,699 9,612 NESDIS 51,651 38,192 60,512 38,511 59,882 37,157 3,514 3,464 3,514 3,465 3,479 3,514 3,464 3,514 3,465 3,479 242,970 256,916 239,936 250,622 230,064 PROGRAM SUPPORT Facilities TOTAL NOAA CLIMATE PROGRAM 0 241,552 36 36 Climate Goal Budget By Climate Program Climate Programs FY 2004 Enacted FY 2005 Enacted FY 2006 Enacted Difference 2006-2004 FY 2007 Pres.Bud. COA 127,685 138,446 133,969 6,284 114,300 CF 33,712 42,887 37,748 4,036 39,200 CPP 61,785 59,358 59,576 -2,209 57,400 CE 1,433 1,478 4,437 3,004 1,764 RDS 16,937 14,747 14,892 -2,045 17,400 Total 241,552 256,916 250,622 9,070 230,064 37 37 Proposed FY08 Priorities National Integrated Drought Information System Drought Internet Portal Improved Observations System monitoring Improved Climate Predictions Climate Test Bed Weather Climate Connection Integrated Ocean Observation System Climate Forcing Aerosol Forcing Carbon Monitoring Water Vapor Processes 38 38 Proposed FY09 Themes Core Function Observati on and data management system and models PRIORITY AREAS FY09-FY13 Integrated approach to environmental information management and modeling Focus for FY09 on integrated earth observation and information management system for space and non-space based observing systems. EXTERN AL DEMANDS U.S. Integrated Earth Observati on System (IEOS) 1. Linkages between Climate forcin g, Air Quality, and Regional Climate Changes 2. CTB projects that influenc e regions Global Earth Observin g System of Systems (GEOSS) 3. Forecas ting decadal signals Š link to ecosystems and extreme events, e.g., drought Climate Change Science Program (CCSP) 4. Integrated Observation System (IOS) to include IOOS, ISOS, IUOS, Baseline Observa tories, Arctic Ocean Observin g System, and Referenc e Networks (CRN, AK CRN, SEBN, Refer ence Radiosonde) Arctic Climate Impact Assessment (ACIA)) Info rmation services, forecast s and predictions PRIORITY ACTIVITIES FY09-FY13 Leadership of science-based climate information services National Integrated Droug ht Info rmation System (NIDIS) Focus for FY09 on Attribution and Understan ding of the link s between climate and extreme events such as drough t, hurricane s, fires, floods, and weathe r extremes. CCSP/CCTP links Americas Partnership Program (APP) Stakeholde r workshops in FY05 5. Scientific Data Stewardshi p/CLASS 6. Satellite (NOAA-NIST) Cal/Val to include use of referenc e stations measurements 1. Implement NIDIS 2 Enabling hazard resilient communities via develo pment of the variou s coastal information such as coastal climatologies, coastal inundation and erosion , sea leve l rise, sea ice, and wind/extratropical storms. Use hindcast and reanalysis and understand the requirements and use of climate information. 3. Consequ ences of sectoral changes (i.e. energy usage) Š understanding and strategies for mitigation and adaptation th World Climate Confer ence 3 Ocean and coastal ecosystem management Breakthroug h organiza tional perfo rmance Understanding of climate impacts on marine ecosyst ems to improve ecosyst em forecasting and management Focus for FY09 is identification of operat ional needs from research satellites and new operational capabilities needed by NOAA (i.e. 4. Climate of the 20 century and past 1,000 years 5. Strengthened provis ion of climate service s nationally, regionally, and internationally - U.S. Commission on Ocean Policy (USCOP) Report 1. Climate-Ecosystem Competitive Progr am - U.S. Ocean Policy Plan 3. Significant change in sea ice extent and duration - Stakeholder workshops in FY05 4. Vulnerab ility of fisherie s to regime changes NASA Authorization Act of 2005 NASA-NO AA Transition and satellites such as altimeter (To be discussed with Satellites sub-goal and Admiral) 39 2. Climate-Ecosystem Indices 39 Trends Bleak Fiscal Climate Growing Commitments Increasing External Demands Expanding Priorities The Risks of Drift 40 40 NOAA/NASA Research and Operations Transitions 41 41 Background • A Joint Working Group was (JWG) established December 2005 by Interagency Agreement on Terms of Reference (ToR) • ToR states that JWG will report on progress of the following activities by January 31, 2006: – Organizational and performance framework for R&O activity – Process for transitioning the use of NASA research capabilities to NOAA and to facilitate use of NOAA operational capabilities in support of NASA – Near-term opportunities for transitioning capabilities • NASA FY2005 Authorization Act directs the establishment of JWG, with status report to Congress by February 15, 2007 42 42 Approach to Process • Approach to Process – Identify Opportunities – Form Transition Teams to: • • • • • Evaluate the ability to achieve the transition; Assess what would be required to effect a successful transition; Connect with NOAA and/or NASA budget planning; Report to JWG Opportunity Categories – Observing Capability Transition (implementing operational satellite observations to continue measurement streams begun in research programs) – Mission Extension: (extending research missions beyond their prime missions when those missions have both research and operational uses) – Data Record Development and Stewardship (creation of long-term data records that extend the research data records) – Data utilization (acceleration of the operational use of data from research programs) – Tools and Standards Transition (development of tools and standards that can be used for both research and operations) 43 43 Opportunity Categories Near Term NASA funded and deployed effort, demonstrated operational benefits, NOAA currently expending funds to support transition Mid Term Under development and/or deployed by NASA, NOAA evaluating potential operational benefit Long Term Under study or concept development by NASA, NOAA anticipates potential future operational benefit 44 44 Links to Ongoing NOAA Budget Execution • FY2006 Execution – Sea Surface Height, Surface Vector Winds, Ocean Color • Develop and execute plan for $4M earmark – NOAA team’s for each effort are in place, NASA has been encouraged to participate • FY2007 Budgeting – Ocean Surface Topography Mission • Program funds for ground station development and pre-launch calibration/validation work are in place 45 45 Links to NOAA Process • FY2008 Budgeting – Respond to FY2008 Program Decision Memorandum • Weather and Water Goal to assess feasibility of Solar Wind BAA proposals • NOAA Observing System Council to analyze impact of loss of NASA research capabilities on NOAA operational products and services – recommend research capabilities that require transition to operations • Satellite sub-goal to consider additional inter-satellite calibration of instruments and development of improved product suites. Develop recommendation for inclusion in FY08 budget formulation (e.g., NOAA/NIST Initiative) • JWG provide input to NOAA Transition Board on JWG-identified transitions 46 46 Links to NOAA Process • FY2009 Planning – Identify transition opportunities in April Workshop – Provide input to Mission Goals by June 1 for preparation of POPs – Provide Transition Plans to Goals by August 31, for preparation of Program Plans 47 47 Working Schedule 1/06 NASA & NOAA JWG Formed Cross-NOAA Team Reconstituted (for $4M) JWG First Report 4/06 FY-09 Opportunities Selected 5/06 Transition Teams Formed 7/06 Transition Teams Develop Plans NOAA FY09 POP Input Submitted 9/06 Transition Plans Completed (Defining steps necessary for successful transitions) 11/06 2/07 Draft Final Report to Report to Congress Congress (about FY08 opportunities) JWG Second Report 48 48 NOAA Climate Program And the US Climate Change Science Program Update 49 49 CCSP Retreat • • • • • Interagency Working Groups Decision Support Program Integration Metrics Leadership 50 50 NOAA Climate Activities FY06 Enacted Budget Program Support 1% Other Partnerships 3% Operations 32% (Boulder Facilities) CCSP 63% Data Centers, Predictions, Delivery Directly Related 1% Arctic, Fisheries 51 51 NOAA Climate Program alignment with CCSP Goals 80.0 70.0 60.0 50.0 FY04 Actual $116.4M FY05 Actual $119.9M 40.0 30.0 20.0 FY06 Enacted $150.5M 10.0 0.0 Goal 1 Goal 2 Goal 3 Goal 4 Goal 5 FY04 43.2 26.0 36.5 0.0 9.4 FY05 50.6 29.1 34.8 0.0 8.0 FY06 72.3 48.1 55.9 0.0 8.5 FY06 Our Changing Planet 52 52 Selected CCSP Agencies (from “Our Changing Planet FY06) AGENCY FY 05 Estimate ($ M) FY 06 Pres.Bud. ($ M) FOCUS NOAA/1 $123.7 $180.9 Sustained observations and extended climate records, applied research, projections and decision support NSF $198.0 $197.0 Basic research NASA (research) $292.1 $280.9 Remote sensing DOE $128.6 $132.1 Climate modeling/scenarios USDA $72.7 $88.5 Land-use, terrestrial ecosystems EPA $20.0 $20.5 Risk Assessments /1 Starting in FY06, funding to NOAA’s Laboratories is included as part of the NOAA’s activities. This is a result of the evolution of NOAA’s role in CCSP. 53 53 CCSP Near-Term Deliverables • To comply with the terms of Section 106 of GCR Act, the CCSP will produce assessments that focus on a variety of science and policy issues important for public discussion and decision-making. • The assessments will be composed of syntheses, reports, and integrated analyses that the CCSP will complete over the next 4 years. • This approach takes account of the need for assessments on the full range of issues spanning all CCSP objectives and will provide a "snapshot" of knowledge of the environmental and socioeconomic aspects of climate variability and change. 54 54 CCSP Synthesis and Assessment Products (S&A) Status of NOAA IQA-Led CCSP S&A Products CCSP S&AP Federal Advisory Committee Prospectus Status established Complete planned Under Review Carbon (2.2) N/A Complete Ozone (2.4) N/A Temp trends (1.1) Reanalysis (1.3) Projections (3.2) Extremes (3.3) Decision support (5.3) N/A planned Planned/ approval underway Under development Under development Under Review Under Review Authorship Review Approach Web publication date (CY) NRC (complete) Q2 2006 NOAA-led Q2 2008 NOAA-led Q1 2007 Feds NOAA-led Q2 2008 Feds NRC (tentative) Q3 2007 Feds, non-feds NRC (tentative) Q2 2008 14 Feds, 18 non-fed NRC Q4 2007 11 Feds, 14 non-fed 6 Feds, 7 university 10 Feds, 11 non-fed (funded via contract) 55 55 Climate Working Group 56 56 Next Meetings July 31 - Aug 3: Summer Retreat Topic: NOAA and the Drought Challenge Place: Lodge at Santa Fe, New Mexico See Handout for Proposal Need to Approve by March 31. October 10 -11: Priorities Topic: Review of NOAA FY09-13 Priorities Place: TBD 57 57 CWG Membership Get updated nominee list and needs 58 58 CWG Membership Rotation 2006 Abbott 2007 Curry 2008 Wood Brown Prather Weller Busalacchi Broad Shea Penner Overpeck Pietrafesa Trenberth Stephens Carbone TBD TBD TBD 59 59 BACKUP 60 Potential CWG Member Nominees •1. Regional Services •Kelly Redmond (Western RCC, DRC) •D. Robinson (Rutgers, State Cli.) •Ken Kunkel (Ill. State Water Survey) •2. Operations •Tony Hollingsworth (ECMWF) •Alan Betts (ECMWF) •Vanessa L. Griffin (NASA Goddard Space Flight Center) •3. Industry •Heidi Cullen (The Weather Channel) •Raymond J. Ban (The Weather Channel) •Bob Ryan (WRC-4) •Kristie L. Ebi (Electric Power Research Institute) •Frank Nutter (ReInsurance Assoc) •George Frederick (Vaisala) •Mack McFarland (DuPont) – (Emissions and Atm. Comp.) •Ken Haas (Ford Motor) •Brian P. Flannery (Exxon Mobil Corporation) –(Emissions, tech) •T. Stephen Wittrig (BP) – (Emissions, Tech.) 61 61 Potential CWG Member Nominees •4. Carbon •Mike Bender (Princeton) •Steve Pacala (Princeton) •Steven C. Wofsy (Harvard University) •Cindy Lee (SUNY-Stonybrook) •Bob Anderson (LDEO/Columbia) •Dave Karl (Univ. of Hawaii) •A. Scott Denning (Colorado State University) •Chris Field (Carnegie/Stanford) •Alan Lucier (National Council for Air and Stream Improvement) •5. Decision Support •Roger Pulwarty (Univ. of Colorado/CIRES) •Katharine L. Jacobs (Arizona State Department of Water Resources) •William Pizer or Molly Macauley (RFF) •David Cash (Mass State Env. Affairs) – Air Policy (former Harvard U – Clark group, evaluated dec. supp. activities) 62 62 Potential CWG Member Nominees •6. Socio-Economic Impacts •Diana M. Liverman (Oxford) •Bill Easterling (Pennsylvania State University) •Diane McKnight (Ucolorado) •Cynthia Rosenzweig (NASA GISS) •7. Water Resources/Land Processes •Jim Shuttleworth (Univ. of Arizona) •Dennis Lettenmaier (Univ. of Washington) •John R. Townshend (University of Maryland) •Douglas McChesney (Washington State Department of Ecology) or somebody from a State Water Resources Board •Peter Gleick (Pacific Institute) •David Matthews (Bureau of Reclamation) •Daniel Lashof (Natural Resources Defense Council) •Roni Avissar (Duke University) •Jayant Sathaye (Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory) •Anthony C. Janetos (H. John Heinz, III Center) •Steven W. Running (University of Montana) •David Skole (Michigan State University) 63 63 Potential CWG Member Nominees •8. Oceans •Paul Bissett (Florida Env. Res. Inst.) •Rita Colwell (Univ. of Maryland, Canon) •9. Atmospheric Dynamics, Chemistry/Composition •James Anderson (Harvard University) •Daniel J. Jacob (Harvard University) •William H. Brune (Pennsylvania State University) •James Hurrell (NCAR) •10. Ecosystem •Richard A. Houghton (Woods Hole Research Center) •11. Polar •John Walsh (Univ. of Alaska) •Lawson W. Brigham (U.S. Arctic Research Commission) •12. Socio-Economic •James A. Edmonds (PNNL) •Andrew Solow (Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution) 64 64 Potential CWG Member Nominees • • • • • • • • • 13. Climate Change and Modeling Max J. Suarez (NASA) Philip B. Duffy (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory) 14. Observations and Data Systems Thomas A. Boden (Oak Ridge National Laboratory) Bruce Wielicki (NASA Langley) Roberta Balstad Miller (Columbia University)(Social Sciences and data issues, not services) 15. Integrated Assessments Gerald M. Stokes (Joint Global Change Research Institute) 65 65 NOAA Climate Program In the Community 66 66 NRC Studies NRC Committee on Archiving and Accessing Environmental and Geospatial Data at NOAA (DOC directed) Workshops 2006 Climate Impacts on California Current Ecosystems, May 16-18, 2006, La Jolla, CA GCOS Upper Air Workshop Series, Seattle; May 22-24, 2006. 2nd Climate Data Homogeneity Workshop, NCDC, March 27 2006 North America Drought Workshop for October in Mexico City. Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop Workshops 2005 GCOS Upper Air Workshop Series, Boulder; February 8-11, 2005 Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop, October 2005 NCEP Product Review, December 2005 Annual Ocean Climate Observations Workshop Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop Planning Workshop to Develop Hydroclimatic Reconstructions for Decision Support in the Colorado River Basin 2005 Western States Seasonal Climate and Fire Assessment Workshop, Boulder, CO Western Water Assessment (WWA) on December 1, 2005, in Golden, Colorado and December 12, 2005, in Cheyenne, Wyoming Town Hall Meetings Research Directions for NOAA: Near- and Long-Term Perspectives, AGU, May 2005 Integrated Earth Observing System Public Workshop, Washington, DC from May 9-10, 2005 Memberships o Member of the NRC Committee on the Scientific Bases of Colorado River Basin Water Management (Connie Woodhouse, NCDC) 67 67 NOAA Climate What makes NOAA’s role in Climate Science unique? NOAA has many leadership roles… Only agency that provides operational climate forecasts and information services (nationally and internationally) Only agency that provides daily information about climate to all sectors Recognized as a leader in climate change science both nationally and internationally Provides scientific leadership for the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC) Working Group I Leader for the US Climate Change Science Program (CCSP) Leader for 7 of the 21 CCSP Synthesis and Assessment products Leader in the implementation of the Global Ocean Observing System (NOAA contributes 51% of in situ observations, other US agencies 3%) Examples of interagency coordination: Interagency Working Group on Earth Observations, North American Carbon Program, CCSP Interagency Working Groups 68 68 Emerging Delivery of Climate Services Current Products; [Future Products] Type of Service Data and NOAA’s climate services Monitoring provide data, operational, Products and information products. Climate Services are the timely production and delivery of useful climate data, information, and knowledge to users, including decision makers. Product is a general term for tangible results, technology, or information that have potential value in one or more uses. Sample Products Observed Data Sets, Climatologies, Climate Normals, Indices, Drought Monitor Assessments IPCC, Ozone layer, Fisheries stocks [North American Carbon Budget, Sea level rise impacts] Outlooks Frequency of Issuance Weekly, Annually, Decadally Example Users Construction, Heating, Fire management, 5 years, Biannually National/ International energy and land use, Agriculture, Insurance Week Two to Interannual, Drought outlook [Air Quality, chemistry, and ecosystem outlooks, Weather risks.] Weekly, Monthly Public health, Energy, Agriculture, Water, resource managers, policy makers, public Projections (“if…, then…”) Scenario model runs [Ecosystem outlooks, Net oceanic and terrestrial primary productivity, Coastal ecosystem response] Annually, 5 year, 10 year Energy, Coastal and Marine Ecosystems managers, Policy makers Regional Decision Support Streamflow information, Fine scale climate mapping, Local ENSO impacts [Wildfire outlooks, Coastal inundation mapping, Regional carbon maps] On demand, Monthly, SeasonallyAnnually Agriculture, Fire and water resource mgmt., Coastal and fisheries mgmt., 69 Energy/emissions mgmt. 69 CLIMATE PROGRAM PERFORMANCE MEASURES Performance measures to assess achievement of goal outcomes PROGRAM OBSERVATION S AND ANALYSIS CLIMATE FORCING CLIMATE PREDICTIONS AND PROJECTIONS CLIMATE AND ECOSYSTEMS REGIONAL DECISION SUPPORT PERFORMANCE MEASURE PERFORMANCE OBJECTIVE DESIRED END STATE Increased percentage of ocean, atmospheric, and select terrestrial climate “state variables” with quantitative analysis reports in NOAA’s Annual State of the Climate reports Describe and understand the state of the climate system through integrated observation, analysis, and data stewardship Integrated and complete ocean and surface, upper air and space observing systems in support of the mission outcome Improved estimates of the magnitude, associated error, and sources of variability in atmospheric forcing agents Reduce uncertainty in climate projections through timely information on the forcing and feedbacks contributing to change in the Earth’s climate Sufficient information and understanding necessary to link specific emissions to the radiative forcing of climate change, leading to useful products and services for sciencebased decisions at global, regional, and local levels Increased climate predictive skill over a range of time scales Improve climate predictive capability from weeks to decades, with an increased range of a applicability for management and policy decisions A seamless suite of forecasts on intraseasonal, interannual, and multi-decadal timescales and applications using ensembles of multiple climate models in support of the mission outcome Increased number of ecological forecasts and living marine resource assessments used by managers that incorporate indices of climate variability and change Understand and predict the consequences of climate variability and change on marine ecosystems An ability to predict probable consequences of global climate change on ecological systems and living resources in support of the mission outcome Improved ability of society to plan and respond to climate variability and climate change using NOAA climate products and information Increase availability of climate products and services to enhance public and privatesector decision-making A mature and efficient system for understanding and responding to stakeholder needs for products and services in support of the mission outcome to incorporate NOAA 70 products into plans and decisions 70 CLIMATE PROGRAM PERFORMANCE MEASURES Climate Performance Objective GPRA Measure Describe and understand the state of the climate system through integrated observations, analysis, and data management. Determine the National Explained Variance (%) for Temperature and Precipitation for the Contiguous United States using USCRN Stations (Baseline 2003: 95%/84%, Target 2011: 98%/95%) Reduce the Error in Global Measurement of Sea Surface Temperature (Baseline 2006 new: 0.5C, Target 2011: 0.2C) Reduce uncertainty in climate projections through timely information on the forcing and feedbacks contributing to changes in the Earth’s climate. Reduce the Uncertainty in the Magnitude of the North American (NA) Carbon Uptake (Baseline 2003: Target 2011: 0.3GtC/year) Reduce the Uncertainty in Model Simulations of the Influence of Aerosols on Climate (Baseline 2006 new: IPCC TAR, Target 2011: 50%) Improve climate predictive capability from weeks to decades, with an increased range of applicability for management and policy decisions. Understand and predict the consequences of climate variability and change on marine ecosystems. Increase number and use of climate products and services to enhance public and private sector decision-making. U.S. Temperature Forecasts (Cumulative Skill Score Computed Over the Regions Where Predictions are Made) (Baseline 2003: 17; Target 2011: 22) None Improve Society's Ability to Plan and Respond to Climate Variability and Change Using NOAA Climate Products and Information (Baseline 2006 new: 32, Target 2011: 35 assessments) 71 71 Senate language in the NOAA FY05 budget for NOAA • “Provide NOAA the capability to transition NASA remote sensed ocean measurements into operational products for the user community” • Observations explicitly mentioned: “ocean winds from scatterometers,…sea level…from altimeters, and…ocean color” • Initially a one-year $4M level of effort, with no assurance for continuation, it was continued in the FY06 budget • Continued as “Research to Operations/NASA-NOAA Partnerships” 72 72 NASA FY2005 Authorization Act SEC. 306. COORDINATION WITH THE NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION (a) JOINT WORKING GROUP.—The Administrator and the Administrator of NOAA shall appoint a Joint Working Group, which shall review and monitor missions of the two agencies to ensure maximum coordination in the design, operation, and transition of missions where appropriate. The Joint Working Group shall also prepare the plans required by subsection (c). (b) COORDINATION REPORT.—Not later than February 15 of each year, beginning with the first fiscal year after the date of enactment of this Act, the Administrator and the Administrator of NOAA shall jointly transmit a report to the Committee on Science of the House of Representatives and the Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation of the Senate on how the earth science programs of NOAA and NASA will be coordinated during the fiscal year following the fiscal year in which the report is transmitted. (c) COORDINATION OF TRANSITION PLANNING AND REPORTING.— The Administrator, in conjunction with the Administrator of NOAA and in consultation with other relevant agencies, shall evaluate relevant NASA science missions for their potential operational capabilities and shall prepare transition plans for the existing and future Earth observing systems found to have potential operational capabilities. (d) LIMITATION.—The Administrator shall not transfer any NASA earth science mission or Earth observing system to the NOAA until the plan required under subsection (c) has been approved by the Administrator and the Administrator NOAA and until financial resources have been identified to support the transition or transfer in the President’s budget request for NOAA 73 73 Sea Surface Height Transition • NOAA Lead: Ants Leetma (OAR/GFDL) • Near Term Objectives – Sign the MOU for OSTM/Jason-2 – Complete ground system with EUMETSAT for OSTM – Confirm requirements for Jason-3 • How many altimeters? What kind? (frequencies, orbits, etc.) – Build case for Jason-3 in FY2009 budget 74 74 Surface Vector Winds Transition • NOAA Lead: Bob Atlas (OAR/AOML) • Near Term Objectives – Confirm requirements for Surface Vector Winds (SVW) • Hold workshop 1st week of June at Tropical Prediction Center to lay out plan for evaluating the similarities, differences, and synergies for all sources of SVW observations – Examples are: Windsat, CMIS, ASCAT, QuikSCAT, Dualfrequency MEOSCAT • Assess options to meet those requirements 75 75 Ocean Color Transition • Lead: Rick Stumpf (NOS/NCCOS) • Near Term Objectives – Include MOBY in Climate/NIST initiative – Clarify requirements (M. Abbott 2nd workshop at NOAA Cooperative Institute for Oceanographic Satellite Studies) – Insert Ocean Color requirements in the FY2009 PPBES Planning Phase 76 76 A Research-to-Operations Transition Process How it has been done - sequential • NASA – – Justify a research mission – on whatever basis Implement the research mission • • • • NOAA & NASA – Conduct demonstrations in a setting to entrain operational users • • • • Supply access – timely down-linking and product generation Provide knowledge of, and tools for, using those products Demonstrate real/potential benefits – satisfy operational user needs & show value NOAA – – – Justify an operational mission based on cost and benefit Implement the new/modified systems with a means to ensure continuity Optimize the performance of the operational system • • Demonstrate the technology – show that it works Retrieve geophysical products – show that they make sense Demonstrate scientific utility – show that the products are useful Maintain scientific involvement to validate operational products NASA & NOAA – Encourage access to data for research use in order to facilitate the development of improved operational products 77 77 A Research-to-Operations Transition Process How it could be done – in parallel • NASA – at the same time, NOAA enters a complementary wedge in PPBES process – – Justify a research mission – on whatever basis Implement the research mission • • • • NOAA & NASA – Conduct demonstrations in a setting to entrain operational users • • • • Supply access – timely down-linking and product generation Provide knowledge of, and tools for, using those products Demonstrate real/potential benefits – satisfy operational user needs & show value NOAA – – – Justify an operational mission based on cost and benefit Implement the new/modified systems with a means to ensure continuity Optimize the performance of the operational system • • Demonstrate the technology – show that it works Retrieve geophysical products – show that they make sense Demonstrate scientific utility – show that the products are useful Maintain scientific involvement to validate operational products NASA & NOAA – Encourage access to data for research use in order to facilitate the development of improved operational products 78 78