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Transcript
Use of Indicators in linking
science to policy in the context of
Climate Change Impacts
Perspectives from Seychelles &
Comoros
Rolph Payet SIS90
Relevance of Indicators for Climate
Change Research


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Can be represented or used to reflect a quantitative or
qualitative characteristic;
Useful in making judgments about system conditions -historical, present, or projected in the future.
There is usually an abundance of data and information
(of variable quality) from various programmes and models
but these are not always be in a policy relevant form for
decision-makers.
Role of Indicators


Indicators can therefore play an important role
in turning data into relevant information for
decision-makers and the public.
Importantly, they can help to simplify a complex
array of information with respect to the healthenvironment-development nexus.
Indicators need a framework
For indicators to be meaningful, they must
be anchored within a generic framework:



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To bring together science and policy
Allows certain policy areas to be expressed in
qualitative terms
For presenting the various linkages between
factors influencing response to climate change –
natural & socioeconomic systems
For continuous re-assessment of the
effectiveness of adaptation policies and response
For dealing with different types of data
Conceptual Indicator Framework
Climate Change-Vulnerability-Impact and
Adaptation (CLIVIA) Framework
Climate
Change
Indicators of
future climate
change
Vulnerability
Impacts
Receptors (areas
& groups)
Changes in
physical &
ecological
systems;
Economic &
social losses
and benefits
Exposure
Climate Events
Indicators of
coping
Adaptation
Automous
policy
responses
Direct
intervention
Driven by
market forces
Response
Modelled after the PSR (OECD- 1993, PSIR (Harvard -1996), DPSEEA (WHO -1995) and the
frameworks for Vulnerability Assessment (Klein & Nicholls – 1999; SEI - 2001)
Relevance to studying the impacts
of climate change on tourism



Climate change and climate events can affect the
resources that tourism depend on – beaches, coastal
areas, coral reefs, tourism infrastructure – reducing the
potential economic benefits of tourism (forex earnings,
employment, regional development, taxes)
The resulting impacts will be reflected in the changes in
the quality of the beaches (coastal erosion), reef
ecosystems (coral bleaching), & loss of coastal property
(hotels).
In response to these changes governments (coastal land
use policies), the private sector (investment strategies)
or the public (planting of beach vegetation) each
implement certain response measures, which may
increase vulnerability to any future change.
Linkages to Policy


Changes in sea-level - Indicators such as
accelerated rates of coastal erosion, which then
cause damage to coastal infrastructure
Changes in habitat health – Indicators such as
coral reef cover change (as a result of coral
bleaching), which then cause tourists to
complain, which causes them to come again,
which leads to low occupancy in hotels
2m contour_clip.shp
Distance to sea.shp
Wetlands-5m buffer.shp
Wetlands.shp
Roads.shp
5m contour_clip.shp
Newstudyarea.shp
Hotels(ply).shp
Beaches.shp
Base.shp
N