Download Diapositive 1

KAL’s cartoon of the week
ETHICS
VISION
Environmental Stewardship
CLIMATE RISK
TRUST
©
[email protected]
At the same time: business leadership required
Early, bold and comprehensive action to
climate change is absolutely necessary.
Businesses must take action
to reduce their carbon footprint and
to develop innovative solutions.
I particularly encourage business involvement
in leadership initiatives, such as
UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon
July 2007
Caring for Climate
©
[email protected]
Caring for Climate
the business leadership platform on climate change
353 signatories
237 large companies
116 SMEs
Number of signatories by sectors
Utilities
Travel & Leisure
Middle East
3%
Africa
4%
Americas
13%
Telecommunications
Technology
Retail
Real Estate
Personal & Household Goods
Oil & Gas
Media
Industrial Goods & Services
Asia
25%
Health Care
Food & Beverage
Europe
54%
Australasia
1%
Financial Services
Construction & Materials
Chemicals
Basic Resources
Automobiles & Parts
0
20
©
40
60
80
100
[email protected]
Caring for Climate
the business leadership platform on climate change
A voluntary commitment for performance
 Measure CO2 and GHGs emissions
 Develop a coherent climate and energy strategy
 Increase energy efficiency and reduce the carbon burden
 Set voluntary improvement targets
 Empower employees throughout the organisation
 Communicate annually and publically on progress
©
[email protected]
Caring for Climate
the business leadership platform on climate change
A voluntary commitment for outreach
 Be a champion for rapid, extensive action on climate risks
 Cooperate with others in the sector and value chain
 Help shaping public attitudes for energy conservation
 Inspire policies that disseminate and amplify innovations
 Support policy makers for a good outcome of climate
negotiations
©
[email protected]
The innovation wedge
Decoupling economic growth
from carbon combustion needs
massive, multiple innovations
450
Energy efficiency
350
now
2050
Zero carbon energy
Carbon capture
Cooperation and burden sharing
©
[email protected]
Blue IEA scenarios to halve CO2 from energy
Business As Usual 62 Gt
Blue target 28/2 = 14 Gt
©
[email protected]
Low hanging fruits & demanding technologies
Technology
optimism
The first 15 Gt CO2 have
a positive return
The last 15 Gt CO2
cost 50 to 800 $/tonne
©
[email protected]
45 trillion $ for 40 years of energy innovation
Supply side
Carbon capture & storage power plants
Coal gasification and ultra-supercritical
Demand side
Energy efficiency in buildings,
appliances, mobility systems and
industrial motors
Nuclear renaissance
Heat pumps
On- & Offshore wind power
Solar space and water heating
Biomass gasification and cogeneration
Carbon capture in industry
Non-food bio fuels
Expand low-carbon mobility systems
High efficiency photovoltaic systems
Battery powered plug-in vehicles,
Solar power concentration
Smart grids and meters
©
[email protected]
Cost of carbon emissions – direct / indirect
Marginal cost CO2 € / ton …
… A function of the severity of
the CO2 cap and technological options
240
160
80
€O2
Purchased
electricity
and fuels
Scope 3
emissions
Direct
emissions
Logistics,
employees, product
use, etc.
©
[email protected]
Towards 2050
80%
20%
20%
©
[email protected]
KAL’s cartoon of the week
©
[email protected]
Safe levels and risky levels… too soon!
Current rate of CO2 emissions
guarantee the overshoot of safe limits
CO2
ppm
2050
560
380
280
450
350
2005
At 450 ppm CO2 there is a 50% risk to
exceed 2°C above pre-industrial levels.
This is a threshold to dangerous
climate change.
1850
In 2005 the temperature increase over
pre-industrial levels was 0.57 to 0.95 °C.
The climate is already changing.
Leading climate scientists demand a
drastic cut of emissions to return to the
safety zone below 350 ppm CO2
©
[email protected]
3 very large + 12 large emitters for 75% of CO2
36 800 000 000 tonnes CO2/year
Estimate 2005, UC Berkeley/CITRIS
CO2
Iran
70
Australia
20
South Africa
47
South Korea
128
Mexico
107
Malaysia
25
Canada
32
India
1 104
Japan
128
Brazil
184
Russia
143
Indonesia
222
Europe 27
50%
World’s CO2 China
472
USA
1 315
298

Rest of the World 2 170 million
©
[email protected]
A shared but debated responsibility …
36 800 000 000 tonnes CO2/year
Estimate 2005, UC Berkeley/CITRIS
CO2
But responsibilities and
capabilities are key political
issues that complicate an
intergovernmental agreement
on preventing climate risks.
It does not matter to our
ecosystems whose CO2 is
harming them.
Collectively we drive climate change
by adding 2 ppm of CO2 each year
and accelerating!
©
[email protected]
From excess to balance
36 800 000 000 tonnes CO2/year
Reduce to 50%
of current
emissions
Estimate 2005, UC Berkeley/CITRIS
+
CO2
+
-
+
+
+
-
-
-
+
All other energy needs must
be supplied by renewable or
zero-carbon technologies
We must turn forests into
positive carbon sinks
Each nation needs to ensure its
socio-economic development goals
We cannot draw more fossil carbon
than the soil and ocean can reabsorb
(naturally and forced by technology)
©
[email protected]
Dec 7 – 19, 2009
2050 Targets and interim milestones
€O2
Inclusive engagement
Significant funding for emerging economies
Credible multilateral governance structure
©
[email protected]
Negotiate a combination of complex agreements
Agree an infringement cost
that stimulates compliance
Ensure
appropriate
Measuring
Reporting
Verification
???
ppm
+
CO2
Agree to a global stabilisation
level of CO2/GHGs and a
time frame (IPCC recommendations)
Enable markets to operate for
lowest cost mitigation in
+ joint implementation,
+ cooperation in technology
and clean development,
+ sectoral initiatives,
+ etc.
Agree to differentiated (+/-)
national targets in line with
capabilities and development
needs
Share adequately adaptation finance
Finance and foster technology innovation
©
[email protected]