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1) Two alleles model Let us assume a gene containing two mutually exclusive alleles:A1,A2. There are three possible combinations:A1/A1,A1/A2 and A2/A2, with initial frequencies: u,v and w. u+v+w=1 Let us compute their density after one division 2) First generation Mating type Offsprings frequency A1/A1xA1/A2 0.5A1/A1+ 0.5A1/A2 2uv A1/A1xA2/A2 A1/A2 2uw A1/A1xA1/A1 A1/A1 U2 A1/A2xA1/A2 0.25A1/A1+0.5A1/A20.25+ A2/A2 V2 A1/A2xA2/A2 0.5A1/A2+0.5A2/A2 2vw A2/A2xA2/A2 A2/A2 w2 3) In the next generation Hardy-Weinberg Equilibrium A1/ A1 u 2 uw 0.25v 2 (u 0.5v)2 p12 A2 / A1 uv 2uw 0.5v 2 vw 2(u 0.5v)( w 0.5v) 2 p1 p2 A2 / A2 0.25v 2 vw w2 ( w 0.5v) 2 p22 4) X linked loci If an allele is present in the X chromosome, the situation is more complicated. If qn is the allele frequency in women in the generation n, and rn the allele frequency in mens. rn qn-1 qn 0.5qn-1 0.5rn-1 2 / 3qn 1/ 3rn 2 / 3(0.5qn-1 0.5rn-1 ) 1/ 3qn-1 2 / 3qn-1 1/ 3rn-1 p 5) Dynamics to equilibrium 3 1 3 1 p p 0.5qn-1 0.5rn-1 - p p 2 2 2 2 3 1 0.5qn-1 0.5rn-1 - (2 / 3qn-1 1/ 3rn-1 ) p 2 2 1 1 1 qn-1 p qn-1 - p 2 2 2 qn - p qn - 6) When the Hardy-Weinberg Law Fails to Apply Mutation The frequency of gene B and its allele b will not remain in Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium if the rate of mutation of B -> b (or vice versa) changes. By itself, mutation probably plays only a minor role in evolution; the rates are simply too low. But evolution absolutely depends on mutations because this is the only way that new alleles are created. After being shuffled in various combinations with the rest of the gene pool, these provide the raw material on which natural selection can act. Gene Migration Many species are made up of local populations whose members tend to breed within the group. Each local population can develop a gene pool distinct from that of other local populations. However, members of one population may breed with occasional immigrants from an adjacent population of the same species. This can introduce new genes or alter existing gene frequencies in the residents. In many plants and some animals, gene migration can occur not only between subpopulations of the same species but also between different (but still related) species. This is called hybridization. If the hybrids later breed with one of the parental types, new genes are passed into the gene pool of that parent population. This process, is called introgression. Genetic Drift As we have seen, interbreeding often is limited to the members of local populations. If the population is small, hardy-Weinberg may be violated. Chance alone may eliminate certain members out of proportion to their numbers in the population. In such cases, the frequency of an allele may begin to drift toward higher or lower values. Ultimately, the allele may represent 100% of the gene pool or, just as likely, disappear from it. Drift produces evolutionary change, but there is no guarantee that the new population will be more fit than the original one. Evolution by drift is aimless, not adaptive. Controversial when first proposed (Kimura 1968) , Incontrovertible in 2001: DNA sequence polymorphisms are abundant In Eukarya, most of the genome is noncoding most sequence polymorphism lies in noncoding regions Most sequence polymorphisms appear selectively neutral Nonrandom Mating One of the cornerstones of the Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium is that mating in the population must be random. If individuals (usually females) are choosy in their selection of mates the gene frequencies may become altered. Darwin called this sexual selection. Assortative mating -Humans seldom mate at random preferring phenotypes like themselves (e.g., size, age, ethnicity). This is called assortative mating. Natural Selection If individuals having certain genes are better able to produce mature offspring than those without them, the frequency of those genes will increase. This is simple expressing Darwin's natural selection in terms of alterations in the gene pool. (Darwin knew nothing of genes.) Natural selection results from differential mortality and/or differential fecundity. Mortality Selection Certain genotypes are less successful than others in surviving through to the end of their reproductive period. The evolutionary impact of mortality selection can be felt anytime from the formation of a new zygote to the end (if there is one) of the organism's period of fertility. Mortality selection is simply another way of describing Darwin's criteria of fitness: survival. Fecundity Selection Certain phenotypes (thus genotypes) may make a disproportionate contribution to the gene pool of the next generation by producing a disproportionate number of young. Such fecundity selection is another way of describing another criterion of fitness described by Darwin: family size. In each of these examples of natural selection certain phenotypes are better able than others to contribute their genes to the next generation. Thus, by Darwin's standards, they are more fit. The outcome is a gradual change in the gene frequencies in that population. 7) Effect of Natural Selection on Gene Frequencies. Let us define the frequency of each genotype in the population as: w, and the initial allele distribution as p and q for A1 and A2. wA1/ A1 1- r wA1/ A 2 1 wA 2 / A 2 1- s 8) Fitness The average fitness is: W (1- r ) p 2 2 pq (1- s)q 2 1- rp 2 - sq 2 P ([(1- r ) p 2 pq]/ W ) - p pq[ s - (r s) p]/ W 0,1 [ p, q ] 1, 0 s /(r s), r /(r s) 9) Hetrozygote Advantage s (1-r) p 2n +p n q n s p n+1 = r+s W r+s s =[(1-r)p 2n +p n q n ]W]/W= r+s s =[(1-r)p 2n +p n q n ](1-rp n2 -sq n2 )]/W r+s 1-rp n -sqn s = [p n ] W r+s The difference decreases to zero only for positive r and s. Thus the scenario in which both alleles can survive is Hetrozygote Advantage