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Big Dogs and Baby Steps: Local Jurisdictions and Adaptation Experiences in Washington Photo: NASA Visible Earth Katrina Hoffman Coastal Resources Specialist Washington Sea Grant 10 November 2009 Definitions and Context (They’re important!) Comment submitted after an ADAPTATION training: “I was surprised that carbon sequestration was not discussed at all.” Is sequestration an adaptation- or mitigationoriented approach? Adaptation • “The process whereby a population becomes better suited to its habitat through the process of natural selection. This process takes place over many generations, and is one of the basic phenomena of biology.” (Univ. of California Museum of Paleontology; Wikipedia) • “Adaptation to climate change is vital in order to reduce the impacts of climate change that are happening now and increase resilience to future impacts.” (UNFCCC) • “Adjustment in natural or human systems in response to actual or expected climatic changes or their impacts, so as to reduce harm or exploit beneficial opportunities.” (USAID adaptation guidebook) Mitigation (of global warming): • Taking actions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and to enhance sinks aimed at reducing the extent of global warming. (IPCC Glossary Working Group III) •Can be achieved via social, technological or economic methods and policies. Mitigation and Adaptation •Both are action oriented; •Mitigation actions are aimed at SOURCES of warming •Adaptation actions are aimed at IMPACTS of warming Adaptive actions acknowledge that impacts are already occurring, and/or will occur in the future Vulnerability: The extent to which climate change may damage or harm a system; it depends not only on a system’s sensitivity, but also on its ability to adapt to new climatic conditions. (IPCC 2nd assessment report) Resilience: (1)The degree to which a system rebounds, recoups or recovers from a stimulus. (Climate Change Knowledge Network) (2) The ability of a social or ecological system to absorb disturbances while retaining the same basic structure and ways of functioning, the capacity for selforganization, and the capacity to adapt to stress and change. (IPCC Working Group II) Washington State Counties (pop.) Graphic: WA State Department of Transportation This map sheds light on the term “big dogs” in the lecture title… Washington State Cities Population # of Cities > 100,000 6 50,000 – 99,999 12 20,000 – 49,999 28 5,000 – 19,999 68 1,000 – 4,999 86 < 1,000 81 Data source: Washington State Office of Financial Management • We are a state of small cities. • The “big dogs” generally have more resources and capacity to plan for things like climate adaptation (e.g. King County). • Smaller jurisdictions may look to “big dogs” for guidance, but often feel they have little in common. National Climate Project NOAA Coastal Services Center National Estuarine Research Reserve Association Cathy Angell, Coordinator, Padilla Bay NERR Mission: To offer practical, science-based training to professionals who make decisions about coastal management. Project Goals Develop a product to address a certain aspect of climate change for coastal decision-makers To be useful for Coastal Training Programs around the country Could also be used by Sea Grant Programs and other agencies Phone Survey Customizable Training Workshop How can decision-makers take action? • Identify areas of risk • Establish planning priorities • Create adaptation strategies • Coordinate with other entities “Planning for Climate Change” 2 Pilot Trainings 85 shoreline planners and coastal managers Partners Cathy Angell Katrina Hoffman Lara Whitely Binder Elizabeth Willmott Needs Assessment Survey Respondents: n = 209 Planners 52.8% Job Affiliation: Local government 44.8% Level of awareness about climate issues Medium 59.3% High 35.7% Low 5.0% Needs Assessment Survey Climate Impacts of Concern 17 items; Likert scale Impacts to Management 16 items; Likert scale Planning Issues 14 items; Likert scale Likelihood of Attending >90% (somewhat to very likely) One-day preference 98% Location preferences 3 clear locations AGENDA TOPICS Global and Pacific NW Climate Change Lara Whitely Binder, Climate Impacts Group Sea Level Rise and Coastal Impacts Hugh Shipman, Coastal Geologist, WA Dept. of Ecology Fundamental Concepts in Planning for Climate Change Elizabeth Willmott, Karen Wolf, Laura Wharton – King County Preparing for Climate Change Suggested Steps 1. Initiate a climate planning effort Listen to the science Scope the impacts to your sectors Build support – and build a team Identify planning areas most affected by climate change 2. 3. 4. 5. Conduct a climate resiliency study Set goals and develop your plan Implement your plan Measure progress Drawn from Preparing for Climate Change: A Guidebook for Local, Regional and State Governments, by the Climate Impacts Group and King County, and published by ICLEI – September 2007. Simple Steps = Complex Reality Chapter 5: “Build and Maintain Support” • Identify a local preparedness champion • Identify and understand your audience for outreach • Develop a preparedness message • Spread the message Community Engagement and Addressing Barriers to Adaptation Lara Whitely Binder, Climate Impacts Group • Top 10 list of common barriers •How to plan for an uncertain future •Low regrets & “win-win” strategies •Build capacity •Reframe issues •One-size does not fit all •Difficult choices ahead Technical Tools and Resources •NOAA Climate Adaptation site •EPA Climate Ready Estuaries •Climate Impacts Group •Science and data sources from “the guidebook” •State agency sea level rise assessment WACCIA Papers Final draft released February 11, 2009 Updated climate impacts information for Washington in 8 key sectors Web content, fact sheets, and other summary material will be made available More than 4 terabytes of meteorological and hydrologic data CASES Database (in development) Searchable adaptation case study database Search criteria include: Country, state, city Population size Impact areas of concern Types of adaptation activities User-driven content To be released King County Asset Vulnerability Tool •Goal: To share methodology with others through a GIS based tool. •Built generic as possible to provide transferability outside King County •Simple for those with limited access to quality climate data •Extensive enough for those with complex asset and data situations Asset Vulnerability Tool Worksheet Exercise: Identifying Vulnerability in Your Community (participants) Summary of Washington State’s Climate Change Program and Major State Planning Regulations Spencer Reeder, Lead Policy Strategist on Climate Change, Department of Ecology A Brief World Tour of Climate Adaptation Projects Katrina Hoffman, Coastal Resources Specialist, WA Sea Grant All materials available at: www.nerrs.noaa.gov Menu: Training; Climate Performance Indicators Improved Understanding Intent to Apply in Job 93% 93% Satisfied to Extremely Satisfied: Content and Materials 98% Training Methods and Approaches 97% Opportunities for Networking 92% Training Usefulness Global and Pacific NW Climate Change – 97% Sea Level Rise and Coastal Impacts – 100% Fundamental Concepts in Planning for Climate Change – 90% Community Engagement and Addressing Barriers to Adaptation – 85% Technical Tools and Resources – 82% Vulnerability Worksheet Written Exercise – 69% Small Group Discussion – 81% Large Group Discussion – 68% Brief World Tour of Climate Adaptation Projects – 92% Written Comments - Trends Very interested in the science and the specific impacts to the Northwest Would like to see more regional examples used to illustrate planning and public engagement strategies esp. for small to medium jurisdictions Found the written exercise valuable - especially the small group sharing to hear other people’s issues and perspectives What did you learn? “How to frame climate change as a risk management issue and incorporate other agencies into the planning process.” “To think about the second half of the climate change equation--how to adapt for the changes rather than just trying to mitigate them.” “We should be viewing everything through the lens of climate change, as opposed to it being ‘just another thing’ to have to plan for.” Planners want… • “Tools to work from are the gap I wanted to fill” • More case study examples of planning concepts in action • Regulatory language examples that other communities are using • Vulnerability spatial assessment tools (like the King County one) • Regulatory incentives/requirements to incorporate climate change in planning • To know how climate variability can be incorporated in codes and planning processes. Opportunities • WA Dept. of Ecology—applied for Coastal Management Fellow to develop sea level rise guidance for shoreline master program updates • Sea Grant agents—hone skills, better support constituents • Partnerships can strengthen all efforts