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TIDEA Target (and Lead) Independent Drug Enhancement Algorithm Receptor affinity versus Diversity: A classic problem Drug discovery methods too often require trading potency for diversity Our goal to develop a single metric for predicting potency and enhancing hit rates with the following properties: • Independent of overall ligand shape and size • Independent of macromolecular target site shape. • Effective for a wide variety of ligand scaffolds, • Effective for multiple targets and target classes • Effective for multiple disease indications, and • No knowledge of target structure or SAR required. 2 What is TIDEA? • An algorithm for predicting small molecule potency • Independent of target/ligand complementarity and ligand shape • Identifies highly diverse, potent ligands 3 Development of TIDEA-Learning Set + Test Set Combined Learning Set + Test Set 200 Small (FW<700) non peptide ligands Recently published*, drug-like IC50 or Ki between 10 pM and 10 mM >60 targets, 60+ligand scaffolds Learning Set 120 Ligands >40 ligand scaffold types >40 targets Targets distinct from Test Set Test Set 80 Ligands 20 ligand scaffold types 20 targets Targets distinct from Learning Set 4 Development of TIDEA-Continued Learning Set 120 Ligands 1. Complex parameters each designed to increase % subnanomolar ligands for several different target classes/ligand shapes. Required years of work. 2. Combine >50 of these complex parameters to create and algorithm that calculates a single number with predictive value for affinity in >50 targets and target classes. TIDEA algorithm Test Set 80 Ligands Test Set 80 TIDEA scores 5 Affinity (PLogIC50) is significantly higher in a diverse Test Set of 80 ligands Test Set: Average potency increases significantly with TIDEA Score Average Potency (PLogIC50) nM 9 8 7 T ID E A score ra nge P LogIC50 Score < 10 7.112248648 Score ≥ 10 7.888672126 TTEST: p<0.01 2-taile d, heteroscedastic mM 6 1-4 5-7 8-12 TIDEA Score Range 13-17 6 Test Set potency does not increase significantly with FW. Average Potency (PLogIC50) Test Set: Average potency does not Increase significantly with Molecular Weight nM 9 8 7 mM 6 300350 350400 400450 450500 Molecular Weight Range 7 Test Set potency does not increase significantly with ClogP Average Potency (PLogIC50) Average Potency Does Not Increase Significantly with ClogP nM 9 8 7 mM 6 <2 2-3 3-4 >4 ClogP Range 8 Test Set: More Potent Ligands (<1nM) are Enriched at Higher TIDEA Scores % of Potent (IC50 < 1 nM) Ligands 60% 50% 40% Potent (<1nM) Weaker(1nM) Score < 10 1 52 Score10 6 21 30% Yates Chi Square: 6.9 Yates p-value = 0.009 20% 10% 0% 1-4 5-7 8-12 13-17 TIDEA Score Range 9 The 8 highest TIDEA values show more diversity (8÷5 =1.6 molecules per target) than the whole Test Set (80÷20=4 molecules per Target) 10 Is TIDEA selective does it mostly find promiscuous inhibitors? Set Description Average TIDEA score 95% Confidence limits 28 Promiscuous Inhibitors 4.1 0.6 69 Clinical Drugs 7 1.1 80 Drug Candidates ( 90 pM to 20 mM) 7.9 0.6 The difference in average TIDEA score between promiscuous inhibitors and drugs, or between promiscuous and drug candidates, is statistically significant by the T test (P<0.0001) 11 How does TIDEA compare to ligand-based approaches? • They differ too much for direct comparison. TIDEA is not a replacement for ligandbased approaches, and vice-versa. Hit rates and average potency increase significantly with increasing TIDEA score even when every molecule binds to a different target: % Potent inhibitors (1nM or less) Average Potency (PLogIC50 ) nM 9 Ultradiverse Set 65 molecules, 65 targets Ultradiverse Set 65 molecules, 65 targets 8 7 mM 6 1-4 5-7 8-12 13-17 TIDEA Score Range 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1-4 5-7 8-12 13-17 TIDEA Score Range 12 Independent, Prospective Trial of TIDEA Dr. Matthew Soellner, at the College of Pharmacy, Univ. Michigan, has carried out out a prospective study of the ability of TIDEA to identify active kinase inhibitors in collaboration with Focus Synthesis. He designed and screened a diverse, 181-molecule subset of a 3186-molecule kinase-targeted library using Src, Abl, and Hck kinases and identified 27 hits (>20% inhibition for 1 or more kinases). The TIDEA scores in the 181 molecule subset ranged from 0 to 19. The results show that high TIDEA values predict high activity. 13 Prospective Trial by Matt Soellner: The hit rate (% of molecules that inhibit Src, Abl, or Hck by 20%+) increases with increasing TIDEA score for 181 nitrogen heterocycles % Actives (src, abl, and/or hck) Prospective study of TIDEA using hit rates for 3 types of kinase inhibitors (src, abl, hck) 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 0-2 3-5 6-8 >8 TIDEA Score Range 14 Prospective Trial: The increase in hit rate at higher TIDEA values is statistically significant (Chi square) TIDEA: Hit Rate Improvement, Cost Savings, and maintenance of Hit Number for 3 kinase inhibitor types TIDEA score cutoff Hit rate (low TIDEA below cutoff) Hit rate (high TIDEA above cutoff) 6.5 7.5 8.5 9.5 2% 4% 7% 8% 20% 21% 20% 21% Increase in hit Statistical rate above significance (Chi cutoff Square p value) 10.8x 4.7x 2.7x 2.8x 0.0033 0.005 0.0395 0.0224 Cost savings using TIDEA score cutoff % Hits maintained above cutoff 39% 52% 64% 76% 96% 89% 81% 78% A high TIDEA score subset (score>6.5, 128 molecules) contained 26 hits out of 128 while a low TIDEA score subset (score<6.5) contained only 1 hit out of 53: a 10.7-fold increase in hit rate above 6.5. 96% of the hits (26/27) had TIDEA scores > 6.5. 39% of the entire 3186-molecule library had a TIDEA score below 6.5. In conclusion, TIDEA can cut purchase and screening costs ~39% while retaining ~96% of the hits for 3 kinases. 15 Comparison of TIDEA and Ligand-Based methods TIDEA Ligand-Based Methods Designed to be independent of overall ligand shape and size Defines molecular shape and size as part of methodology Determines adhesiveness potential independent of ligand/target shape complementarity Determines degree of ligand/target shape complementarity A single model identifies potent, selective inhibitors independent of target and target class Mutliple, distinct models built for each target each identify potent, selective inhibitors of a single target type or a narrow range of targets. No need to for knowledge of SAR or even target identity. Requires SAR information for each target. 16 Where does TIDEA fit in as a drug discovery tool? • Earliest stage screening of large, diverse libraries prior to application of target-specific methods. • For new targets. When the target is unknown or knowledge is limited (no 3D structure and little or no SAR data). • For unkown targets. Prior to cell-based screening, phenotypic screening, chemical genetics. • In combination with target-specific methods. 17 Benefits of TIDEA • Maintains diversity • Enhances discovery rates • Does not require knowledge of target or SAR • Saves money and time • Identifies “drug-like” molecules 18 Additional slides 19 TIDEA also identifies drug-like small molecules • TIDEA is an excellent drug-like nature metric. For examples, Lipitor has a score of 13, much higher than the average (2.5) score for nondrug organic molecules. TIDEA scores for best-selling small molecule Generic Name TIDEA Score Aripiprazole 9 Atorvastatin (Lipitor) 13 Clopidogrel 5 Esomeprazole 7 Montelukast 13 Pioglitazone 6 Quetiapine 7 Rosuvastatin 12 TIDEA scores for sets of Average TIDEA druglike and non-druglike score molecules. average for 8 recent bestselling 9.0 drugs (2010) average for 70 clinical drugs average for 911 organic molecules from ACD average for 21 bioactive molecules (IC50 or Ki>1 mM) 95% CONFIDENCE LIMITS 2.3 8.8 1.2 2.5 0.2 6.4 1.4 20 Learning Set and Test Set targets 56 Learning Set Targets 20 Test Set Targets 5-HT1A inhibitor IC50 human gamma-PPAR binding human H3 receptor antagonist Ki 5-H T 2A a ffinity Ki 5-H T 4 inhibition Ki H uma n ka ppa Opiod R e ce ptor H k IC50 Human Papillomavirus E1 Helicase 5-HT7 Ki IC50 for huAchE inhibition Adenosine A1 Receptor Antagonist Ki inhibition of fibrinogen/GPIIb-IIIa interaction adenosine A2a receptor antagonist Ki Kd for dissociation of LFA-1/CAM-1 interaction Kd for SIAP-BIR3 Domain of XIAP adenosine A2alpha receptor Ki Adenosine deaminase inhibitor Ki KD R IC50 AT2 receptor agonist Ki for 5-HT7 receptor binding Ki for binding to human brain A1 receptor AT2 receptor antagonist Ki Ki for D5 dopamine receptor AD O Kina se Ki for GABA-A alpha 5 BChE inhibition IC50 Bcl-xL c_S rc kina se CDK1/Cyclin B Ki for Inhibition of AVP binding to human platelet V1 Ki for inhibition of dopamine uptake Ki for inhibition of epibatidine binding to nicotinate receptor Ki for inhibition of epibatidine binding to nicotinate receptor CDK2/Cyclin A inhibition IC50 COX-2 Inhibitor IC50 CRF1 receptor antagonist IC50 delta Opioid Receptor Ki for inhibition of neurokinin A binding to human Tachykinin NK-2 Receptor Ki for inhibition of norepinephrine uptake Ki for MMP-2 inhibition Ki for NOP receptor binding delta-opioid receptor Ki D opa mine D 3 re ce ptor a nta gonist Ki MMP -3 Inhibition IC50 Dopamine D4 ligand Ki mu-Opioid receptor binding Ki DPP II inhibition (IC50) NK1 receptor agonist Electric Eel Acetylcholinesterase NK1 receptor antagonist IC50 Endothelin A antagonist Endothelin A IC50 NMDA antagonist (hNR1a/NR2B receptor) p38-alpha inhibition IC50 endothelin ETA receptor p56lck tyrosine kina se inhibitor IC50 e ndothe lin E T B re ce ptor Ki P D E 5 inhibition Ki estrogen receptor/NFkappaB-luc IC50 P D GFR Inhibition IC50 Fa ctor Xa inhibitor IC50 PfDHFR inhibitor Ki GABA-A alpha3 poly (ADP-Ribose) polymerase glycine binding site of N MD A re ce ptor Ki hBK1 receptor antagonist binding affinity Poly(ADP-ribose) polymerase 1 inhibitor IC50 R e nin inhibitor IC50 in buffe r HCV NS3 Protease HGRH antagonist Ki Histone Deacetylase type 1 HIV Protease Ki human AChE inhibition IC50 S S T 2 S oma tosta tin R e ce pte r Binding IC50 thrombin inhibitors V a nnilloid R e ce ptor 1 Anta gonist IC50 (CAP a ssa y) Y 5 re ce ptor a nta gonist IC50 21