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Climate Change and Ozone Loss G. Tyler Miller’s Living in the Environment 13th Edition Chapter 18 Key Concepts • How does the Earth’s climate fluctuate? • What factors affect climate? • What are the possible affects of global warming? • How are human activities affecting the ozone layer? Past Global Temperatures Average surface temperature (°C) Average temperature over past 900,000 years 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 Thousands of years ago 200 100 Present Past Global Temperatures Temperature change over past 22,000 years 2 Temperature change (°C) Agriculture established 1 0 -1 -2 End of last ice age -3 Average temperature over past 10,000 years = 15°C (59°F) -4 -5 20,000 10,000 2,000 1,000 Years ago 200 100 Now Recent Trends in Global Temperature Temperature change over past 1,000 years Temperature change (°C) 1.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 -1.0 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 Year 1800 1900 2000 2101 Recent Trends in Global Temperature Average surface temperature (°C) Average temperature over past 130 years 15.0 14.8 14.6 14.4 14.2 14.0 13.8 13.6 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 Year 1960 1980 2000 2020 Climate Change Past global temperatures Recent trends in global temperatures How do we know what past temperature changes were? • Radioisotopes in rocks and fossils • Plankton and radioisotopes in ocean sediments • Pollen from lake bottoms • Ice cores from ancient glaciers • Tree rings • Radioisotopes in corals • Historical records • Temperature measurements The Natural Greenhouse Effect (tropospheric heating effect) Natural Cooling Process LOW PRESSURE Heat released radiates to space HIGH PRESSURE Cool, dry air Condensation and precipitation Falls, is compressed, warms Rises, expands, cools Warm, dry air Hot, wet air Flows toward low pressure, picks up moisture and heat HIGH Moist surface warmed by sun LOW PRESSURE PRESSURE Greenhouse Gases in the Largest Concentration • Water Vapor • Carbon Dioxide Hydrologic (Water) Cycle The Carbon Cycle (Terrestrial) The Carbon Cycle (Aquatic) Greenhouse Gases from Human Activities Greenhouse Gas Average Time in the Troposphere Relative Warming Potential (CO2) Carbon Dioxide Methane Nitrous Oxide Chloroflorocarbons Hydrochloroflurocarbons Hydroflurocarbons 50-120 years 12-18 years 114-120 years 11-20 years 9-390 years 15-390 years 130-12,700 Halons Carbon Tetrachloride 65 years 42 years 5,500 1,400 1 23 296 900-8,300 470-2,000 Climate Change and Human Activities 1) Increased use of fossil fuels (CO2 , CH4) 2) Deforestation (CO2 , N2O) 3) Cultivation of Rice Patties (N2O) Global warming = Enhanced greenhouse effect – Melting icecaps and glaciers – Coral reef bleaching – Other Connections 14.7 380 8.0 14.6 7.6 7.2 6.8 6.4 6.0 CO2 concentration (ppm) 375 14.5 Fossil fuels 14.4 365 Temperature 14.3 355 14.2 345 14.1 5.6 CO2 14.0 335 5.2 4.8 13.9 325 1970 13.8 1980 1990 Year 2000 2005 Temperature (Cº) Fossil fuels burn (billions of metric tons of oil equivalent) 8.4 Projecting Future Changes in Earth’s Climate Climate models (see Spotlight p. 457) Apparent influence of human activities Could be natural changes Fig. 18-11 p. 455 Factors Affecting Changes in Earth’s Average Temperature Changes in solar output Changes in Earth’s albedo Moderating effect of oceans Clouds and water vapor Air pollution Some Possible Effects of a Warmer World • • • • • • Water Distribution Plant and Animal Biodiversity Loss Ocean Currents and Sea Levels Extreme Weather Human Population and Health Agriculture and Forests Some Possible Effects of a Warmer World Fig. 18-16 p. 461 Solutions: Dealing with the Threat of Climate Change Fig. 18-20 p. 466 Options Do nothing Do more research Act now to reduce risks Act now no-regrets strategy Removing CO2 From the Atmosphere Tree plantation Coal power plant Tanker delivers CO2 from plant to rig Abandoned oil field CO2 is pumped down to reservoir through abandoned oil field Oil rig CO2 is pumped down from rig for Deep ocean disposal Crop field Switchgrass field Spent oil reservoir is used for CO2 deposit = CO2 deposit = CO2 pumping Fig. 18-21 p. 467 Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions • Rio Earth Summit (1992) – 106 nations – Scientific uncertainty must not be used as justification to do nothing. – Industrialized nations must take lead in slowing down rate and degree of global warming. – Developed countries voluntarily committed to reducing CO2 to 1990 levels by the year 2000 Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions • Kyoto Treaty (1997) – 161 nations – Required 38 developed countries to cut greenhouse emissions 5.2% below 1990 levels by 2012.. – Did not require developing countries to make cuts. – Allowed emission trading among participating countries. – Was not ratified until 2005 – Approximately 180 participating countries. United States did not ratify Kyoto Treaty 1) Treaty fails to require emission reductions from developing countries (81% of world’s population) 2) Economists predicted it would have devastating impact on U.S. economy and workers Some U.S. CO2 Reductions • Concern among leaders of some U.S. companies. • Several major companies have established targets to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 10-65% from 1990 levels by 2010. • Automobile companies investing in hybrid gaselectric and fuel cell engines. • Local governments established programs to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. • California first state to require a reduction in CO2 emissions from motor vehicles beginning in 2009. A growing number of analysts suggest we should begin to prepare for the possible effects of long-term atmospheric warming and climate change! Ozone Depletion in the Stratosphere (the other story) 40 25 35 Altitude (kilometers) 30 25 Stratospheric ozone 20 15 Altitude (miles) Stratosphere Benefical Ozone 20 10 15 10 Troposphere 5 Photochemical ozone 0 0 5 Harmful Ozone 5 10 15 Ozone concentration (ppm) 0 20 Ozone Depletion in the Stratosphere Importance of Ozone • Essential for terrestrial life • Reduces sunburn • Prevents tropospheric ozone Ozone Depletion in the Stratosphere Fig. 18-26 p. 473 Ultraviolet light hits a chlorofluorocarbon (CFC) molecule, such as CFCl3, breaking off a chlorine atom and leaving CFCl2. Once free, the chlorine atom is off to attack another ozone molecule and begin the cycle again. Sun Cl Cl C Cl F UV radiation Cl Cl O O The chlorine atom attacks an ozone (O3) molecule, pulling an oxygen atom off it and O O O leaving an oxygen molecule (O2). Cl A free oxygen atom pulls the oxygen atom off the chlorine monoxide Cl molecule to form O2. O O The chlorine atom and the oxygen atom join to form a chlorine monoxide molecule (ClO). Cl O O Stepped Art O Fig. 20-18, p. 486 Ozone Depleting Chemicals Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) Methyl bromide (fumigant) Halons (fire extinguishers) Carbon tetrachloride (solvent) Methyl chloroform (cleaning solvent and propellant) N-propyl bromide (solvent) OZONE DEPLETION IN THE STRATOSPHERE • During four months of each year up to half of the ozone in the stratosphere over Antarctica and a smaller amount over the Artic is depleted. Seasonal Thinning at the Poles Ozone thinning (hole) Polar vortex Fig. 18-30 p. 475 Reasons for Concern Increased incidence and severity of sunburn Increase in eye cataracts Increased incidence of skin cancer Immune system suppression Increase in acid deposition Lower crop yields and decline in productivity This long-wavelength This shorter-wavelength (high-energy) form (low-energy) form of UV of UV radiation causes sunburn, premature radiation causes aging of Ultraviolet Ultraviolet aging, and wrinkling. It is largely responsible A the skin, tanning, and for basal and squamous cell carcinomas B sometimes sunburn. It and plays a role in malignant melanoma. penetrates deeply and may contribute to skin cancer. Thin layer of dead cells Squamous cells Basal layer Hair Epidermis Sweat gland Melanocyte cells Dermis Basal cell Blood vessels Squamous Cell Carcinoma Basal Cell Carcinoma Melanoma Fig. 20-22, p. 489 Solutions: Protecting the Ozone Layer Use CFC substitutes Montreal Protocol (1987) only CFCs Copenhagen Protocol (1992) all ODCs Characteristics of Global Warming and Ozone Depletion Global Warming Ozone Depletion CO2, CH4, NOx (greenhouse gases) O3, O2, and CFCs Absorbs infrared (IR) radiation Absorbs ultraviolet (UV) radiation Raising the earth’s surface temperature Decreasing O3 concentration in the stratosphere Decrease burning of fossil fuels Eliminate CFCs 2007 FRQ #3