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Climate Change: Ripple Effects on International Law ____________ M.J. Mace 17 October 2008 London British Institute of International and Comparative Law Annual Conference 2008: “Climate Change and its challenges for the international legal system” Climate change now affecting… • implementation of a range of existing treaties, creating – practical challenges to their successful implementation – political challenges to their successful implementation – Substantial threat to past accomplishments • development of existing treaties – climate concerns reflected in decisions taken by a range of convention bodies – calls for plugging of new-found ‘gaps’ in existing regimes – calls for expedited implementation of existing mandates – calls for new instruments, tools, funding approaches • Rapid expansion of interest and expertise • Opportunities for synergies, and for conflicts • Collision of environmental, economic, social, political concerns No end to the areas of law that will be affected • • • • • • • • • • • • Air pollution Water pollution Marine pollution Law of the sea Biodiversity / conservation Species protection Energy frameworks Human rights Security International Economic Law Investment Intellectual property • • • • • • • • • • • Trade Financial regulation Insurance Accounting State aid Cultural protection Indigenous rights Refugee and migration law International transport Rights and duties of States Dispute settlement • Etc, etc, etc Big Picture New Challenges: Arctic and Small Island States? UNCLOS: Establishment of new boundaries? • Denmark, Russia, Canada, US, Norway claims under UNCLOS Art.76 • Canada/US/EU disputes over Northwest Passage Defense of boundaries at risk due to rising sea levels Defense of statehood and where territory at risk of loss EU Parliament has called for a new Arctic treaty! What is at stake? Economic/Commercial Interests • • • • Offshore oil and gas reserves Offshore fisheries Mineral deposits on the seabed Shipping lanes Political/Strategic Interests • Military • GPS Navigation Human dimension? • Displacement, migration? • New visa categories under existing migration laws? • Amendments to 1951 Refugee Convention? • New Convention on the Protection of Environmentally Displaced Persons? • Protocol to UNFCCC on recognition, protection and resettlement of climate ‘refugees’? Photo © Gary Braasch Undermining and Enabling? Biodiversity and species protection • CBD, CMS, CITES, Forest protection agreements (TTA) • Biodiversity has declined by 25% in last 35 years (WWF) • EEA reports half its conservation sites are failing to protect vulnerable species and habitats • But…new interest, new tools, new funding • ‘Reducing Emissions from Deforestation’ • ‘Adaptation’ under the UNFCCC as a funding lever • Sustainable forest management, conservation, forests may get instruments get a new lease on life Revisiting the law? London Dumping Convention / OSPAR • Carbon capture and storage identified as a potential mitigation tool • 1972 London Convention prevents the pollution of the sea by the ‘dumping’ of waste; specifically the dumping of industrial waste ‘generated by manufacturing or processing operations’ was specifically prohibited. • Proponents of carbon capture and storage underneath the sea bed sought amendment of marine pollution conventions… • In 2006, the 1996 London Protocol was amended to specifically allow the ‘storage’ of CO2 streams from capture processes for sequestration beneath the seabed. • EU waste and water legislation – as ‘barriers’ to the storage of CO2 underground. Perverse Incentives and Conflicts? Montreal Protocol • Montreal Protocol aims to phase out ozone-depleting substances – KP’s CDM creates incentive for reduction of HFC-23 (good) – But created incentive for production of additional HCFC-22 (bad) – Value of CDM credits greater than the cost of HCFC production, creating an incentive to build HCFC plants despite the phase-out • September 2007, Parties agreed to accelerate phaseouts of HCFCs from 2009: – Developed countries to reduce production and consumption 10 years earlier, with final phase out in 2020. – Developing countries to cut production and consumption by 10% in 2015 with a final phase-out in 2030, also 10 years sooner than planned. The Nitty Gritty of Implementation?: International Accounting Standards • With the creation of the EU ETS, differences in how countries and companies account for allowances • IASB in the process of answering questions: • Is an allowance an asset? Does it depend where allowances are acquired from? What is the nature of an allowance? A license to emit? A form of emission currency? If assets, when are they recognised and how are they valued? • What is the book entry where allowances are received from the government for free? Is there a liability? What is the nature of the liability? How is it valued initially? • How should allowances be accounted for subsequently? As under IAS 38 Intangible Assets? Under IAS 39 Financial Instruments? If not, how? Tools for Enforcement? UNESCO • UNESCO World Heritage List • 2005 decision by the World Heritage Committee to start studying impact of climate change on World Heritage sites. • Report features case studies, including Tower of London, Kilimanjaro National Park, Great Barrier Reef - representative of dangers faced by the 830 listed sites (Westminster Palace, Greenwich, Tower of London) • UNESCO rejected efforts to have 5 sites added to the ‘sites in danger list’, based on exposure to climate change impacts. Competing principles?: Emissions from International Transport • UNFCCC, IMO, ICAO, MARPOL and Chicago Convention • KP provides emissions from international aviation and maritime shipping to be addressed by developed countries working through ICAO and IMO. • UNFCCC principle of common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capabilities • IMO – MARPOL – principle of equal applicability - standoff • ICAO – Chicago Convention • EU going ahead with integration of aviation into EU ETS Thank you for your attention _____________ M.J. Mace [email protected]