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Air: Climate Objectives • Analyze human contributions to global climate change and what effects our modifications are having on physical and biological systems • Briefly discuss policy options for responding to the threats of global climate change • Summarize the structure and composition of the atmosphere • Explain some basic weather patterns • Comprehend how El Niño cycles change ocean surface temperatures and affect continental climate Human-induced global climate change Is global climate changing? Global average surface temperature rose 0.6o C during 20th century Ten hottest years have been since 1990 Average summer and winter temperature in Alaska are 4°C higher than average IPCC • In 1988, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was formed Released third report in February 2001 700 scientists from 100 countries reviewed results from 3,000 studies Recent changes in world’s climate have had discernable impacts on physical and biological systems Human activities are at least partially responsible IPCC in 2007 • IPCC now recognizes that humans are responsible for global climate change and that there is even more evidence of effects on biological and physical systems Evidence for climate change • What effect is climate change already having on physical systems? Evidence for climate change • What effect is climate change already having on biological systems? Potential global climate change International Climate Negotiations • Kyoto Protocol (1997) - United Nations Pact 160 nations agreed to roll back carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide emissions about 5% below 1990 levels by 2012 Sets different limits for different countries, depending on prior output Developing countries exempted Kyoto protocol • 126 nations have officially ratified the agreement • Bush pulled out of agreement in 2001 • Russia ratified in Fall 2004 • Russia put Kyoto over the limit needed to make protocol come into force Has become legally binding for all participants • Australia ratified in December 2007 US is the only industrialized country that still refuses to sign • Kyoto is still probably not enough Controlling greenhouse emissions • Reducing carbon dioxide levels Renewable energy sources may offer a better solution to climate problems • Capturing and storing carbon dioxide Carbon management Planting vegetation Emissions trading system Deep water injection Other countries are doing it! The atmosphere and climate • Weather - A description of physical conditions of the atmosphere • Climate - A description of the long-term weather pattern in a particular area Weather and climate are primary determinants of biomes and ecosystem distribution Troposphere • Troposphere Ranges in depth from 18 km over the equator to about 8 km over the poles Air circulates in convection currents Contains 75% of total air mass A Layered envelope • Stratosphere Extends from troposphere to about 50 km Similar composition to troposphere, but much more dilute Fraction of water vapor is 1000x less and ozone is 1000x more than in the troposphere Relatively calm Energy and the greenhouse effect • Of the solar energy that reaches the outer atmosphere: About one-quarter is reflected by clouds and the atmosphere Another quarter is absorbed by carbon dioxide water vapor, ozone and a few other gases About half reaches the earth’s surface Energy and the greenhouse effect • Most solar energy reaching the earth is visible light Energy reemitted by the earth is mainly infrared radiation (heat energy) Longer wavelengths are absorbed in the lower atmosphere, trapping heat close to the earth’s surface Greenhouse Effect Energy balance Water stores heat and winds redistribute it • Water vapor contains a large amount of energy stored as latent heat • Uneven heating produces pressure differences that cause wind, rain, and storms (weather), which redistribute heat and water Convection currents Convection currents • Major zones of subsidence occur at about 30o north and south latitude Where dry, subsiding air falls on continents, it creates desert regions Coriolis Effect • Surface flows do not move straight north and south, but are deflected due to Coriolis Effect Steady, reliable wind patterns are created Convection Cells and Prevailing Winds Ocean currents • Warm and cold ocean currents strongly influence climate conditions on land Upwelling • Upward movement of water along a coast; replaces surface waters that move away from shore Seasonal Winds • Monsoon - Seasonal reversal of wind patterns caused by differential heating and cooling rates of oceans and continents Climate Change • Periodic weather cycles detected Milankovitch Cycles - Periodic shifts in earth’s orbit and tilt Change distribution and intensity of sunlight reaching the earth Sunspot cycles El Nino Southern Oscillation El Niño (ENSO) • El Niño Southern Oscillation • Climactic event that involves changes in sea surface temperature and air circulation patterns in the equatorial Pacific Ocean ENSO • Large pool of warm surface water in Pacific Ocean moves back and forth between Indonesia and South America Most years, the warm water is held in western Pacific by steady equatorial trade winds Every three-seven years the trade winds stop and the mass of warm surface water surges back east El Nino year Between ENSOs • Warm water and heavy rainfall move west across the Pacific • Warm moist air rises in the western Pacific causing storms • Upwelling of cool water along western coasts During an ENSO • Trade winds weaken and warm water flows east across the Pacific • Sea surface temperatures rise • Upwelling along western coasts ceases • Heavy rainfall occurs along coasts, droughts elsewhere El Niño from 1991-1995 caused floods of the century in Mississippi Valley