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Chapter 16 – Rapid Climate Change During the Holocene 16.1 Introduction to the Holocene The last 10,000 of the Pleistocene are commonly referred to as the Holocene Epoch, or simply, the “Recent” Ice core studies indicate that natural climate change during the Holocene has often been quite abrupt and rapid o Such climate change is now understood to occur at sub-Milankovitch time scales (over time spans less than a few thousand years down to durations as short as decades of less 16.2 Beginning of the Holocene Sea-Level Rise o The Holocene is marked by sea-level rise, augmented in some localities by isostatic rebound o Rapid sea-level rise may occur catastrophically for various reasons, such as collapse of the Antarctic ice sheets Younger Dryas o The Holocane actually began twice; as the world began to warm, it suddenly turned cold again during the Younger Dryas interval o Named for a cold-tolerant flowering plant represented by abundant pollen in sediments from about 13,000 years ago, the interval lasted roughly 1000 years o It have had a rapid onset, with much of the initial cooling in as little as a decade o The cooing may have been caused by a freshwater layer preventing the formation and sinking of North Atlantic Deep Water, which increased ocean productivity and the drawdown of CO2 16.3 Rapid Climate Change on Millennial Time Scales Rapid Climate Change Involving the Oceans o Evidence shows that meltwater pulses like the Younger Dryas occurred repeatedly during the Holocene o These are indicated by layers of ice-rafted debris called Heinrich events, which occur every 1500 years o Ice-rafting events also occurred before the Holocene, so other factors may be involved, such as changes in solar radiation Rapid Climate Change on Land o Speleothems (cave-deposited travertine) provide records of changes in temperature and precipitation reflecting shifts in air masses over land o The oxygen isotope record from speleothems corresponds to welldocumented changes in vegetation; these in turn reflect changes in precipitation 16.4 Rapid Climate Change on Centennial Time Scales Newly emerging evidence indicates that climate fluctuates significantly on centennial (century) time scales o There is a growing realization that the sun may be involved o Sunspots appear to be related to gigantic magnetic storms on the sun’s surface; they have an 11-year-long activity cycle © 2013 Jones and Bartlett Learning, LLC o Longer cycles of sunspot minima may occur during prolonged intervals of harsher climate, such as the “Little Ice Age” (1850-1880 A.D.) 16.5 Rapid Climate Change on Interdecadal to Multidecadal Time Scales Rapid climate change on interdecadal to multidecadal scales represent attempts by Earth’s systems to redistribute heat by atmospheric and oceanic currents o The resulting fluctuation of the convection cells associated with these changes has led to these phenomena being referred to as “oscillations” o These oscillations and other ocean-atmospheric phenomena are linked by long-distance teleconnections o The oscillations and teleconnections may be influenced by changes in soar radiation and anthropogenic activities, although this is complex and remains poorly understood o The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is one of the best understood oscillations; La Niñas, in which conditions reverse themselves, sometimes follow El Niño events 16.6 Climatic Modes and Climatic Irreversibility Given the complexity of the systems involved in regulating Earth’s climate, it is difficult to predict the exact mode that Earth’s climate will occupy in the immediate future o Climate scientists state that anthropogenic production of carbon dioxide has caused some of the warming during the 20th century o Anthropogenic warming may dominate climate during the next few centuries or longer o Carbon dioxide may accumulate in Earth’s atmosphere with relatively little effect until a threshold is crossed and climate suddenly shifts into an entirely new mode © 2013 Jones and Bartlett Learning, LLC