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Transcript
2
Second National Communication of
the Argentine Republic to the
Conference of the Parties to the
UNFCC.
First National Communication (1997)
Included
a- GHG inventories 1990-1994
b- Vulnerability of the aquifers in front C.C.
c- Vulnerability of the Oasis (between 29°S - 30°S)
d- Sea level variation in the Bonaerense Coast (Bahía. Samborombón Bahía Blanca)
e- Vulnerability of Agriculture and Energy
f-
Impacts of C.C. on human health
1999 Revision of the 1st National Communication
Second National Communication Project
Components
1-
Updating of National GHG inventories
2- VULNERABILITY STUDIES
3-
National Mitigation Program
4-
Promotion of public awareness
5-
Drafting of Second National Communication
Second National Communication of the Argentine Republic to the Conference of the Parties to the UNFCC.
Vulnerability Assessment and Institutional Strengthening for
Adaptation
1-
Vulnerability of the Coastal Zone
2-
Vulnerability of the Pampa Bonaerense
3-
Vulnerability of agriculture production in the Pampa Húmeda
4-
Vulnerability of water resources in the Litoral – Mesopotamia
5-
Vulnerability of the Patagonia
6-
Overall socio-economic impacts of climate change
7-
Vulnerability of the energy system and energy infrastructure
8-
Preliminary National adaptation Programs and Regional Adaptation Plans
9-
Estimates of regional climate change scenarios through regional climate models
Second National Communication of the Argentine Republic to the Conference of the Parties to the UNFCC.
Vulnerability of the Coastal Zone
OBJECTIVES AND EXPECTED RESULTS:
12-
3456-
7-
To determine the effects of climate change on the water level along the northeast coastline
of the Río de la Plata, particularly the coastline of the Gran Buenos Aires area
Assessment of specific changes in climate conditions in the area and on the occurrence of
natural disasters
Assessment of the occurrence of degradation on the coastline and river banks
Mapping of potential zones of risk from results of climate change simulations
Assessment of the relative importance of changes in climatic events, ENSO, and
population settlements on the occurrence of natural disasters in the area
Guidelines for the development of adaptation measures to reduce the impacts of changing
climate conditions on local settlements and on the coastal lines of the Río de la Plata
Regional socio-economic impacts of the C.C.
Second National Communication of the Argentine Republic to the Conference of the Parties to the UNFCC.
Vulnerability of the Pampa Bonaerense
OBJECTIVES AND EXPECTED RESULTS:
12-
3456-
7-
Assess the relative impact of human action and climatic variation on the occurrence of
floods and drought periods in the Pampa Bonaerense
Determine the likelihood that climate change may indeed be causing increases in both the
frequency and magnitude of wet-dry cycles in the area.
Evaluate the extent of soil degradation in the region and identify areas of risk
To determine the impact of the human action of region’s ability to adapt to extreme
climate condition in the area
To determine the need to regulate water resource exploitation and land use
To achieve and adequate assessment of the sensitivity of water resources to climate
fluctuations
Regional socio-economic impact of C.C.
Second National Communication of the Argentine Republic to the Conference of the Parties to the UNFCC.
Vulnerability of the Agricultural Production in
the Pampa Húmeda
OBJECTIVES AND EXPECTED RESULTS:
1234567-
To analyze the structure of agricultural production and natural resources use in the region
To identify the actual and potential contribution of agricultural activity to factors
generating C.C.
To estimate the actual GHG production in the region as a result of agricultural activities
To evaluate the potential of agriculture to respond to C.C.
To identify and quantify the potential impacts of C.C. on the actual structure of
production
To define alternative systems of production in the region to respond C.C.
To determine and quantify the socio-economic impacts of these potential changes in the
structure of production
Second National Communication of the Argentine Republic to the Conference of the Parties to the UNFCC.
Vulnerability of the Hydric Resources of the
Litoral - Mesopotamia
OBJECTIVES AND EXPECTED RESULTS:
123456-
Historic perspective on the trends of the changing climate in the region
Evaluation of the relative influence of global warming, ENSO, and human action on
documented flooding events
Maps of areas of risk of flooding and desertification (based on empirical data)
Assessment of the need for forestation in specific areas
Assessment of the effectiveness of irrigation and drainage practices in the region and the
need to regulate these practices to reduce soil salinization
Evaluation of human settlements and land management practices and their impact of the
region’s ability to adapt to the effects of C.C.
Second National Communication of the Argentine Republic to the Conference of the Parties to the UNFCC.
Vulnerability of the Patagonia
OBJECTIVES AND EXPECTED RESULTS:
12-
34567-
Evaluation of the adequacy of water resources in the Patagonia under current conditions
and under projected scenarios of C.C.
Specific evaluation of the hydraulic impact of glacial meltdown and evaluate adaptation
measures
Proposal for water resources management procedures in order to diminish the
vulnerability of the region to C.C.
Assessment of soil degradation potential of the region and of vulnerability to a likely
increase in precipitation
Evaluation of sustainability of current land use and land management practices
To evaluate the socio-economic impacts of C.C on the Patagonia and its potential for
development
Development of a regional plan to adapt for changing climate conditions and to mitigate
this resulting impacts on the province
Second National Communication of the Argentine Republic to the Conference of the Parties to the UNFCC.
Overall socio-economic impacts of Climate Change in
Argentina
OBJECTIVES AND EXPECTED RESULTS:
1234567-
Assessment of regional and national social vulnerability to C.C.
Evaluation of cost of damages that could be caused by C.C.
Assessment of projected cost of mitigation and adaptation policies
Evaluation of adaptive capacity in Argentina to various impacts of C.C:
Identification of areas where adaptation and mitigation initiatives are lacking
Comparative analysis of mitigation and adaptation cost, and analysis of implication for
argentine economy
To determine economic factibility of projected adaptation measures facing potential
C.C.
Second National Communication of the Argentine Republic to the Conference of the Parties to the UNFCC.
Vulnerability of the Energy System and Energy
Infrastructure
OBJECTIVES AND EXPECTED RESULTS:
123456-
7-
Evaluation of energy consumption trends around the country and the varying climate
scenarios of C.C.
Determination of regional and national vulnerability to C.C.
Assessment of the environmental impacts of the increase in GHG emissions as
hydropower is substituted
Determination of national energy infrastructure needs and costs
Identification of regions where mitigation strategies would be most effective, and
estimation of expected costs of those measures
To evaluate possible markets for alternative sources of energy and energy efficiency
programs
To determine the need for increasing the country´s energy infrastructure
Second National Communication of the Argentine Republic to the Conference of the Parties to the UNFCC.
Preliminary National Adaptation Programs and
Regional Adaptation Plans
OBJECTIVES AND EXPECTED RESULTS:
1234-
To develop an Adaptation Policy Framework for the preparation of adaptation strategies
and policies against C.C.
To identify adaptation strategies in line with planned policy interventions
Portfolio of adaptation strategies to the impacts of C.C. that can be incorporated in
national and regional development plan
Adaptation strategies to C.C. impact that are compatible with argentine sustainable
development goals
Second National Communication of the Argentine Republic to the Conference of the Parties to the UNFCC.
Estimates of Regional Climate Change Scenarios through
Regional Climate Models
OBJECTIVES AND EXPECTED RESULTS:
1234567-
To contribute to the climate modeling efforts being carried out in Argentina
Increased national knowledge and expertise in the generation and use of climate
simulation
Results from regional climate simulations that can be used in the development of
climate change related to mitigation and adaptation strategies
Climate impact parameters for hydraulic models
Updated knowledge on probability of climate change impact in Argentina
Establish with relevant members of the Steering Committee the most adequate timeframes for running simulation
Conduct simulations to assess likely temperature and precipitation’s changes in the
region