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PhysCon 2015 Climate Change - What happened to the Science? The ‘debate’ continues to rage. The Abbott government and the Murdoch media (mostly) claim that climate change is not a threat – at least not yet, while the Fairfax/ABC/Guardian side warns that it is. What’s missing in all this? The SCIENCE of climate change! There are arguments about whether temperatures have risen in the last decade or how fast ice is melting, but these are actually side issues. Where is the basic science? Fundamentally, climate science is about the physics and chemistry of the atmosphere and about what the geological record tells us about changing climates. Let’s try to fill this gap. Be sure to look for ‘Notes’ in the notes pages below the slides PLEASE NOTE: This is just a collection of a few slides highlighting some recent developments as well as some of the poor reporting of climate in the Murdoch papers Climate Science What happened to the Science? Keith Burrows Australian Institute of Physics Education Committee The ‘Hiatus’? FOR 2015 SciCons: Global Ocean heat content (Nature Climate Change Jan 2015) 26 Jan 2015 2014 The hottest 20 years •Include: •All (14) years this century •Only 6 from last century •Last year (2013) was the fourth hottest •Except for 1998, the hottest 13 years have all been this century. •1998 was by far the hottest year of the 20th century. •1998 was the last year of a strong El Niño 2014 – Hottest year? “NASA later admitted that given the small difference between recent temperature highs and the margin of error in recording, it was only 38 per cent certain 2014 was the warmest” a a “After checking raw data, Mr Homewood said past temperatures had been adjusted down by almost 2C and a declining temperature trend over 65 years in the raw data had been transformed into a sharply warming trend” (Oz 28 Jan 2015) But that ‘adjustment’ was at ONE weather station – in Paraguay “Berkeley Earth developed a methodology for automating the adjustment process in part to answer the suspicions people had about the fairness of human aided adjustments.... the “biggest fraud” of all time and this “criminal action” amounts to nothing.” The Big Fraud? The Oz’s corrections of any of these misleading claims? FOR 2015 SciCons: IPCC WGI Fig TS.9 Anthropogenic and natural forcings Natural forcings only Greenhouse gas forcings only An acoustic study involving 6 people in 3 households who had complained about the wind farm They experienced “sensations” when the wind turbines changed output A spokesman for Pacific Hydro, Andrew Richards, said the report “was not a scientifically robust study, not a medical study and that no cause-and-effect relationship is demonstrated by the study”. Download this publication from https://www.science.org.au/climatechange An example of absolutely woeful reporting in “The Australian” Compare this with what Schmidt actually said! (Previous slide) It was prepared on behalf of the academy by leading lights of the global warming establishment. Some day the academy may come to regret the arrangement... ...the international gurus of climate change have become very good at having their cake and eating it too. On the one hand they pay enough lip service to the uncertainties of global warming to justify continued funding for their research. On the other, they peddle a belief — this with religious zeal, and a sort of subconscious blindness to overstatement and the cherrypicking of data — that the science is settled and the world is well on its way to climatic disaster. WHAT TOTAL GARBAGE!! Interesting book! Unfortunately lacks emphasis on the need for good solid science in my opinion Basic message: We need to talk with the ‘other side’! The politicisation of the issue has done huge damage