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Transcript
Introduction to climate change
Introduction
Welcome & Acknowledgement
Background
[Insert Council logo]
• Workshops  action plan
• General Manager’s support
Housekeeping
• Facilities, OH&S, Turn off mobiles
Introduction
Purpose
• Developing a Climate Change Action Plan
Program
• Keeping to time
• Respectful discussion
Introductions
• Name, role, views on climate change
Evaluation forms
Progress
Gain
internal
support
Identify Planning
Team
Steering Committee Meeting 1
-Develop a planning program
Workshop 1
-Introduction
Workshop 2
-Risk assessment
Steering Committee Meeting 2
-Research adaptation options
Workshop 3
-Adaptation
actions
Steering Committee
Meeting 3 -Mitigation
Steering Committee
Meeting 5 -Review
Steering Committee
Meeting 4 -Action plan
Workshop 4
-Mitigation actions
Expected
outcomes
Participants will understand:
• Historical evidence
• The Greenhouse Effect
• Projections for NSW
• Likely impacts
• Implications for council
• Council’s role
Wind Farm, Blayney courtesy WBC Strategic Alliance
The planet is warming
Photos courtesy of the National Snow
and Ice Data Centre and Glacier Bay
National Park and Preserve Archive
http://nsidc.org/glaciers/gallery
Terminology
• Climate: Average weather conditions over a
long period (30 years)
• Climate change: Long term shift in average
weather conditions
• Extreme events:
Severe storms (rain,
hail, wind) cyclones,
fire and more
Clarence River
by Scott Lenton
Global temperature
anomalies
Source: Garnaut (2008)
Australian temperature
anomalies
Source: Garnaut (2008)
Historical evidence
Rate of temperature change (°C/10 years) over the last 39 years
Historical evidence
Rate of rainfall change (mm/10 years) over the last 39 years
Historical evidence
Sea level rise (mm) since 1870
Global average
sea level rise
Source: Garnaut (2008)
The greenhouse
effect
Image courtesy of Climate Change Connection
http://www.climatechangeconnection.org/Science/Greenhouseeffect.htm
Sources of
emissions
Natural sources
All Images taken from stock.xchng vi - http://www.sxc.hu/
Sources of
emissions
Human sources
All Images taken from stock.xchng vi - http://www.sxc.hu/
Australia’s
emissions
Per capita greenhouse gas emissions
Sources: DCC (2008); IEA (2007) in: Garnaut (2008)
Major emissions
sources - Australia
Category
National Greenhouse
Gas Inventory Total
Energy
Industrial Processes
Agriculture
Land Use, Land-Use
Change and Forestry
Waste
1,000 tCO2e
597,156.55
408,162.69
30,342.89
88,106.04
55,977.82
14,567.10
Source: DCCEE (2008)
Major emissions
sources - NSW
Category
National Greenhouse
Gas Inventory Total
Energy
Industrial Processes
Agriculture
Land Use, Land-Use
Change and Forestry
Waste
1,000 tCO2e
162,720.51
117,199.22
11,631.15
17,547.50
11,071.43
5,271.21
Source: DCCEE (2008)
Australia’s
emissions
Greenhouse gas emissions by sector, 1990 and 2006
Source: DCC (2008) in: The Garnaut Climate Change Review (2008)
Projections
for NSW
Average Winter Temperature
Source: Climate Change in
Australia (2009)
Projections
for NSW
Average Summer Temperature
Source: Climate Change in
Australia (2009)
Projections
for NSW
Average Winter Rainfall
Source: Climate Change in
Australia (2009)
Projections
for NSW
Average Summer Rainfall
Source: Climate Change in
Australia (2009)
Projections
• In the next Module we will examine the
projections for NSW in more detail & also the
projections for this region
• In this Module we will briefly look at some
potential impacts and implications…
Likely impacts?
• What would you expect from higher
temperatures and reduced annual average
rainfall…?
Likely impacts
• Changed distributions of pests, weeds and
disease (i.e. loss and gain) & extend drought
• Heat waves - risk for vulnerable communities
(elderly, frail and infants)
• Increased frequency & intensity of bushfires
and extended fire season
(temperature, evaporation)
Fire fighting in the Mount Burrell Forest
in Northern NSW by Mike Rushby.
Likely impacts
• Lower rainfall  less water availability, reliability
• Increased storm intensity  increased flooding
• Increased storm surge and sea level rise 
erosion, inundation of
coastal lowlands &
modification of estuaries
Erosion of Access Road at Minnie Bay
by Phil Rogers, Envite
Risks to
communities
• Endangering life – e.g. bushfire, storms
• Heatwaves – e.g. dehydration at sporting and
outdoor events
• Disruptions to supply chains
• Primary industries
• Property – e.g. flooding,
storm damage, erosion
Sheep at Cabonne, courtesy
WBC Strategic Alliance
Implications
Assets and infrastructure - Damage to and
maintenance of:
• Buildings (cooling costs)
• Coastal infrastructure
• Open space, recreational facilities
• Stormwater drainage / levees
• Wastewater
• Water supply
Sewer surcharge during Hunter
storms 2008 by Hunter Councils Inc.
Implications
NRM and biodiversity
• Loss of biodiversity
• Coastal management
• Weeds and pests
Community
• Increased demand for
health care & emergency services
Land use planning
• Loss of property and assets
• ESD design into developments
Windmill by @dino 2006
www.flickr.com
Implications
Economic impacts
• Impact on tourism
• Insurance and liability issues
• Electricity supply
Waste
• Large emission source that council can influence
• National Greenhouse & Energy Reporting
System (NGERS)
• CPRS
Upper Colo River, NSW by island home
www.flickr.com
Climate change is
everybody’s business
• Community Health & Social Planning
• Planning, Assets & Infrastructure
• Open Space & Biodiversity
• Rangers & Traffic Services
• Mangers & Directors
• Legal Advice
• Finance
Photo provided by
Scott Lenton
Council’s response
• Council has a dual role
– Mitigate, or reduce, greenhouse gas
emissions to reduce climate change
– Adapt, or prepare for, unavoidable climate
change e.g. council operations, staff,
infrastructure
By armisteadbooker
Why?
• Why should Council take action on climate
change?
Why act?
Avoid:
• Disruption to council services
• Unbudgeted financial impacts
• Litigation
Fulfill:
• Duty of care to the community
• Meet KPIs in strategic plans
• Liveability and economic viability of a region
• Need to incorporate ESD into activities & decision
making - requirement of the Local Government
Act 1993
LGSA support
•
•
•
•
Needs Analysis Survey
Climate Change Summit
Regional Workshops
Workshop Package
Any questions?
Achievements
from the workshop
During the workshop we have explored:
• Historical evidence for climate change
• The Greenhouse Effect
• Projections for NSW
• Likely impacts
• Implications for council
• Council’s role
Conclusion
• Thank you
• Evaluation forms
References
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
ABS, 2003 projections and 2005 data. http://www.abs.gov.au/ (visited December, 2009)
AGO, 2006, Climate Change Impacts and Risk Management – A Guide for Business and
Government.
DCCEE, 2008, Australia’s National Greenhouse Accounts, Australian Greenhouse Emissions
Information System, www.ageis.greenhouse.gov.au (visited May, 2010).
CSIRO, 2007, Catchment Scenario Reports
http://www.environment.nsw.gov.au/climateChange/nswreports.htm (visited December, 2009)
Deacons, 2009, Briefing Paper on Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme Bill 2009 and
associated legislation.
England, P., 2006, Climate Change: What are Local Governments Liable for? Griffith University
Urban Research Program Issues Paper 6.
Garnaut, R., 2008, The Garnaut Climate Change Review
http://www.garnautreview.org.au/index.htm (visited February, 2010)
IPCC, 2007, Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis.
Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt,
M.Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and
New York, NY, USA. http://www.ipcc.ch/press_information/press_information_fact_sheet1.htm
(visited December, 2009)
Local Government Act 1993 http://www.austlii.edu.au/au/legis/nsw/consol_act/lga1993182/
(visited December, 2009)
Palutikof, J.P., 2010, The view from the front line: Adapting Australia to climate change, Global
Environmental Change 20 (2010) 218-219.