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WarsawInternationalMechanism ExecutiveCommittee(WIMExCom)WorkPlan ActionArea6onMigration,DisplacementandHumanMobility SubmissionoftheAdvisoryGrouponClimateChangeandHumanMobilitycomposedoftheUnitedNations’HighCommissionerforRefugees(UNHCR),theInternational OrganizationforMigration(IOM),theUnitedNationsUniversityInstituteforEnvironmentandHumanSecurity(UNU-EHS),theUnitedNationsDevelopmentProgramme (UNDP),theNorwegianRefugeeCouncilanditsInternalDisplacementMonitoring Centre(NRC/IDMC),RefugeesInternational(RI),theUniversityofLiège(ULg),and theArabNetworkforEnvironmentandDevelopment(RAED) ActionArea6oftheWIMExCom’sinitialtwo-yearworkplanfocusesonenhancingtheunderstandingofandexpertiseonhowtheimpactsofclimatechangeareaffectingpatternsofmigration, displacement and human mobility; and the application of such understanding and expertise. ToassisttheExecutiveCommitteeinthistask,relevantorganizationsandexpertshavebeen invitedtoprovidetotheWIMExCom,byMonday16May2016,knowledge,dataandscientiJic information on both internal and cross-border migration, displacement and other forms of humanmobilityowingtofactorsrelatedtoclimatechangeimpacts,includingincombination withotherfactors.TheWIMExComisparticularlyinterestedingatheringinformationonpotentialchallengesandpossiblesolutions.Inputmayinclude: a)Informationonfactorsthataffectmovementsordecisionstostayofvulnerablepopulations(characteristics,underlyingvulnerabilities,circumstances,whereinterventionsmay beneededtohelpparticulargroups)associatedwiththeimpactsofclimatechangeindistinction to or in conjunction with impacts related to climate variability and non-climate relatedimpacts; b)Policy,normativeandinstitutionalchallengesandopportunitiesassociatedwithminimizing,avertingandaddressingbothinternalandcross-borderdisplacement,includingin thecontextofalternativeclimatechangetrajectories(e.g.1.5°C,2°C,etc.)includingchallengesofcommunitiesnotinapositiontomigrate(socalled“trappedpopulations”). I. Informationonfactorsthataffectmovementsordecisionstostayofvulnerable populations (characteristics, underlying vulnerabilities, circumstances, where interventionsmaybeneededtohelpparticulargroups)associatedwiththeimpactsofclimatechangeindistinctiontoorinconjunctionwithimpactsrelated toclimatevariabilityandnon-climaterelatedimpacts; a. Howdoadverseeffectsofclimatechangeimpactdisplacement,migrationand otherformsofhumanmobility? TheIPCCFirstAssessmentreportconcludedthatoneofthelargestimpactsofclimate changecouldbeonhumanmobility.Sincethen,understandingofthemobilityaspectsof climatechangehavesubstantiallyincreased.ThelatestIPCCreport(IPCCAR5)concludes thattheadverseeffectslinkedtoclimatechangeareanticipatedtoaffecthumanmobilityin atleastthreeways: (1)anincreaseinthefrequencyandintensityofextremeweathereventsforces peoplefromtheirhomesonatemporaryandsometimespermanentbasis. (2)Increasedwarminganddroughtaffectsagriculturalproductionandaccessto cleanwater. (3)Sealevelchangeshavebeenprojectedtoleadtopermanentdisplacementsas coastalareasbecomeuninhabitable. (4)moreindirectly,throughamplifyingpovertyandeconomicshocksthatcontributetothepotentialforviolentconYlictintheformofcivilwarandintergroupviolence.1 Howmanypeoplearedisplacedoratriskofdisplacementinthecontextof b. climatechange? • ThereissigniYicantquantitativeandqualitativedataonpastdisplacementassociated withdisastersbroughtonbysudden-onsetnaturalhazardssuchasYloods,stormsand wildYires.Consideringtheimpactofsudden-onsetweather-relatedhazardsorshocks, between 2008 and 2015, there was an average of at least 21.5 million new displacementsofpeopleeachyear.2 Thereisnoglobalestimateofthetotalnumberofpeople livingindisplacement,however,includinghundredsofthousandswhoremaindisplacedforprolongedperiodsoftimesthatgoonforyearstodecadesratherthandaysto months before they are able to settle in their former homes or elsewhere.3 The Fifth AssessmentReportoftheIPCC(AR5)concludedthatlevelsofdisplacementrelatedto bothlargeandsmall-scale,recurrenthazardslinkedtoclimatechangewillincreasein thecomingdecades.Climatechangeislikelytoexacerbateanupwardtrendindisaster displacementasthenumberofvulnerablepeoplelivinginhazardousareasincreases, throughpopulationgrowthandrapid,unplannedurbanization(andanexplosioninthe numberofpeoplelivinginslum-likeconditions),poordevelopmentpracticesandother factors. 1IPCCFifthAssessmentReport,WorkingGroupII,“ClimateChange2014:Impacts,AdaptationandVulnera - bility,”Chapter12,pp.766-71;Chapter21,pp.1175https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/wg2/ 2IDMCGlobalReportonInternalDisplacement2016,May2016.h=p://www.internal-displacement.org/globalre - port2016/ 3ibid.AlsoseeIDMCGlobalEstimates2015:Peopledisplacedbydisasters,July2015.Chapter5,pp.47-74. http://www.internal-displacement.org/publications/2015/global-estimates-2015-people-displaced-by-disasters/ • ThereisanothersigniYicantgapinthecurrentdata:displacementrelatedtotheimpact ofslowonsethazardsandgradualprocessesofenvironmentaldegradationthatmayin turnbelinkedtoclimatechange.TheseprocessescanbeasigniYicantdriverofmigrationanddisplacementastheyerodelivelihoods,foodsecurity,healthandotherfactors necessaryforpeopletosurviveandprosperintheirhomeareas.4Morequalitativeand quantitative national assessments are needed to understand human mobility in the context of these climate-related stressors, including recurrent drought, land degradation,desertiYication,sealevelriseandtemperaturerise.5 • Althoughdisplacementinthecontextofdisastersandclimatechangeispredominantly internal,moredataisneededonpeopledisplacedacrossinternationalbordersinthese contexts. • An additional challenge, especially when analyzing the link between climate change and human mobility and quantifying movements, is determining the extent to which climate change – in combination with socio-economic or other non-climate factors – wasacauseofthemovement.Theinteractionsofmobilitywithclimatechangeimpacts aremultifacetedandmotivationsarecomplex. Environmentalconditionsand altered ecosystem services are just some among the many reasons why people move, whichusuallyinteractswitharangeofothereconomic,political,social,anddemographicfactors.Climatechangeimpactsmaythusplayaroleinthesedecisions,butdirectattributionisoftendifYiculttoestablishinrelationtospeciYiceventsandcontexts, and is the subject of extensive research. In view of this complex causality, estimating futureglobaldisplacementisfraughtwithuncertainty.6 • Addingtothisuncertaintyisthefactthattheextentofhumanmobilityinthecontextof adverse effects of climate change will be highly dependent upon not only the rate of warmingandchangestotheclimatesystem,theperceptionsofvulnerablepopulations 4IDMCGlobalEstimates2015:Peopledisplacedbydisasters,July2015http://www.internal-displacemen- t.org/publications/2015/global-estimates-2015-people-displaced-by-disasters/ 5IOM’sAssessingtheEvidenceseries.countryandregionalassessmentsonenvironmentalandclimatemi- gration(2014-2016).PapuaNewGuinea,2014(www.environmentalmigration.iom.int/assessing-evidencemigration-environment-and-climate-change-papua-new-guinea).Haiti,2015(www.environmentalmigration.iom.int/fr/deYis-enjeux-et-politiques-migrations-environnement-et-changements-climatiques-en-haiti). DominicanRepublic,2016(https://publications.iom.int/es/system/Yiles/assessing_the_evidence_dominican_republic_sp.pdf).Cambodia,2016.https://environmentalmigration.iom.int/assessing-vulnerabilitiesand-responses-environmental-changes-cambodia. 6Gemenne,François.2011.“WhytheNumbersDon’tAddup:AReviewofEstimatesandPredictionsofPeople DisplacedbyEnvironmentalChanges.”MigrationandGlobalEnvironmentalChange–ReviewofDriversofMigration21,Supplement1(December):S41–49.doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.09.005 on environmental changes and the extent to which humans implement adaptation measuresthateffectivelyavoidorminimizedisplacement.7 ,8 • Insomecases,initiativestomitigateclimatechange,suchasREDD+orbiofuelproduction,mayalsoindirectlyleadtodisplacementandotherformsofhumanmobility.9 c. Whereistheriskofclimatedisplacementmoreprominent? Whilenoregionoftheglobeisimmunefromclimatechange,itwilldisproportionatelyaffectcertaingeographicregionsandcommunitiesthataremoreexposedandvulnerableto itseffects.10, 11Whilesevereweathereventsaffectrichandpoorcountriesalike,poorand vulnerablecommunitiesareworstaffected.Since2008,closeto175 million people who live in developing countries have been displaced by disasters,accountingfor95per centoftheglobaltotal.12 RisksaregreatestforleastdevelopedcountrieswithsigniYicant populations who are both exposed to climate-related hazards and vulnerable to climate impactsduetopre-existingvulnerabilitysuchaspoverty,poorlyconstructedhousingand infrastructure,aswellastheirlimitedYinancial,technicalandinstitutionalcapacitytorecover or adapt. Thus, the extent of displacement will also depend on the ability of governments and communities to adapt and implement measures to build resilience and reduce underlyingvulnerabilitiesanddisplacementrisk. Certaingeographicregionsoftheworldarealsomorelikelytoexperienceclimatechangerelateddisplacementandmigration.Forexample: (i)Asiaseesmoredisastersthananyotherregion–in2015,85percentofallnew displacementbysuddenonsetdisasterswasinsouthandeastAsia.13 7Zickgraf,Caroline,SaraVigil,FlorencedeLongueville,PierreOzer,andFrançoisGemenne.2016.“TheImpact ofVulnerabilityandResiliencetoEnvironmentalChangesonMobilityPatternsinWestAfrica.”WorldBank. 8IOM,2016.DataonEnvironmentalMigration:Howmuchdoweknow:http://iomgmdac.org/data-envi - ronmental-migration/ 9Vigil,S.2015.‘Displacementasaconsequenceofclimatechangemitigationpolicies’,DisastersandDis - placementinaChangingClimate,ForcedMigrationReview.UniversityofOxford.No49:43-45. 10IonescoDina,DariaMokhnacheva,FrançoisGemenne.2016.Atlasdesmigrationsenvironnementales.1vol. (151p.)vols.Paris:SciencesPolesPresses/OrganisationInternationalesdesMigrations(IOM):http:// www.iomfrance.org/atlas-des-migrations-environnementales-0 11IOMandSciencesPoSeries:StateofEnvironmentalMigration(2011,2012,2013,2014,2015)http:// www.environmentalmigration.iom.int/projects/state-environmental-migration 12IDMC2015. 13IDMCGlobalReportonInternalDisplacement2016,May2016.h=p://www.internal-displacement.org/globalre - port2016/ (ii)Low-lyingcoastalareaswithlargepopulationslivingwithinafewmetersofsea level,suchasBangladesh,arelikelytoexperiencesigniYicantclimatechange-related displacement due to increased exposure to storm surge, soil salination, Ylooding, erosion,andsealevelrise.14 ,15 (iii)Climatechangeimpactsonwateravailabilitywilldisproportionatelyaffectgeographic areas that are prone to drought or dependent on glacial melt for fresh water.16 (iv)Climatechangewillalsodisproportionatelyaffecthumanmobilityindeveloping countrieswithpopulationsthatarehighlydependentonnaturalresources/rain-fed agriculturetosurvivesuchastheSahelregionofWestAfricaandotherpartsofsubSaharanAfrica.17 (v)ThepopulationsoffragileandconYlict-affectedstatesisalsoatparticularriskof displacementinthecontextofdisastersandclimatechange.18 (vi)Arcticcommunities,especiallyindigenouspeoples,arealsohighlyvulnerableto displacementduetotherapidincreaseintemperatureandmeltingofseaiceinthe Arcticregion.Infact,intheUnitedStates,NativeAlaskancommunitiesarealready undertakingmeasurestorelocateinland.19 d. Isthereaknowledgegap? • Whileunderstandingofthecauses,dynamicsandmagnitudeofclimatechange-related displacement has been growing in recent years, these phenomena are still not fullyunderstoodandconceptualized.Thereforebetterdata,conceptsandevidence areneededtodevelopadequatepolicies.Thedevelopmentoftoolsandsystemsthat allowforthesystematicgatheringandanalysisofreliabledataondisplacement,and 14WorldBank,TurnDowntheHeat:ClimateExtremes,RegionalImpacts,andtheCaseforResilience(2013) h=p://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/ 2015/07/17/090224b0828c0f20/1_0/Rendered/PDF/Turn0down0the00lience000full0report.pdf 15Chun,J.2014.Migration,EnvironmentandClimateChange:PolicyBriefSeries.IOM.http://www.environ - mentalmigration.iom.int/vulnerability-environmental-stress-household-livelihoods-assets-and-mobilitymekong-delta-viet-nam 16ReportoftheOfYiceoftheHighCommissioneronHumanRightsontherelationshipbetweenclimate changeandhumanrights(A/HRC/10/61),15January2009,p.11http://www.ohchr.org/EN/Issues/ HRAndClimateChange/Pages/Study.aspx 17Id.at10. 18“ANewClimateforPeace:TakingActiononClimateandFragilityRisks,”ANewClimateForPeace,2015,ac- cessed25May2015,http://www.newclimateforpeace.org/ 19IPCCAR5,WGII,Chapter28,at1583. humanmobilitymoregenerally,inthecontextofdisastersandtheeffectsofclimate changeisparticularlyneeded. • Thisisnotanexhaustivelistbutitwouldbeusefulforexampletodeterminetowhat extentmenandwomenalreadyrelyonmigrationasastrategytocopewiththeeffectsofnaturalhazardsandtheeffectsofclimatechange,andwhatlessonscanbe learned for improving the beneYits of migration and addressing related protection risks.20 Itwouldalsobeusefultounderstandunderwhatcircumstancesvulnerable households chose to use different forms of mobility to manage climate risks, and whattheoutcomeswerefortheirwelfareaswellasunderstandingvulnerablehouseholdcharacteristics.Anothergapisthecostofimplementingmeasurestoprevent andaddressdisplacement. • Likewisetheavailabilityoftailoredclimateinformationandservicesforvulnerable populationgroupsatriskofdisplacement,aswellasabilitytoaccessandusesuch information/services,couldcontributetotheiradaptationmeasuresandhaveimplicationsontheirdecisionsonmovement.Oftenpopulationgroupsatriskfortheadverseeffectsofextremeweathereventsorclimatechangedonothaveaccesstotailored climate information to make decisions in time that could ultimately prevent theirdisplacement.WhiletheneedforstrengtheningclimateservicesaspartofDRR isrecognisedthroughtheGlobalFrameworkforClimateServices(GFCS) 21andotherglobalinitatives(suchastheGlobalFacilityforDisasterRiskReduction(GFDRR) andtheClimateRiskandEarlyWarningSystems(CREWS)),thelinktodisplacement isnotspeciYicallyhighlightedandcouldbedevelopedfurther,includinginareassuch asimpactbasedearlywarnings22anddisasterriskYinancingandinsurance23. II. Policy,normativeandinstitutionalchallengesandopportunitiesassociatedwith minimizing, averting and addressing both internal and cross-border displacement, including in the context of alternative climate change trajectories (e.g. 1.5°C,2°C,etc.)includingchallengesofcommunitiesnotinapositiontomigrate (socalled“trappedpopulations”). 1. Policy,normativeandinstitutionalchallenges Climate-anddisaster-related human mobility is a cross-cutting issue that requires strengthened action at all levels and sectors, including humanitarian response, human rightsprotection, migration management, protection of refugeesand other forcibly displacedpeople,disasterriskreductionandmanagement,climatechangeadaptation, 20NansenInitiative’sAgendafortheProtectionofCross-BorderDisplacedPersonsintheContextofDisasters andClimateChange(ProtectionAgenda) 21h=p://www.gfcs-climate.org/disaster_risk_reducVon; 22h=p://www.cop21.gouv.fr/en/launch-of-crews-climate-risk-early-warning-systems/ 23h=ps://www.gfdrr.org/disaster-risk-financing-and-insurance land use planning, and development. Because different institutions deal with different aspectsofhumanmobilityinthecontextofdisastersandclimatechange,inter-agency coordinationisneededinordertoavoidoverlapandaddressgaps.24,25 a. Arepeopledisplacedinthecontextofclimatechange«climaterefugees»? • Thetermclimaterefugeedoesnotexistininternationallawsincetheword‘refugee’, assetforthinthe1951RefugeeConventionnormallydescribespeopleYleeingwar orpersecution,andwhohavecrossedaninternationalborder.Inthecaseofcrossborderclimate-relateddisplacement,thereisnointernationalprotectioninstrument andhence,alegalgaptoassistandprotectpeoplewhocrossbordersinthecontext ofdisastersandclimatechange.26 • Evidenceindicatesthatmostdisplacementinthecontextofclimatechangeanddisasters takes place within countries. People who are internally displaced in these contextsareinneedoftimelyassistanceandprotectionandlackdurablesolutions, otherwise,theyaremorelikelytobeforcedtocrossaninternationalbordertoseek redress.27,28 b. Whataretherelevantglobalpolicyframeworksandprocessesofrelevancefor humanmobilityinthecontextofdisastersandclimatechange? • TheSendaiFrameworkforDisasterRiskReduction2015–2030acknowledgesthat oneofthemostdevastatingeffectsofdisastersinrecentyearsisthelargenumberof people who are displaced.29 , 30 The Framework underlines, inter alia, the need to prepare for “ensuring rapid and effective response to disasters and related dis- 24UNHCR,TheEnvironmentandClimateChange:AnOverview,2015,http://www.unhcr.org/540854f49.html 25IOMOutlookonMigration,EnvironmentandClimateChange(2014):http://www.environmentalmigra- tion.iom.int/iom-outlook-migration-environment-and-climate-change-1 26UNHCRLegalandProtectionPolicy,ProtectingPeopleCrossingBordersintheContextofClimateChange NormativeGapsandPossibleApproaches,2012,http://www.unhcr.org/542e9abd9.html 27NansenInitiative’sAgendafortheProtectionofCross-BorderDisplacedPersonsintheContextofDisasters andClimateChange(ProtectionAgenda) 28IOM,Glossary:Migration,EnvironmentandClimateChange(2014)http://www.environmentalmigra- tion.iom.int/glossary-migration-environment-and-climate-change-evidence-policy-meclep-0 29PopulationMobilityandDisasterRiskReduction:PerspectivesonhumanmobilityandtheHFA2consulta- tionprocess(IOM2015):http://www.environmentalmigration.iom.int/population-mobility-and-disasterrisk-reduction-perspectives-human-mobility-and-hfa2-consultation 30KeyAdvocacyMessages:MobilityandDisasterRiskReduction/Messagesclésdeplaidoyer:Mobilitéet réductiondesrisquesdecatastrophe/Mensajesyrecomendacionesclave:Movilidadyreduccióndelriesgo dedesastreshttp://www.environmentalmigration.iom.int/key-advocacy-messages-mobility-and-disasterrisk-reduction-messages-cl%C3%A9s-de-plaidoyer-mobilit%C3%A9-et placement, including access to safe shelter, essential food and non-food relief supplies”andencouragesStatestoadopt,atnationalandlocallevels,“policiesandprogrammes addressing disaster induced human mobility to strengthen the resilience of affected people and that of host communities as per national laws and circumstances.”Italsocallsfor“transboundarycooperation[...]tobuildresilienceandreducedisasterrisk,including[...]displacementrisk.”31 • The2030AgendaforSustainableDevelopment,alsoadoptedin2015,notesthatthe “forced displacement of people threaten[s] to reverse much of the development progressmadeinrecentdecades,”andcontainsacommitment“tocooperateinternationally to ensure [...] the humane treatment”, inter alia, of “displaced persons,” and to build the resilience of those in vulnerable situations to climate-related extremeeventsandotherdisasters.32 • TheYirstWorldHumanitarianSummit(WHS)willbeheldinIstanbulon23and24 May2016andwillbringtogethergovernments,humanitarianorganizations,people affectedbyhumanitariancrisesandotherrelevantstakeholderstodevelopasetof concreteactionsaimedatenablingcountriesandcommunitiestobetterpreparefor crisisandemergencies,includingpreparingforincreasedfrequencyandintensityof naturalhazards.Itwillbeimportanttoensuretheinclusionofhumanmobilitychallengesintosuchproposalsandpromoteactionsthatcanprotectandpreventpeople from being displaced and ensure movement in dignity and safety when displacementisunavoidable. • The UN Conference on Housing and Sustainable Urban Development (Habitat III) willtakeplaceinQuito,Ecuador,on17-20October2016.Thegoaloftheconference is to secure renewed political commitment for sustainable urban development, assess accomplishments to date, address poverty, and identify and address new and emerging challenges. The Yirst implementing conference of the Post-2015 sustainabledevelopmentandclimatechangeagendas,HabitatIIIoffersauniqueopportunitytodiscusstheimportantchallengeofurbanareasvulnerabilitytoclimatechange (especiallyinformalsettlements)andasdestinationsforthoseuprootedbyclimate changeeffects. • The Nansen Initiative is a State-led, consultative process launched in 2012 by the Swiss and Norwegian governments to build consensus on a Protection Agenda addressingtheneedsofpeopledisplacedacrossbordersinthecontextofdisastersand climatechange. Overthecourseofthreeyears,theNansenInitiativeconductedregional consultations in the PaciYic, Central America, the Horn of Africa, Southeast AsiaandSouthAsia.Duringtheprocess,variousthematicareasincludinghumanitarianaction,humanrights,migration,disasterriskreduction,climatechangeadap- 31UNHCR,DisplacementandDisasterRiskReductionhttp://www.unhcr.org/5665945e9.html 32UNResolutionA/Res/70/1,“TransformingOurWorld:the2013AgendaforSustainableDevelopment,”15 September2015,¶¶14,29http://www.un.org/ga/search/view_doc.asp?symbol=A/RES/70/1&Lang=E tation,anddevelopmentcooperationwereaddressedinanefforttoimprovecooperation and promote comprehensive and coherent solutions.33 In October 2015, over100governmentsendorsedthe“AgendafortheProtectionofCross-BorderDisplaced Persons in the Context of Disasters and Climate Change,” which identiYies a toolboxofeffectivepracticesandpolicyoptionstoprevent,preparefor,andrespond toclimate-relateddisplacementandmigration.In2016andbeyond,theProtection Agendawillrequireimplementation(SeeSection3bbelow). ‑ c. WhatisaddedvalueofaddressingthisissuewithintheUNFCCC? • 2. EffortstoincludehumanmobilityintheUNFCCCframeworkarecomplementarytoefforts to better factor climatic, natural hazard and environmental factors into human mobilityinitiativesandprogrammes.Attheinternationallevel,theUNFCCCanditsrelevantbodiesincludingtheAdaptationCommitteeandtheWIMExComprovideavaluablevenueforaddressingtheimpactsofclimatechangeonhumanmobility.National AdaptationPlansaswellasINDCsandotherUNFCCCinstrumentsarerelevantvehicles atthenationallevelforpreventing,minimizingandaddressingdisplacement.34 Opportunities associated with minimizing and averting both internal and cross-borderdisplacementintheContextofClimateChange Itisimportanttonotethatnumerousopportunitiesexist–includingthroughtheUNFCCC andimplementationoftheSendaiFrameworkandtheSustainableDevelopmentGoals–to avoidandminimizedisplacementfromdisastersandotherclimatechange-relatedeffects. National governments are encouraged to take measures to mitigate and prevent displacement from extreme weather and other climate change-related adverse effects throughclimatechangeadaptation(e.g.,asrelatetolanduseplanningandagriculturalpractices),disasterriskreductionandmanagement,andthelike. Increasing the resilience of affected populations to prevent and minia. mizedisplacement Increasing the resilience of affected populations through planning for, and implementing,climatechangeadaptationstrategiesanddisasterriskreductionmanagementisessentialtoenablethemtoremainwheretheyliveandavertdisplacement.35 Strengthening the resilience of communities that are already displaced, as well as 33Seewww.nanseninitiative.org 34UNHCRLegalandProtectionPolicy,ClimateChangeInducedDisplacement:AdaptationPolicyintheCon- textoftheUNFCCCClimateNegotiations,2011http://www.unhcr.org/542e9b3e9.html; UNU-EHSPublicationseries,PolicyBrief,IntegratingHumanMobilityIssueswithinNationalAdaptation Plans,2014,http://www.unhcr.org/542e97229.html 35UNHCR,DisplacementandDisasterRiskReductionhttp://www.unhcr.org/5665945e9.html the communities that host them, should also be a priority to avoid secondary and protracteddisplacementsituations.36 Migrationasameasuretopreventandminimizedisplacement b. Well-managedmigration,whethercircular,temporaryorundertakenwiththeintentiontosettleelsewhere,hasthepotentialtoincreasetheresilienceofclimate vulnerablepopulationsbycreatingnewlivelihoodopportunitiesandstrengthening resilience andtheadaptativecapacitytofuturerisks.37Migrationcanalsosupport economic development in receiving areas, while supporting families back home through remittances. When not properly managed, however, migration can lead to signiYicant risks including trafYicking and exploitation. It is therefore essential to ensurethatmigrationoccursinamannerthatfullyrespectsandprotects thedignityandhumanrightsofthosewhomoveandthosewhostaybehind. Plannedrelocationasameasuretopreventandminimizedisplacement b. andmoveat-riskpopulationsoutofharm’sway Insomecases,theimpactsofclimatechangemaymakelifeunsustainableorrender certainareasuninhabitableowingtohighexposuretoextremeorfrequenthazards orbyseverelylimiting livelihoods options. Inallcases,Statesmustprioritizeappropriatemitigation,adaptationandotherpreventativemeasurestoallowpopulations at risk of displacement to remain in their homes.38 However, in some cases, Stateswillneedtotakemeasurestoprotectpeoplewhoareatriskofdisplacement duetoclimatechange-relatedhazardsandpermanentlyrelocatethemtosaferareas. Plannedrelocation,ifimplementedinconsultationwith,andwithrespectforthe rights of, the people and communities involved can protect vulnerable populations fromclimaterisksandimpactsthroughsettlingtheminsafer,moresecurelocations.However,wherenotproperlyplannedandimplemented,relocationcanresultinprotractedorsecondarydisplacementandrelatedhumanrightsviolations.39 Where planned relocation related to climate change cannot be avoided, its scale 36UNHCR,TheEnvironmentandClimateChange:AnOverview,2015,http://www.unhcr.org/540854f49.html 37IOMOutlookonMigration,EnvironmentandClimateChange(2014):http://www.environmentalmigra- tion.iom.int/iom-outlook-migration-environment-and-climate-change-1 38UNHCRBackgrounddocument,PlannedRelocation,DisastersandClimateChange:ConsolidatingGood PracticesandPreparingfortheFuture,2014http://www.unhcr.org/53c4d6f99.html;UNHCRFinalreportand preliminaryguidanceonPlannedRelocation,DisastersandClimateChange:ConsolidatingGoodPracticesand PreparingfortheFuture,2014http://www.unhcr.org/54082cc69.html;UNHCR,BrookingsandGeorgetown GuidanceonProtectingPeopleFromDisastersandEnvironmentalchangethroughplannedrelocation,2015, http://www.unhcr.org/562f798d9.html;IOM2016PolicyBriefSeriesIssue6:Relocationasanadaptation strategytoenvironmentalstresshttp://www.environmentalmigration.iom.int/policy-brief-series-issue-6-relocation-adaptation-strategy-environmental-stress 39See,e.g.,Thomas,A.(2015).PhilippinesPost-TyphoonResettlementPlanCarriesRisks.RefugeesIn- ternational.http://reliefweb.int/report/philippines/philippines-post-typhoon-resettlement-plan-carriesrisks shouldbeminimizedandtheprocessshouldalwaysinvolveaffectedcommunities,fullyprotecttheirrights,andsupportthemtofullyrestoretheirstandardofliving.40 Inter-stakeholdercoordination c. • The Advisory Group on Climate Change and Human Mobility shares the most recent, available knowledge with UNFCCC Parties in an effort to frame the issue, provide technical support, and contribute to the work of the WIM ExCom task force on climate displacement. • TheTheHigh-LevelCommitteeonProgrammes(HLCP)workinggrouponclimate change(WGCC).TheOneUNstrategyoftheWGCChasprovedefYiciencyinbringingtogethervariousstakeholderstocollaborateonclimatechangeandhumanmobilityunderthe leadershipofUNHCRandIOM.DuringtheUNFCCC2014and2015COPsinLimaandParis(COPs20 and21),UNHCRandIOMranajointexhibitboothtodisseminaterelevant publications and organized high level side events together with other UN and non UN partnerstoraiseawarenessandprovideguidanceonwaystoavert,minimizeandaddress climate-relateddisplacement. • The Nansen Initiative is a bottom-up, state-led consultative process with multistakeholderinvolvement.Itsconsultativecommitteeismadeupofrepresentativesfrom international organizations dealing with displacement and migration issues, climate change and development, researchers, think tanks and non-governmental organizations areinformingandsupportingtheprocessthroughtheexperienceofitsmembers. 3. OpportunitiesassociatedwithAddressingDisplacementintheContextofClimateChange Those displaced by disasters and climate change should be entitled to protection and assistance and should be supported to return and rebuild/recover their homes and livelihoodsassoonaspossible. a. Strengthening Assistance, Protection and Durable solutions for IDPS in the contextofdisastersandclimatechange 40UNHCRBackgrounddocument,PlannedRelocation,DisastersandClimateChange:ConsolidatingGood PracticesandPreparingfortheFuture,2014http://www.unhcr.org/53c4d6f99.html;UNHCRFinalreportand preliminaryguidanceonPlannedRelocation,DisastersandClimateChange:ConsolidatingGoodPracticesand PreparingfortheFuture,2014http://www.unhcr.org/54082cc69.html;UNHCR,BrookingsandGeorgetown GuidanceonProtectingPeopleFromDisastersandEnvironmentalchangethroughplannedrelocation,2015, http://www.unhcr.org/562f798d9.html;IOM2016PolicyBriefSeriesIssue6:Relocationasanadaptation strategytoenvironmentalstresshttp://www.environmentalmigration.iom.int/policy-brief-series-issue-6-relocation-adaptation-strategy-environmental-stress • Itiswidelyagreedthatthevastmajorityofpeopledisplacedbydisastersand the impacts of climate change will be internally displaced within their own countries. National governments bear the primary responsibility to protect people displacedwithintheirterritories. • The 1998 UN Guiding Principles on Internal Displacement, which are drawn fromhumanitarian,humanrights,andanalogousrefugeelaw,spellouttheprotection and assistance obligations of national governments with respect to people forcedtoYlee“naturalorhuman-madedisasters,andwhohavenotcrossedaninternationallyrecognizedstateborder.”41 • Inaddition,tworegionalinstrumentshavebeenadoptedbyAfricannations thatreinforcetheprotectionobligationsoutlinedintheGuidingPrinciples:the2009 KampalaConventionfortheProtectionandAssistanceofInternallyDisplacedPersons inAfrica(KampalaConvention)andthe2006GreatLakesProtocolontheProtection and Assistance to Internally Displaced Persons. The IASC Operational Guidelines on Human Rights and Natural Disasters also provide guidance for responding to displacementinnaturaldisastersituations. • WhilenumerousStateshaveadoptedlawsandpoliciesrelatedtoIDPs,42enforcement is often weak. States are encouraged to develop and implement improvedlawsandpoliciesrelatedtotheassistanceandprotectionofIDPs. • Where a disaster and related displacement overwhelm a national government’sabilitytorespond,itmaycallontheinternationalcommunityforassistance. The primary mechanism for the coordination of humanitarian assistance for internallydisplacedpersonsistheInter-AgencyStandingCommittee(IASC)’sclusterapproach. • Under the “cluster approach”, IOM and UNHCR co-lead the camp coordination and camp management (CCCM) cluster; UNHCR co-leads with the InternationalFederationof the Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC) the shelter cluster, and UNHCR leads the Global 1998UNGuidelinesonInternalDisplacement,Introduction,para.2. 41 42SeeIDMC’sIDPLawsandPolicyMappingTool,http://www.internal-displacement.org/law-and-policy ProtectionCluster.43 • It is widely assumed that most people displaced by sudden-onset weather-related disasters such as Yloods and storms return home relatively quickly. However, evidence shows that failure to receive timely shelter and livelihood assistance in the aftermathofdisasterscanleadtoprotractedorsecondarydisplacement,especially ofpoorandmarginalizedgroups.44Otherrecentcasestudiesshowthatintheaftermathofdisasters,numerousobstaclestoreturnexistsuchaslackofaccesstoland and discrimination against vulnerable and marginalized groups.45 Both national governments and international agencies need to focus on measures to better protectandassistIDPsintheaftermathofdisasters,tobettersupportthemost vulnerable groups to recover, and to ensure they achieve a durable solution to displacement.Inaddition,furtherresearchisneededbothtobettermonitorand betterunderstandthecausesofprotractedorsecondarydisplacementintheaftermathofdisasters. Protectionandassistanceforpeoplecrossingbordersinthecontextof b. disastersandclimatechange • Ratherthancallingforanewbindinginternationalconventiononcross-border disaster-displacement,Statesareencouragedtoadoptanapproachthatfocuses on the integration of effective practices by States and (sub-) regional organizations into their own normative frameworks and practices in accordance withtheirspeciOicsituationsandchallenges. • Members of the Advisory group contributed to the Nansen Initiative (2012-2015),astate-led,bottom-upconsultativeprocessintendedtobuildconsensusonkeyprinciplesandelementstoaddresstheprotectionandassistanceneedsof personsdisplacedacrossbordersinthecontextofdisasters,includingtheadverse effectsofclimatechange.AkeyoutcomeofthisprocessistheAgendafortheProtectionofCross-BorderDisplacedPersonsintheContextofDisastersandClimateChange (Protection Agenda)46 , which presents a comprehensive approach on how to both 43https://www.humanitarianresponse.info/fr/coordination/clusters/what-cluster-approach;http://www. - globalprotectioncluster.org/_assets/Yiles/tools_and_guidance/IASC_Guidelines_Natural_Disasters_EN.pdf; IOM,2015.TheMENDGuide-ComprehensiveGuideforPlanningMassEvacuationsinNaturalDisasters(Pilot Document):http://www.environmentalmigration.iom.int/mend-guide-comprehensive-guide-planning-massevacuations-natural-disasters-pilot-document 44A.Thomas,“RisingWaters,DisplacedLives,”ForcedMigrationReview45,atp.34,availableathttp:// www.fmreview.org/sites/fmr/Yiles/FMRdownloads/en/crisis.pdf 45IDMCGlobalEstimates2015PeopleDisplacedbyDisasters,Chapter5,p.47. 46TheProtectionAgendawasendorsedby109Governmentaldelegationsatanintergovernmentalconsulta- tioninGeneva,SwitzerlandinOctober2015. preventandaddressdisasterdisplacement(bothinternalandcross-border).Ithighlightstheneedforpolicyintegrationandenhancedcoordinationacrosshumanitarian,disasterriskreduction,climatechangeadaptationanddevelopmentactionareas. TheProtectionAgendaconsolidatesabroadsetofeffectivepracticesandpolicy options that can be used by States and others to reduce and manage disaster displacement, and to better protect and assist disaster displaced persons. The new Platform on Disaster Displacement will replace the Nansen Initiative and will belaunchedattheWHSinMay2016. For more information, please contact Marine Franck : [email protected]