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doi:10.1111/j.1440-1754.2010.01699.x ANNOTATION Climate change: The implications for child health in Australasia jpc_1699 493..496 Jamie Hosking,1 Rhys Jones,2 Teuila Percival,3 Nikki Turner4 and Shanthi Ameratunga1 1 Section of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, 2Te Kupenga Hauora Māori, 3Pacific Health Section and 4Department of General Practice and Primary Health Care, Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand Abstract: Children are particularly vulnerable to the health effects of climate change, the biggest global health threat of the 21st century. However, the worst effects on child health can be avoided, and well-designed climate policies can have important benefits for child health and equity. We call on child health professionals to seize opportunities to prevent climate change, improve child health and reduce inequalities, and suggest useful actions that can be taken. Key words: child; climate; ethics; socioeconomic factors; world health. Climate change has been described as ‘the biggest global health threat of the 21st century’.1 The implications of climate change for children, given their particular vulnerabilities, are especially concerning. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the warming of the climate system is unequivocal, and very likely (>90% probability) to be because of human greenhouse gas emissions. While not all of the risks of climate change can now be avoided, a combination of measures to prevent warming and adapt to a warmer climate can significantly reduce these risks.2 This august body of scientists calculates that highincome countries such as Australia and New Zealand need to reduce emissions by 25–40% by 2020, and 80–95% by 2050, compared with 1990 emission levels, to limit the average global temperature rise to around 2°C.3 A 2°C rise is considered the ‘guard rail’ beyond which climate change effects become more dangerous.4 The risk of ‘tipping points’, which could trigger more rapid warming or lead to disproportionately large adverse effects on humanity, is of particular concern.1 Furthermore, while a rise of no more than 2°C is described by some as a ‘safe threshold’, important risks to health are predicted even below this threshold.1 An increasing awareness of these effects has seen climate change move from a mainstream topic of scientific interest to a mainstream health concern. In October 2009, the World Medical Association’s Declaration of Delhi called for doctors to take action to prevent the serious consequences of climate change.5 The American Academy of Pediatrics published a policy statement on climate change in 2007.6 Since then, leaders of other medical professional bodies around the world have called for political action on climate change.7 As World Health Organization Director-General Margaret Chan has written, ‘the issue now is not whether climate change is occurring, but how we can respond most effectively’.8 We review the potential effects of climate change and climate policies on child health, and discuss the implications for child health professionals. Child Health Impacts of Climate Change Key Points 1 Climate change is now recognised as a major health issue. 2 Children are likely to be particularly vulnerable to the effects of climate change. 3 Climate change policies can have associated co-benefits that improve child health and reduce inequalities. However, input from health professionals is needed to support the choice of effective policies for children. Correspondence: Prof Shanthi Ameratunga, Deputy Head – School of Population Health, Faculty of Medical & Health Sciences, University of Auckland, Private Bag 92019, Auckland 1142, New Zealand. Tel: +64 9373 7599 ext 86534. Fax: +64 9373 7503. email: [email protected] Conflict of interest: All authors are members of OraTaiao: New Zealand Climate and Health (http://www.nzchg.webs.com). Accepted for publication 3 January 2010. The health effects of climate change are expected to take many pervasive forms. While a few are positive (e.g. reduced mortality from reduced cold exposure), the overall effects are predicted to be negative, with significant threats to many basic needs for health and survival, including water, food and shelter. Important communicable diseases such as malaria are likely to become more common in some areas, while changes such as rising sea levels will displace large number of people in some countries.1 Pacific island nations in our region are at high risk, with lowlying, small islands such as Tuvalu, Kiribati and Tokelau especially vulnerable. Access to safe water supplies can be threatened by more frequent droughts, flooding as a result of heavy rainfall events and increasing groundwater salinity as a result of rising sea levels.1 Food supplies are likely to be affected by water shortages as well as by extreme weather events such as droughts and flooding. Local constraints imposed by these weather-related Journal of Paediatrics and Child Health 47 (2011) 493–496 © 2010 The Authors Journal of Paediatrics and Child Health © 2010 Paediatrics and Child Health Division (Royal Australasian College of Physicians) 493 Climate change: implications for child health J Hosking et al. disasters and resulting water and food shortages may lead to the displacement of populations and promote conflict over these increasingly scarce resources.1 Bunyavanich et al.9 have identified multiple pathways, from metabolic to behavioural, that make children vulnerable to the effects of climate change. For example, children’s relatively higher water intake predisposes them to dehydration, while spending more time outdoors increases children’s vulnerability to thermal extremes. Children are also particularly vulnerable to the effects of natural disasters.9 Potential Health Co-benefits of Climate Policies While climate change itself poses serious risks to health, climate change policies can have positive spin-off effects on health, or ‘co-benefits’.10 Several of these co-benefits are of considerable importance to child health. The most important climate policy co-benefits differ substantially between rich and poor countries. Globally, indoor air pollution from cooking is a major cause of disease burden, especially for children. Providing clean-burning cooking stoves could improve health in low-income countries while reducing emissions.10 A low-carbon transport system, based on walking, cycling and public transport, could improve physical activity levels and reduce air pollution in most countries, with benefits for child respiratory health and obesity rates.10 Household energy efficiency improvements, such as insulation, can reduce respiratory illness,10 a leading cause of child hospitalisation.11 A compelling feature of these health co-benefits is that they can be immediate, tangible, local and relatively predictable. For instance, more active transport in Australia and New Zealand can lead to immediate improvements in physical activity for children, whereas the climate benefits, while important, are indirect and delayed. Climate change thus provides an important opportunity for health practitioners to advance initiatives such as healthier transport and housing, which are necessary for both climate and health reasons. The health co-benefits of climate change policies are not automatic. Although increased fuel prices are likely to encourage walking and cycling, in isolation such a policy could increase road traffic injuries by increasing the exposure of more vulnerable road users to unsafe road environments. In contrast, implementing traffic calming measures could reduce road traffic injuries among all road users, while also promoting walking and cycling. Without health input into climate policy development, opportunities to improve climate and health simultaneously may be overlooked. change, as they lack the infrastructure to withstand its effects, and lack the resources needed to invest in adaptation measures.1 This mismatch between the benefits and harms of emissions is a key global justice issue. While indigenous peoples of the world have made little contribution to causing climate change, they are at increased risk from its effects.12 Indigenous children already experience much worse health outcomes than non-indigenous children, and exclusionary social policies are at the root of these pervasive and unjust disparities.13 Equitable climate change policies will require a commitment to indigenous rights, prioritising support for indigenous populations to effectively adapt to climate change, as well as ensuring that climate change policies do not further disadvantage indigenous people or indigenous children. Climate change also raises intergenerational equity issues. While the children of today bear no responsibility for its causation, they are set to inherit a global environment that will expose them to serious risks and dramatically limit their ability to live full, healthy lives. The children of Pacific island countries and territories already face the negative effects of climate change, with inundation of coastal areas, loss of fresh water supplies, decreased biodiversity and increases in weather extremes and disasters. They are also limited in adaptation capacity through their small physical size, limited natural and other resources, isolation and poor infrastructure.14 Despite the inequity in negative effects experienced and resources to adapt, Pacific island countries are already developing adaptation plans and strategies.15 Both climate change and climate policies may increase household costs. Projected increases in global food scarcity are likely to drive up food prices,1 compounding the already large global burden of malnutrition and the associated risks for child physical and intellectual development.9 Indeed, in 2008, climate-related factors contributed to a dramatic spike in global food prices, likely to have driven millions more into food insecurity.1 Fuel price rises are also likely to increase the cost of transport, limiting access to important health determinants such as employment, health care and social services. These price rises will be felt most by low-income households, among whom children are disproportionately represented.11 Avoiding further increases in social and health inequalities that disadvantage children will require specific intervention strategies, such as promoting urban design that reduces the need to travel, providing affordable, convenient public transport, and ensuring access to healthy and affordable food. Broader macroeconomic strategies to reduce the expected inequitable impact on the poorest also need to be considered, for example, taxation and redistribution policies.16 A Call to Action Climate Change and Equity Historically, fossil fuel energy has contributed to human development and improved health and survival. However, these benefits have largely been restricted to rich countries, while the adverse effects of the resulting emissions are global. Indeed, poor countries will be disproportionately harmed by climate 494 Climate change is undeniably a major threat to our health and well-being. However, much can and should be done to avoid the worst effects of climate change on the health of children today and the generations to come. As previously discussed, several actions, including promoting healthier transport and housing, and ensuring food security for low-income families, can both Journal of Paediatrics and Child Health 47 (2011) 493–496 © 2010 The Authors Journal of Paediatrics and Child Health © 2010 Paediatrics and Child Health Division (Royal Australasian College of Physicians) J Hosking et al. Table 1 Climate change: implications for child health Actions child health professionals can take on climate change 1. Get informed, read and discuss. For an entertaining approach, watch the film ‘The Age of Stupid’.17 2. Advise patients. Consider potential climate change issues in your advice for patients: for example, encourage safe walking and cycling rather than driving, or encourage parents and children to grow food at home. 3. Reduce our personal emissions. Reduce flying and driving, and walk and cycle more. Improve home energy efficiency (e.g. better insulation) and reduce your intake of animal products. These can also benefit your own health. Visit 10:10 for ideas (http://www.1010uk.org). 4. Reduce our professional emissions. Take the same measures professionally as you do personally, and encourage your organisation to adopt climate-friendly policies and processes. 5. Advocate for climate action. Speak, write and make submissions in favour of strong local, national and global policies to fight climate change. This includes strong, responsible emissions reduction targets – for example, at least 40% reductions below 1990 levels by 2020 for developed countries.18 Call for child health impact assessment of new and existing national policies, including climate policies. 6. Join a climate and health NGO. These include OraTaiao: NZ Climate and Health (http://www.nzchg.webs.com), Doctors for the Environment Australia (http://www.dea.org.au) and the Climate and Health Council (http://www.climateandhealth.org). 7. Mobilise colleagues. Encourage child health professional bodies to publicly support strong climate action. Support and encourage colleagues in climate action. Advocate for climate change to be part of paediatric and child health training curricula. 8. Collaborate locally. Contribute to local projects to reduce emissions, by working with organisations such as schools, childcare centres and other community groups. 9. Provide assistance. Our Pacific neighbours will be among the worst hit by climate change. Advocate for governments to provide funding and other resources to help low- and middle-income countries in the region to adapt. Contribute your own funds, time and professional skills to respond to the needs of these countries, to mitigate the risks as well as minimise the impact of disasters when these occur. List adapted from several sources.6,18,19,20 NGO, non-governmental organisation. As the World Medical Association states, physicians have a responsibility not just for individual patients, but for the health of all people.5 The current situation – particularly in the context of inadequate policy responses,2,18 – provides an important opportunity for medical practitioners to act and be heard. Such action is essential to ensure that our local, national and global responses to climate change are commensurate with the scale of the threat, and to ensure that child health and equity receive the consideration they warrant in climate policies. References Smokestacks, Greymouth, NZ by Jayne Antony improve child health and mitigate the risks of climate change. Drawing on approaches advocated by several leading authorities, we outline some key steps that child health professionals could take (Table 1). 1 Costello A, Abbas M, Allen A, Ball S, Bell S, Bellamy R et al. Managing the health effects of climate change: Lancet and University College London Institute for Global Health Commission. Lancet 2009; 373: 1693–733. 2 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report. Summary for Policymakers. Geneva: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2007. 3 Metz B, Davidson OR, Bosch PR, Dave R, Meyer LA, eds. Climate Change 2007: Mitigation. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press, 2007. 4 Richardson K, Steffen W, Schellnhuber HJ, Alcamo J, Barker T et al. Synthesis Report. Climate Change: Global Risks, Challenges & Decisions. Copenhagen 10–12 March 2009. Copenhagen: University of Copenhagen, 2009. 5 World Medical Association. WMA declaration of Delhi on health and climate change. 2009. Available from: http://www.wma.net/en/ 30publications/10policies/c5/index.html [accessed 18 December 2009]. 6 Shea KM. Global climate change and children’s health. Pediatrics 2007; 120: 1149–52. 7 Lim V, Stubbs JW, Nahar N, Amarasena N, Chaudry ZU, Weng SC et al. Politicians must heed health effects of climate change. BMJ. 2009; 339: 647. Journal of Paediatrics and Child Health 47 (2011) 493–496 © 2010 The Authors Journal of Paediatrics and Child Health © 2010 Paediatrics and Child Health Division (Royal Australasian College of Physicians) 495 Climate change: implications for child health J Hosking et al. 8 Chan M. Cutting carbon, improving health. Lancet 2009; 374: 1870–71. 9 Bunyavanich S, Landrigan CP, McMichael AJ, Epstein PR. The impact of climate change on child health. Ambul. Pediatr. 2003; 3: 44–52. 10 Haines A, McMichael AJ, Smith KR, Roberts I, Woodcock J, Markandya A et al. Public health benefits of strategies to reduce greenhouse-gas emissions: overview and implications for policy makers. Lancet 2009; 374: 2104–14. 11 Craig E, Jackson C, Han DY, NZCYES Steering Committee. Monitoring the Health of New Zealand Children and Young People: Indicator Handbook. Auckland: Paediatric Society of New Zealand, New Zealand Child and Youth Epidemiology Service, 2007. 12 Green D, King U, Morrison J. Disproportionate burdens: the multidimensional impacts of climate change on the health of Indigenous Australians. Med. J. Aust. 2009; 190: 4–5. 13 Smylie J, Adomako P, eds. Indigenous Children’s Health Report: Health Assessment in Action. Toronto: Centre for Research on Inner City Health, St Michael’s Hospital, 2009. 14 Mimura N, Nurse L, McLean RF, Agard J, Briguglio L, Lefale P, Payet R, Sem G. Small islands. In: Parry ML, Canziani OF, Palutikof JP, van 496 15 16 17 18 19 20 der Linden PJ, Hanson CE, eds. Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2007. Lindsay G, Percival T, Woodward A. From typhoid to tsunamis: Samoan children in a changing world. Int. Public Health J. 2010 (in press). Commission on Social Determinants of Health. Closing the Gap in a Generation: Health Equity through Action on the Social Determinants of Health. Final Report of the Commission on Social Determinants of Health. Geneva: World Health Organization, 2008. Armstrong F. The Age of Stupid. Dogwoof Pictures, 2009. Metcalfe S, Woodward A, Macmillan A, Baker M, Howden-Chapman P, Lindsay G et al. Why New Zealand must rapidly halve its greenhouse gas emissions. N. Z. Med. J. 2009; 122: U3827. Griffiths J, Hill A, Spiby J, Stott R. Ten practical steps for doctors to fight climate change. BMJ 2008; 336: 1507. Voelker R. Climate change puts children in jeopardy. JAMA 2009; 301: 2197–9. Journal of Paediatrics and Child Health 47 (2011) 493–496 © 2010 The Authors Journal of Paediatrics and Child Health © 2010 Paediatrics and Child Health Division (Royal Australasian College of Physicians)