* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
Download TCC_activities
Mitigation of global warming in Australia wikipedia , lookup
Myron Ebell wikipedia , lookup
2009 United Nations Climate Change Conference wikipedia , lookup
Heaven and Earth (book) wikipedia , lookup
Michael E. Mann wikipedia , lookup
Global warming hiatus wikipedia , lookup
German Climate Action Plan 2050 wikipedia , lookup
Soon and Baliunas controversy wikipedia , lookup
ExxonMobil climate change controversy wikipedia , lookup
Effects of global warming on human health wikipedia , lookup
Global warming controversy wikipedia , lookup
Fred Singer wikipedia , lookup
Climatic Research Unit email controversy wikipedia , lookup
Global warming wikipedia , lookup
Economics of global warming wikipedia , lookup
Instrumental temperature record wikipedia , lookup
Climate change denial wikipedia , lookup
Climate resilience wikipedia , lookup
Climate change adaptation wikipedia , lookup
Climate change feedback wikipedia , lookup
Effects of global warming wikipedia , lookup
Climate change and agriculture wikipedia , lookup
Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme wikipedia , lookup
Climate change in Tuvalu wikipedia , lookup
Politics of global warming wikipedia , lookup
Climate sensitivity wikipedia , lookup
Climate engineering wikipedia , lookup
Climatic Research Unit documents wikipedia , lookup
Climate change in the United States wikipedia , lookup
General circulation model wikipedia , lookup
Solar radiation management wikipedia , lookup
Citizens' Climate Lobby wikipedia , lookup
Media coverage of global warming wikipedia , lookup
Attribution of recent climate change wikipedia , lookup
Climate governance wikipedia , lookup
Scientific opinion on climate change wikipedia , lookup
Climate change and poverty wikipedia , lookup
Effects of global warming on humans wikipedia , lookup
IPCC Fourth Assessment Report wikipedia , lookup
Public opinion on global warming wikipedia , lookup
Climate change, industry and society wikipedia , lookup
Surveys of scientists' views on climate change wikipedia , lookup
The Activities of Tokyo Climate Center Fumio WATANABE Tokyo Climate Center Climate Prediction Division, JMA Tokyo Climate Center (TCC) Establishment : April 2002 Mission : To assist Climate Services of NMHSs in the Asia-Pacific region with the aim of Mitigating climate-related disasters and Contributing to the sustainable development in the region The Activities of TCC 1. Significance of Climate Information and Necessity of effective Application 2. Backgrounds of TCC’s Establishment Framework proposed by WMO for Advanced Climate Service Long-range Forecasting Service in JMA 3. 4. 5. 6. Tasks of TCC Data and Products available from TCC About this Workshop Concluding Remarks Climate Information “Climate” is average weather condition. “Normal Climate” “Climate” has fluctuation around “Normal Climate”. “Climate Variability” “Climate” shifts to other state of “Climate”. “Climate Change” Growing Awareness of Significance of Climate Information large fluctuation from Normal Climate Extreme Climate Events Globalization of Socio-economic activities Vulnerability Damages by Disasters Need for Climate Monitoring, Diagnosis, and Prediction Climate-related Disasters Coping with disasters Climate Information Typical Climate Phenomena and associated Disasters in the Asia-Pacific Region Winter Monsoon Flood by Snow-melting Heavy Snow Heat Wave Drought & Flood Asian Summer Monsoon Cold Wave Drought & Flood Subtropical-High Baiu-Front ENSO Drought & Flood El Niño Events as Triggers to Development of Climate Issues 1. 1982/83 El Niño the second largest event in the 20th century Progress of scientific studies on ENSO Development of tropical ocean observing system Understanding of ENSO, Development of ENSO prediction model 2. 1997/98 El Niño the largest event in the 20th century Awareness of Significance of ENSO information and Necessity of its effective application Liaison between Science Community and Disaster Management Sector IDNDR of United Nations United Nations Initiative IDNDR : 1990-1999 (International Decade for Natural Disaster Reduction) Inter-agency Task Force on El Niño (1997) ISDR : 2000(International Strategy for Disaster Reduction) Inter-agency Task Force on Disaster Reduction WG1 on Climate and Disasters (chaired by WMO) El Niño Update (WMO since 2001) WG2 on Early Warning WG3 on Risk, Vulnerability & Disaster Impact Assessment WG4 on Wild land Fires Atmosphere Ocean Land Surface Fresh water Integrated Global Observing Strategy WWW Global Observing System (GOS) Climate Data Global Atmospheric Watch (GAW) Global Ocean Observing System (GOOS) Observation Climate Information Detection of Climate Change Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) Global Terrestrial Observing System (GTOS) World Hydrological Cycle Observing System (WHYCOS) Monitoring the State of the Climate System Seasonal to Interannual Climate Prediction Climate Information and Prediction Services (CLIPS) Projection of the Global Warming Climate Research Requirements Information U S E R C O M M U N I T I E S Requirements Application Three motivating Backgrounds 1. Growing Awareness of Significance of Climate Information and Necessity of its Effective Application 2. Increasing Recognition of Necessity of International Cooperation Framework planned by World Meteorological Organization (WMO) 3. Technical Development which makes Advanced Climate Services possible Framework proposed by WMO for Advanced Climate Service Users Climate Information NMHSs Products Data, Feedback Technical Assistance Global Producing Centres (GPCs) Regional Climate Centres (RCCs) Global SI Products ・ Operational activities Tailored Products Operational Preparation ・ Data services Provision ・ Capacity building activities Verification ・ Research and Development Improvement ・ Coordination functions Long-range Forecasting Service in JMA Period I Start of long-range forecasting service in 1940’s Statistical Methods Period II ( 1980’s ) Introduction of Systematic Monitoring and Diagnosis of the Global Climate System Period III ( from 1990’s ) Introduction of Dynamical Prediction Model Period II ( 1980’s ) in JMA Importance of monitoring and diagnosis of the global climate system for long-range forecast El Niño and La Niña events in 1980’s Convection near the Philippines intensifies Subtropical High over Japan in mid-summer. Period III ( from 1990’s) Development of Dynamical Climate Prediction at JMA • 1996 - One-month forecast • 1999 - El Niño Outlook • 2003 - Three-month forecast Cold season forecast • 2004 - Warm season forecast Integrated Climate Information Production System at JMA Dynamical Climate Prediction System Prediction El Niño prediction system ensemble prediction system Observations D/A System Monitoring Future Present CDAS ODAS Database / Reanalysis System Analysis Past Tasks of TCC/JMA Monitoring of Global Climate System Global Dynamical Prediction Monitoring of Extreme Events Promotion of Application of Climate Information ENSO Outlook Technical Assistance Preparation and Provision of Basic Climate Information Capacity Building Activities NMHSs in the AsiaPacific Climate Data Feedback Data and Products available from TCC’s Web Site 1. Global Climate and Extreme Climate Events global temperature anomalies, global precipitation ratios, etc. 2. Monitoring Report on the Global Climate System atmospheric circulation, convection, lower boundary conditions, oceanographic conditions, Asian Monsoon monitoring, stratospheric circulation monitoring, etc. 3. Current Diagnosis Report and Outlook for ENSO ENSO monitoring products and indices, El Nino outlook, etc. 4. One-month and Three-month Ensemble Prediction prediction maps and verification charts, global GPVs Grid point value products (available at TCC Web Site, required ID & password) Global GPVs Grids are spaced per 2.5-degree in lat. and in lon. One-month forecast Ensemble mean of 26 members averaged for 7-day Three-month forecast Ensemble mean of 31 members averaged for a month and three months Warm and Cold season forecast Ensemble mean of 31 members averaged for three months Home of the TCC’s Web Site Example of Products on the TCC’s Web Site Monitoring of Extreme Climate Events, October 2003 Example of Products on the TCC’s Web Site Asian Monsoon Monitoring Example of Products on the TCC’s Web Site Example of Products on the TCC’s Web Site One-month and Three-Month Prediction Products Conclusion 1. There is Growing Awareness of significance of climate information to cope with climate-related disasters. Effective Application should be enhanced but based on correct understanding of uncertainty of the information. 2. JMA develops and improves the Integrated Climate Information Production System (ICIRS). 3. NMHSs should prepare and deliver climate information. International Cooperation Framework should assist NMHSs. TCC contributes to such a Framework. 4. TCC improves and increases basic climate data and products available from the TCC Web Site. TCC will continue to hold workshops and Training Courses as capacity building activities.