* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
Download Bright et al _GCB Invited Review_v4
Heaven and Earth (book) wikipedia , lookup
German Climate Action Plan 2050 wikipedia , lookup
ExxonMobil climate change controversy wikipedia , lookup
Soon and Baliunas controversy wikipedia , lookup
Mitigation of global warming in Australia wikipedia , lookup
Global warming controversy wikipedia , lookup
Climate resilience wikipedia , lookup
Climate change denial wikipedia , lookup
Climatic Research Unit documents wikipedia , lookup
Climate change adaptation wikipedia , lookup
Economics of global warming wikipedia , lookup
Global warming hiatus wikipedia , lookup
Citizens' Climate Lobby wikipedia , lookup
Climate engineering wikipedia , lookup
Fred Singer wikipedia , lookup
Effects of global warming on human health wikipedia , lookup
Climate change in Tuvalu wikipedia , lookup
Climate change in Saskatchewan wikipedia , lookup
Climate governance wikipedia , lookup
Climate change and agriculture wikipedia , lookup
Effects of global warming wikipedia , lookup
Global warming wikipedia , lookup
Media coverage of global warming wikipedia , lookup
Politics of global warming wikipedia , lookup
Climate change feedback wikipedia , lookup
Scientific opinion on climate change wikipedia , lookup
Climate change in the United States wikipedia , lookup
General circulation model wikipedia , lookup
Effects of global warming on humans wikipedia , lookup
Public opinion on global warming wikipedia , lookup
Instrumental temperature record wikipedia , lookup
Climate sensitivity wikipedia , lookup
Attribution of recent climate change wikipedia , lookup
Solar radiation management wikipedia , lookup
Climate change and poverty wikipedia , lookup
Surveys of scientists' views on climate change wikipedia , lookup
1 Quantifying surface albedo and other direct biogeophysical climate forcings of 2 forestry activities: A review 3 Running Head: Biogeophysical climate forcings and forestry 4 Ryan M. Bright*12, Kaiguang Zhao3, Robert B. Jackson4, Francesco Cherubini2 5 6 1 Norwegian Forest and Landscape Institute, Ås, Norway 7 2 Industrial Ecology Program, Energy and Process Engineering, Norwegian University of 8 Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway 9 3 School of Environment and Natural Resources, Ohio Agricultural Research and 10 Development Center, The Ohio State University, Wooster, Ohio, USA 11 4 12 Energy, Stanford University, Palo Alto, California, USA School of Earth Sciences, Woods Institute for the Environment and Precourt Institute for 13 14 * 15 [email protected] 16 Keywords: 17 management, climate metric 18 Paper type: Invited Review Corresponding author contact: Ryan M. Bright, phone: +47 649 49003; email: forest management, land use change, biophysical, climate forcing, land 19 1 20 Abstract 21 The regulation by vegetation of heat, momentum, and moisture exchanges between the land 22 surface and atmosphere is a major component in Earth’s climate system. By altering surface 23 biogeophysics, forestry and other land use activities often perturb these exchanges and affect 24 climate. Although long recognized scientifically as being important, surface biogeophysical 25 climate forcings continue to evade inclusion in climate policies enveloping forestry and other 26 land management projects. 27 atmospheric science and terrestrial ecology in light of three main objectives: i) to elucidate 28 the challenges associated with quantifying biogeophysical climate forcings connected to land 29 use and land management, with a particular focus on the forestry sector; ii) to identify and 30 describe current scientific approaches and/or metrics that facilitate their quantification; and 31 iii) to identify and recommend research priorities that can help overcome challenges in the 32 quantification and interpretation of biogeophysical climate impacts, serving to bridge the 33 knowledge gap between the climate modeling, forest ecology, and resource management 34 communities. Here, we review the scientific literature in the field of 35 2 36 Table 1. Nomenclature. Variable “type” denotes how they are used in surface energy and 37 moisture budget equations. Variable notation LAI LAI e SAI hc Unit Definition Type of Variable Function of: m 2 m 2 m 2 m 2 Leaf Area Index Effective LAI Structural Structural LAI m 2 m 2 Stem Area Index Canopy height Structural Structural m f cs % Fraction of canopy intercepted snow Structural & Environmental fg % unitless Ground fraction Snow-free ground albedo Structural Physiological & Environmental Fraction of ground covered snow Snow albedo Structural & Environmental Environmental LAI; Ta ; P Physiological & Environmental Moisture budget term Moisture budget term Moisture budget term Environmental leaf ; branch g0 f gs % sn c0 unitless P mm Snow-free canopy albedo Precipitation RO mm Run-off I mm Infiltration Ta ˚C Air temperature Ts ˚C Surface temperature ˚C(Wm-2)-1 RLW Wm 2 Wm-2˚C -4 s kPa ˚C -1 VPD kPa Temperature sensitivity Outgoing longwave radiation Stefan-Boltzmann constant Slope of saturation vapor pressuretemperature curve Vapor pressure deficit ew kPa e* w kPa AP RH unitless SAI; LAI; Ta ; P LAI leaf ; soil ; leaf P; Ta H; L(E&T) Surface energy budget term Environmental ; RN Surface energy budget term Constant Ts ; s ; Environmental Ta ; RH Environmental Ta ; RH Environmental Ta ; AP Environmental Ta ; AP kPa % Partial pressure of water vapor Equilibrium vapor pressure Air pressure Relative humidity Environmental Environmental ew ; e* w kgm-3 Air density Environmental 3 kPa ˚C -1 s unitless Psychrometric constant Surface emissivity s unitless Surface albedo Cs Jm ˚C Cp Jm-3˚C -1 ks Wm-1˚C -1 RLW Wm 2 RG Wm 2 L( E T ) Wm 2 -3 L MJkg-1 E mm -1 Environmental Surface energy budget term Surface energy budget term Surface energy budget term RH; RSW / RSW ,clear Ground heat storage from conduction Latent heat flux from evaporation & transpiration Surface energy budget term Surface energy budget term LAI; Cs ; ks Latent heat of vaporization Evaporation Environmental Ta ; Environmental ra ; C p ; ; Environmental Environmental Transpiration Physiological; Environmental H Wm 2 Sensible heat flux Surface energy budget term z0 m RSW Wm-2 RN Wm-2 unitless sn ; c 0 Environmental mm ms 1 m f g ; g 0 ; f gs ; Soil volumetric heat capacity (thermal inertia) Air volumetric heat capacity (thermal inertia) Soil thermal conductivity Incoming longwave radiation T u d C p ; AP Wind speed Zero plane displacement height Momentum roughness length Incoming shortwave radiation incident at surface (insolation) Net radiation Bowen Ratio VPD ; s; ; ( RN RG ) VPD ; s; ; ( RN RG ) ra ; rc ; C p ; ; VPD ; s; ; ( RN RG ) ra ; C p ; ; Ts - Ta Environmental Structural LAI; hc Structural LAI; hc Surface energy budget term Surface energy budget term Surface energy 4 ra ; rc ; C p ; ; ; s ; RLW RSW ; ; s ; Ts H ; L( E T ) 2 1 2 ga (ra ) ms gc (rc ) m2 s 1 ( sm2 ) gs (rs) m2 s 1 ( sm2 ) zr m Wm-2 TOA SW RF TSW ( sm ) Unitless VCC VMC FCC FMC Bulk aerodynamic conductance (resistance) Bulk canopy or surface conductance (resistance) Leaf stomatal conductance (resistance) Rooting depth Shortwave radiative forcing at top-ofatmosphere (TOA) Share of reflected SW radiation at surface arriving at TOA Vegetation Cover Change Vegetation Management Change Forest Cover Change Forest Management Change budget term Structural & Environmental LAI; hc; u Structural & Physiological LAI e ; gl Physiological Physiological FCC/FMC climate metric s Environmental 38 39 1. Introduction 40 The terrestrial biosphere and Earth’s climate are closely entwined. Climate strongly 41 influences terrestrial productivity and biome distributions. In turn, the vegetation, soils, and 42 other components of the terrestrial biosphere influence climate through the amount of energy, 43 water, carbon, and other chemical species that they store and exchange with the atmosphere. 44 Human interventions directly alter vegetation cover and structure through the conversion of 45 one land use type to another (i.e., forest to cropland), or through a change in management for 46 an existing land use type (i.e., conversion of hardwood to softwood forest; addition of 47 irrigation or fertilization; extension of rotation length, etc.). In turn, such changes alter not 48 just the carbon balance of a system but perturb surface solar and thermal infrared radiation 49 budgets and atmospheric turbulence, leading to alterations in the fluxes of heat, water vapor, 5 50 momentum, CO2/other trace gases, and organic and inorganic aerosols between the land 51 surface and the atmosphere (e.g., Pielke Sr. et al., (1998, 2011). A deeper quantitative 52 understanding of how human intervention on land will affect climate regulation -- and over 53 which temporal and spatial scales -- is essential for successful climate change mitigation 54 (Feddema et al., 2005, Jackson et al., 2008, Mahmood et al., 2010). 55 Historically, extensive vegetation cover or management changes (henceforth referred to as 56 VCC or VMC) have entailed forest conversions to crops or grasslands for agriculture 57 (Goldewijk, 2001, Pongratz et al., 2008). Although the pace of global deforestation has 58 slowed in recent decades (FAO & 59 assessment modeling (IAM) community (van Vuuren et al., 2011) and the 5th Assessment 60 Reports of the IPCC suggest that forests will play an increasingly large role in climate change 61 mitigation and adaptation (Scholes & Settele, 2014, Smith & Bustamante, 2013) – whether 62 land areas are re-/afforested or whether existing forests are managed more intensively. 63 Relative to our understanding of forests’ role in the global carbon cycle, our understanding of 64 their non-CO2 influences on atmospheric chemistry and climate is in its infancy. Apart from 65 providing carbon sequestration services, forest ecosystems emit biogenic volatile organic 66 compounds (BVOCs) that can rapidly oxidize in the atmosphere, generating O3 and secondary 67 organic aerosols (SOAs) (Arneth et al., 2010). This biogeochemical mechanism impacts 68 climate both directly and indirectly (Scott et al., 2014, Spracklen et al., 2008) and its global 69 magnitude has only recently been examined (Unger, 2014). 70 However, more established scientifically are forests’ direct biogeophysical contributions to 71 the climate system: that is, their regulation of the exchanges of energy, water, and momentum 72 between the earth’s surface and lower atmosphere. Within the climate science and global 73 change research communities, forest cover and management changes and the corresponding JRC, 2012, Meyfroidt et al., 2010), the integrated 6 74 changes in surface biophysics are increasingly recognized as important forcings of local, 75 regional, and global climate (Abiodun et al., 2008, Avissar & Werth, 2005, Betts et al., 2007, 76 Bright et al., 2014a, Bright et al., 2014b, Chapin III et al., 2012, Chen et al., 2012, Durieux et 77 al., 2003, Juang et al., 2007, Klingaman et al., 2008, Lawrence et al., 2012, Lee et al., 2011, 78 Mohr et al., 2003, Peng et al., 2014, Ray et al., 2006, Rotenberg & Yakir, 2010, Swann et al., 79 2011, Wang et al., 2014, Zhang et al., 2014, Zhao & Jackson, 2014, Zheng et al., 2002). 80 Outside these communities, however, biogeophysical climate impacts from VCC and VMC 81 are rarely quantified or even acknowledged, with forest sector policies based strictly on 82 carbon cycle dimensions. Most climate assessments overlook forest biogeophysical effects 83 altogether due to the many complexities and challenges involved in quantifying them (Pielke 84 Sr. et al., 2002). 85 86 Our aim here is therefore to shed light on some of the challenges involved in measuring and 87 quantifying biogeophysical climate change effects connected to VCC and VMC, with a focus 88 on forestry (henceforth FCC and FMC). To that end, we review the scientific literature, 89 relying as much as possible on observation-based studies while recognizing modeling studies 90 that have made important contributions. We strive to limit our review to literature not 91 covered in previous reviews; for example, those enveloping general land use-atmosphere 92 climate dynamics (Foley et al., 2003, Pielke, 2001, Pielke Sr. et al., 2007, Pielke Sr. et al., 93 1998), biogeophysical impacts of land use/cover changes on climate (Mahmood et al., 2013, 94 Pielke Sr. et al., 2011), and those with a special emphasis on forested ecosystem (Anderson et 95 al., 2010, Bonan, 2008, Jackson et al., 2008). 96 Our review is structured as follows: In Section 1, we present surface energy and moisture 97 budgets and describe how they are modulated by both biological and environmental controls 98 (i.e., biogeophysical). We illustrate how the surface energy balance equation can be 7 99 manipulated for purpose of estimating the relative contribution by radiative vs. non-radiative 100 processes that shape the response by local surface temperature following FCC/FMC. In 101 Section 2, we elaborate in greater detail the mechanisms responsible for the non-radiative 102 biogeophysical climate forcings linked to FCC/FMC, while in Section 3, we elaborate on 103 shortwave radiative forcings connected to FMC/FMC through changes in surface albedo. 104 Section 4 reviews recently proposed metrics/indicators for biogeophysical climate forcings, 105 and in Section 5 we present two case studies and apply the concepts presented in Sections 1-3, 106 demonstrating the importance of biological vs. environmental and of radiative vs. non- 107 radiative factors responsible for shaping the local climate services provided by forests. We 108 conclude in Section 6 with a discussion on the relevancy of FMC/FMC metrics and identify 109 critical research needs. 110 1. Mechanisms 111 Surface Energy and Moisture Budgets 112 FCC/FMC affects climate by altering surface moisture and energy budgets, which can be 113 written as: 114 RSW (1 s ) RLW RLW RN RG H L( E T ) (1) 115 P RO I E T (2) 116 where RN is the sum of the net short- ( RSW ) radiative (1 s ) ) and longwave ( RLW RLW 117 fluxes; RSW is insolation; s is surface albedo; RLW is the downwelling longwave radiation 118 flux; RLW is the upwelling longwave radiation flux (equal to: RLW (1 s ) s Ts4 , where s 119 is the surface emissivity, is the Stefan-Boltzmann constant, and Ts is the surface 120 radiometric temperature); E is evaporation (from soils and the physical environment); T is 8 121 transpiration (biologically-controlled); RG is heat stored in the ground and vegetation; H is 122 the turbulent sensible heat flux; L( E T ) is the turbulent latent heat flux, with L as the latent 123 heat of vaporization; P is precipitation; RO is runoff; and I is infiltration. 124 Eq. (1) represents the surface energy budget, while Eq. (2) represents the surface moisture 125 budget. They are presented together because they are intimately linked (Pielke, 2001). For 126 instance, the latent heat flux L( E T ) is directly related to the amount of moisture exchanged 127 from the surface to the atmosphere (E + T) which is governed largely by moisture availability 128 (P – RO - I) (Wang & Dickinson, 2012). For example, owed to their deeper rooting depths 129 and enhanced ability to access water stored in soils, L( E T ) fluxes in temperate forests can 130 remain relatively high compared to grasslands during times of drought, when L( E T ) fluxes 131 would otherwise be similar to forests under wet conditions (Stoy et al., 2006). Thus a change 132 to any term in Eq.’s (1) or (2) will affect the heat and moisture fluxes within the planetary 133 boundary layer and potentially act on atmospheric water vapor, cloud formation, precipitation, 134 and atmospheric circulation patterns. These boundary layer processes are dynamic, variable, 135 and difficult to predict, which generally limits the ability to predict the impact of land-use 136 change and landscape dynamics on climate patterns (Cotton & Pielke, 1995, Pielke, 2001). 137 Quantifying the full climate change effect of forest cover or management changes at 138 (inter)annual time scales is thus unrealistic for site-level observations. Such an approach 139 would require coupled surface-atmosphere models to account for boundary layer dynamics, 140 atmospheric albedo from clouds, and frontal and convective precipitation. 141 142 9 143 144 145 146 Figure 1. Differences in the annual surface energy and moisture budgets between a temperate 147 forest and an open grassland during dry (A) and wet (B) conditions. Horizontal fluxes of heat 148 and moisture are excluded, and “RG” includes heat stored by both the ground and vegetation. 149 Although annual RN is partitioned differently under arid and wet conditions, annual sensible 150 heat fluxes in temperate forests are typically higher relative to the grassland. 151 temperature; “ra” = aerodynamic resistance. 152 10 “Ta” = air 153 However, an analysis of changes in the major components of the surface energy and moisture 154 budgets due to FCC/FMC can contribute to an understanding of first order biogeophysical 155 effects. Changes in Eq. (1) will result in a change in the land surface temperature, since the 156 radiation that impinges on the surface must be balanced by the reflected and emitted radiation 157 and by energy lost or gained through sensible heat, latent heat, and conduction. 158 temperatures can also be affected by a changes in H and L(E+T), with a magnitude that 159 depends on the depth of the atmospheric boundary layer (Baldocchi & Ma, 2013). FCC/FMC 160 that results in a long-term perturbation in air temperature can potentially affect ecosystem 161 structure and functioning (Chapin III et al., 2012). For example, a switch in dominant tree 162 species (FMC) could create warmer surface conditions and enhance rates of soil respiration, 163 thus decreasing ecosystem productivity in the short-term (Rustad et al., 2001). In the longer- 164 term, the warmer surface could shift the distribution of understory plant species in ways that 165 enhance primary productivity (Chapin III et al., 1995, McGuire et al., 2006). It is therefore 166 important to understand feedbacks from FCC/FMC on local climate, and in particular, 167 attribute them quantitatively to biogeophysical factors. This necessitates a deeper 168 understanding of the relative roles of structural, physiological, and environmental controls on 169 surface energy and moisture budgets. Air 170 171 Vegetation Structure 172 173 Structural parameters like leaf area index (LAI) and vegetation height play an important role 174 in determining resistances (or conductivities) to heat, moisture, and momentum transfer. 175 When a parcel of turbulent air meets a vegetated stand, wind speed is reduced, transferring 176 momentum from the atmosphere to the surface, creating turbulence that mixes the air and 177 transports heat and water from the surface into the lower atmosphere (Bonan, 2002, Monteith 11 178 & Unsworth, 2008, Oke, 2002). The transport of momentum, heat, and moisture is more 179 efficient with height above the surface and with densely vegetated canopies. LAI and forest 180 canopy heights thus play an essential role in determining roughness lengths and aerodynamic 181 resistances to heat, moisture, and momentum between the canopy and the atmospheric surface 182 layer. Relative to shorter-statured vegetation like crop- and grasslands, forested surfaces have 183 higher roughness lengths and lower aerodynamic resistances that facilitate more sensible heat 184 and water vapor dissipation away from the surface during the daytime (Hoffmann & Jackson, 185 2000). 186 187 Together with stem area index (SAI), LAI is also an important structural variable determining 188 the surface albedo and hence net radiation R N . SAI and LAI control the amount of solar 189 radiation incident at the ground level which is often covered in snow during winter in many 190 temperate and boreal regions. The albedo of snow is much higher than the albedo of foliage 191 or branches, thus SAI/LAI play a central role in regulating radiation budgets in regions with 192 long snow cover seasons due to the “masking” effects of forested canopies on the underlying 193 snow surface and hence the total albedo. Across North America between 45-60°N, the 194 zonally averaged white-sky albedo in January was at least twice as high for croplands and 195 grasslands (0.57 and 0.50, respectively) compared to locations with deciduous broadleaf or 196 evergreen needleleaf forests (0.26 and 0.20, respectively (Zhao & Jackson, 2014). 197 198 LAI is also an important variable determining bulk canopy conductance to heat and moisture 199 transfer, thus acting as controls on T as well as intercepted precipitation and canopy E. In 200 non-arid regions in summer, E & T is often highly correlated with LAI (see Wang & 201 Dickinson (2012) and cited studies therein). 202 12 203 Vegetation Physiology 204 205 Tree physiology plays an important role in governing T and I. 206 conductance (inverse of resistance) directly control rates of T at the individual leaf level, 207 while root structure and depth affect T through access to soil water. Root structure and depth 208 also affect I and the water storage capacity of soils (and thereby indirectly that which is 209 ultimately available for T and soil E). Forest management decisions that lead to a change in 210 tree species directly affects physiological controls of surface energy and moisture budgets. 211 For example, under non-drought conditions and given equal LAIs, a shift towards more 212 loblolly pine plantation area (Pinus taeda L.) at the expense of oak-hickory hardwood area 213 (Quercus – Carya) would increase regional T (and L(T)) in the SE USA due the loblolly 214 pine’s higher leaf stomatal conductance (Stoy et al., 2006). For example, stomatal 215 216 Environmental Controls and Feedbacks with the Energy Balance 217 218 Local meteorological conditions can play an equally large role in determining surface energy 219 and moisture budgets. For instance, R N is determined by RSW which is affected by cloud 220 cover and by surface albedo s , which can be affected by temperature and P (snow has a 221 higher albedo than dry soil which has a higher albedo than wet soil). The partitioning of the 222 turbulent heat fluxes ( R N RG ) into H and L( E T ) is also partially controlled by differences 223 between the air and surface temperatures and by differences in saturated vs. actual vapor 224 pressures (i.e., the vapor pressure deficit), with vapor pressure having an exponential 225 relationship with air temperature (Bonan, 2002, Monteith & Unsworth, 2008). Wind speed 226 also determines the aerodynamic resistance of the surface-atmospheric boundary layer, with 227 resistance decreasing as wind speeds increase. 13 228 229 Table 2 describes the individual variables in Eq. (1) in terms of their important controls. Refer 230 to Table 1 for variable descriptions. 231 232 Table 2. Surface energy budget variables (Eq. (1)) and their controls. Variable Unit notation Definition s unitless RSW Wm 2 Surface albedo, 1 RSW RSW Insolation at surface LW 2 R Wm RG Wm 2 H Wm 2 L( E T ) Wm 2 Longwave irradiance at surface Heat storage flux from conduction Turbulent sensible heat flux Turbulent latent heat flux s unitless Surface emissivity RLW Wm 2 Longwave emittance at surface Controls Environmental sn ; P; Ta Structural LAI; SAI Physiological leaf ; leaf atm ; atm ; latitude atm ; atm ; atm ; Ta ; RH ks ; Cs LAI; SAI C p ; ; u; hc ; LAI (in Ts Ta VPD, C p ; ; z0 , in ra ) LAI e (in rc ) rs , zr Ta ; u ; s; Ts ; s 233 234 Energy Budget Decomposition Analysis 235 236 A useful approach allowing for an assessment of the contribution by radiative, aerodynamic, 237 and physiological (i.e., the biogeophysical) factors to local climate forcings connected to 238 FCC/FMC is to rearrange the various terms of the surface energy balance equation (Eq. (1)). 239 The local climate forcing may be measured in terms of a surface (radiative) temperature 240 change, ∆Ts, or by an air temperature change, ∆Ta. Some have formalized approaches to 241 estimate a discrete change in Ts by rearranging terms of the surface energy balance and taking 14 242 first order derivatives to allow for an assessment of both radiative and non-radiative terms in 243 isolation (Juang et al., 2007, Lee et al., 2011, Luyssaert et al., 2014). Based on the findings 244 of Juang et al. (2007) that heat storage ( RG ) and emissivity ( s ) terms of Eq. (1) are 245 negligible on annual time scales, Lee et al. (2011) formulated an alternative model that 246 recognizes that a radiative forcing at the surface must be compensated by atmospheric 247 feedbacks governing the energy re-distribution at the surface, which is brought about by the 248 concomitant changes to important aerodynamic and physiological attributes: 249 250 Ts 0 1 f RFSFC s 0 (1 f )2 RN f (3) 251 252 where RFSFC is the radiative forcing at the surface1 due to changes in albedo, and f is an s 253 energy “redistribution efficiency” parameter that is determined by the intrinsic aerodynamic 254 and physiological attributes of the vegetation: 255 f 256 C p L( E T ) 1 4ra Ts3 H (4) 257 258 where ra is the bulk aerodynamic resistance (defined in Section 2, Eq. (8)), is air density 259 (kg m-3), and C p is the thermal inertia of air (J m-3 ˚C-1). 260 temperature sensitivity resulting from the longwave radiation feedback ( 1 / (4 s Ts3 ) ; a weak 261 function of Ts with units in ˚C(W m-2)-1) (Lee et al., 2011, National Research Council, 2003). 262 The 0 term essentially sets an upper limit on surface radiative forcing contribution to Ts ; in 1 In Eq. (3), 0 is the local We use the term ”radiative forcing” to denote an energy balance perturbation that is ”radiative” in nature as opposed to non-radiative, regardless of atmospheric level. Note the IPCC definition of “radiative forcing” refers strictly to planetary energy balance perturbations (i.e., at TOA). 15 263 other words, the first right-hand term in Eq. (3) would be the change in surface skin 264 temperature if radiative processes were the only energy transfer mechanisms at play. 265 However, the actual surface temperature response following a radiative forcing depends on 266 internal energy re-distribution through convection and evapotranspiration, which in turn 267 depends on the structural and physiological properties of the vegetation and on ambient 268 environmental conditions (i.e., air temperature, humidity, wind speed). These non-radiative 269 factors are largely responsible for f and can be equally important in determining the overall 270 local Ts connected to FCC/FMC. 271 272 2. Non-radiative Forcing 273 Convective heat transfer of sensible heat H is directly proportional to the difference in air 274 temperature at some reference height and at the surface level, and is inversely related to an 275 overall resistance: 276 H C p (Ta Ts ) / ra 277 where is the air density (kg m-3), C p is the heat capacity of air (J kg-1 ˚C-1), and ra is the 278 overall aerodynamic resistance to heat transfer from the surface to the atmospheric boundary 279 layer. 280 Transfer of latent heat ( L( E T ) ) is directly proportional to the difference in the vapor 281 pressure of air at some reference height and at the surface level, and is also inversely related 282 to an overall resistance. Latent heat exchanges can be parameterized in a variety of ways, 283 although the Penman-Monteith equation (Monteith, 1965) is widely considered an accurate 284 expression to estimate E+T (Allen et al., 1989, Allen et al., 1998), developed to use surface 285 radiation, temperature, and humidity data (Wang & Dickinson, 2012). For forests, the (5) 16 286 surface can be regarded as a “big leaf” (Deardorf 1978) in which a separate resistance to 287 water vapor transfer from the canopy is introduced: 288 L( E T ) 289 where s is the slop of the saturation vapor pressure-temperature curve (kPa ˚C-1) (Murry, 290 1967, Tetens, 1930), VPD is the vapor pressure deficit (kPa; a function of Ta and relative 291 humidity), is the psychrometric constant (kPa ˚C-1), and rc is the canopy resistance to water 292 vapor transfer. Eq.’s (5) and (6) demonstrate that both the canopy and aerodynamic resistance 293 terms are critical parameters controlling turbulent heat (and moisture) exchanges with the 294 atmosphere, with the former being aerodynamically controlled and the latter being both 295 aerodynamically and physiologically controlled. 296 Canopy resistance 297 At the scale of an individual leaf, stomatal control of transpiration is known as the leaf 298 stomatal resistance rl . At the scale of a canopy of leaves, canopy resistance rc is used to 299 describe the aggregate resistance. It is often calculated by scaling up the leaf stomatal 300 resistance ( rs ) of the leaves acting in parallel while treating the canopy as one “big leaf”: 301 rc 302 where LAI e is the effective LAI which is empirically equal to the actual LAI for LAI ≤ 2, 303 LAI/2 for LAI ≥ 4, and 2 for others (Ding et al., 2014). “Dual-leaf” canopy resistance models 304 that take into account the share of sunlit vs. shaded leaves in the canopy often give more 305 accurate results than the “big leaf” model but require additional computations of the sunlit s( RN RG ) C pVPD / ra (6) s (1 rc / ra ) rl LAI e (7) 17 306 fraction and separate values of mean leaf stomatal resistances for shaded and unshaded leaves 307 (Ding et al., 2014, Irmak et al., 2008, Zhang et al., 2011). 308 Table 3. Typical minimum canopy ( rc ) and leaf stomatal resistances ( rs ) for various 309 vegetation types (adapted from Kelliher et al., (1995)). Effective LAI (“ LAI e ”) is deduced 310 with Eq. (7). Vegetation Type rs (s m-1) Temperate grassland 125 Coniferous forest 175 Temperature deciduous 215 forest Tropical rainforest 165 Cereal crops 90 Broadleaved herbaceous 80 crops rc (s m-1) 60 50 50 LAI e 2.1 3.5 4.3 80 30 35 2.1 3 2.3 311 312 Canopy resistance is sometimes referred to as surface resistance when it describes the 313 aggregate resistance of all transpiration and evaporation processes occurring on the ground 314 and in the canopy including the evaporation of water intercepted by the canopy. The most 315 advanced models for predicting E & T typically estimate separate surface resistances for T, E 316 occurring at the ground level, and E occurring in the vegetation canopy (Wang & Dickinson, 317 2012). 18 318 319 Figure 2. Differences in the partitioning of daily E & T between adjacent young and mature 320 spruce-dominant stands (Picea abies (L.) H. Karst.) in eastern Norway during 2006. Adapted 321 from Bright et al. (2014a). 322 Figure 2 illustrates the contribution to the daily latent heat flux from T and E occurring at the 323 surface and in the canopy (from intercepted moisture) at neighboring sites in eastern Norway 324 estimated with the Penman-Monteith scheme of Mu et al. (2011). L( E T ) between the 325 two sites (sharing identical ambient environmental conditions) stems mostly from the 326 additional contribution by T and canopy E at the mature forest site. The region is not 327 moisture-limited, thus the contribution from soil E is large at both sites and dominates total 328 E+T throughout most of the year (Fig. 2, green). 329 Aerodynamic resistance 19 330 Sources of heat and water vapor will generally be found lower in the canopy than the apparent 331 sink of momentum, thus the overall aerodynamic resistances to heat and mass transfer may 332 therefore be described in terms of ram -- the aerodynamic resistance to momentum transfer, 333 and rb -- an additional resistance term assumed to be identical for heat and water vapor 334 (Monteith & Unsworth, 2008): 335 ra ram rb log(( z d ) / z0 ) / k 2u ( z ) 2(ku* ) 1 336 where k is von Karman’s constant (0.41), z is the reference height (m), d is the zero plane 337 displacement height (m), u(z) the wind speed at reference height (m s-1), z0 the roughness 338 length of momentum (m), u* is the friction velocity (around 0.05-0.1u) (m s-1), Sc is the 339 Schmidt, and Pr is the Prandtl number (the ratio of the two being the Lewis number – or the 340 ratio of thermal to mass diffusivity). The second right-hand expression in Eq. (8) is the 341 additional resistance term ( rb ) for rough or fibrous vegetation surfaces and is based on the 342 empirical works of Thom (1972) and Wesely & Hicks (1977). 343 Key terms in Eq. (8) influencing the value of ra are momentum roughness length z0 and the 344 zero plane displacement height d – both of which are often parameterized as a function of 345 vegetation structure (Pereira et al., 1999, Perrier, 1982): 346 2 d hc 1 1 e LAI /2 LAI (9) 347 z0 hc e LAI / 2 (1 e LAI / 2 ) (10) 348 where hc is canopy height (m). Eq.’s (9) & (10) are valid for LAI ≥ 0.5 (Colaizzi et al., 2004). 349 Other empirical formulations can involve additional forest structural attributes like stand 2 20 Sc Pr 0.67 (8) 350 density (number of trees per hectare) (Nakai et al., 2008), but many modelers simply scale d 351 with canopy height hc (2/3hc for forests and 1/8hc for uniform crops (Allen et al., 1998)). 352 What should be apparent when looking at Eq.’s (5) - (10) is that both canopy (or surface) and 353 aerodynamic resistances are key terms controlling L(E+T) and H, and these terms are in turn 354 both largely determined by vegetation structure (i.e., LAI and hc on d, z0 , and rc ) and 355 physiology (i.e., rl ). While it is often assumed that decreases in L( E T ) result in an 356 increase in surface temperature, this is not always necessarily the case. Ts responds to 357 changes in both aerodynamic roughness and in the Bowen ratio – or the ratio of sensible to 358 latent heat -- which can be either positive or negative in response to FCC (Lee et al., 2011). 359 360 Air Temperature 361 362 Thus far we have dealt with the principles by which the energy absorbed when vegetation 363 exposed to radiative fluxes is transferred to the atmosphere by convection and evaporation of 364 water (latent heat transfer) and the resulting effects on the surface radiative temperature, Ts . 365 These energy transfers take place through a boundary layer with properties dependent on the 366 viscosity of air and the transport of momentum from moving air to the vegetation surface 367 (Monteith & Unsworth, 2008). As such, the amount of warming in the air ( Ta ) depends on 368 the extent of turbulent mixing in the atmosphere, which is described by the depth of the 369 atmospheric boundary layer (Oke, 2002). 370 properties, forests are more efficient at dissipating sensible heat away from the surface and 371 into the boundary layer relative to open areas with shorter vegetation, particularly during the 372 daytime (Hoffmann & Jackson, 2000, Lee et al., 2011, Zhang et al., 2014). At nighttime, 373 however, their higher roughness properties can also serve to bring more heat from the stably Due to their larger aerodynamic roughness 21 374 stratified nocturnal boundary layer down towards the surface layer relative to open areas. The 375 net result for forests in many extra-tropical regions is a net warming effect over the diel (24- 376 hr.) cycle (see, for example, Fig. 2 in Lee et al. (2011) and Fig. 4 in Zhang et al. (2014)). 377 378 Due to atmospheric turbulence, changes in the radiometric temperature of the surface ( Ts ) 379 following FCC/FMC may not always provide the best indication of the actual air temperature 380 change, Ta . When comparing seasonal Ts and Ta observations (24-hr.) between a mature 381 coniferous and a recently clear-cut stand in boreal Canada (Figure 3), for example, we find 382 that the sign of the Ta does not equal that of Ts for all seasons except winter (DJF, Figure 383 3). This is more noticeable in summer (JJA), where Ta is negative and Ts is positive at 384 the Clear-cut site relative to the Old Jack Pine site. 385 22 386 387 388 Figure 3. Observed 2004-2010 mean seasonal differences in diel (24-hr.) surface ( Ts ) and air 389 ( Ta ) temperatures (shown with 1 SD of inter-annual variations) in a Canadian boreal forest 390 cluster of different species and age compositions. The “Clear-cut” site was established in 391 2002. The sites share approximately identical global radiation ( RSW ) and other background 392 meteorological forcings (i.e, P). “DJF” = Dec.-Jan.-Feb.; “MAM” = Mar.-Apr.-May; “JJA” = 393 Jun.-Jul.-Aug.; “SON” = Sep.-Oct.-Nov. Ta data are from Fluxnet Canada (Barr & Black, 394 2013a, Barr & Black, 2013b, Barr et al., 2013), while Ts data are from MODIS (ORNL 395 DAAC, 2014). 396 23 397 Figure 3 demonstrates that considering either Ts or Ta in isolation can sometimes lead to 398 different conclusions about the relative local climate benefits of different vegetation cover 399 types. Although simple approximations can be applied to estimate Ta directly from H by 400 assuming a fixed mixing layer height in the convective boundary layer (West et al., 2011), 401 more accurate predictions require dynamic mixing layer models that take into account its 402 growth over the diurnal cycle (McNaughton & Spriggs, 1986). Without the application of a 403 dynamic boundary layer model, for example, Baldocchi and Ma (2013) could not have 404 explained the observed differences in air temperatures ( Ta ) between an oak savannah and 405 adjacent grassland site despite having equal sensible heat fluxes ( H = 0) during some 406 periods of the year. In other words, the convective boundary layer can serve as a buffer to the 407 turbulent sensible heat being dissipated away from the surface, complicating predictions of 408 Ta . 409 410 3. Radiative Forcing 411 Surface Albedo 412 Surface albedo is one of the most important biogeophysical mechanisms acting on radiation 413 budgets at both surface and top-of-atmosphere levels hence it affects both local and global 414 climate (Cess, 1978, Otterman, 1977). Forests and taller vegetation are often darker than 415 those with sparse or shorter vegetation (Henderson-Sellers & Wilson, 1983), particularly 416 when the underlying surface is covered in snow or light-colored soil. In temperate and boreal 417 regions, the interactions between forested vegetation and snow significantly complicate the 418 relationship between FCC/FMC and surface albedo changes (Boisier et al., 2012, Bright et 419 al., 2014b, de Noblet-Ducoudré et al., 2012, Pitman et al., 2009). 24 420 Parameterizations of surface albedo s for forested areas are diverse with respect to treatment 421 of ground masking by vegetation, which can be classified according to three prevailing 422 methods introduced in Qu & Hall (2007) (and later described in Essery (2013)). Briefly, the 423 first method estimates radiative transfer between the vegetation canopy and the ground 424 surface; the second method combines the vegetation and ground albedos with weights 425 determined by vegetation cover; and the third method combines the snow-free and snow 426 albedo with weights determined by snow cover. 427 necessarily superior to another (Bright et al., 2014b, Essery, 2013), we find it helpful to 428 describe the albedo dynamics using the second approach, where the surface albedo is a 429 weighted share of the albedo of the ground and of the forest canopy, including the share of 430 ground and canopy covered in snow (Roesch & Roeckner, 2006, Verseghy et al., 1993): 431 s f g (1 f gs ) g 0 f gs sn (1 f g ) (1 f cs ) c 0 f cs sn 432 where f g is the fraction of exposed ground (sometimes referred to as the “canopy gap 433 fraction”), 1- f g the fraction of the exposed canopy (sometimes referred to as the “canopy 434 radiative fraction”), f cs the fraction of canopy covered with snow, f gs the fraction of ground 435 covered in snow, sn the albedo of snow, g 0 the snow-free ground albedo, and c 0 the 436 snow-free canopy albedo. f g (or 1- f g ) is determined by vegetation structure and is often a 437 function of LAI and SAI. 438 determined by both vegetation structure and local meteorology (Bartlett et al., 2006, Essery et 439 al., 2009, Hedstrom & Pomeroy, 1998, Niu & Yang, 2004). c 0 is an intrinsic property of 440 the vegetation largely determined by leaf level albedo and canopy structure (Hollinger et al., 441 2010, Ollinger et al., 2008, Sellers, 1985). g 0 is largely determined by soil geology but 442 varies with environmental factors influencing soil moisture (Idso et al., 1975), whereas sn is Although no one particular approach is (11) f cs is often analogous to canopy intercepted snow which is 25 443 purely controlled by environmental factors like precipitation rates, wind, temperature, and 444 other factors influencing snow grain size and impurities (like soot deposition) (Pirazzini, 445 2009, Wiscombe & Warren, 1980). 446 FCC/FMC primarily affects s through alterations in vegetation structure and to some extent 447 physiology. In addition to the surface energy budget, changes to s (henceforth s ) can 448 directly alter the top-of-the-atmosphere (TOA) radiation balance and hence global mean 449 temperature (Arora & Montenegro, 2011, Bala et al., 2007, Davin & de Noblet-Ducoudré, 450 2010). Shortwave s RFs at the TOA can be approximated with information on local 451 insolation and atmospheric conditions: 452 RFTOA s RSW sTSW (12) 453 Where RSW is the local insolation, s is the local albedo change, and TSW is the fraction of 454 reflected RSW arriving back at TOA. During multiple reflection and on the final trajectory of 455 the reflected shortwave radiation towards TOA, there are opportunities for additional 456 atmospheric absorption which reduces the impact of s upon the TOA flux change relative 457 to its impact at the surface (Winton, 2005). This is accounted for in Eq. (12) through the use 458 of the upward atmospheric transmittance parameter TSW . 459 measure/obtain, particularly if it is estimated using vertical profiles of optical properties, 460 leading some to apply a value corresponding to the global annual mean (Bright et al., 2014a, 461 Caiazzo et al., 2014, Cherubini et al., 2012, Muñoz et al., 2010). Bright and Kvalevåg (2013) 462 showed that this may be a reasonable assumption. 463 As an alternative to Eq. (12) one could apply “radiative kernels” (Shell et al., 2008, Soden et 464 al., 2008) that relate s directly to TOA RFs (for example, as in Flanner et al., (2011) and 26 Locally, TSW is difficult to 465 Ghimire et al., (2014)). A radiative kernel describes the change in TOA fluxes for a standard 466 change in a surface property like s and depends on the radiative properties and base state of 467 the climate model from which they are derived (Shell et al., 2008, Soden et al., 2008). Global 468 annual mean radiative kernels for s have been estimated to range between 1.29 and 1.61 469 (W m-2 (0.01 s )-1) depending on the radiative transfer scheme and climate model (Shell et 470 al., 2008, Soden et al., 2008). 471 Global Mean Temperature Change 472 The extent to which RFTOA s impacts global mean surface temperatures can be estimated with 473 application of a global climate sensitivity parameter that may describe either the transient, 474 effective, or equilibrium response by global mean temperature to a unit RFTOA (in s 475 C (Wm2 )1 ). The equilibrium climate sensitivity refers to the net change in the annual mean 476 global near-surface Ta when the climate system (or model) attains a new equilibrium with the 477 forcing change (typically corresponding to a doubling of atmospheric CO2-eq. concentration) 478 (Planton, 2013). 479 The effective climate sensitivity is a related measure that circumvents the requirement of 480 equilibrium. It is evaluated from model output for evolving non-equilibrium conditions and is 481 a measure of the strengths of the climate feedbacks at a particular time which may vary with 482 forcing history and climate state. 483 The transient climate response defined by the IPCC is the change in the global surface 484 temperature, averaged over a 20-year period, centered at the time of atmospheric carbon 485 dioxide doubling (year 70 in a 1% yr–1 compound carbon dioxide increase experiment with a 486 global coupled climate model) (Planton, 2013). However, the term is often loosely applied in 487 the literature to denote the transient response to a forcing regardless of the type of forcing 27 488 (CO2) or perturbation rate (1%/yr). It is essentially a measure of the strength and speed of the 489 response by Ta to a radiative forcing, and is typically lower than the equilibrium sensitivity 490 due to the long timescales of heat uptake by oceans. 491 The global climate sensitivity to RFTOA s is highly uncertain and is discussed in greater detail in 492 Section 6. 493 4. Climate Metrics for Land Use-Climate Forcings 494 Climate Regulation Index 495 West et al. (2011) developed “climate regulation indices” that combined two dominant 496 process influencing regional variations in climate: i) the biogeophysical regulation of heat 497 and moisture fluxes from local land surface processes; ii) the advection (transport) of heat and 498 moisture from large-scale atmospheric circulation. With such metrics, the local surface 499 energy and moisture balance impacts of V/FCC are scaled relative to the influence of 500 advection, thus providing an indication of the relative importance of the intrinsic 501 biogeophysical properties of the vegetated land surface: as advection increases, the relative 502 importance of the intrinsic biophysical mechanisms on local climate ( Ta in ˚C and moisture in 503 the atmospheric water column in mm) decreases. 504 To the best of our knowledge, these so-called “heat and moisture regulation indices” represent 505 the only spatially-explicit (0.5˚ x 0.5˚) V/FCC-climate metrics with global coverage 506 developed without the use of coupled (land surface-atmosphere) models and that characterize 507 the V/FCC biogeophysical impact the furthest along the local cause-effect chain from changes 508 in 509 V / FCC RN Ts Ta ). Further work is required, however, to improve the temporal 510 resolution of the prescribed state variables used in the climate forcing characterizations, which net radiation to changes in near-surface 28 air temperatures (i.e., 511 the authors themselves acknowledge. For example, West et al. (2011) prescribed a mixing 512 layer height of the near-surface atmosphere that is fixed annually, although in reality it varies 513 with season in response to V/FCC (Baldocchi & Ma, 2013, Oke, 2002). Further, the metrics 514 are developed using the theoretical potential vegetation cover for each grid cell compared to 515 bare ground/no vegetation; efforts would be required to make similar metrics more amenable 516 to forest management contexts. 517 Climate Regulation Value 518 Anderson-Teixeira et al. (2012) quantified both biogeochemical and biogeophysical 519 ecosystem climate services of 18 eco-regions across the Americas and combined them into a 520 single indicator referred to as the “Climate Regulation Value” (CRV) that indexes the relative 521 importance of biogeophysical to biogeochemical eco-physiological processes on land. CRV 522 is essentially the time-integrated net change in global LW GHG forcing at TOA less the local 523 surface energy balance change ( RFGHG RN L( E T ) ; in Watts per global m2) relative to 524 a pulse emission of CO2 occurring in the year of LULCC. 525 The metric essentially combines the local direct biogeophysical climate effect (normalized to 526 the area of the earth) with the global biogeochemical effect which is normalized to CO2 as the 527 common currency (to obtain units in “CO2-eq.”). “Climate effect” here is simply the energy 528 gained or removed from climate system at multiple levels of the atmosphere (surface and 529 TOA). The metric does not account for the change in surface skin ( Ts ) or near-surface air 530 temperature ( Ta ) due to, for example, changes in surface aerodynamic properties (governed 531 by roughness) influencing convective heat transfer (Lee et al., 2011, Mahmood et al., 2013, 532 Pielke Sr. et al., 2011) -- which is of greater relevance to humans and to the functioning of 533 local ecosystems (Betts, 2007, Pielke Sr. et al., 2002). Additionally, local non-radiative (i.e., 534 from ∆H) and global radiative (i.e., from CO2 RF) effects are summed, making meaningful 29 535 interpretation difficult. Like those derived by West et al. (2011), the baseline land cover in 536 Anderson-Teixeira et al. (2012) used to derive the CRV metric is bare soil depleted of organic 537 matter, which is not a realistic V/FCC scenario. 538 Entropy Production 539 Entropy production is a thermodynamic measure of the strength of dissipative processes 540 which perform physical work. Kleidon (2006), and later Stoy et al. (2014), argued that 541 entropy production is meaningful because it characterizes climate sensitivity (local Ta ) not 542 by how much warming or cooling occurs but by how much the suitability to perform physical 543 work differs by physical dissipative processes such as the turbulent exchange of the surface 544 and the atmosphere. 545 changes reduced the ability of natural ecosystems to perform work and that entropy 546 production rates may be a more meaningful measure of climate sensitivity than the global 547 mean Ta . Entropy reduction scales positively with increasing land use intensity (i.e., human 548 appropriation of NPP). In northern latitudes, this reduction stems from reductions in RN due 549 to reductions in SWNet (increased in albedo); in southern latitudes, entropy reductions stem 550 from a reduction in L(E+T) fluxes. 551 5. Case Studies 552 Environmental vs. Biological Controls 553 To what extent can the environmental controls (i.e., global radiation, precipitation, wind, etc.) 554 relative to the intrinsic biological properties of the vegetation itself (i.e., stomatal 555 conductance, LAI, vegetation height, etc.) influence the vegetation feedbacks on climate? For 556 any two forests having similar structural and physiological properties (i.e., LAI, hc, gs, zr), 557 s will mostly be driven by differences in air temperature and precipitation as it affect snow Kleidon showed that climate impacts from large-scale land cover 30 558 cover (when f g and g 0 are assumed negligible), by differences in RSW due to differences 559 in latitude and atmospheric conditions (i.e., cloud cover, aerosol optical depth), and by 560 differences in 561 Understanding the role of environmental controls is relevant for regionally-optimized climate 562 motivated forest management strategies and policies. Peng et al. (2014) showed that the 563 benefits of afforestation in China (in terms of local Ts relative to grassland or cropland) are 564 likely to be enhanced in wetter regions (P >1200 mm yr-1) due to higher L(E+T) and can 565 even be counter-productive in dryer regions. For instance, the annual mean Ts between 566 plantation forests and open lands was found to be ~ -2ºC for regions experiencing P >1600 567 mm yr-1 while ~ +2.5ºC for regions experiencing P = 400-600 mm yr-1. 568 Another example is in Norway, where coastal regions in the west are being considered for 569 large-scale afforestation of fallow pasture and cropland with spruce plantations. The climate 570 of the region is characterized as having much higher P and relatively milder annual mean air 571 temperatures (P = >3000 vs. 500-100 mm yr-1 and T = 6.3 C vs. 2.7 C, respectively) 572 (Norwegian Meteorological Institute, 2013). 573 contribute to a lower annual mean s and higher L(E+T) relative to forests of similar 574 structure (basal area, LAI, dominant species) located in the cooler and dryer eastern regions. 575 Thus despite experiencing slightly higher mean annual RN loads, afforestation in the coaster 576 regions would warm Ts and cool Ta locally relative to similar forests in eastern regions of 577 Norway, as illustrated in Table 4. 578 Table 4. Site pair comparison demonstrating the relative importance of environmental versus 579 structural and physiological (“Biological”) controls on annual mean air and surface 580 temperatures. Flux data for the USA are for 2005 and are adapted from Katul & Oren (2011a, H due to differences in humidity, precipitation, and wind speed. L( E T ) 31 Differences in these environmental factors 581 2011b), and data from 2004-2009 for “eastern Norway” are adapted from Bright et al. 582 (2014a). L(E+T), s , and Ts for “western Norway” are means over the same time period 583 acquired from MODIS retrievals (ORNL DAAC, 2014). Radiation budget variables for 584 “western Norway” ( RSW ; RLW ) are from NASA (2014). Environmental Control Examples H RN s RSW ∆ Definition 2 Evergreen Needleaf, western Norway (59.4 N; 6.1 E) – Evergreen Needleleaf, eastern Norway (61.2 N, 12.4 E) Evergreen Needleleaf, SE USA – Broadleaf Deciduous, SE USA Evergreen Needleleaf, easternNorway – Broadleaf Deciduous, eastern Norway 2 L( E T ) , [Wm ] [Wm ] -0.02 2 (= 113 – 4 (= 50 - (Bowen) -0.8 (= 0.4 (= 0.10 - 0.12) 111) 46 ) – 1.2) Biological Control Example -0.04 0 (= 194 – 12 (= 108 -0.1 (= 0.39 -0.09 Ts [ C ] Ta [ C ] , , Local 1.4 Local -1.4b [H = 14 - H = 24 ] 0.4a 0.3b [H = 30 194) – 96) – 0.44) - H = 28] 0 (=111 – 7 (=46 – 0.5 (= 1.2 – 0.1 0.4b [H = 24 111) 39) 0.8) - H = 21] and an emissivity of 0.95 RLW 585 a Calculated with 586 b Calculated with a 12-hr. heating cycle and boundary layer mixing height of 250 m (West et al. 2011) 587 588 The importance of “Biological Controls” – or vegetation structure and physiology – becomes 589 apparent when one compares sites sharing identical environmental forcings, as in Table 4. 590 The lower s of the coniferous relative to deciduous sites in both geographic regions is 591 attributed to a higher LAI during fall-spring months (Bright et al., 2014a, Juang et al., 2007). 592 The lower s translates to higher radiation loads ( RN ) and higher H, resulting in mean air and 593 surface temperatures that were higher at the coniferous site relative to the deciduous site in the 594 SE USA, despite having higher L(E+T) (lower Bowen ratio) during 2005 (Juang et al., 595 2007). As for the Norwegian site comparison, despite having larger RN loads due to the 32 596 higher fall-spring LAI and lower s at the coniferous site, Ts was much less pronounced 597 owed to a larger surface roughness and lower aerodynamic resistance. 598 Radiative vs. Non-Radiative Contributions 599 The contribution by aerodynamic and physiological (non-radiative) relative to radiative 600 effects on Ts can be quantified in terms of the energy redistribution efficiency parameter 601 (i.e., f in Eq. (4)) formalized by Lee et al. (2011). This term can either be estimated using 602 aerodynamic and surface resistances (the latter is needed to estimate L(E+T)) as in Eq. (4) – 603 or with Eq. (13) below: 604 f 0 Ts Ta ( RN RG ) 1 (13) 605 where RN RG is the net turbulent heat flux, 0 is the longwave radiation feedback, and 606 Ts Ta is the temperature gradient between the surface and the air. With this information, f 607 can be approximated for different forest biomes or management regimes (Table 5), and the 608 model of Lee et al. (2011) (Eq. 3) can be used to approximate Ts between any two sites 609 provided they share the same background climate conditions (i.e., the environmental controls 610 are identical). Table 5 shows estimates of f (unitless) for a site cluster in boreal Canada 611 together with important micrometeorological and biophysical observations. Knowing f , one 612 can approximate the contribution to Ts by non-radiative mechanisms with Eq. (3). A high f 613 denotes a greater role played by the non-radiative mechanisms at keeping Ts low. 614 Table 5 reveals some interesting insights about the relative contributions of f on the annual 615 mean Ts across the Canadian boreal site cluster. Although s is lower and RN is higher at the 616 Old Jack Pine site relative to the Old Aspen site, Ts is lower owed to a higher f , which we 33 617 suspect is due to a larger aerodynamic roughness serving to dissipate heat (H) more efficiently 618 away from the surface during the daytime, despite its higher Bowen ratio relative to the Old 619 Aspen stand over the observed time period. 620 Table 5. Site cluster comparison of the impacts of surface intrinsic biogeophysical properties 621 on annual mean local air ( Ta ) and surface ( Ts ) temperatures (24-hr.). Ts and L( E T ) data 622 are from MODIS (ORNL DAAC, 2014), f is calculated with Eq. (13), and all other variables 623 are from Fluxnet (Barr, 2013, Barr & Black, 2013a, Barr & Black, 2013b, Barr et al., 2013). 624 Ta is measured 1-2 m above the surface. s Old Aspen (SKOA19) Old Jack Pine (SKOJP14) Clear-cut Pine (SKHJP02) 0 RSW (1 s ) RN [Wm2 ] [Wm 2 ] 0.15 110.0 60.7 1.55 0.68 0.220 0.62 14.3 0.12 114.8 62.8 1.06 0.51 0.220 1.22 24.2 0.29 94.2 44.4 0.61 0.25 0.221 0.91 26.3 Clear-cut Pine – Old Pine Ts [ C ] Ta [ C ] [ C (Wm 2 ) 1 ] H L( E T ) (Bowen) Clear-cut Pine – Old Aspen Old Aspen – Old Pine Ts [ C ] -0.47 -0.49 0.79 Ts , [ C ] -0.20 -0.29 0.49 f Modeled 625 626 Relative to the Old Jack Pine and Old Aspen sites, the value of f and the non-radiative 627 contribution to the observed and modeled Ts at the Clear-cut Pine site is surprisingly high, 628 which we suspect could stem from high rates of soil evaporation. The higher Bowen ratio2 at 2 Although L(E+T) is estimated over a spatial footprint much larger than the actual site area (~1 km), the Bowen ratios trends are consistent with those reported in Eugster et al. (Eugster W, Rouse WR, Pielke Sr. RA et al. (2000) Land-atmosphere energy exchange in Arctic tundra and boreal forest: available data and feedbacks to 34 629 the Old Jack Pine site could be attributed to a number of factors like lower transpiration 630 (relative to Old Aspen) and lower soil evaporation (relative to Clear-cut Pine) due to a ground 631 surface that is masked by the vegetated canopy year round (i.e., more shaded ground area). 632 Inserting the values for f into Eq. (1), the non-radiative contribution to Ts from 2004-2010 633 at the Old Aspen site relative to the Old Jack Pine site is 0.56 ˚C/yr while that from RFSFC s is - 634 0.07 ˚C/yr. Relative to the Old Jack Pine and Old Aspen sites, non- RFSFC s contributions to 635 Ts at the Clear-cut site are 0.03 ˚C/yr and -0.16 ˚C/yr, respectively. Although the modeled 636 Ts is not entirely accurate since we do not subtract the storage term ( RG ) from RN (as shown 637 in Eq. (13), it gives us the right sign of the forcing and, perhaps more importantly, a way to 638 estimate the approximate relative contribution of radiative vs. non-radiative processes to Ts 639 that one may attribute to FCC/FMC. 640 6. Critical Research Needs and Future Directions 641 Climate Sensitivity and RF Efficacy 642 In recent years, radiative forcing contributions from s have been increasingly included in 643 climate impact assessment studies. Yet the extent to which a RFTOA s from local s affects 644 global surface temperature is complicated, particularly when compared to the global forcing 645 from well-mixed CO2. 646 temperature change in response to RF (in C(Wm2 )1 ) – depends on the spatial distribution of 647 the RF (Hansen & Nazarenko, 2004, Hansen et al., 2005, Joshi et al., 2003). RFs at high 648 latitudes can be over twice as effective as RFs at low latitudes (Forster et al., 2000, Hansen & 649 Nazarenko, 2004, Hansen et al., 1997, Hansen et al., 2005, Joshi et al., 2003). This result is The equilibrium climate sensitivity – or the equilibrium climate. Global Change Biology, 6, 84-115.) for open vs. closed canopy and coniferous vs. deciduous forests types in boreal regions. 35 650 due to the stimulation of positive snow/ice albedo feedbacks and to the relative stability of the 651 atmospheric temperature profile at high latitudes (Hansen & Nazarenko, 2004, Hansen et al., 652 2005). This has given rise to RF adjustments with a factor sometimes referred to as climate 653 “efficacy” (Hansen et al., 2005), which is defined as the ratio of for some forcing agent 654 relative to that for CO2. For instance, Zhao & Jackson (2014) applied an efficacy of 0.5 to 655 adjust albedo change RFs connected to mid-latitude FCC/FMC in the southeast USA, and 656 Cherubini et al. (2012) applied a higher efficacy of 1.94 for a change in snow albedo because 657 the forest management question mostly pertained to seasonal (winter-spring) albedo changes 658 connected to changes in snow masking by forest canopies. 659 Recall from Sections 1 & 2, however, that changes to the aerodynamic and physiological 660 properties of the surface also act on near-surface temperatures by governing the efficiency by 661 which RN is dissipated from (or accumulated by) the surface following a RF. These non- 662 radiative internal feedbacks dampen the externally-driven radiative temperature change at the 663 surface (i.e., Eq. (3)) (Davin & de Noblet-Ducoudré, 2010, Lee et al., 2011). For these 664 reasons, Davin et al. (2007) report a connected to historical global land use changes (VCC) 665 of 0.52 C(Wm2 )1 which gives a climate efficacy of ~0.5 for the particular climate model. 666 However, Hansen et al. (2005) report an efficacy of 1.02 +/- 0.6 for their global historical 667 VCC simulations using the same vegetation maps (i.e., (Ramankutty & Foley, 1999)), which 668 demonstrates the dependency of (and efficacy terms) on the particular climate model from 669 which they are derived. 670 Table 6. Reported global climate sensitivities ( ; C(Wm2 )1 ) and/or efficacies ( / CO 671 ; unitless) for RFTOA s . s Model (VCC) , RFTOA Type s Efficacy s 36 Reference 2 IPSL-CM4 0.52 Effective 0.5 (Davin et al., 2007) IPSL 0.93a Effective 0.78 (Davin & de NobletDucoudré, 2010) GISS E vIII 0.45 Effective 1.02 (Hansen et al., 2005) IAP RAS 0.49 Effective N/A (Eliseev, 2011) CCSM4 v8 0.62 Equilibrium 0.79 (Jones et al., 2013) CCSM4 v4 0.36b Transient N/A (Lawrence et al., 2012) CM FCC only; b Ta / RFSFC 672 a 673 However, in a more recent modeling study limited to global-scale deforestation (FCC), Davin 674 and de Noblet-Ducoudré (2010) report a of 0.93 C(Wm2 )1 – a value resembling that of 675 CO2 and thus giving an efficacy of ~0.8 for the particular model and set-up. Thus to some 676 extent uncertainty also stems from the type of vegetation changes that are modeled. 677 Jones et al. (2013) showed that global radiative forcings from well-mixed GHGs like CO2 and 678 those from VCC ( s ) – even if adjusted with efficacies – do not produce the same global 679 mean temperature response when added together, in part because of spatial heterogeneity, 680 non-radiative effects, and other factors. 681 responses should be added directly. 682 This argument should not detract from efforts to move down the cause-effect chain from s 683 TOA to RFTOA s . The metric RF s provides information about the net energy gained or lost from 684 the climate system and can be quantified for stand level perturbations, whereas a global 685 temperature response cannot unless quantified using a fully coupled global climate model and 686 a relatively large perturbation signal. If climate modelers worked towards quantifying and s They argue instead that the individual climate 37 687 building consensus on regional responses from VCC/VMC-induced RFTOA s , then non-climate 688 modelers and resource managers could better characterize FCC/FMC impacts. Davin & de 689 Noblet-Decoudré (2010) present latitudinal averages of the climate response from their 690 deforestation modeling simulations; if the corresponding RFTOA s values were also known, 691 researchers could derive regional climate sensitivities (or RF efficacies) for site-level 692 application in climate impact assessment studies. 693 Metrics of Forest Cover and Management Changes and Their Policy Implications 694 Figure 4 illustrates the principle biogeophysical forcing mechanisms at play following 695 TOA vegetation perturbation on land. s can be causally and linearly linked to RFSFC s , RF s , 696 Ta , global , and any C-normalized metric through C-eq.’s. These metrics can be converted from 697 each other, although the conversion factors and/or procedures differ from one analyst to 698 another. Differences stem from the particular radiative transfer code used to convert s to 699 TOA RFTOA s and in the choice of the climate sensitivity term ( ) required to convert from RF s to 700 Ta , global . 701 38 702 Figure 4. Conceptual illustration of the biogeophysical mechanisms modulating local and 703 global Ta and corresponding metrics. “E” = L(E+T). 704 Using s as the only biogeophysical forcer in land use studies should be done with caution. 705 While the s metrics shown in Fig. 4 can be derived and converted from one to another with 706 ease, local Ta and Ts cannot. This is owed to the non-linear role of heat dissipation by 707 surface roughness and evapotranspiration. Relative to open areas, for example, forests in 708 many extra-tropical regions have generally been shown to cool locally (Ta and Ts) during the 709 daytime despite have lower surface albedos (Lee et al., 2011, Peng et al., 2014, Zhang et al., 710 2014, Zhao & Jackson, 2014). Although H and L( E T ) are intimately linked to Ts (In 711 Eq. (3) and Fig. (4)), Ta is also affected by turbulent mixing and the dynamics of the 712 boundary layer (Baldocchi & Ma, 2013, Oke, 2002) and has no direct relationship with Ts 713 (recall Fig. 3, where Ts and Ta displayed different signs between the coniferous example 714 (“Old Jack Pine”) and the open area example (“Clear-cut”) in most seasons). 715 Summary and Recommendations 716 Biogeophysical factors associated with forestry activities -- including albedo and turbulent 717 heat exchange -- are rarely considered by policy makers, despite the fact that such factors can 718 affect local climate in ways counter to carbon sequestration. Researchers need to assist policy 719 makers if they are to move beyond a strictly carbon-centric accounting framework for forest 720 mitigation activities. Recent suggestions to include global mean impacts from albedo change 721 RFs are an improvement but fall short of a full biophysical accounting. Forestry impacts on 722 local Ta are often more important than effects on the mean global Ta , despite the challenges 723 associated with quantifying them or comparing direct observations between sites, since air as 724 a fluid is very dynamic and unpredictable. For analyses at site level, it is often easier to 39 725 justify taking the difference between surface biophysical variables as they impact vertical heat 726 exchanges (i.e., L(E+T), H) and Ts because they are directly determined by the canopy- 727 ground composites. 728 Metrics based on RF will have greater policy relevance if appropriate adjustments are made to 729 account for differences in the local/regional response by temperature due to the internal 730 feedbacks from the non-radiative forcings. 731 coupled 732 micrometeorologists to quantify the energy redistribution efficiency parameter f (see Eq. 13) 733 for a variety of forest types and other terrestrial ecosystems. 734 The differences between local and global effects are relevant for mitigation activities 735 involving forestry. The net radiative forcing to date from CO2 emissions accompanying 736 global deforestation is ~0.4 W m-2; the accompanying global effect of increased surface 737 albedo is about -0.2 W m-2, but the local albedo effect can be two orders or magnitude greater, 738 as much as ~20 W m-2 in boreal and arid temperate forests, for instance (Betts 2007, 739 Houspanossian et al. 2013)(Chapin III et al., 2012, Rotenberg & Yakir, 2010). Thus some 740 forestry activities will cool globally while warming the land surface locally. Similarly, the 741 increased evapotranspiration of forests compared to grasslands or croplands often cools the 742 land surface locally. Globally the direct effect of increased L(E+T) is less clear as the net 743 global energy balance will effectively be zero when the water condenses elsewhere. 744 However, if the extra water vapor increases cloud cover, then a cooling factor may be 745 introduced due to enhancements in atmospheric albedo (Ban-Weiss et al., 2011). A small 746 warming factor is also introduced because water is a potent greenhouse gas. Determining the 747 net effect of these interactions remains difficult and requires both meso- and global-scale 748 models. Understanding these indirect interactions should be a future research priority. climate modelers to This approach requires sustained efforts by quantify 40 regional climate sensitivities and by 749 As for the direct biogeophysical climate forcings connected to land use and land management, 750 we have reviewed and identified different approaches and metrics to quantify them. We have 751 also recommended research priorities to help overcome some of the challenges associated 752 with measuring radiative and non-radiative forcings. Such knowledge should help build 753 bridges among the climate modeling, forest ecology, and resource management communities 754 and, ultimately, allow us to include all biogeophysical forcings in our estimates of the climate 755 benefits of different land use activities. 756 Acknowledgements 757 This work was performed under the project ‘Approaches for integrated assessment of forest 758 ecosystem services under large scale bioenergy utilization’ funded by the Norwegian 759 Research Council (grant number: 233641/E50). Additional funding has been provided by 760 USDA-AFRI (grant number: 2012-00857). 761 References 762 763 764 765 766 767 768 769 770 771 772 773 774 775 776 777 778 779 780 781 Abiodun BJ, Pal JS, Afiesimama EA, Gutowski WJ, Adedoyin A (2008) Simulation of West African monsoon using RegCM3 Part II: impacts of deforestation and desertification. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 93, 245-261. Allen RG, Jensen ME, Wright JL, Burman RD (1989) Operational Estimates of Reference Evapotranspiration. Agron. J., 81, 650-662. Allen RG, Pereira LS, Raes D, Smith M (1998) Crop evapotranspiration - Guidelines for computing crop water requirements - FAO irrigation and drainage paper 56. pp 15, Rome, Italy, UN. FAO. Anderson-Teixeira K, Snyder P, Twine T, Cuadra S, Costa M, Delucia E (2012) Climate-regulation services of natural and agricultural ecoregions of the Americas. Nature Clim. Change, 2. Anderson RG, Canadell JG, Randerson JT et al. (2010) Biophysical considerations in forestry for climate protection. Frontiers in Ecology & Environment, 9, 174-182. Arneth A, Sitch S, Bondeau A et al. (2010) From biota to chemistry and climate: towards a comprehensive description of trace gas exchange between the biosphere and atmosphere. Biogeosciences, 7, 121-149. Arora VK, Montenegro A (2011) Small temperature benefits provided by realistic afforestation efforts. Nature Geoscience, 4, 514-518. Avissar R, Werth D (2005) Global Hydroclimatological Teleconnections Resulting from Tropical Deforestation. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 6, 134-145. Bala G, Caldeira K, Wickett M, Phillips TJ, Lobell DB, Delire C, Mirin A (2007) Combined climate and carbon-cycle effects of large-scale deforestation. PNAS, 104, 6550-6555. 41 782 783 784 785 786 787 788 789 790 791 792 793 794 795 796 797 798 799 800 801 802 803 804 805 806 807 808 809 810 811 812 813 814 815 816 817 818 819 820 821 822 823 824 825 826 827 828 829 830 831 832 833 Baldocchi D, Ma S (2013) How will land use affect air temperature in the surface boundary layer? Lessons learned from a comparative study on the energy balance of an oak savanna and annual grassland in California, USA. Tellus B; Vol 65 (2013). Ban-Weiss GA, Bala G, Cao L, Pongratz J, Caldeira K (2011) Climate forcing and response to idealized changes in surface latent and sensible heat. Environmental Research Letters, 6, 034032. Barr A (2013) Saskatchewan BERMS 1994 Harvested Jack Pine Site Gap-filled Meteorological Dataset. Available online [http://fluxnet.ornl.gov] from Oak Ridge National Laboratory Distributed Active Archive Center (ORNL DAAC), Oak Ridge, Tennessee, USA. Accessed July 2, 2013. Barr A, Black A (2013a) Saskatchewan BERMS 2002 Harvested Jack Pine Site Gap-filled Meteorological Dataset. Available online [http://fluxnet.ornl.gov] from Oak Ridge National Laboratory Distributed Active Archive Center (ORNL DAAC), Oak Ridge, Tennessee, USA. Accessed July 2, 2013. Barr A, Black A (2013b) Saskatchewan BERMS Old Aspen Site Gap-filled Meterological Dataset Available online [http://fluxnet.ornl.gov] from Oak Ridge National Laboratory Distributed Active Archive Center (ORNL DAAC), Oak Ridge, Tennessee, USA. Accessed July 2, 2013. Barr A, Black A, Mccaughey H (2013) Saskatchewan BERMS Old Jack Pine Site Gap-filled Meterological Dataset Available online [http://fluxnet.ornl.gov] from Oak Ridge National Laboratory Distributed Active Archive Center (ORNL DAAC), Oak Ridge, Tennessee, USA. Accessed July 2, 2013. Bartlett PA, Mackay MD, Verseghy DL (2006) Modified snow algorithms in the Canadian land surface scheme: Model runs and sensitivity analysis at three boreal forest stands. AtmosphereOcean, 44, 207-222. Betts AK, Desjardins RL, Worth D (2007) Impact of agriculture, forest and cloud feedback on the surface energy budget in BOREAS. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 142, 156-169. Betts R (2007) Implications of land ecosystem-atmosphere interactions for strategies for climate change adaptation and mitigation. Tellus B, 59, 602-615. Boisier JP, De Noblet-Ducoudré N, Pitman AJ et al. (2012) Attributing the impacts of land-cover changes in temperate regions on surface temperature and heat fluxes to specific causes: Results from the first LUCID set of simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 117, D12116. Bonan GB (2002) Ecological Climatology: Concepts and Applications, Cambridge, U.K., Cambridge University Press. Bonan GB (2008) Forests and Climate Change: Forcings, Feedbacks, and the Climate Benefits of Forests. Science, 320, 1444-1449. Bright RM, Antón-Fernández C, Astrup R, Cherubini F, Kvalevåg MM, Strømman AH (2014a) Climate change implications of shifting forest management strategy in a boreal forest ecosystem of Norway. Global Change Biology, 20, 607-621. Bright RM, Kvalevåg MM (2013) Technical note: Evaluating a simple parameterization of radiative shortwave forcing from surface albedo change. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 13, 11169-11174. Bright RM, Myhre G, Astrup R, Antón-Fernández C, Strømman AH (2014b) Radiative forcing bias of surface albedo modifications linked to simulated forest cover changes at northern latitudes Biogeosciences Discussions, Manuscript in Review. Caiazzo F, Malina R, Staples MD, Wolfe P, J. ,, Yim SHL, Barrett SRH (2014) Quantifying the climate impacts of albedo changes due to biofuel production: a comparison with biogeochemical effects. Environmental Research Letters, 9, 024015. Cess RD (1978) Biosphere-Albedo Feedback and Climate Modeling. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 35, 1765-1768. Chapin Iii FS, Matson PA, Vitousek P (2012) Principles of terrestrial ecosystem ecology, 2nd Ed., Springer. Chapin Iii FS, Shaver GR, Giblin AE, Nadelhoffer KJ, Laundre JA (1995) Responses of Arctic Tundra to Experimental and Observed Changes in Climate. Ecology, 76, 694-711. 42 834 835 836 837 838 839 840 841 842 843 844 845 846 847 848 849 850 851 852 853 854 855 856 857 858 859 860 861 862 863 864 865 866 867 868 869 870 871 872 873 874 875 876 877 878 879 880 881 882 883 884 885 Chen G-S, Notaro M, Liu Z, Liu Y (2012) Simulated Local and Remote Biophysical Effects of Afforestation over the Southeast United States in Boreal Summer*. Journal of Climate, 25, 4511-4522. Cherubini F, Bright RM, Strømman AH (2012) Site-specific global warming potentials of biogenic CO2 for bioenergy: contributions from carbon fluxes and albedo dynamics. Environmental Research Letters, 7, 045902. Colaizzi PD, Evett SR, Howell TA, Tolk JA (2004) Comparison of aerodynamic and radiometric surface temperature using precision weighing lysimeters. pp 215-229. Cotton WR, Pielke RA (1995) Human impacts on weather and climate, Cambridge, UK; New York, NY, USA; Melbourne, Australia, Cambridge University Press. Davin EL, De Noblet-Ducoudré N (2010) Climatic impact of global-scale deforestation: Radiative versus nonradiative processes. Journal of Climate, 23, 97-112. Davin EL, De Noblet-Ducoudré N, Friedlingstein P (2007) Impact of land cover change on surface climate: Relevance of the radiative forcing concept. Geophysical Research Letters, 34, L13702. De Noblet-Ducoudré N, Boisier J-P, Pitman A et al. (2012) Determining Robust Impacts of Land-UseInduced Land Cover Changes on Surface Climate over North America and Eurasia: Results from the First Set of LUCID Experiments. Journal of Climate, 25, 3261-3281. Ding R, Kang S, Du T, Hao X, Zhang Y (2014) Scaling Up Stomatal Conductance from Leaf to Canopy Using a Dual-Leaf Model for Estimating Crop Evapotranspiration. PLoS ONE, 9, e95584. Durieux L, Machado LaT, Laurent H (2003) The impact of deforestation on cloud cover over the Amazon arc of deforestation. Remote Sensing of Environment, 86, 132-140. Eliseev AV (2011) Comparison of climatic efficiency of the mechanisms of land-surface albedo changes caused by land use. Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics, 47, 290-300. Essery R (2013) Large-scale simulations of snow albedo masking by forests. Geophysical Research Letters, 40, 5521-5525. Essery R, Rutter N, Pomeroy JW et al. (2009) SnowMIP2: An evaluation of forest snow process simulations. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, August, 1-16. Eugster W, Rouse WR, Pielke Sr. RA et al. (2000) Land-atmosphere energy exchange in Arctic tundra and boreal forest: available data and feedbacks to climate. Global Change Biology, 6, 84-115. Fao, Jrc (2012) Global forest land-use change 1990-2005. (eds Lindquist EJ, D'annunzio R, Gerrand A, Macdicken K, Achard F, Beuchle R, Brink A, Eva HD, Mayaux P, San-Miguel-Ayanz J, Stibig H-J), Rome, Italy, FAO Forestry Paper N. 169, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations and European Commission Joint Research Centre. Feddema JJ, Oleson KW, Bonan GB, Mearns LO, Buja LE, Meehl GA, Washington WM (2005) The Importance of Land-Cover Change in Simulating Future Climates. Science, 310, 1674-1678. Flanner MG, Shell KM, Barlage M, Perovich DK, Tschudi MA (2011) Radiative forcing and albedo feedback from the Northern Hemisphere cryosphere between 1979 and 2008. Nature Geosci, 4, 151-155. Foley JA, Costa MH, Delire C, Ramankutty N, Snyder P (2003) Green surprise? How terrestrial ecosystems could affect earth’s climate. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 1, 38-44. Forster PM, Blackburn M, Glover R, Shine KP (2000) An examination of climate sensitivity for idealised climate change experiments in an intermediate general circulation model. Climate Dynamics, 16, 833-849. Ghimire B, Williams CA, Masek J, Gao F, Wang Z, Schaaf C, He T (2014) Global albedo change and radiative cooling from anthropogenic land-cover change, 1700 to 2005 based on MODIS, land-use harmonization, radiative kernels and reanalysis. Geophysical Research Letters, 2014GL061671. Goldewijk KK (2001) Estimating global land use change over the past 300 years: The HYDE Database. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 15, 417-433. Hansen J, Nazarenko L (2004) Soot climate forcing via snow and ice albedos. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 101, 423-428. 43 886 887 888 889 890 891 892 893 894 895 896 897 898 899 900 901 902 903 904 905 906 907 908 909 910 911 912 913 914 915 916 917 918 919 920 921 922 923 924 925 926 927 928 929 930 931 932 933 934 935 936 Hansen J, Sato M, Ruedy R (1997) Radiative forcing and climate response. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 102, 6831-6864. Hansen J, Sato M, Ruedy R et al. (2005) Efficacy of climate forcings. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 110, D18104. Hedstrom NR, Pomeroy JW (1998) Measurements and modelling of snow interception in the boreal forest. Hydrological Processes, 12, 1611-1625. Henderson-Sellers A, Wilson MF (1983) Albedo Observations of the Earth's Surface for Climate Research. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B, 309, 285-294. Hoffmann WA, Jackson RB (2000) Vegetation–Climate Feedbacks in the Conversion of Tropical Savanna to Grassland. Journal of Climate, 13, 1593-1602. Hollinger DY, Ollinger SV, Richardson AD et al. (2010) Albedo estimates for land surface models and support for a new paradigm based on foliage nitrogen concentration. Global Change Biology, 16, 696-710. Idso SB, Jackson RD, Reginato RJ, Kimball BA, Nakayama FS (1975) The Dependence of Bare Soil Albedo on Soil Water Content. Journal of Applied Meteorology, 14, 109-113. Irmak S, Mutiibwa D, Irmak A, Arkebauer TJ, Weiss A, Martin DL, Eisenhauer DE (2008) On the scaling up leaf stomatal resistance to canopy resistance using photosynthetic photon flux density. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 148, 1034-1044. Jackson RB, Randerson JT, Canadell JG et al. (2008) Protecting climate with forests. Environmental Research Letters, 3, 044006 (044005pp). Jones AD, Collins WD, Torn MS (2013) On the additivity of radiative forcing between land use change and greenhouse gases. Geophysical Research Letters, 40, 4036-4041. Joshi M, Shine K, Ponater M, Stuber N, Sausen R, Li L (2003) A comparison of climate response to different radiative forcings in three general circulation models: towards an improved metric of climate change. Climate Dynamics, 20, 843-854. Juang J-Y, Katul G, Siqueira M, Stoy P, Novick K (2007) Separating the effects of albedo from ecophysiological changes on surface temperature along a successional chronosequence in the southeastern United States. Geophysical Research Letters, 34, L21408. Katul G, Oren R (2011a) Duke Forest Hardwoods Flux Data. AmeriFlux Site and Data Exploration System. Accessed online Jan. 5, 2015 at: http://ameriflux.ornl.gov/ . Katul G, Oren R (2011b) Duke Forest Loblolly Pine Ameri-Flux Data. AmeriFlux Site and Data Exploration System. Accessed online Jan. 5, 2015 at: http://ameriflux.ornl.gov/. Kelliher FM, Leuning R, Raupach MR, Schulze ED (1995) Maximum conductances for evaporation from global vegetation types. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 73, 1-16. Kleidon A (2006) The climate sensitivity to human appropriation of vegetation productivity and its thermodynamic characterization. Global and Planetary Change, 54, 109-127. Klingaman NP, Butke J, Leathers DJ, Brinson KR, Nickl E (2008) Mesoscale Simulations of the Land Surface Effects of Historical Logging in a Moist Continental Climate Regime. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 47, 2166-2182. Lawrence PJ, Feddema JJ, Bonan GB et al. (2012) Simulating the Biogeochemical and Biogeophysical Impacts of Transient Land Cover Change and Wood Harvest in the Community Climate System Model (CCSM4) from 1850 to 2100. Journal of Climate, 25, 3071-3095. Lee X, Goulden ML, Hollinger DY et al. (2011) Observed increase in local cooling effect of deforestation at higher latitudes. Nature, 479, 384-387. Luyssaert S, Jammet M, Stoy P et al. (2014) Land management and land-cover change have impacts of similar magnitude on surface temperature. Nature Climate Change, 4, 389-393. Mahmood R, Pielke RA, Hubbard KG et al. (2013) Land cover changes and their biogeophysical effects on climate. International Journal of Climatology, In Press, doi:10.1002/joc.3736. Mahmood R, Quintanar AI, Conner G et al. (2010) Impacts of Land Use/Land Cover Change on Climate and Future Research Priorities. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 91, 37-46. 44 937 938 939 940 941 942 943 944 945 946 947 948 949 950 951 952 953 954 955 956 957 958 959 960 961 962 963 964 965 966 967 968 Mcguire AD, Chapin FS, Walsh JE, Wirth C (2006) Integrated Regional Changes in Arctic Climate Feedbacks: Implications for the Global Climate System. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 31, 61-91. Mcnaughton KG, Spriggs TW (1986) A mixed-layer model for regional evaporation. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 34, 243-262. Meyfroidt P, Rudel TK, Lambin EF (2010) Forest transitions, trade, and the global displacement of land use. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 107, 20917-20922. Mohr KI, David Baker R, Tao W-K, Famiglietti JS (2003) The Sensitivity of West African Convective Line Water Budgets to Land Cover. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 4, 62-76. Monteith JL (1965) Evaporation and environment. Symp. Soc. Exp. Biol., 19, 205-224. Monteith JL, Unsworth MH (eds) (2008) Principles of environmental physics, London, Elsevier Academic Press. Mu Q, Zhao M, Running SW (2011) Improvements to a MODIS global terrestrial evapotranspiration algorithm. Remote Sensing of Environment, 115, 1781-1800. Muñoz I, Campra P, Fernández-Alba AR (2010) Including CO2-emission equivalence of changes in land surface albedo in life cycle assessment. Methodology and case study on greenhouse agriculture. International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment, 15, 672-681. Murry FW (1967) On the computation of saturation vapor pressure. Journal of Applied Meteorology, 6, 203-204. Nakai T, Sumida A, Daikoku K et al. (2008) Parameterisation of aerodynamic roughness over boreal, cool- and warm-temperate forests. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 14, 1916-1925. Nasa Asdc (2014) NASA/GEWEX Solar Radiation Budget (SRB) Data, Release v.3.0. Accessed November 18, 2014 at: https://eosweb.larc.nasa.gov/project/srb/srb_table . NASA Atmospheric Science and Data Center. National Research Council (2003) Understanding Climate Change Feedbacks. pp 166, Panel on Climate Change Feedbacks, Climate Research Committee, National Research Council. Niu G-Y, Yang Z-L (2004) Effects of vegetation canopy processes on snow surface energy and mass balances. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 109, D23111. Norwegian Meteorological Institute (2013) eKlima - Monthly Historical Meteorology. Norwegian Meteorological Institute. Accessed Jan 31, 2013 at: http://sharki.oslo.dnmi.no/portal/page?_pageid=73,39035,73_39049&_dad=portal&_schem a=PORTAL 969 970 971 972 973 974 975 976 977 978 979 980 981 982 983 984 985 986 987 Oke TR (2002) Boundary layer climates, Taylor & Francis e-Library. Ollinger SV, Richardson AD, Martin ME et al. (2008) Canopy nitrogen, carbon assimilation, and albedo in temperate and boreal forests: Functional relations and potential climate feedbacks. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 105, 19336-19341. Ornl Daac (2014) MODIS subsetted land products, Collection 5. Available online [http://daac.ornl.gov/MODIS/modis.html] from ORNL DAAC, Oak Ridge, Tennessee, USA. Accessed Nov. 28, 2014., Oak Ridge National Laboratory Distributed Active Archive Center (ORNL DAAC). Otterman J (1977) Anthropogenic impact on the albedo of the earth. Climatic Change, 1, 137-155. Peng S-S, Piao S, Zeng Z et al. (2014) Afforestation in China cools local land surface temperature. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111, 2915-2919. Pereira LS, Perrier A, Allen RG, Alves I (1999) Evapotranspiration: concepts and future trends. J. Irrig. Drain. Engrg., 125, 45-51. Perrier A (1982) Land surface processes: Vegetation. In: Land surface processes in atmospheric general circulation models. (ed Eagleson PS) pp 395-448. Cambridge, U.K., Cambridge University Press. Pielke RA (2001) Influence of the spatial distribution of vegetation and soils on the prediction of cumulus Convective rainfall. Reviews of Geophysics, 39, 151-177. 45 988 989 990 991 992 993 994 995 996 997 998 999 1000 1001 1002 1003 1004 1005 1006 1007 1008 1009 1010 1011 1012 1013 1014 1015 1016 1017 1018 1019 1020 1021 1022 1023 1024 1025 1026 1027 1028 1029 1030 1031 1032 1033 1034 1035 1036 1037 Pielke Sr. RA, Adegoke J, Beltrán-Przekurat A et al. (2007) An overview of regional land-use and landcover impacts on rainfall. Tellus B, 59, 587-601. Pielke Sr. RA, Avissar R, Raupach MR, Dolman AJ, Zeng X, Denning AS (1998) Interactions between the atmosphere and terrestrial ecosystems: influence on weather and climate. Global Change Biology, 4, 461-475. Pielke Sr. RA, Marland G, Betts RA et al. (2002) The influence of land-use change and landscape dynamics on the climate system: relevance to climate-change policy beyond the radiative effect of greenhouse gases. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. A, 360, 1705-1719. Pielke Sr. RA, Pitman A, Niyogi D et al. (2011) Land use/land cover changes and climate: modeling analysis and observational evidence. WIREs Climate Change, 2, 828-850. Pirazzini R (2009) Challenges in snow and ice albedo parameterizations. Geophysica, 45, 41-62. Pitman AJ, De Noblet-Ducoudré N, Cruz FT et al. (2009) Uncertainties in climate responses to past land cover change: First results from the LUCID intercomparison study. Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L14814. Planton S (2013) Annex III: Glossary. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (eds Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner G-K, Tignor M, Allen SK, Boschung J, Nauels A, Xia Y, Bex V, Midgley PM). Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, Cambridge University Press. Pongratz J, Reick C, Raddatz T, Claussen M (2008) A reconstruction of global agricultural areas and land cover for the last millennium. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 22, GB3018. Qu X, Hall A (2007) What Controls the Strength of Snow-Albedo Feedback? Journal of Climate, 20, 3971-3981. Ramankutty N, Foley JA (1999) Estimating historical changes in global land cover: Croplands from 1700 to 1992. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 13, 997-1027. Ray DK, Welch RM, Lawton RO, Nair US (2006) Dry season clouds and rainfall in northern Central America: Implications for the Mesoamerican Biological Corridor. Global and Planetary Change, 54, 150-162. Roesch A, Roeckner E (2006) Assessment of Snow Cover and Surface Albedo in the ECHAM5 General Circulation Model. Journal of Climate, 19, 3828-3843. Rotenberg E, Yakir D (2010) Contribution of semi-arid forests to the climate system. Science, 327, 451-454. Rustad L, Campbell J, Marion G et al. (2001) A meta-analysis of the response of soil respiration, net nitrogen mineralization, and aboveground plant growth to experimental ecosystem warming. Oecologia, 126, 543-562. Scholes R, Settele J (2014) Chapter 4: Terrestrial and Inland Water Systems - Final Draft. In: Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution by Working Group II to the Fifth IPCC Assessment Report. (eds Fischlin A, Moreno JM, Root T). Geneva, Switzerland, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Scott CE, Rap A, Spracklen DV et al. (2014) The direct and indirect radiative effects of biogenic secondary organic aerosol. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 14, 447-470. Sellers PJ (1985) Canopy reflectance, photosynthesis, and transpiration. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 6, 1335-1372. Shell KM, Kiehl JT, Shields CA (2008) Using the Radiative Kernel Technique to Calculate Climate Feedbacks in NCAR’s Community Atmospheric Model. Journal of Climate, 21, 2269-2282. Smith P, Bustamante M (2013) Chapter 11 - Final Draft: Agriculture, Forestry, and Other Land Use (AFOLU). In: In: Climate Change Mitigation - Contribution by Working Group III to the Fifth IPCC Assessment Report. Geneva. Soden BJ, Held IM, Colman R, Shell KM, Kiehl JT, Shields CA (2008) Quantifying Climate Feedbacks Using Radiative Kernels. Journal of Climate, 21, 3504-3520. 46 1038 1039 1040 1041 1042 1043 1044 1045 1046 1047 1048 1049 1050 1051 1052 1053 1054 1055 1056 1057 1058 1059 1060 1061 1062 1063 1064 1065 1066 1067 1068 1069 1070 1071 1072 1073 1074 1075 1076 1077 1078 1079 Spracklen DV, Bonn B, Carslaw KS (2008) Boreal forests, aerosols and the impacts on clouds and climate. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 366, 4613-4626. Stoy P, Lin H, Novick K, Siqueira M, Juang J-Y (2014) The Role of Vegetation on the Ecosystem Radiative Entropy Budget and Trends Along Ecological Succession. Entropy, 16, 3710-3731. Stoy PC, Katul GG, Siqueira MBS et al. (2006) Separating the effects of climate and vegetation on evapotranspiration along a successional chronosequence in the southeastern US. Global Change Biology, 12, 2115-2135. Swann ALS, Fung I, Chiang JCH (2011) Mid-latitude afforestation shifts general circulation and tropical precipitation. PNAS, 109, 712-716. Tetens O (1930) Uber einige meteorologische Begriffe. z. Geophys., 6, 297-309. Thom AS (1972) Momentum, mass and heat exchange of vegetation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 98, 124-134. Unger N (2014) Human land-use-driven reduction of forest volatiles cools global climate. Nature Clim. Change, advance online publication. Van Vuuren D, Edmonds J, Kainuma M et al. (2011) The representative concentration pathways: an overview. Climatic Change, 109, 5-31. Verseghy DL, Mcfarlane NA, Lazare M (1993) CLASS - A Canadian land surface scheme for GCMs. II. Vegetation model and coupled runs. International Journal of Climatology, 13, 347-370. Wang K, Dickinson RE (2012) A review of global terrestrial evapotranspiration: observation, modeling, climatology, and climatic variability. Review of Geophysics, 50, RG2005. Wang Y, Yan X, Wang Z (2014) The biogeophysical effects of extreme afforestation in modeling future climate. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, DOI: 10.1007/s00704-013-1085-8. Wesely ML, Hicks BB (1977) Some Factors that Affect the Deposition Rates of Sulfur Dioxide and Similar Gases on Vegetation. Journal of the Air Pollution Control Association, 27, 1110-1116. West PC, Narisma GT, Barford CC, Kucharik CJ, Foley JA (2011) An alternative approach for quantifying climate regulations by ecosystems. Frontiers in Ecology & Environment, 9, 126133. Winton M (2005) Simple optical models for diagnosing surface-atmosphere shortwave interactions. Journal of Climate, 18, 3796-3806. Wiscombe WJ, Warren SG (1980) A model for the spectral albedo of snow. I. Pure Snow. Journal of Atmospheric Science, 37, 2712-2733. Zhang B, Liu Y, Xu D, Cai J, Li F (2011) Evapotranspiration estimation based on scaling up from leaf stomatal conductance to canopy conductance. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 151, 1086-1095. Zhang M, Lee X, Yu G et al. (2014) Response of surface air temperature to small-scale land clearing across latitudes. Environmental Research Letters, 9, 034002. Zhao K, Jackson RB (2014) Biophysical forcings of land-use changes from potential forestry activities in North America. Ecological Monographs, 84, 329-353. Zheng Y, Yu G, Qian Y, Miao M, Zeng X, Liu H (2002) Simulations of regional climatic effects of vegetation change in China. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 128, 20892114. 1080 47