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Pathways to Climate Resilient Livelihoods in the Himalayan River Basins August 1–2, 2013 Venue: Hotel Clarion Collection-Qutub, New Delhi 110001 Organized by Institute of Rural Management Anand, India In Association with International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria Rural Support Programmes Network, Pakistan Young Power in Social Action, Bangladesh Supported by International Development Research Centre, Canada Department for International Development, United Kingdom Institute of Rural Management, Anand-388001, India January 2014 IRMA PUBLICATIONS IRMA Working Paper Series are prepared by IRMA faculty, visiting fellows and students to sound out their ideas and research work before publication and get feedback and comments from their peer group. A Working Paper is a pre-publication forum and is not intended to be a formal research paper. Working Papers cover all major areas of rural management and development. The series began in 1990, and since then IRMA has published over 250 Working Papers. IRMA Workshop Reports present analytical summaries of the proceedings of various workshops, seminars, symposiums and colloquiums, which are organised at the Institute to bring together practitioners and academicians with a view to evolving better understanding of practical issues and questions in a given sectoral or policy context. This series began in 1988, and over 29 Workshop Reports are published so far. Rural Management Cases: These cases are prepared by the faculty and the visiting fellows of the Institute to provide decision situations and rich description of the context in which such decisions arise in cooperatives, voluntary agencies and other rural development organisations. Cases are used as pedagogic material for IRMA’s academic programmes as well as executive training/Management Development Programmes (MDPs). Two separate streams of publications as ‘Case Studies’ (since 1989) and ‘Cases in Rural Management’ (since 1990) are merged into ‘Rural Management Cases’, and total there are 16 publications in this series so far. Occasional Publications: IRMA often receives eminent person and renowned academics and practitioners and their contribution to the Institute’s academic life varies from lectures, talks or occasional writings. These are brought out under the occasional publications. There are 16 publications in this series so far. International Journal of Rural Management (IJRM) is a refereed biannual publication at the initiative of IRMA, and published by Sage Publication that began in 2005. Prior to this IRMA had a Research Paper series since 1988, which was wrapped up in 2002. For further information on IRMA Publications, please visit: https://www.irma.ac.in/researchandpublication/rp_publication.php or Contact: Institute of Rural Management, Post Box 60, Anand - 388001, Gujarat, India. Email: [email protected] PROCEEDINGS OF THE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON PATHWAYS TO CLIMATE RESILIENT LIVELIHOODS IN THE HIMALAYAN RIVER BASINS Edited by: Abhishek Nair Pramod K. Singh K.V. Raju H.K. Mishra Chintansinh V. Suratia Organized by Institute of Rural Management Anand (IRMA) – India In Association with International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) – Austria Rural Support Programmes Network (RSPN) – Pakistan Young Power in Social Action (YPSA) – Bangladesh Conference Proceeding 01 Copyright ©2014 Institute of Rural Management, Anand (IRMA). All rights reserved. Except for purposes of quotations, criticism and review, no part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in retrieval systems, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without prior permission of IRMA. The opinions expressed in this publication are authors’ own and not necessarily those of IRMA or any other organisations mentioned in this report. Published by: Institute of Rural Management Anand Post Box No. 60 Anand – 388001 Gujarat, India Phones: (02692) 263260, 260391, 260246, 260181 Fax: (02692) 260188 Gram: IRMA, Anand Email: [email protected] Website: www.irma.ac.in Printed at: Anand Press, Gamdi, Anand iii CONTENTS AKNOWLEGEMENTS ......................................................................................... VIII EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ......................................................................................... IX INAUGRAL SESSION ...........................................................................................01 Welcome Address………………………………………………………………………………..02 Jeemol Unni, Director, Institute of Rural Management Anand (IRMA), Gujarat, India. Introduction to the Conference………………………………………………….......03 Pramod K. Singh, Professor, Institute of Rural Management Anand (IRMA), Gujarat. India. Keynote Address……………………………………………………………………………….…05 P. S. Ramakrishnan, Emeritus Fellow, Jawaharlal Nehru University (JNU), New Delhi, India. SESSION I: MANIFESTATIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE.................................08 CHAIR Prof. P. S. Ramakrishnan, Emeritus Fellow, Jawaharlal Nehru University (JNU), New Delhi, India. SPEAKERS Hydrologic Regimes under Climate Change in Himalayan River Basins…………………………….09 Prof. Vimal Mishra, Assistant Professor, Indian Institute of Technology (IIT), Gandhinagar, Gujarat, India. Changing Profile of Water Resources in the Himalayan River Basin…………………………………12 Dr. B R Sharma, Principal Researcher (WR) and Coordinator, International Water Management Institute (IWMI), New Delhi, India. Geological Hazards in the Himalayan Ecosystem…………………………………………………………….15 Prof. Saumitra Mukherjee, Professor, Jawaharlal Nehru University (JNU), New Delhi, India. Discussion………………..……………………………………………………………………………………………………17 iv Session II: CHALLENGES AND STRATEGIES TO CLIMATE RESILIENT LIVELIHOODS .......................................................................................................19 CHAIR Dr. R Gopichandran, Director, Vigyan Prasar, Department of Science and Technology (DST), Government of India, New Delhi, India SPEAKERS Climate Refugees, Conflicts and Adaptations in the River Basins of Bangladesh………………21 Mr. Muhammad Abdur Rahaman, Research Fellow, Young Power in Social Action (YPSA), Chittagong, Bangladesh. Resilient Livelihoods for Himalayas…………………………………………………………………………………25 Mr. Jitender Verma, Director, Centre for Sustainable Development (CSD), Sundernagar, Himachal Pradesh, India. Technology Interventions for Developing Livelihoods in Indian Himalayas……………………..27 Dr. Lal Singh, Director, Himalayan Research Group (HRG), DST Core Group, Shimla, Himachal Pradesh, India. Disaster Risk Reduction Strategies in Indus River Basins…………………………………………………30 Mr. Fazal Ali Saadi, Specialist, Research and Knowledge Management, Rural Support Programmes Network (RSPN), Islamabad, Pakistan. Indigenous Knowledge in use disaster risk reduction: A case of Sikkim Himalaya……………32 Dr. Vimal Khawas, Assistant Professor, Department of Geography, Sikkim University, Gangtok, Sikkim, India. Livelihood Opportunities for Marginal Communities in Central Himalayas……………………..34 Dr. P. Dhaila, Director, Central Himalayan Environment Association (CHEA), Nainital, Uttrakhand, India. Discussion………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………36 v Session III: Discussion on Research Issues ..................................................38 CHAIR Dr. Vimal Mishra, Assistant Professor, Indian Institute of Technology (IIT), Gandhinagar, Gujarat, India. SPEAKERS Models for Himalayan River System……………………………………………………………………………….39 Dr. Gunther Fisher, Senior Researcher, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria. Vulnerability and Hazard Assessment and Community Resilience…………………………………..43 Dr. Gopalakrishna Bhat, Chairman, TARU, New Delhi, India. Engaging Communities in Adapting to Climate Change……………………………………………………47 Dr. Narayanjeet Negi, President, Himalayan Human and Natural Resource Management Organisation, Himachal Pradesh, India. Mainstreaming Adaptations and Enhancing Policy Processes………………………………………….48 Dr. Shirish Sinha, Senior Thematic Advisor, Embassy of Switzerland, New Delhi, India. Discussion………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………50 Session IV: Roadmap for Collaborations ....................................................52 CHAIR Dr. Gunther Fisher, Senior Researcher, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria. SPEAKERS Research and Policy Uptake: Pathways through Knowledge Management……………………..53 Dr. K N Vajpai, Environment Specialist, Climate Himalaya, Dehradun, Uttrakhand, India. Missions under the Climate Change Program of DST: Pathways to Collaboration……………55 Dr. Nisha Mendiratta, Director/Scientist 'F', Department of Science and Technology (DST), New Delhi, India. Discussion………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………58 vi Concluding Session...........................................................................................59 Annexures .............................................................................................................60 Conference Schedule .................................................................................................................... 60 List of Participants......................................................................................................................... 62 vii AKNOWLEGEMENTS We would like to express our sincere appreciation to all the chairpersons, eminent speakers, and panelists for sharing their valuable knowledge and perspectives. We would also like to extend our genuine gratitude to the Collaborative Adaptation Research Initiative in Africa and Asia (CARIAA) for funding this conference. IRMA expresses heartfelt appreciation to member institutions—International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Rural Support Programmes Network (RSPN) and Young Power in Social Action (YPSA) for their active support for making the conference a success. We sincerely acknowledge the efforts of its staff members who worked towards making the conference a success. We thank Ms Indrani Talukdar for editing the document. viii EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Mountain systems are essential building blocks for long-term sustainable global development, poverty alleviation, and transition to a green economy. Communities in the Himalayan river basins need to be empowered and their livelihoods improved enabling them to take responsibility for the preservation of natural resources and fulfill their role as mountain stewards. In order to enhance resilience of livelihoods it is essential to gain a better understanding of the climate-human-environment interactions and adopt a climate resilient development pathway. Climate variability and change has been affecting glacier/snow melt water dependent hydrological systems in densely populated BIG river basins while degrading livelihoods. It will continue to affect livelihoods in these basins adversely by altering water resources, impacting farm and non-farm sectors, health, and tourism finally leading to societal unrest. It is expected to remain a complex phenomenon impacting livelihoods and triggering the need for adaptation. Though there are issues pertaining to conducting local-level assessments and modelling the dynamic nature of climate change, livelihoods and adaptations; community and livelihood based adaptations being practised showcase strategies that serve in enhancing resilience. Therefore there is a need to better understand the manifestations of climate change its implications on livelihoods and design and scale-up sustainable adaptations, this will enable mainstreaming adaptation into policy processes and legislation. Collaborative adaptation research is required to aid evidence-based decision-making by demonstrating scalable adaptations informed by local and scientific knowledge relevant to stakeholder needs. The international conference on “Pathways to Climate Resilient Livelihoods in Himalayan river basins” was targeted at bringing together researchers, practitioners and policy makers from India, Pakistan, Nepal, and Bangladesh to facilitate mutual learning on climate change and livelihoods in the Brahmaputra, Indus and Ganges (BIG) river basins. The focus of this mutual learning forum was to generate a pool of knowledge regarding the manifestation of climate variability and change in the Himalayan river basins of South Asia. It was also to elicit suggestions regarding the multi-disciplinary and multi-scalar integrated approach towards enhancing resilience of livelihoods most vulnerable to climate variability and change. Additionally, the conference was aimed at building a network of partners to orchestrate collaborative action research in the Himalayan river basins of South Asia. The conference was structured into four thematic domains: Manifestation of climate change Challenges to livelihoods and strategies for climate resilient development Research issues Roadmaps for collaboration ix The first session reviewed the implication of climate variability and change in the Himalayan river basins while highlighting the observed and future trends of climatic changes and impacts in the region. Manifestations of climate variability and change included water resources and biophysical systems. The session emphasised the need to design adaptations aimed at enhancing resilience towards the present and future climatic regimes. The second session focused on the consequences of climate variability and change on livelihoods and strategies that enhance the resilience of livelihoods through a series of case studies. Research issues were presented in the third session. Issues pertaining to limitations, uncertainty in techniques, models and tools for analysing the dynamic nature of the climate-human-environment system were elaborated. Further issues such as data un-availability, absence of open source information sharing platforms, limitations occurring in vulnerability and resilience assessments, and the paucity of enabling mechanisms for uptake of adaptation measures were highlighted. In the final session, the main challenge was identified as mainstreaming adaptation concerns into policy measures. Methods to overcome barriers to adaptations, converting externally available “information,” e.g., research results into “actionoriented knowledge”, and mainstreaming effective adaptations into a policy process by developing fiscal, non-fiscal, and institutional mechanisms were proposed along with the need and the opportunities for collaborative adaptation research to provide an evidence base for guiding policy processes. x Inaugural Session Welcome Address Jeemol Unni, Director, Institute of Rural Management Anand (IRMA), Gujarat, India. Introduction to the Conference Pramod K. Singh, Associate Professor, Institute of Rural Management Anand (IRMA), Gujarat. India. Keynote Address P. S. Ramakrishnan, Emeritus Fellow, Jawaharlal Nehru University (JNU), New Delhi, India. 1 Welcome Address Jeemol Unni, Director, Institute of Rural Management Anand (IRMA), Gujarat, India. Jeemol Unni opened the session with the conference’s deliberations saying that climate change exacerbations have manifested in the Himalayan river basins. She highlighted in this context the recent droughts and floods in South Asia. She claimed that ecology and environment were deteriorating and degrading due to the manifestations of climate change, extreme events, and development activities. Citing an example of the disasters she pointed out that globalisation and climate change could act as a double exposure event further impacting livelihoods. She explained the need for climate resilient livelihoods and disaster risk reduction strategies in the Himalayan river basins owing to incremental risks associated with climate change. 2 Introduction to the Conference Pramod K. Singh, Associate Professor, Institute of Rural Management Anand (IRMA), Gujarat, India. Pramod K. Singh’s presentation was on ‘Climate change and livelihoods in the Himalayan river basins’. He commenced his presentation by providing an overview of IRMA stating that “IRMA is an institution with a difference; blending management and development in all endeavours and activities”. Emphasising that the mission of IRMA was to promote sustainable, equitable, and eco-friendly socio-economic development of rural people through professional management, he briefed the audience on the institutions collaborating with IRMA to support adaptations for enhancing livelihood resilience to climate change. The International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Austria; Rural Support Programmes Network (RSPN), Pakistan; and Young Power in Social Action (YPSA), Bangladesh were the associate partners for the conference. He then proceeded to set a boundary around the conference while discussing the following objectives To generate a pool of knowledge on the subject To elicit suggestions for framing up research agenda To identify theme-based potential collaborators He said it was essential to understand how livelihoods of the locals, residing in the Himalayan river basins, could be made climate resilient. He also dwelled on the importance of cross-scale mutual learning forums. Further, he gave a brief overview of the Himalayan river basin regions based on district-wise indicators like population density, literacy sex ratio, etc. He spoke about the various reasons that make the Himalayan river basins a climate hotspot. The variation in rainfall and increasing temperature normals has impacted flow regimes and magnitude along with the timing of peak flow and turbidity of water. He mentioned that the cascading impacts arising from these physical changes occur mainly on the natural assets of various livelihood sectors. He stressed the need to combine assessments of livelihood resilience and vulnerability to climate variability and change for strategising adaptations. He emphasised that communities in the Himalayan river basins need to be empowered and their livelihoods improved so that they can take responsibility for the preservation of natural resources and fulfill their role as mountain stewards. In order to achieve this objective, it is essential to gain a better understanding of climatehuman-environment interactions and mainstream adaptations for climate resilient livelihoods through conscientising communities, practitioners, and policymakers. He further touched upon the limited research on adaptations to climate change in the Himalayan river basins. Enabling communities for sustainable adaptations to 3 enhance ecosystems services and livelihoods’ resilience remain scantly addressed and need to be demonstrated for scaling and replication. He averred that enhancing adaptive capabilities and resilience were imperative and the way forward is through equity and sustainable development practices. Finally, he was hopeful that bringing together national and international researchers, practitioners, and decision makers would provide an opportunity for mutual learning while generating a pool of knowledge, which may be the stepping stone to scaling climate-adaptive livelihoods in the Himalayan river basins. 4 Keynote Address P. S. Ramakrishnan, Emeritus Fellow, Jawaharlal Nehru University (JNU), New Delhi, India. P. S. Ramakrishnan, in his presentation on ‘Manifestations of climate change’, spoke about the varied dimensions to climate change wielding formidable implications on ecological and social systems. According to him, a bird’s eye view of climate change impacts would lead to a misunderstanding of the underlying local complex issue. The four major highlights of his presentations were: Manifestation of climate change on biodiversity from sub-specific to landscape level; Implications of climate change on food security; Use of biodiversity as a tool for sustainable development; and Pathways to reduce conflicts arising from climate change He mentioned the fact that the Himalayan region exhibits diversity both in terms of culture and biology. He said that the interconnection between biodiversity and cultures are mutually supportive. Speaking of services provided by biodiversity he highlighted the issues regarding the valuation of intangible services, which is always unrequited. Ramakrishnan regarded issues pertaining to globalisation and climate change as the main drivers of global change creating new ecological, economic, political and social changes. The problem of environmental uncertainties, a complex issue, has been further exacerbated at the global level by two major phenomena, global change as an ecological phenomenon (complex interactive ecological events—climate change linked global warming arising from ‘green-house gas emissions’, biodiversity depletion linked with land use/land cover changes and biological invasion by alien species) and ‘globalisation’ of economies that essentially promotes monoculture, arguing for maximising production by having what is most suited under the given environmental situation. In other words, dynamic conservation and sustainable management of biodiversity are a set of complex issues attracting global attention. Presenting a few statistical details he said more than 45 percent agricultural communities live in largely deforested rural plains; approximately 30 percent traditional societies live close to nature in biodiversity rich forested regions, and more than 75 percent of the population is dependent on natural resources. He believed sustainable sciences to have a strategic approach encompassing social, economic, and environmental dimensions while combating the impacts arising from the global drivers of change. In the context of the rapidly emerging paradigm in the global climate and economies’ regimes there is an emphasis now on conserving unique ecosystems and 5 biodiversity. According to him, ‘hybrid technologies’ derived by linking hypotheticodeductive process (formal ecological knowledge) and traditional ecological knowledge (TEK) available with local communities is sure to provide invaluable insights as regards the conservation of biodiversity. Especially in the context of food security wherein the mountain-system is often emphasised for highly diversified socio-ecological systems operating in highly fragile environmental situations. He stressed the need for recapitulation in terms of where we stand today in our understanding of TEK. The concept of TEK has been extended to encompass traditional institutional arrangements in the Indian Himalayan mountains context. Mountain societies have had as many different ways of traditional institution building as there exist ethnic groups running into a few hundreds with some still surviving. This implies that whilst relating science to address societal concerns in the area of conservation-linked sustainable development the right kind of institutional arrangements could play a key role in ensuring community participation. Linking knowledge systems as the basis for sustainable land use management and sustainable livelihoods of the people is key to addressing not only a range of land use related sustainability issues but also climate change linked conflicts. He underscored the fact that mountain communities, with the help of public and private organisations, should aim at conserving and restoring ‘cultural landscapes’ while linking them to sustainable management strategies. With external pressures giving way to rapid deforestation and land degradation and with modern societies trying to impose a developmental pathway that is often alien to value systems, conflicting situations have been emerging with cultural landscapes being altered drastically. Discussing the possible pathways for sustainable land use management with concerns for natural and human-managed ecosystems he said that one of the possible ways was to redevelop traditional systems instead of buffering through sustainable management. Highlighting an example of agricultural development he said that if we were to consider high input modern agriculture as only one of the possible pathways for agricultural development we could have at least two more additional pathways for sustainable agriculture: (a) evolution by incremental change and (b) restoration through the contour pathway, apart from the auto-route that symbolises modern agriculture. The present day systems have to be redeveloped through incremental changes. A value-based approach is required which may be effected through building by degrees on the very traditional systems, introducing modern technology inputs (if at all required) to the barest minimum and effecting restoration through the contour pathway wherein socially valued and ecologically significant keystone species are emphasised as opposed to any of the text-book based system models. A TEK-linked developmental pathway is the key to conserving the cultural landscapes of communities for ensuring human security. Indeed, there is every 6 possibility of these conflicts being exacerbated through climate change which is becoming a reality now, he summed up. At the end of the inaugural session the participants were introduced. Participants also spoke about the organisations that they are presently associated with and their mission while stating their work areas. 7 Session – I Manifestations of Climate Change CHAIR Prof. P. S. Ramakrishnan, Emeritus Fellow, Jawaharlal Nehru University (JNU), New Delhi, India. SPEAKERS Hydrologic Regimes under Climate Change in Himalayan River Basins Prof. Vimal Mishra, Assistant Professor, Indian Institute of Technology (IIT), Gandhinagar, Gujarat, India. Changing Profile of Water Resources in the Himalayan River Basin Dr. B R Sharma, Principal Researcher (WR) & Coordinator, International Water Management Institute (IWMI), New Delhi, India. Geological Hazards in the Himalayan Ecosystem Prof. Saumitra Mukherjee, Professor, Jawaharlal Nehru University (JNU), New Delhi, India. 8 Hydrologic Regimes under Climate Change in Himalayan River Basins Prof. Vimal Mishra, Assistant Professor, Indian Institute of Technology (IIT), Gandhinagar, Gujarat, India. ABSTRACT Climate change is expected to influence the hydrologic regimes in the Himalayan River Basins. In this study downscaled APHRODITE and Princeton datasets are used to project changes in precipitation and temperature respectively. A major part of the Himalayan region observed significant warming during the period 1973-2007 in mean annual and winter season temperatures. The Himalayan region is projected to experience a warming of 1-1.5º C (2010-2039) in the near term climate and 3.5 ºC in the end term (2070-2099). The mean annual daily precipitation is projected to increase in the Eastern Himalaya region while it is projected to decline in the western part. The sub-watersheds that experienced declines in the monsoon season rainfall and increased warming are particularly at risk for water availability. Under, projected future climate, frequency of soil moisture drought events is expected to increase in the Himalayan region, which could impose detrimental impacts on agriculture and water resources in the region. The projections also suggest substantial declines in the precipitation in the Indus basin in the 21st century. Vimal Mishra presented ‘Hydrologic regimes under climate change in India’, identifying the key challenges to water resources and hydrology. He pointed to a gap in the understanding of hydrological changes and the influence of climate variability and climate change on the nature of hydrologic and climatic extremes. The impacts of climate change on water resources lead to skewed supply with soaring demands. His presentation covered the observed and projected trends of temperature and precipitation over the Himalayan river basins. He further discussed two key waterrelated climatic anomalies. The first being drought, it’s observed scenario and future projection, and the second being the extreme precipitation event of Uttrakhand that occurred in June, 2013. Presenting the observed climatic trends over the Himalayan river basin analysed using APRODITE and Princeton datasets he said heterogeneous trends have been observed during the monsoon (JJAS) season. A few sub-watersheds experienced significant decline while a few experienced substantial increases during 1951-2007. A dominant part of the region observed significant warming during 1973-2007 in terms of mean annual and winter season temperatures. The sub-watersheds that experienced decline in the monsoon season and increased warming are particularly at risk for water availability, he confirmed. 9 Source: IWMI The multi-model ensemble (from 32 CMIP5 models, RCP4.5) mean projected change in the mean annual temperature suggests that the Himalayan region has been projected to experience warming by about 1-1.5 ◦C in the near term (20102039) climate. The region is projected to become warmer by 2.5 ◦C towards the end of mid-term (2040-2069) and by 3.5 ◦C towards the end of end term (2070-2099) climate. The mean annual daily precipitation has been projected to increase in the Eastern Himalayan region and to decline in the Western part (in the Indus basin). In the near term (2010-2039) the multi-model ensemble mean projection from 32 CMIP5 models suggests a decline in precipitation in most parts of the Indus basin. The projected changes in precipitation are likely to intensify in the mid-term (20402069) and end term (2070-2099) climate. The projections suggest a substantial decline of precipitation in the Indus basin in the 21st century. However, downscaled and biased corrected projections at high resolutions will be more reliable for studying the impacts and vulnerability associated with water resources and extreme events in the region. He pointed out that climate change complicates the issue of food and water security further. Citing several studies he mentioned that the main cause of the alarming state of food insecurity in India is attributable to water scarcity (enormous pressure); the ever-increasing population of India has created a vicious cycle coupled with the intensifying extraction of water resources to meet increasing food demand. Discussing a paper by Immerzeel et al. (2010) he said that the future climate change scenario would lead to decline and shift in the peak flow of rivers of the Himalayan river basin. 10 According to Mishra, the term drought may refer to meteorological drought (precipitation well below average) and agricultural drought (low soil moisture). Projections from multi-model ensembles of change in agricultural drought and groundwater over the 20th century show declining Soil Moisture Percentile (SMP) and groundwater resources. On the subject of agricultural droughts he stated that the decline in monsoon precipitation coupled with increased monsoon temperatures would translate to a decline in soil moisture during the monsoon season. A decline in soil moisture may be seen across the mountainous river basin, temperature increment having enhanced evaporation leading inevitably to reduced soil moisture and to a higher frequency and intensity of droughts. The absolute number of droughts has risen over the last 50 years along with the areal extent of extreme categorical drought. The frequency of meteorological droughts has been projected to decline and the frequency of agricultural droughts to increase. Mishra concluded his presentation by discussing the extreme precipitation event of the Uttrakhand floods and mentioned that the probability of such an event is very low. Presenting the results of his study he emphasised that heavy rainfall had occurred for more than 10 continuous days in the Alaknanda watershed causing the system to reach its tipping point. He mentioned that it was a “rarest of rare event” as the return period of such an event occurs once in ten thousand years. He summed up by highlighting the problems related to data unavailability and uncertainty while dealing with climate models and the extreme importance of understanding the correct interaction between the hydrological variables. 11 Changing Profile of Water Resources in the Himalayan River Basin Dr. B R Sharma, Principal Researcher (WR) and Coordinator, International Water Management Institute (IWMI), New Delhi, India. ABSTRACT Development of societies is shaped to a large extent by their resource base. Water resources projects provide the basis for regional development with significant direct and indirect benefits for poor people. Pressures on water resources are growing with continuous population growth, inefficient groundwater infrastructures and landscape changes. The problem is compounded with global climate change adversely affecting the availability of groundwater. Future scenarios show an increasing temperature in the Ganges and Indus basin with higher precipitation variability. Managing the increasing demand and competition is a concern for planners and policy makers. To effectively respond to the effects of climate change, climate resilient development with water management systems incorporating the priorities of poor people in a sustainable manner are required. There is a need to strike a balance between the provisioning, regulatory, cultural and supporting services and having a multifunctional “green” basin model approach to improve food, livelihood, and nature. Some of the possible options include installing large-scale aquifer recharge to make efficient use of the monsoon surplus water, improved and efficient sharing of the trans-boundary Himalayan Rivers for improved productivity and resilient agriculture and livelihoods, as well as alleviation of vulnerabilities in this large but fragile Himalayan river basin. BR Sharma gave a presentation on the ‘Changing profile of water resources in the Himalayan river basin’. He discussed the emerging issues on water resources, its causes, present status, and concluded with recommendations for the private and public sector institutions regarding water resource planning. These included striking a balance using a multifunctional “green” model. Sharma identified climate change as a major driver for changing water resources apart from groundwater developments and other national river linking projects (NRLP) that could exercise a larger impact on water supplies. The climate, which covers the amount and timing of precipitation as well as the glacial dynamics across the Himalayan river basin, affects water supply. According to Sharma, the seasonal contribution of glaciers shows greater variability in the Ganges basin compared to the Indus river basins. In support of his comment he presented the results of average stream flow simulated for the period 1982–2002. The results of the study concluded 12 that glacial flow occurs predominantly between the months of June and September while it is almost nil in other months in the Ganges basin. The glaciers’ contribution, which is year round, is more pronounced between June and September. Discussing the results of an analysis of future scenarios in the context of temperature increase in the Ganges basin he said that the impact on annual stream flow decreases from upstream to downstream. This is because contribution from rainfall decreases while evapotranspiration increases. The extra flow owed to glacier melt is highly significant in the Upper Ganges’ basins. As the glaciers' contribution mainly occurs during the high flow season, the stream flow is logically greater during that time (May to October) while there is hardly any modification during the lean flow season. Temperature rise of this nature could increase the frequency of flood events or amplify their magnitude. Similar trends have been observed for the Indus basin but of a greater magnitude. He further mentioned that the Brahmaputra has been widening at an alarming rate. Due to the high rate of erosion the annual average loss of land amounts to 8,500 ha approximately. He then proceeded to discuss the groundwater and irrigation developments. Presenting data on the numbers and location of groundwater structures in the years 1987, 1994, 2001, and 2007 he pointed out that contrary to the national trend tube wells had declined in absolute numbers in West Bengal and other East Indian states. Despite a well-connected network of canals in Punjab groundwater remains the main source of irrigation. He commented that past performances had not been impressive. According to him, investments of about 50 billion USD in major/medium irrigation since 1991 had shown no effective increase in the net irrigated area. Discussing the present scenario of Indian rivers he stated that water scarcity had increased owing to greater groundwater withdrawal and depletion. Figure 1: Multifunctional green basin model 13 Pointing to impediments in groundwater development he said that pervasive groundwater irrigation system was a South Asian phenomenon and the groundwater boom was a response to the inability of public systems to meet growing water demands. He commented on the private groundwater explosion saying that it was undermining, even cannibalising, public water systems. He mentioned that in West Bengal groundwater is the only source of irrigation the year round; this has compounded land scarcity making it imperative for farmers to grow 2-3 crops a year just for survival. Summing up his presentation he said the major issue of the future concerns enhancing the productive use of water for multiple growing needs. An effective response would be the promotion of a climate resilient development pathway with water management systems incorporating the priorities of poor people in a sustainable way. There is a need to adopt a multifunctional “green” basin model approach (figure 1) that strikes a balance between the provisioning, regulatory, cultural, and supporting services besides ensuring food and livelihood security in the Himalayan river basin. 14 Geological Hazards in the Himalayan Ecosystem Prof. Saumitra Mukherjee, Professor, Jawaharlal Nehru University (JNU), New Delhi, India. ABSTRACT The Himalayan range is prone to multiple hazards. Geological hazards in the Himalayan ecosystem are due to seismicity, fluvial geomorphology, and the influence of unprecedented climatic changes. The fragility of the region stems mainly from the evolutionary history of the terrain and highly unstable slopes causing major mass movement. The frequency and the severity of geological hazards have increased due to the combined effect of tectonic movements and heavy precipitation events causing landslides. Anthropogenic activities like tourism are also attributed to geological hazards. Land use planning in this active seismological region should be carried out after a detailed spatial analysis. Encouraging local governments to evaluate and develop a plan with the integration of scientific knowledge to reduce the risk is crucial. Saumitra Mukherjee spoke about the ‘Geological hazards in the Himalayan ecosystem’. He mentioned the Himalayan ecosystem representing diversity in both its physical and ecological attributes. Pointing out the geomorphology of the Himalayan region he said that the rocks in the Himalayan system are fragile due to highly unstable slopes causing major mass movements. The fragility of the region stems mainly from the evolutionary history of the terrain. He highlighted the need to manage the geomorphic terrain specific ecosystem while dealing with such a diverse landscape. It is essential to infer the trend in geological hazards in the Himalayan ecosystem based on the seismicity and influence of global warming on fluvial geomorphology. The geological hazards in the Himalayan ecosystem are also based on anthropological activities along with climate change. Development of the ecosystem as a tourist spot has exerted heavy pressure on the system. An early warning of the trend had been given by the destruction of ecologically significant species including phytoplankton (diatoms) and Zoobenthos (stone fly) in the upper reaches of some of the Himalayan rivers. Seismotectonics and changes in river courses were correlated. As a spatial correlation exists between rapid mass wasting and heavy precipitation, landslide events are likely to increase owing to climate change. The demarcation of hazard prone zones is imperative in the region. According to Mukherjee, the interdisciplinary approaches in use under the GIS environment may be employed for preparing hazard prone maps of the region. 15 He concluded his presentation by talking about an ongoing project that he and his team are working on. Sharing some critical findings he said that the role of extra terrestrial particles i.e. the layer of aerosols present over the Uttrakhand region may have played a strong role in the disaster occurrence of June 2013. Source: The third pole An increasing frequency of disasters attributable to climate change and the resultant impact on human systems in the Himalayan region are critical, the area being home to a large proportion of the global population. Underscoring the high seismology of the region he said that land use planning in the region should be conducted using a detailed spatial map while keeping a note of the present lineaments and faults. 16 Discussions Session - I Following the first session a round of discussions helped highlight issues, findings, and research demands. The following are the key points that emerged during the discussion Issues Gaps exist in the knowledge of basic climatology of the region Unavailability of long-term data in the Himalayan river basins is due to the complexity of the terrain, hence reliability and consistency of data need to be checked The is a need for consistent data generation for long-term monitoring of climatological changes It is important to include drivers like population dynamics, socio-economic development, land use changes apart from climate change when analysing the changing profile of the Himalayan river basins There is a need to understand the precise impacts of aerosol on present climate variability Findings The 2013 Uttrakhand floods are considered rarest of rare events Agricultural drought is most likely to increase in the Himalayan river basin in future climate regimes Irrigation development is low in the Himalayan river basin despite large investments Groundwater remains the main source of irrigation in the Himalayan river basin Climate is likely to increase water insecurity in the Himalayan river basins in future There is a strong correlation between heavy precipitation and landslides with projected increase of landslides in future climate regimes The accuracy of CMIP5 models regarding predicting Indian monsoon season needs further investigation 17 Research Demands It is imperative to capture issues pertaining to water availability, its changing spatial and temporal distribution It is important to understand how impacts of climate change on water resources translate as stress on food security. Water management plans should be based on strategies generated using various models, frameworks, and tools and they should aim for an equitable and sustainable distribution of resources Improvement in water resource planning is required by striking a balance using a multifunctional “green” model. Hybrid technologies’ derived by linking formal ecological knowledge and traditional ecological knowledge available with local communities will provide invaluable insights for conservation of natural resources 18 Session - II Challenges and Strategies to Climate Resilient Livelihoods CHAIR Dr. R Gopichandran, Director, Vigyan Prasar, Department of Science and Technology (DST), Government of India, New Delhi, India SPEAKERS Climate Refugees, Conflicts and Adaptations in the River Basins of Bangladesh Mr. Muhammad Abdur Rahaman, Research Fellow, Young Power in Social Action (YPSA), Chittagong, Bangladesh. Resilient Livelihoods for Himalayas Mr. Jitender Verma, Director, Centre for Sustainable Development (CSD), Sundernagar, Himachal Pradesh, India. Technology Interventions for Developing Livelihoods in Indian Himalayas Dr. Lal Singh, Director, Himalayan Research Group (HRG), DST Core Group, Shimla, Himachal Pradesh, India. Disaster Risk Reduction Strategies in Indus River Basins Mr. Fazal Ali Saadi, Specialist, Research and Knowledge Management, Rural Support Programmes Network (RSPN), Islamabad, Pakistan. 19 Indigenous Knowledge in use disaster risk reduction: A case of Sikkim Himalaya Dr. Vimal Khawas, Assistant Professor, Department of Geography, Sikkim University, Gangtok, Sikkim, India. Livelihood Opportunities for Marginal Communities in Central Himalayas Dr. P. Dhaila, Director, Central Himalayan Environment Association (CHEA), Nainital, Uttrakhand, India. 20 Climate Refugees, Conflicts and Adaptations in the River Basins of Bangladesh Mr. Muhammad Abdur Rahaman, Research Fellow, Young Power in Social Action (YPSA), Chittagong, Bangladesh. ABSTRACT Climate change is observed as a challenge to human security. Impacts of climate change lead to differentiated access and reduced availability of resources leading to conflicts. Bangladesh is among the countries most vulnerable to the impact of climate variability and change. Extreme events like sea-level rise, cyclones, flooding and riverbank erosion have resulted in the loss of homes, land and property and leading to migration and conflicts. Climate change adaptation measures in sectors including agriculture, fisheries, water, health, and natural resources are currently practiced in Bangladesh to minimise climate change induced conflicts and displacement. A study undertaken by the Young Power in Social Action has been focussing on identifying problems faced by climate-displaced communities. The study was undertaken in nine districts of Bangladesh. It is estimated that more than 200 million people may be displaced permanently from their traditional habitats due to cyclones, tidal surge, and riverbank erosion combined with high saline water intrusion in Bangladesh. It has been observed that climate change does not directly displace people in Bangladesh but produces adverse situations exacerbating current vulnerabilities making it difficult for people to survive where they are, hence people migrate. Problems faced by climate-displaced communities are in relation to resettlement and rehabilitation. In their resettlement destinations they are neither respected, nor protected, creating a loss of identity and triggering conflicts, thereby, raising security threats. There is a need to provide rehabilitation to climate refugees in a manner that provides a base to preserve their cultural identity. Muhammad Abdur Rahaman made a presentation on ‘Climate refugees, conflicts and adaptations in the river basins of Bangladesh’. Introducing his organisation Young Power in Social Action (YPSA), Bangladesh he mentioned the thematic areas on which the YPSA has been working. The organisation works in seven areas namely health, economic development, human rights, education, disaster risk reduction and emergency management, environment and biodiversity, and knowledge management. He mentioned six hotspots of climate refugees in Bangladesh including the Island Upazilas of Bay of Bengal, the Char lands of tidal rivers, the Farakka barrage impact zone, the drought prone areas of North Bengal embracing the Barind Tract, the salinity prone costal belt, and flood prone basins. 21 The presentation highlighted a study conducted in nine districts of Bangladesh (Rajshahi, Bogra, Sirajgonj, Netrokona, Mymensingh, Kishorgonj, Khulna, Patuakhali, Bagerhat) with the aim of documenting climate-induced displacement trends and opportunities for the indigenous population through planned adaptations. According to the study impacts of climate change vary across Agro Ecological Zones (AEZ). For instance, in zone AEZ 4–Karatoya-Bangali floodplain the recurring climatic hazards include drought, floods, cold spells, mist, and hail. In the AEZ 11 higher Ganges floodplain risks occur in the form of water logging in low agricultural land while long duration floods, river erosion, storm/tornado, tidal surge, and siltation reduces the river’s depth and increases the frequency and intensity of floods, heavy rainfall, arsenic in groundwater, scarcity of drinking water, heavy fog, and attacks from rats and pests in the crop fields. While in the AEZ 12-lower Ganges river floodplain river erosion, floods due to siltation of rivers, and unplanned road networks increased the exposure to flooding, storm it has also led to rat attacks in agricultural fields, arsenic in drinking water, salinity, loss of fish species, and skin diseases. In the AEZ 16-middle Meghna river floodplain flooding is very common. Besides, there have been major hazards occurring in the form of river erosion, tremendous siltation on the riverbed, arsenic contamination in groundwater, and vector-borne diseases. In the AEZ 17-lower Meghna river floodplain some common hazards include river flooding, riverbank erosion, vector-borne diseases, arsenic contamination in groundwater, among others. These climate-related hazards have resulted in climate-induced displacement. It is estimated that more than 200 million people may be displaced permanently from their traditional habitats due to cyclones, tidal surge, and riverbank erosion combined with high saline water intrusion in Bangladesh. He emphasised that climate change does not directly displace people or cause them to move out but produces adverse situations and exacerbates current vulnerabilities making it difficult for people to survive where they are, hence people migrate. Modelling studies stipulate that around 1 million people in Bangladesh will be directly affected by sea level rise by 2050; this includes loss of habitat, agricultural land, soil fertility, and ecosystem services. If sea level rise occurs at a rate higher than predicted without coastal polders being strengthened at the same time, six to eight million people are likely to be at the risk of displacement by 2050. Giving an estimate he said that around 6 million climate refugees have been living in the exposed locations of Bangladesh. The poorest people living in the extremely exposed locations of the coastal belt and the mainland river basins of Bangladesh will be the first to become climate refugees in the coming years. In 2007 and 2009 the houses, land, and properties of 2,462,789 people (32 percent) of 7,693,331 inhabitants were destroyed by repeated cyclones and rising tides in five coastal districts. Of these, 1,568,980 (64 percent) have been languishing with local climate refugees on the remaining embankments or higher ground in the exposed zones; 675,113 (27 percent) are squatters or internal climate refugees in cities including 22 Dhaka while 218,656 inhabitants have crossed international borders as global climate refugees. Climate displaced people are usually poor and marginal who undergo maximum suffering in the context of human rights, housing, land and property rights, livelihoods etc. They are not respected, protected, and fulfilled triggering conflicts and raising security threats in their resettlement destinations. Proper governance and proactive policies, plus the role of the state are crucial for mitigating migration and conflicts. Source: YPSA Rahaman recommended some adaptation practices that have proven effective in Bangladesh. These include mini-ponds as drought coping mechanisms coupled with mango cultivation, maize cultivation, crop diversification, plantation of flood tolerant trees, rainwater harvesting, composting for natural fertilisers, and reducing soil moisture content. Off-farm and non-farm activities were suggested for acclimatising to climate change impacts. Initiatives taken up in Bangladesh for mitigating and adapting to climate change were briefly discussed. He mentioned the government’s initiative in terms of creating a “Climate Change Cell” under the Comprehensive Disaster Management Program with the co-ordination of the Ministry of Environment and Forests (MoEF). The MoEF has also provided a climate change trust fund to address the impacts of climate change. Besides, Bangladesh has achieved alternative membership of the UNFCCC’s ‘Adaptation Fund’. 23 Concluding his presentation he gave some recommendations both at national and international levels. At the national level he suggested the need to adopt an equalitybased programming framework while protecting people’s access to and control over natural resources for creating a sustainable future. At the international level, he suggested the speeding-up of international actions on climate change adaptation resources and mitigation actions with support in the development of long-term localised planning for climate change adaptation. These would address the underlying causes that increase the risk of climate change and enhance resilience of vulnerable populations. 24 Resilient Livelihoods for the Himalayas Mr. Jitender Verma, Director, Centre for Sustainable Development (CSD), Sundernagar, Himachal Pradesh, India. ABSTRACT The Himalayan Mountains form the water tower of South Asia nurturing forests, feeding perennial rivers, providing water for irrigation, and hydropower. They foster biodiversity and offer a base for multiple livelihoods. Farming practices, livestock, and forest produce have been the main source of livelihood for people living in the Himalayas. In this study adaptations that enhance livelihood resilience to climate change have been discussed followed by current issues and recommendations. Some adaptations for climate resilient livelihoods include diversified farming practices such as vegetables, medicinal plants, organic farming, horticulture and drought resistant traditional crops. Technologies used in the Himalayas, as adaptation measures against climate change, include greenhouses, sprinklers, micro irrigation, and high value crops. The main issue of rural livelihoods is the lack of local human capital. There is a need for developing an institutional mechanism to promote and popularise entrepreneurship initiatives among the young people and develop policies and framework to enhance capacities of farmers to add value to various types of farm produce by processing, marketing, branding, and transportation. Supporting areas like rural finance, entrepreneurship development, crop diversification, and community/co-operative farming creates livelihood opportunities. Jitender Verma started his presentation by providing geographical details of the Himalayas. The Himalayan range passes through the nations of India, Pakistan, Afghanistan, China, Bhutan, and Nepal with the total area covering 3.4 million sq.km of which 115,000 sq. km come under protected areas (these locations are protected because of their recognised natural, ecological, and/or cultural values). The Himalayas are very rich in plant biodiversity boasting a lineup of some 1000 plant species of which 3160 are endemic. There exist about 980 species of birds, 300 species of mammals, 175 species of reptiles, 105 species of amphibians, and 270 species of fish in the Himalayas. Farming practices, livestock, and forest produce have been the main source of livelihood for people living in the Himalayas. He said that agriculture covers less than 10 percent of the total land because of its uneven geomorphologic features and extreme winters. People also practice mixed cropping patterns to get maximum possible yields from limited available land and are also involved in cattle rearing and pastoral activities. The natural resources available in the area are managed and used by the community. He discussed the changes in 25 geographical features and technological advancements that have been embraced to address these issues. He mentioned that climate change has affected agriculture, biodiversity, and forests. He also mentioned that factors including decreasing dependence on farm and forests for livelihoods, institutionalisation of natural resources, commercial use of resources, introduction of high yielding crops (wheat, corn, rice, and apple), and the dependence on external markets for selling and buying products have also played an important role in changing the socio-economic scenario. He emphasised that the highest migration has been observed in the states of Uttrakhand and Himachal Pradesh from where about 36 percent of the total population has migrated due to declining agricultural productivity and aspiration for higher monetary incomes. Further in his presentation, he highlighted the present day adaptation measures geared at enhancing livelihood resilience to climate change. According to him, pest invasion of crops has gone up due to climate change over the past few years. In response, diversified farming practices have been acting as adaptation measures. Diversified farming practices include vegetables, medicinal plants, organic farming, high value crop, horticulture fruit diversity, and drought resistant traditional crops. Citing an example from Himachal Pradesh—2011–12—the value of fruits is about INR 21,000,000, which is more than 50% of the total horticultural value of the state. He mentioned the technologies employed in the Himalayas as adaptation measures against climatic change that include greenhouse, sprinklers, micro irrigation, watershed management, high value crops, etc. He also discussed a few mitigation measures to combat poverty by promoting industries that include food processing, niche marketing, branding, eco-tourism, and art and craft. He stated that some sectors needed training to develop their socio-economic status and boost education in the Himalayas. Training includes technical skills, management skills, financial literacy, and entrepreneurship. He emphasised the need to strengthen village co-operatives, cottage industries, rural finance, rural management institutes, local knowledge, and rural infrastructure (health, education). Finally, he mentioned six main components leading to improved rural livelihood. These include skill development, co-operatives, non-farm activities, value addition, technical innovation, and entrepreneurship. 26 Technology Interventions for Livelihood Development in the Indian Himalayas Dr. Lal Singh, Director, Himalayan Research Group (HRG), DST Core Group, Shimla, Himachal Pradesh, India. ABSTRACT The Himalayan natural resources generate a plethora of goods and services including carbon sink, perennial water, hydro energy, minerals, soil and nutrients. Livelihoods of majority of the people and communities are heavily dependent on natural resources and agriculture. The development of technology-based developmental strategies is essential to Himalayan river basins. Adoption of appropriate technologies in cross-cutting sectors like agriculture, drinking water, environmental sanitation, renewable energy and rainwater harvesting with the idea of creating climate resilient livelihood will improve the quality of life. The Himalayan Research Group (HRG) undertakes the initiatives of simplification of technology in core areas like agriculture and allied activities to generate livelihood and enterprises through effective communication and the use of local material and resources to reduce the initial cost. Simplifications in technologies facilitated easy adoption and were the main innovations that resulted in the sustainability of these programmes over the years. It is imperative to support and promote the synchronisation of modern technologies with traditional and indigenous knowledge for sustainable rural development resulting in the efficient use of existing resources and diversification of activities leading to rural enterprises. Lal Singh from the Himalayan Research Group (HRG), DST, addressed various climate change related issues in the Himalayan mountain ecosystems. He emphasised the need for climate resilient livelihood strategies and presented adaptation interventions conducted by the HRG in the region. Singh stated that livelihood strategies resilient to climate change should address the current challenges and develop the capacity to adapt to future projected change. During his presentation he discussed adaptation strategies like micro-financing/ insurance, vermi-composting, and fodder and silage development that are supported by the Himalayan Research Group. According to Singh information deficit regarding planning and management is the main challenge faced by the communities, making them vulnerable. He also highlighted the function of adaptive capacities including access to services like credit and savings to diversify livelihoods of communities that helps them to cope during crisis. He said that specific needs of women and vulnerable sections should be 27 prioritised through empowerment while providing knowledge and the means for adaptation. He accentuated the need for strengthening community groups, which also helps in scaling up and implementing science and technology based activities and enterprises that increase livelihood opportunities. It also helps to put into practice the effective trading services of farmers’ produce. He mentioned some HRG-supported livelihood strategies that serve to enhance adaptive capacity including fodder development, silage, household tourism, and handicraft yielding optimum returns. Singh highlighted the HRG initiative in the context of providing support to community building and training. The HRG has organised 24 women saving groups (WSGs), belonging to 271 households, aiming to start new avenues of earning with minimal interest with the krishi credit card (KCC) scheme supporting the purpose. He also pointed to the effectiveness of these SHGs lying in the members’ saving money and giving each other loans. All 24 WSGs are linked to the Punjab National Bank; their savings (as of 31-01-2013) amount to INR 312,893. He also mentioned HRG’s intervention in the fodder and silage development for livestock rearing. Various training camps have been organised for members of WSGs regarding information about fodder and silage practices. Fodder and silage development helps reduce fodder wastage by 40-70% through fodder cutters and improved stall-feeding. Silage development enhances fodder nutrition; leading to augmented milk yields and milk fat content. Improved varieties of grass and silage increase the health and fertility of cattle. They also help reduce fire hazards with the storage of dry fodder in households decreasing. The HRG has also developed a business model for button mushroom cultivation, which was established in 2002 in six districts within the state of Himachal Pradesh with financial linkages in the midst of the Punjab National Bank. Various suppliers of commodities including wheat straw and chicken manure, local women cultivators, youth, vegetable vendors, and transporters are involved in this model in Punjab. The HRG has also developed a business model for Chirayita (Swertia perennis) cultivation embracing different stages, post harvest management, and marketing. Chirayita is a medicinal plant indigenous to the temperate Himalayas. So far, a yield of 3693 Kg has been harvested by a total of 540 farmers. A return of INR 705,300 is gained from Chirayita production. Additionally, a return of INR 314,190 is gained from Chirayita seed production. Singh further discussed the vermi-composting technology, an agro-ecological intervention at the level of family and rural village farming that is simple and costeffective. It is primarily used for composting in agricultural fields. The surplus amount of compost is sold in the market to generate cash for the WSGs. The sale of vermicompost has generated revenues worth INR 679,000. He emphasised that the overconstruction of resorts, hotels, and guest houses has been causing suffering to the Himalayan mountain systems owing to the resource intensive nature of the tourism industry. The overwhelming share of tourism revenue flows outside the region by- 28 passing local people. Household inmates, especially women and girls, are trained in hospitality with a standard code of conduct to avoid conflict and undue associations. Household-based business enterprises like home stay, agro-tourism, and highland trekking provide direct employment to locals in the valley enabling livelihood security. Scientific information on traditional crops, agricultural practices, cattle rearing, living and culture along with the local involvement of people is collated and provided to the registered households and tribal community at large to sustain activity and tourism enterprise on a long-term basis. The initiative restricts the construction of costintensive unplanned concrete guesthouses on fragile hill slopes and on limited agricultural land in the valley. The locals also generate revenues from various agricultural products and handicrafts. Singh later touched upon the HRG’s initiative to promote the use of solar energy for space and water heating to reduce fuel wood consumption. Fabrication of solar retrofitting by local artisans with local material generates local employment and establishes rural enterprise. This has diminished challenges vis-à-vis the womenenergy nexus while empowering women through solar energy use in domestic requirements to improve their quality of life via effective reduction in firewood consumption. Summing up his presentation he said the HRG has been working in the Himalayan region to help communities secure livelihoods by enhancing their capacities. He emphasised that the capacity of mountain communities should be augmented through technology development, rural advancement, and information dissemination for adapting to climate change impacts. There is an urgent need to develop newer technology based interventions and to replicate them in the region to enhance livelihood security. 29 Disaster Risk Reduction Strategies in Indus River Basins Mr. Fazal Ali Saadi, Specialist, Research and Knowledge Management, Rural Support Programmes Network (RSPN), Islamabad, Pakistan. ABSTRACT Declining reservoir storage capacity by 30% over the last 30 years, increased water logging, salinisation of irrigated lands and unplanned urbanisation has increased exposure of disasters to a larger population. The floods of 2010 in Indus Basins have affected the lives and livelihood of people. Livelihood entitlements such as agricultural crops, and livestock and house structures have been left damaged. The floods of 2010 called for the need of comprehensive policies to deal with the issue of reducing disaster risks in Pakistan. In this regard the research carried out by Rural Support Programmes Network documented relief and recovery work during the Indus Floods of 2010 to instill lessons for better preparedness against future extreme events in the Indus basin. The study areas extended from the high mountains (in Chitral), piedmont area at the confluence of Indus and Kabul rivers (Charsadda), plains (Dadu), and the Thar Desert (Mithi).The study emphasised that micro hydropower projects in Chitral have played a critical role in the communities’ ability to diversify livelihoods and decrease dependence on ecosystem-based sources of production. Sanitation facilities in Charsada seem to be the key differential between well-recovered communities. In Dadu, titles to agricultural land provided the main difference between people who recovered relatively early. People who had access to hand pumps and groundwater, financial services, and better health facilities tended to recover faster across the board. On the other hand, households with a higher ratio of women members were the slowest to recover due to the latter’s inability to participate in the relief and rehabilitation activities in a conservative culture. Fazal Ali Saadi’s presentation highlighted the management system in the Indus basins with regard to floods and the ways in which policy deals with disaster events. He also stated some of the key lessons learnt from the floods in Pakistan and the limitations and challenges of working with the Indus River system. Giving a broad overview of the Indus river basin he said that the existing management infrastructure of the Indus basin includes three major storage reservoirs, 19 barrages, 12 inter-river canals, 45 independent command canals, and 143 large dams at 15-metre heights and above. The major challenges in these basins constitute a declining reservoir storage capacity by 30 percent over the last 30 years due to sedimentation and poor maintenance, increased water logging, and 30 salinisation of irrigated lands. Urbanisation leading to increased water demand for domestic and industrial purposes is another major challenge giving way to poor resource governance. Because of these reasons Pakistan stands among the waterstressed countries and is prone to climate change impacts such as increased frequency of warm spells and heat waves, increased monsoonal variability, accelerated recession of glaciers in the Karakorum and Hindukush Himalayas, and food insecurity due to reduced agricultural productivity. He presented some of the key lessons learnt from the 2010 floods. He stated that while the floods were not unprecedented their magnitude and the damages wreaked in their wake can only be understood subsequent to an estimate of the damages. Blockage in the lateral flow drainage appears to be an important contributor to extended flooding and water logging. The significance of social protection for climate change resilience was also highlighted during the presentation. The advent of micro hydropower projects in Chitral has played a critical role in the communities’ ability to diversify livelihoods and decrease dependence on ecosystem-based sources of production. Sanitation facilities in Charsada seem to be the key differential between well-recovered and less recovered communities. In Dadu, titles to agricultural land provided the main difference between people who recovered relatively early. People who had access to hand pumps and groundwater, financial services, and better health facilities tended to recover faster across the board. On the other hand, households with a higher ratio of women members were the slowest to recover due to the latter’s inability to participate in the relief and rehabilitation activities in a conservative culture. The floods have equally affected the people and livelihood sources including agricultural crops and livestock, and house structures. But recovery has been faster for house structures compared to livelihood sources of agriculture and livestock. Response programmes may focus more on rehabilitation of livelihoods and they may explore options with insurance companies in the context of micro-insurance for livestock and crops. Some of the key limitations in overcoming these challenges in policies are attributable to overlapping laws and institutional jurisdiction. No enforceable laws exist for establishing functional linkages with existing ministries, departments, commissions, and authorities responsible for disaster response. More importantly, there are no roadmaps for incorporating community-based disaster management and no arrangement exists for taking communities’ views. Concluding his presentation Saadi mentioned that the role of social protection measures could create a big impact on disaster-affected regions if implemented properly. Research is not only required at local or community levels but also at the policy level owing to government-level institutions existing in a state of disarray after the 18th amendment of the constitution in Pakistan and it is imperative that attention be given to them. 31 Indigenous Knowledge in Disaster Risk Reduction in Sikkim Himalayan Dr. Vimal Khawas, Assistant Professor, Department of Geography, Sikkim University, Gangtok, Sikkim, India. ABSTRACT Traditional knowledge is developed from experience gained over centuries and adapted to the local culture and environment and is transmitted orally from generation to generation. The Himalayan region with 34 global biodiversity hotspots and home to over 150 million people has a vast unexploited storehouse of traditional knowledge. This vital knowledge base is often ignored due to lack of recognition and importance and is being eroded with time. There has been increasing recognition of the importance and usefulness of traditional knowledge in adaptation and disaster risk reduction. Documentation of the application of various traditional knowledge bases, in management of disaster risk will add to the growing body of traditional knowledge. There is a need for systematic documentation of traditional knowledge in climate change research and integrating it with scientific knowledge for sustainable adaptation and disaster risk reduction strategies. Strategies practised by indigenous communities are mitigative including terrace farming (Bari khet), grazing cattle on barren lands and practicing traditional watershed activities (Padhera). Preventive measures include building temporary fuel wood storage structures during floods, plantation of fodder trees for better livestock management, and storing food grain in traditional earthen container (Dhikuti) to ensure survival during rainfall months. Vimal Khawas, in his presentation, explored the importance of traditional knowledge in the context of climate change. The presentation opened with Khawas defining indigenous knowledge vis-à-vis age old refined methods and practices, developed by previous generations, from an advanced understanding of the local environment. This knowledge is geared towards saving their belongings and lives from future natural disasters. Referring to knowledge, innovations, and practices of indigenous/ local communities he gave a broad overview of the Himalayas. He mentioned that the Himalayan system is ecologically fragile and the dynamics of change in the entire region is inextricably intertwined with factors including climate, geology, fauna, flora, water resources, etc. The region having undergone various types of geoenvironmental/ geomorphic processes is prone to natural hazards. Differentiating between hazards and disasters he mentioned that these hazards often assume the form of disasters due to the region’s inherent nature, climatic conditions, and lack of adequate disaster preparedness mechanisms leading to 32 widespread catastrophes and human insecurities. In the context of climatic shifts and resultant damage he reiterated the significance of traditional knowledge bases. The latter, owing to the paucity of due recognition and importance, has been eroded over time. To overcome this situation, he suggested systematically documenting the traditional knowledge bases and integrating them with mainstream scientific knowledge. Holistic documentation of the application of various traditional knowledge bases in the management of disaster risk would add to the growing body of traditional knowledge and its role is crucial. It will significantly contribute to the evolving framework of integrating traditional knowledge with that of scientific knowledge and pave the way for a comprehensive framework of disaster risk reduction. Citing the demographics of Darjeeling – Sikkim Himalaya, Khawas presented the measures taken in this region to resist climate change. He divided these measures into two categories- preventive and mitigative measures and adaptation measures. Under preventive and mitigative measures he highlighted the practice of tree/fodder plantation like Uttis (Alnusnepalensis), Malata (Mallotusphilipensis), Bamboo (Bambusanutan), Dendrocalamushamiltoni, Dendrocalamussikkimensis), Shimali (Vitexnutens), Amliso (Thysanolaena maxima) in and around the vulnerable areas. Terrace farming, also known as barikhet, is rampant in the region. Cattle are encouraged to graze on barren land in order to be able to survive in times of drought on dry fodder. People have made traditional stone walls to protect vulnerable areas from floods, while practising watershed management, also known as Dhara and Padhera locally. Within adaptive measures he cited examples of community practices including building indigenous fuel-wood storage and flash flood management for times of crisis. Local residents have started a system of livestock management and fodder management by planting fodder trees increasingly. People are now storing food in traditional containers like Dhikuti, Bhakari, and Bhar to make it last longer while ensuring survival during the rains. The community has developed alternate forms of energy to light up houses including traditional emergency lights to meet power deficits. He concluded the presentation saying that traditional knowledge alone is not enough for tackling the escalating intensity and frequency of varied natural disasters. Integration of traditional knowledge with scientific and technological knowledge is vital for comprehensive disaster risk reduction in the region. 33 Livelihood Opportunities for Marginal Communities in Central Himalayas Dr. P. Dhaila, Director, Central Himalayan Environment Association (CHEA), Nainital, Uttrakhand, India. ABSTRACT Natural resources are most vital in Uttrakhand in terms of providing fuel wood, fodder, biomass, and other major and minor forest produces. Management of natural resources is crucial for supporting livelihoods, particularly among marginal communities. Over the last few decades the natural resources have been shrinking due to indiscriminate extraction coupled with large-scale habitat losses affecting livelihoods of people who are socio-economically poor and belong to backward classes. Lack of a cohesive approach in development initiatives warrants the need for integrated natural resource management to support livelihoods. A project undertaken by the Central Himalayan Environment Association (CHEA) has diversified livelihood opportunities by increasing bamboo and ringal cultivation through ecosystem conservation and watershed development activities. The plantation of species and their conversion into quality products has led to new avenues for the cottage industries and entrepreneurship which has increased aspiration for better livelihoods. This intervention has also contributed to mitigating climate change and increasing the community’s adaptive capacities by providing alternative sources of livelihood and enhanced ecosystem services. P. Dhaila, during his presentation, gave an overview of research activities carried out at the Central Himalayan Environment Association (CHEA). He stated that natural resources are most vital in Uttrakhand in terms of providing fuel wood, fodder, biomass, and other major and minor forest produce. Bamboo and ringal (Arundineriafalcata) are some of the potential resources available in different villages and adjoining forests of the state of Uttrakhand. Ringal grows on steep mountain slopes, within temperate zones, at an elevation of 1800–2400m in the Garhwal and Kumaon hills. It is distributed over 66,000 hectares at elevations between 1800– 2500 metres. The state has over 450 artisan villages that depend on these resources as their major livelihoods. Bamboo is grown within a 1,394 km2 area across 13 districts of Uttrakhand. The gross commercial bamboo standing stock is estimated at 45,000 m3 in the state. Natural bamboo resources have shrunk over decades due to their indiscriminate extraction coupled with large-scale habitat loss owed to development activities and environmental degradation. The people of the village who practice the craft are socio-economically poor. However, due to limitations of rules, raw material availability, and awareness regarding trying new products traditional 34 occupation is threatened as it does not yield enough money to support the craftsmen’s livelihood. Capacity enhancement of the rural population via cultural industries is crucial in order to augment livelihoods. He mentioned that during the pilot action research programme, the organisation undertook a community initiative using a participatory approach in two villages of the Nainital district in Uttrakhand. During the pilot phase of the project six bamboo species i.e. Dendrocalmusasper, Dendrocalamusstrictus, Bambusabalcooa, and Dendrocalamushemiltonii and Phyllostachyusnigra along with ringal (Arundineriafalcata) were grown in community forests and individual land. These community forests are, in turn, managed and governed by Van Panchayats. A 12.5hectare area has been successfully demonstrated through project intervention. The species are well-established with a survival rate of above 80 percent due to scientific extraction and transplanting of ringal. Such interventions have led to enhanced livelihoods. Highlighting achievements he said the artisan community has been lately showing its willingness to plant appropriate species of bamboo in agricultural and fallow land, especially in terraces along with ringal. Veteran and experienced community members, along with 20 enthusiastic youths and women, have come forward to execute the outcome in these two pilot villages. The plantation of species and their conversion into quality articles has led to new avenues for the cottage industry and entrepreneurship, encouraging aspiration. The success of this pilot may be assessed through indicators like community receptiveness to intervention and the new variety of bamboo, which is also under cultivation. He concluded his presentation by saying that the pilot had been successful and extended in 30 villages of Uttrakhand to ensure livelihoods of the deprived artisan community and biodiversity conservation in fragile mountain areas that are vital for supporting the downstream rivers. 35 Discussions Session - II The points highlighted after the second session are as follows: Issues Lack of mechanisms to make communities aware of climate change implications on livelihoods Lack of processes for transferring knowledge and demonstrating the use of technology to the end-users Need of institutional integration for broad participation Need for adaptation and resilient tools and frameworks for local-level assessments Need for frameworks that facilitate the designing of gender-just adaptation Need to document traditional knowledge and create a compendium of positive case initiatives for easy access Need to develop mechanisms to deal with dysfunctional traditional techniques Need to cover existing gaps in knowledge regarding climate-induced conflicts Findings Traditional knowledge and practices are effective while dealing with nearterm climate change in the Himalayan river basins Ecological conversation led technology based interventions have proven effective in enhancing livelihood resilience in the Himalayan river basins An amalgam of traditional and scientific knowledge could prove effective in anticipatory adaptations Manifestation of climate change in Brahmaputra leading to influx of climate refugees Improving current capacities through sustainable management strategies serve as planned adaptations Enhancement in sustainable tourism practices is recommended 36 Research Demands Institutional and financial mechanisms need to be identified for enhancing the resilience of local communities Village institutions need to be strengthened to deal with issues pertaining to climate change It is important to understand preparedness and level of acceptance of communities to receive climate information and knowledge Training and community awareness programs for creating climate resilient livelihood are needed Adaptation options should be output specific while aiming for long-term security instead of short-term relief It is necessary to understand the implications of power shifting from the communities to the bureaucrats on resource management Bottom-up approach is required for implementation and policy formulation 37 Session - III Discussion on Research Issues CHAIR Dr. Vimal Mishra, Assistant Professor, Indian Institute of Technology (IIT), Gandhinagar, Gujarat, India. SPEAKERS Models for Himalayan River System Dr. Gunther Fisher, Senior Researcher, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria. Vulnerability and Hazard Assessment and Community Resilience Dr. Gopalakrishna Bhat, Chairman, TARU, New Delhi, India. Engaging Communities in Adapting to Climate Change Mr. Narayanjeet Negi, President, Himalayan Human and Natural Resource Management Organization, Himachal Pradesh, India Mainstreaming Adaptations and Enhancing Policy Processes Dr. Shirish Sinha, Senior Thematic Advisor, Embassy of Switzerland, New Delhi, India. 38 Models for Himalayan River System Dr. Gunther Fisher, Senior Researcher, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria. ABSTRACT Populations in the Indus, Ganges, and Brahmaputra river basins of South Asia are heavily dependent on water resources originating in the Himalayas. It is expected that climate change would adversely affect hydrological regimes in the Himalayan glacio-fluvial system. It is imperative to model future potential climate change impacts on livelihoods of vulnerable communities, assess the effectiveness of existing practices, and formulate adaptation strategies for climate resilient development. An Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) is needed to project changes in climate and impacts in the Himalayan River basin for the century to help aid development planning. IAM seeks to integrate representative concentration pathways (RCPs) with socio-economic pathways (SSPs) and other hydrological models. This paper provides a multi-model framework for assessing future water scenarios in the light of climate change and globalisation. This framework combines RCPs, SSPs, land use, and land use change scenarios with water resource models and water demand models. This integrated model projects future water supply, quality, use and requirements to aid decision-making. Gunther Fisher began his presentation by introducing the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA). He mentioned the current thematic areas on which the institute has been working. These include energy and climate change, food and water, poverty, and equity. His presentation highlighted the importance of using multi-modal assessments by linking biophysical variables to socio-economic pathways. He outlined the key features of the new IPCC parallel approach used in the fifth assessment report (AR5) for scenario generation. He highlighted the need, policy assumption, and the climate dimension of the new scenario matrix approach. The parallel process aims to develop scenarios ensuring better integration between socio-economic driving forces, changes in the climate system, and the vulnerability of natural and human systems. The new scenarios take alternative futures in global greenhouse gas and aerosol concentrations as their starting point. These socalled representative concentration pathways (RCPs) may be used in parallel by Earth System Models (ESMs) and by Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) communities. 39 Defining RCPs and Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs) he said that RCPs are a set of four-greenhouse gas concentration (not emissions) trajectories developed for the climate modelling community as a basis for long-term and near-term modelling experiments. The RCPs and SSPs are being adopted at macro level by the IPCC but may also be developed at the meso and micro levels. The SSP’s process is an effort by the scientific community to develop the next generation of global socio-economic scenarios to be used in both emission mitigation analyses and for impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability studies. The SSPs are macro-level indicators of the possible state of the society in the trajectory of this century. Presently the scientific community is working with five SSPs while key drivers have been identified that include population, urbanisation, and GDP levels. The new scenario’s base is defined along two dimensions in order to explore uncertainty in the context of socio-economic challenges to mitigation and adaptation. Fisher further presented some of the results of the population projections in India for three different SSP scenarios (figure 2). In terms of the absolute number of people that will exist in 2050 a large difference exists between the SSP’s projections and the characteristics of the population. Figure 2: Population projections for India Various global water resource hydrological models such as Variable Infiltration and Capacity (VIC) and WaterGAP that deal with hydrological regimes and human interactions may be deployed for the Himalayan river basins. These models could be linked to socio-economic pathways as along with technological advancement for the complete realisation of a scenario. Fisher presented an example to show that scenarios’ matrices may be developed based on RCPs and SSPs using the water models. Discussing his current work he said that the IIASA in its Water Futures Initiative plans to integrate a water modelling element with the climate change and socio- 40 economic development scenario (figure 3). It also aims at providing the land use change scenario while highlighting demand and availability in four sectors – domestic, agriculture, energy, and industry – while looking for solutions to adapt water management solutions using the governance mechanism. Figure 3: Multi-model water futures assessment He mentioned the importance and effectiveness of multi-model and spatially detailed assessments while highlighting the need for spatially detailed analysis in order to capture the heterogeneity of the biophysical and social aspects. FAO and IIASA have developed a spatial analysis system enabling rational land use planning known as the Global Agro Ecological Zone (GAEZ) model. This model runs on the basis of an inventory of land resources and evaluation of biophysical limitations and production potentials of land, which could be used for the Himalayan river basins. The Agro Ecological Zone (AEZ) analysis yields knowledge of the current and future production potentials of land; it helps identify land and water limitations while providing insights into the current yield and production gaps and their causes. The AEZ is applied to climate, land use, and development studies. 41 Source: REUTERS He concluded saying that it was important to make a distinction between the models’ accuracy and precision. Global models’ predictions are accurate with low precision. On the contrary, local models are highly precise but the accuracy is not as high as that of global models. Summing up his presentation he said that scenario development is a way of dealing with future uncertainty. 42 Vulnerability and Hazard Assessment and Community Resilience Dr. Gopalakrishna Bhat, Chairman, TARU, New Delhi, India. ABSTRACT Changes in climate have manifested in several forms of risks and hazards. However, there is a debate over the rate of change, which varies spatially and is highly uncertain. Impacts vary from production systems being affected to repercussions on the availability of natural resources. To understand and gauge these changes pragmatic vulnerability assessments are needed. Several elements including livelihoods, incomes, assets and resource characteristics, infrastructure status determine the vulnerability at regional scales. Here a scenario-based approach is employed to understand vulnerability for the year 2030, which is scale dependent i.e. from household to regions to nation level. Vulnerability projections for 2030 including small and marginal farmers are likely to increase despite outmigration and shift to non-farm livelihoods. Per capita water resources are likely to worsen. Cropping patterns will exhibit changes in the context of horticulture, GM crops, and contract farming arrangements. Bhat, during his presentation on ‘Vulnerability and hazard assessment and community resilience’, highlighted climate risks, hazards and assessing vulnerability and resilience. During his presentation the need for adaptation tools was emphasised. He mentioned three major climate change related transformations that mainly affect the livelihoods in the Himalayan river basins. These are: snow, precipitation events dominated by extreme patterns, and temperature rise. He discussed the degree to which these occurrences have exacerbated the vulnerability of people living in the Himalayan river basins. He claimed that changes in intensity of precipitation have been causing mudslides, exposing roads to melt water, and disturbing the fragile sediment balance. Extreme rainfall events lead to flash floods while erosion of the valley fills and triggers landslides. In the middle Ganges the water supply is at risk impacting the agricultural produce. Rising instances of crop loss too has been reported along with extreme floods beyond currently known scales, especially from snow to rainfall transforming environments upstream. Groundwater decline is known to augment the cost of irrigation. Besides, there are issues related to arsenic concentration, unknowns due to variability across years, and crop viability (especially winter crops). Also, some vector borne diseases are likely to turn endemic year-long in the plains. Other impacts observed in the Shiwalik ranges include a rising frequency of forest fires, adversely-affected horticulture crops, and distributional changes in species’ composition. 43 Presenting business as usual (BAU) 2030 scenarios he pointed out that population growth will remain high (666 million and 613 million in central and western Gangetic plains respectively) while the proportion of small and marginal farmers is likely to increase despite out-migration and shift to non-farm livelihood options. With per capita water resources already low the situation is likely to worsen. Cropping patterns will exhibit changes in the context of horticulture, GM crops, and contract farming arrangements. Alongside, crop insurance may become popular but coverage of climate risks will remain questionable. Lastly, joblessness is likely to rise creating an expanding pool of informal work for the poor. Emphasising on the BAU scenario 2030, he further argued that climatic variability and change are going to roll out over these human-induced changes. He also spoke of the three types of climatic hazards as characterised by the Tyndall centre: discrete recurrent hazards, continuous hazards, and discrete singular hazards. Hazards contribute to the disruption of the system and human activities. He proceeded to identify the challenges that make hazard assessment in the mountains difficult. Primarily, spatial resolution of models (tens of kilometres at best) and large uncertainties in the model lead to challenges. Downscaling may be unreliable due to terrain effects. The spatial scales of hazards (e.g. cloudbursts) are too small for assessment while understanding rainfall and temperature trends requires very high resolution monitoring systems. While presenting rural challenges, he explained, spatial diversity in biophysical conditions is low. He emphasised that upstream hydrological studies were necessary for facilitating the understanding of hazards like floods. Anthropogenic modifications such as reservoirs, roads, bridges, and embankments further complicate hazard assessments. Demographic diversity with a population expected to cross 612 million by 2030 (93 percent of the Indian part of the Indo-Gangetic basin population) with a very high exposure to climate change impacts lead to a deadlock. Speaking on urban challenges he mentioned that the linkages between infrastructure, lifeline services, and health are not often understood. Climate induced health hazard assessment has to look beyond just health implications and must include rural-urban linkages along with infrastructure-health linkages. Secondly, urban areas pose the additional challenge of a large and increasingly exposed population; growing gaps between infrastructure and lifeline services and diseases. Keeping other factors in mind he underlined the need to understand vulnerability by prioritising elements including livelihoods, incomes, assets at household level, and resource characteristics along with infrastructure status determining vulnerability along regional scales. In this context vulnerability assessment should be scale dependent, i.e. from small scale to large scale and scenario-based approaches would be required in such assessments. Most importantly, indicators need to be contextualised, as far as possible; but this could lead to non-comparability. Defining scope is essential for maintaining consistency in the choice of proxies and scale. Continuing with this line of argument he underlined the merit of the spatial 44 vulnerability analysis method, i.e. from urban community to city-level analysis. This could be carried through ground-based rapid surveys, homogenous neighbourhood maps, community household surveys, and community-level vulnerability assessments and aggregated data may be analysed for deriving adaptation options. Source: Reuters Bhat concluded his presentation by providing a multi-stage resilience assessment approach. He emphasised that a multi-faceted approach at various scales is required. A multi-faceted approach can help engage decision-making that looks at issues in a holistic manner, recognising the interconnection between different facets of resilience. The approach under discussion involves triple loop learning in which existing interventions lead to enhanced and improved actions (figure 4). Further praxis helps redefine the frame of reference. This process contributes towards providing a new context and is explained through an example in the following figure. 45 Figure 4: Conceptualizing resilience: Triple loop learning approach According to Bhat, factors controlling resilience would include anticipatory culture, real time information, forecasts, and knowledge capital for managing change, diversified livelihoods and migration-related incomes (and marketable skills), redundant infrastructure—especially in high uncertainty environments (abundance of redundancy-water, electricity, road network examples)—decision-making systems, households to community-level continuum and consistency (groundwater management), built-in safe failure mechanisms, knowledge capital and innovation, community cohesion ( especially in managing resources), negotiating with markets (SMF groups, padashekaram, Andhra Pradesh farmer managed groundwater systems), and building on coping to improve resilience in rural areas. Alongside rural areas urban areas too have their controlling factors for resilience. Factors like anticipatory culture and control over resources, decentralised management systems starting from household to colony to city levels, and access to knowledge like forecasting networks act as significant measures. 46 Engaging Communities in Adapting to Climate Change Mr. Narayanjeet Negi, President, Himalayan Human and Natural Resource Management Organization, Himachal Pradesh, India Narayanjeet Negi’s presentation on ‘Engaging communities in adapting to climate change’ examined the current status of community involvement on climate change adaptation and identified key strategies for further adaptation. He discussed ways of engaging the region’s most vulnerable communities when addressing adaptation needs. Highlighting the impacts of climate change, he said that studies in Ladakh and Uttrakhand have reported considerable loss in the ecosystem’s health and economy. Climate change has led to widespread flooding, drought and glacial runoff in the Himalayas, which is the largest source of fresh water in northern India and provides more than half the water in the Himalayan rivers. These rivers are important to livelihoods of many different social groups. Climate change and its related hazards have been affecting livelihoods of people. Livelihoods being a key determinant of adaptive capacity and vulnerability to climaterelated stress it is necessary to develop adaptations that are climate resilient. The engagement of all key stakeholders is essential while designing adaptation strategies, he stressed. Facilitating engagement of individuals for climate change adaptation in the form of co-operatives, collectives, and self help groups is essential while providing training to build adaptive capabilities. Increasing awareness by providing relevant climate information in a comprehensive manner using an appreciative inquiry approach would enable communities to adapt better. Solutions include prohibiting deforestation, increasing afforestation, stimulating tourist awareness regarding non-pollution, and creating awareness amongst locals. These approaches will help adapt to the impacts of climate change enhancing resilience of communities and ecosystem. He concluded by saying that livelihood resources were needed to build the long-term adaptive capacity of locals. There is a need to develop and strengthen the institutions for creating awareness and generating participation. 47 Mainstreaming Adaptations and Enhancing Policy Processes Dr. Shirish Sinha, Senior Thematic Advisor, Embassy of Switzerland, New Delhi, India. ABSTRACT Adaptation presents us with a ‘complex problem’ that cannot be solved by technology and science alone. It results from interactions of cultural, ecological, and economic phenomena with no endpoint solutions involving tradeoffs and multiple options. Addressing adaptation does not sit conveniently within any one discipline or institution, making it difficult to position responsibility. Adaptation is not just an environmental issue but also part of socio-economic growth and development. An evolving understanding of vulnerabilities, impacts, and adaptation theory and learning by practice is required. There is a need to move away from research assessments that generate information for producing action which, in turn, moves towards action to mainstream adaptation. To enable mainstreaming adaptation into policy processes there is a need to showcase scalable, replicable, and sustainable adaptation interventions while engaging with decision-makers through policy dialoging forums. Sirish Sinha commenced his presentation by focusing on the challenges to adaptation and the ways to mainstream it. He highlighted the need to move away from research assessments that generate information for producing action while moving towards action to mainstream adaptation in order to overcome the havoc of erratic climatic shifts. This can be done by recognising adaptation as an essential response to changing climates and for addressing existing climate variability and extremes. He mentioned that there are challenges in attaining the parameters of adaptation. Referring to adaptation as a ‘complex problem’ that cannot be solved by technology and science alone he said that it results from interactions involving cultural, ecological, and economic phenomena. With no endpoint solutions as to trade-offs and multiple options, addressing adaptation does not sit conveniently within any one discipline or organisation making it difficult to position responsibility. Since adaptation is not just an environmental issue but also part of socio-economic growth and development an evolving understanding of vulnerabilities, impacts, and adaptation theory and learning by practice is required. Compounding the challenge he underlined the uncertainty that is seen as a barrier to action (framing) rather than as a means of informing policy and decisions (providers and end-users).This may be made possible via the integration of a top down approach and bottom up approach 48 (figure 5). The bottom up approach would list the challenges related to social vulnerability along with physical vulnerability. Figure 5: Top down and bottom up approach to climate adaptation policy Sinha, concluding his presentation, discussed India’s climate policy and the 12th Five Year plan. He mentioned that such policy platforms help towards mainstreaming adaptation into the development process since the mandate of these projects focus on low-emission growth strategies, adaptation to climate impacts in key sectors, and strengthening climate science. Furthermore, he added that the adaptation mechanism in the Himalayan river basins is expected to develop with the successful implementation of State Level Action Plans on Climate Change and the National Action Plan for Climate Change. 49 Discussions Section - III The points that emerged during the discussions are as follows: Issues There is an absence of open information sharing of the research findings of projects under execution in the region There are research gaps in conceptualising resilience in the context of climate change and livelihoods There are no developments in climate governance framework in the Himalayan river basins region There are substantial limitations in conducting marco-level vulnerability assessments which do not capture dynamics in the human-biophysical interaction space There is lack of enabling mechanisms for the uptake of adaptation measures Findings Scale selection is crucial when dealing with this large region The IPCC parallel approach may be used to model scenarios for Himalayan river basins Uptake of climate information into management processes by end users is a matter of concerns Research Demands There is a need to provide relevant climate information in a comprehensible manner to facilitate adaptations within communities Climate information and climate forecasts should aid the decision-making or policy processes There is a need to mobilise research and analytical capacity for conducting investigations with the help of climate data and trim the associated uncertainty There is an urgent need to enhance governance frameworks in the Himalayan river basins for climate focus development There is a need to combine assessments of livelihood resilience and vulnerability to climate variability and change in order to forge differentiated strategies for adaptations It is essential to develop fiscal, non-fiscal, and institutional mechanism for developing good adaptation practice. 50 Session - IV Roadmap for Collaborations CHAIR Dr. Gunther Fisher, Senior Researcher, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria. SPEAKERS Research and Policy Uptake: Pathways through Knowledge Management Dr. K N Vajpai, Environment Specialist, Climate Himalaya, Dehradun, Uttrakhand, India. Missions under the Climate Change Program of DST: Pathways to Collaboration Dr. Nisha Mendiratta, Director/Scientist 'F', Department of Science and Technology (DST), New Delhi, India. 51 Research and Policy Uptake: Pathways through Knowledge Management Dr. K N Vajpai, Environment Specialist, Climate Himalaya, Dehradun, Uttrakhand, India. ABSTRACT Over 200 million people are dependent on water resources provided by the Himalayas. About 70 million are directly dependent on the Himalayas as it is a source of agriculture and food security. A key challenge in the region is global climate change that poses a threat to the mountain hydrological system altering precipitation, snow-cover patterns, and glaciers further affecting downstream populations. All this has resulted in reduced water availability, loss of bio-diversity, loss of agricultural productivity, and glacial mass. It is felt that there are knowledge gaps and a lack of understanding on various issues pertaining to climate change and the Himalayan Mountains. Lack of shared understanding and actions are to blame for the regional problems. Despite substantial financial investments the results are deficient in terms of making a difference due to inadequate planning, poor implementation, and lack of knowledge outreach actions. This study provides a case of Climate Himalaya and its efforts in terms of reducing the knowledge gap and mainstreaming adaptation through knowledge management. In order to reduce the knowledge gap Climate Himalaya has created a repository of over 5000 articles and 300 publications on the Himalayan ecosystem. To mainstream adaptation into policy processes Climate Himalaya has launched the Mountain Voices initiative to capture experiences and opinions of communities, practitioners, and policy makers. This is to generate awareness about the impacts and adaptations faced by Himalaya communities and make their voices heard at multiple levels. KN Vajpai commenced his presentation by outlining observed climate change in the Himalayas along with the issues and challenges faced while identifying key action areas. He listed the main issues affecting the knowledge pool as follows: an uncoordinated pool of researchers, lack of co-ordinated and comprehensive research, non availability of reliable data, and lack of understanding of various types of climate variability and change, and unstructured and informal communication between the policy maker, practitioners, and academia. All this has led to the mismanagement and degradation of natural resources despite financial investments—all due to inadequate planning and poor implementation of outreach activities. Proper planning and capacity building in the Himalayan region should be through developing and implementing long-term adaptation programs, observing changes 52 and effects through modern warning systems, strengthening scientific understanding by documenting actual changes, improving and building adaptive capacity, providing continuous and practical knowledge along with skills, and expanding knowledge and implementation experiences across multiple scales in the region to support adaptation. The pathway of knowledge sharing will help in research uptake by all stakeholders. He concluded by discussing the Climate Himalaya initiative. He said that the organisation has developed an empirical climate network that innovates on bridging the knowledge gap through information sharing, knowledge networking, providing links between practice, science, policy and decision-making, highlighting climatic variability and impact in the Himalayan region, and developing a pan Himalayan climate resilient mountain community through adaptation actions. Climate Himalaya presently works in the Himalayan Mountains of Bhutan, India, Nepal, and Pakistan. The Climate Himalaya team developed a knowledge-sharing portal in 2010, which has over 5000 articles in 80 different categories and over 300 downloadable publications on climate change and mountain development issues. ‘Mountain 2020 Campaign (M-20)’ was conducted under policy advocacy during which a compendium of people’s voices, available knowledge, practices, and rationale for much-needed interventions towards climate-proofing and adaptation was documented. Climate Himalaya launched a multimedia information communication series called ‘Mountain Voice’ in May 2012. It aims to capture the experiences along with the thoughts and opinions of people, practitioners, policy makers and researchers on various climate-linked issues in the Himalayan region of South Asia. The team has been interacting with people capturing their voices to understand the current situation and uploading them for viewers worldwide. The objective of ‘Mountain Voice’ is to generate awareness about the region at various levels so that the Himalayan Mountains are recognised amongst those important places requiring attention of the world leaders in the context of climate adaptation and development. Capacity building through training activities in thematic areas including water, forest, and livelihoods are carried out to build a community of practice. 53 Missions under the Climate Change Program of DST: Pathways to Collaboration Dr. Nisha Mendiratta, Director/Scientist 'F', Department of Science and Technology (DST), New Delhi, India. ABSTRACT Climate change is an environmental as well as developmental concern for India. Rapid environmental change has been occurring across the Himalaya with significant downstream impacts. Climate change concerns in the region include rising temperatures, variability in rainfall, and enhanced incidences of extreme events. To adapt to climate change and pursue climate resilient development pathways in the Himalayan Mountain system the Government of India has launched the National Mission on Sustaining the Himalayan Ecosystem. Owing to the transboundary nature of the Himalayan river basins regional co-operation between countries is essential for adapting to climate change and sustaining the Himalayan ecosystem. Adaptation research and implementation of scalable pilots require collaborative adaptation research due to the cross-disciplinary nature of the subject. A proactive approach is desired for reducing vulnerability and enhancing the adaptive capacity of at-risk groups among researchers, practitioners, and policy makers. Pathways of collaboration include partnership with institutional network, private organisations, and NGOs for capacity building and creating knowledge through academic institutions and universities, scientific institutions, technical bodies and agencies, defence and para-military organisations, training institutions in mountaineering, community-based organisations, and public outreach and awareness organisations. Nisha Mendiratta’s presentation on ‘national initiatives for addressing climate change issues for the Himalayan region’ outlined the Ministry of Science and Technology’s role in National Action Plan on Climate Change. Enlisting the eight national missions on climate change she elaborated on the ‘National Mission for Sustaining the Himalayan Ecosystem’ and ‘National Mission on Strategic Knowledge for Climate Change’. She said both these missions, assigned to the Ministry of Science and Technology, call for actions that build, strengthen and sustain national capacities to secure an ecosystem’s integrity and to self-learn from developing strategic knowledge. The major problems in the Himalayan river basin include population growth, poverty, natural resource degradation, stress on ecosystem services, and climate change. All this builds extra pressure in terms of melting glaciers and increased disaster risks. 54 Changes on account of natural causes and climate change resulting from anthropogenic emissions and developmental paradigms of modern society are the drivers of environmental problems. Commenting on the negative impacts of climate change on livelihood options she emphasised that all four dimensions of food security have been projected to be affected by climate change. These dimensions include food availability, food accessibility, food utilisation, and the food system's stability. Increasing temperatures have and will further cause changes in agricultural zones and shifts during the growing seasons, for instance, decreasing yields in midaltitude apple growing areas of Himachal Pradesh with cultivation shifting to higher altitudes. Increments in evaporation, reduction in snow cover, and fluctuations in precipitation are key factors contributing to the degradation of dry land ecosystems causing loss of biodiversity and crop yields, she asserted. Emphasising the key problem that needs to be addressed, she said, a ‘proactive approach’ is desired for reducing vulnerability and enhancing the adaptive capacity of at-risk groups. She suggested that the objective and mission deliverables of ‘National Mission for Sustaining the Himalayan Ecosystem’ too share the same aim. She said that the main issues addressed in the mission are biodiversity conservation, glacier retreats, and securing traditional societies and the livelihoods of the locals. The mission’s deliverables of the project intend to create network knowledge institutions engaged in research on the Himalayan ecosystem and develop a coherent database on the geological, hydrological, biological, and sociocultural dimensions including traditional knowledge systems on preservation and conservation of the ecosystem. The mission’s deliverables also intend to detect and decouple the natural and anthropogenic-induced signals of global environmental changes in mountain ecosystems and predict future trends, while assessing the socio-economic and ecological consequences of global environmental change and designing appropriate strategies for economic growth in the mountain regions and the lowland systems dependent on mountain resources. Highlighting some instances of the recent progress, she said, a National Centre for Himalayan Glaciology will be established in Mussoorie. Bilateral co-operation with countries for capacity building in glaciology is already underway. A recent Joint Working Group (JWG) with Switzerland has been set up. A regional co-operation framework on Himalayan ecosystem has been launched in collaboration with ICIMOD and the mapping of all R&D Institutions in the Himalayan region is presently afoot. A Global Technology Watch graph has been set up by the department to combat climate impacts. The Department of Science and Technology is in the process of floating a public private partnership for a knowledge network programme. One of DST’s recent farsighted programmes is the formulation of NSDI (National Spatial Data Infrastructure) as an extensive effort towards managing and sharing data. Mentioning some of the future steps being taken under the NMSHE state-level consultations are already underway while programmes on human and institutional capacity building for the Himalayan region are being launched. Setting up National 55 Centre for Himalayan Glaciology, capacity building in glaciology; building a regional co-operation framework and compilation of traditional knowledge are being aimed at by DST. Discussing pathways of collaboration from the government perspective she mentioned that DST had proposed a partnership with institutional networks, private organisations, and NGOs for capacity building and creating knowledge through academic institutions and universities, scientific institutions, technical bodies and agencies, defence and para-military organisations, training institutions in mountaineering, community-based organisations, and public outreach and awareness organisations. Besides, commitment to evidence-based research is needed apart from knowledge sharing and involving policy makers. Capacity building is another priority realm. The two key issues of contention, as identified by her, involved base management and sharing along with regional co-operation. Owing to the trans-boundary nature of the Himalayan Rivers the issue of regional co-operation becomes critical. 56 Discussions Session - IV In the last session speakers emphasised the importance of trans-boundary collaboration and the need for mainstreaming adaptation in policy process and addressing governance =. The main highlights of the discussion were as follows: Issues Trans-boundary scientific co-operation is needed to deal with climate change impacts in the Himalayan river basins There lacks an efficient governance regime for turning knowledge into action Research Demands There is a need to create platforms for sharing research findings so that policymakers can learn from this process There is a need to promote dialogue, networking and build strategic partnerships between academic institutions, public and private sectors to fill the knowledge gap It is critical to build regional institutional capacity and proper management of resources The government is required to build active preparedness to cope with climate-related risks and hazards Disaster risk reduction should be the main priority of the government while dealing with Himalayan river basins since the area is highly susceptible to floods, landslides and glacial lake outbursts and floods 57 Concluding Session The concluding session flagged off key issues of every session. It also reemphasised research issues and demands. The importance of stakeholder involvement in research uptake was stressed. For issues related to climate change, where resilient livelihoods and adaptations were key concerns, communities could provide first hand tacit knowledge. Adaptation is the key concept for addressing vulnerability while the direct involvement of those most vulnerable to climate change is crucial; in research terms this will provide new insights and help design scalable adaptations. The Himalayan communities have been relying on traditional knowledge in the face of some of the most extreme conditions on Earth. Revisiting this knowledge in the context of a changing climate can lead to practical solutions and the generation of high quality data. Merely focusing on communities isn’t enough as policy advocacy in evolving adaptations is paramount. Policy dialogue and coordination with concerned ministries and departments are highly significant in the context of research. Uptake of research in adaptation plans in consonance with policy advocacy will enhance research processes and benefit the community at large. Gopalakrishna Bhatt moderated the concluding session while highlighting the important issues that arose during the conference. In the end Saswata Biswas extended a vote of thanks to the speakers and all the people who helped organise the conference. 58 Annexure Conference Schedule Time 09:00-09:30 09:30-10:45 Day 1: Thursday, 01 August 2013 Presentations Resource Person Registration Welcome Prof. Jeemol Unni, Director IRMA Introduction to the Prof. Pramod K. Singh, IRMA conference Self introduction Participants Inaugural Address 10:45-11:15 Prof. P S Ramakrishnan Hydrological regimes under climate change in the Himalayan river basins Changing profile of water resources in the Himalayan river basins Geological hazards in the Himalayan ecosystem Discussion Chair 15:30-15:45 15:45-18:30 Prof. P S Ramakrishnan Emeritus Fellow, JNU, New Delhi Prof. Vimal Mishra Asst. Professor IITGandhinagar Prof. BRSharma Prof. Saumitra Mukherjee IWMI, New Delhi Professor, JNU, New Delhi Participants Lunch Session–II Challenges to Livelihoods 13:00-14:00 14:00- 15:30 Emeritus Fellow, JNU, New Delhi Tea Break Session–I Manifestations of Climate Change Chair 11:15-13:00 Designation Climate refugee, conflicts and adaptations in river basins of Bangladesh Resilient Livelihoods for the Himalayas Technology interventions for developing livelihoods in Indian Himalayas Dr. R Gopichandran Director, Vigyan Prasar, GOI Mr. Muhammad Abdur Rahaman Rana Research Fellow, YPSA Bangladesh Dr. Jitendra Verma Dr. Lal Singh Centre for sustainable livelihood, HP Himalayan Research Group (HRG), Core Group, DST, GoI Tea Break Cases of disaster risk reduction strategies in Indus river basins and Pakistan's efforts in mainstreaming Indigenous knowledge in the Himalayan river basins Livelihood opportunities for marginal communities in Central Himalayas Discussion Mr. Fazal Ali Sadi Monitoring and Evaluation Specialist, RSPN, Pakistan Prof. Vimal Khawas Assistant Professor, Sikkim University Dr. P Dhaila Central Himalayan Environment Association (CHEA) Participants 59 Time Day 2: Friday, 02 August 2013 Presentations Resource Person Designation Session–III Discussions on Research Issues 09:30-11:00 11:00- 11:30 11:30- 13:00 13:00-14:00 Chair Asst. Professor IITGandhinagar Prof. Vimal Mishra Models for Himalayan River Basins: Dr. Gunther Fischer Issues of Uncertainty Vulnerability and Hazard Assessment Dr. Gopalakrishna Bhat and Community Resilience Tea Break IIASA, Austria Director, TARU Himalayan Human and Natural Resource Engaging Communities in Adapting to Mr. Narayanjeet Negi Management Climate Change Organization, Himachal Pradesh Mainstreaming adaptations and Senior Thematic Advisor – Dr. Shirish Sinha enhancing policy processes Climate Change, IHCAP Discussion Participants Lunch Break Session–IV Roadmap for Collaborations 14:00- 15:30 Chair Dr. Gunther Fischer IIASA, Austria Research and policy uptake: Pathways through knowledge management Mr. K N Vajpai Environment Specialist, Climate Himalaya, Uttrakhand Dr. Nisha Mehndiratta Ministry of Science and Technology, GoI Missions under the Climate Change Programme of DST: Pathways for collaboration Discussion Participants Session–V Concluding Session 15:30-16:00 16:00-16:30 Concluding Session Vote of Thanks Dr. Gopikrishnan Bhat Prof. SN Biswas Farewell Tea Director, TARU IRMA 60 List of participants SN 1 Name Dr. R. Gopichandran Designation Director 2 Mr. Bharat Sharma Coordinator 3 Dr. Shirish Sinha Sr. Thematic Advisor 4 Mr. NarayanJeet Negi President 5 Mr. Abhinav Gupta Programme Officer 6 Dr. Nisha Mendirette Director / Sc. 'F' 7 Dr. Lal singh Director 8 Ms. Kinkini Dasgupta Misra Scientist 'E' 9 Dr. Bharat Bhushan Scientist 'E' 10 Mr. Nimish Kapoor Scientist 'D' 11 Prof. P. S. Ramakrishnan Emeritus fellow 12 Prof. Saumitra Mukherjee Professor 13 Dr. P. D. Rai 14 Mr. Mustafa Au Khan Member of Parliament (LokSabha), Government of India Policy Specialist 15 Mr. Kirtiman Awasthi Team Leader/Indian Himalayas Climate Adaptation Programme 16 Mr. K N Vajpai Environment Specialist 17 Dr. Vimal Khawas Assistant Professor 18 Dr. Vimal Mishra Assistant Professor Organization Vigyan Prasar, Department of Science and Technology, Government of India International Water Management Institute, New Delhi Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation /Embassy of Switzerland Himalayan Human and NRM Organisation, Himachal Pradesh Vigyan Prasar, Department of Science and Technology, Government of India Department of Science and Technology, New Delhi Himalayan Research Group (HRG), Department of Science and Technology, Core Group Shimla Vigyan Prasar, Department of Science and Technology, Government of India Vigyan Prasar, Department of Science and Technology, Government of India Vigyan Prasar, Department of Science and Technology, Government of India Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi New Delhi Climate Change Department/ Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation, New Delhi Indian Himalayas Climate Adaptation Programme / Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation, New Delhi Climate Himalaya Dehradun Sikkim University Sikkim Indian Institute of Technology Gandhinagar 61 SN 19 Name Mr. Abdhesh Gangwar Designation Programme Director Organization Centre for Environment Education, Lucknow Himalayan Human and NRM Organisation, Himachal Pradesh Himalayan Human and NRM Organisation, Himachal Pradesh Himalayan Human and NRM Organisation, Himachal Pradesh Rural Support Programmes Network, Pakistan Rural Support Programmes Network, Pakistan Rural Support Programmes Network, Pakistan International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria Young Power in Social Action, Bangladesh Young Power in Social Action, Bangladesh 20 Ms. Sonia Thakar President 21 Ms. Rashmi Pundir Vice President 22 Mr. Ashok Kumar President 23 Mr. Atif Zeeshan Rauf DM, PMORI 24 Mr. Fazal Ali Khan 25 Mr. Muhammad Tahir Waqar Specialist Research and Knowledge Management Programme Manager 26 Dr. Gunther Fischer Senior Researcher 27 Mr. Mohammad Shahjahan Team Leader 28 Mr. Mohammad Abdur Rahaman Rana Consultant 29 Mr. Jitender Verma Director Centre for Sustainable Development, Himachal Pradesh 30 Dr. P Dhaila Director Central Himalayan Environment Association, Uttrakhand 31 Dr. Gopalakrishna Bhat Chairman TARU, New Delhi 32 Dr. Jeemol Unni Director Institute of Rural Management Anand 33 Dr. Harekrishna Misra Professor Institute of Rural Management Anand 34 Mr. K. V. Raju Professor Institute of Rural Management Anand 35 Dr. Pramod Kumar Singh Associate Professor Institute of Rural Management Anand 36 Dr. Saswata Narayan Biswas Professor Institute of Rural Management Anand 37 Mr. Abhishek Nair Research Associate 38 Mr. Chintansinh V Suratia Research Associate Institute of Rural Management Anand Institute of Rural Management Anand 39 Ms. Shushumna Agrawal Research Associate Institute of Rural Management Anand 40 Ms. Roopam Shukla Research Fellow Institute of Rural Management Anand 62 63