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AMERICAN MOCK WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE 2017 ___________________________________________________ ____________ _______________________ CLIMATE THE GLOBAL HEALTH RESPONSE CHANGE THEME BRIEF INTRODUCTION This brief aims to provide concise layers of background on the conference theme, “Climate Change: the Global Health Response,” culminating in a description of the sub-themes to be addressed at the conference. It is our hope that this information not only alerts conference participants to the threat that climate change presents to human health worldwide, but that it also provides a foundation upon which participants can develop potential solutions to this global health policy challenge. Akram Salam Theme Director AMWHO 2017 International Conference 1 THE SCIENCE OF CLIMATE CHANGE Climate is the average distribution of weather patterns in a given region [1]. Throughout history, climate has always been changing [2]. One of our best looks into this phenomenon comes from the chemical makeup of glacial ice and air bubbles trapped therein, which preserve an 800,000-year record of temperature and air composition [3]. Based on these data, scientists not only have been able to reconstruct the history of Earth’s climate over hundreds of thousands of years, but also predict future climate change [4]. When the warming of the Earth over the past century is compared to the historic, natural fluctuation of warming, a grave concern becomes apparent: the Earth is warming far more rapidly than any time in history [3]. Weather patterns dependent on Earth’s temperature such as extreme events, sea level rise, ocean warming, ocean acidification, and ice sheet shrinking are seeing a great increase in frequency and/or intensity [2]. The sudden change in the climate toward these abnormal, long-term phenomena is referred to as “climate change [1].” Scientists have pinpointed the cause of climate change: dramatically increased levels of carbon dioxide, man-made gases (such as chlorofluorocarbons), and other gases emitted into the air since the Industrial Revolution [5][6]. The build-up of these gases in the atmosphere prevents more of the sun’s radiation from being reflected into outer space, causing the temperature to increase [7].This initial warming further causes an increased air content of water vapor, already the largest contributor to radiation-trapping, resulting in a positive feedback loop [8] [9]. These gases are some of the major examples of greenhouse gases, the increased levels of which contribute to and exacerbate the greenhouse effect of the atmosphere [6]. Human-induced emission of greenhouse gases, therefore, represents the direct cause of climate change. References [1] http://www.ecy.wa.gov/climatechange/whatis.htm [2] https://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/ [3] https://www.earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Features/GlobalWarming/page3.php [4] https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Features/Paleoclimatology/paleoclimatology_intro.php [5] http://www.ucsusa.org/global_warming/science_and_impacts/science/human-contribution-to-gwfaq.html#.WNUhujsrK00 [6] https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/monitoring-references/faq/greenhouse-gases.php [7] https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/outreach/carbon_toolkit/basics.html [8] https://www.acs.org/content/acs/en/climatescience/climatesciencenarratives/its-water-vapor-not-the-co2.html [9] https://www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/features/vapor_warming.html 2 CLIMATE CHANGE EFFECTS ON WORLD HEALTH Climate change represents a sudden, abnormal change in an integral part of Earth’s complex of life-supporting processes. As such, the health of all life is endangered, including that of humans. Climate change already impacts human health both directly and indirectly, affecting all sectors of society [1]. Some of the most direct impacts of climate change result from the increased frequency and intensity of extreme climatic events [2]. These events lead to heatrelated morbidity and mortality among vulnerable populations, mental health disorders due to geographic population displacement and loss of property and loved ones, as well as neurological diseases due to exposure to neurological hazards such as biotoxins, metals, and pesticides. As for indirect impacts, the most detectable examples are due to an increase in warming, water temperature, and precipitation frequency and severity [1]. All of these phenomena are hospitable to the spread of certain infectious diseases, resulting in an alteration in geographic range and seasonality of vector-, water-, and food-borne pathogenic microbes. There are also indirect impacts of climate change that are more difficult to detect, and as such may take more time for scientists to fully appreciate. Examples include food insecurity and malnutrition resulting from failing agriculture and perturbed ecosystems, as well as increased rates of cancer, respiratory, cardiovascular and other diseases due to increased burden of the environment on the body via air-borne particulates, UV irradiation, and toxin exposure [2]. Taken together, the aforementioned examples begin to illustrate the profound and overwhelmingly negative implications of climate change on world health. At present, the contribution of climate change to challenges in human health may be measured as less than that of other risk factors such as war and access to healthcare [1]. However, in contrast to many other risk factors, climate change and its associated risks are increasing rather than decreasing over time, and pose dire future consequences already starting to take form. References [1] World Health Organization. "Climate change and human health: risks and responses: summary." (2003). [2] Change, On Climate. "A Human Health Perspective On Climate Change." (2010). 3 INTERNATIONAL ACTION Realizing the threats posed by climate change, the international community has taken several key steps in recent years to address this global health concern. Two of the most significant milestones include the 2008 World Health Assembly (WHA) resolution on climate change and health, WHA61.19, and the Paris Agreement, signed in 2016 within the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The global health agenda is set by the annual WHA, the forum through which the World Health Organization (WHO) is governed by its 194 member states [1]. In May 2008, the WHA passed a resolution on climate change and health, WHA61.19 [2]. This resolution represents a political milestone in that it drew the international health community to the climate change agenda and enjoyed overwhelming support from the Assembly. In highlighting the threat posed by climate change to the achievement of the Millennium Development Goals and health equity, the resolution calls on WHO member states to take several steps toward addressing the challenge of climate change in world health. These steps include developing health measures and integrating them into adaptation plans, strengthening the capacity of health systems for monitoring and minimizing climate change effects, and promoting intersectoral collaboration with the health sector. The UNFCCC is an international environmental treaty negotiated in 1992 at the Earth Summit in Rio de Janeiro [3]. It was subsequently entered into force in 1994 with the objective to "stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system.” A series of critical developments in the history of this convention ultimately led to the passage of the landmark Paris Agreement in 2016. 4 INTERNATIONAL ACTION, CONTINUED. The parties to the convention have met annually since 1995 in Conferences of the Parties (COP) to assess progress in dealing with climate change. In 1997, the Kyoto Protocol was adopted by 193 countries and established for the first time an agreement to cut emission [4]. Entered into force in 2005, the treaty only imposed legally binding obligations on developed nations for the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions for the first commitment period: 2008-2012. In 2009, the Copenhagen Agreement failed to establish legally binding obligations and to commit countries to agree to a binding successor to the Kyoto Protocol [5]. The subsequent 2010 Cancún Agreement successfully established that future global warming should be limited to below 2.0 °C relative to the pre-industrial level, a limit regarded by scientists as the limit of safety beyond which climate change is likely to become catastrophic and irreversible [6][7]. In 2012, the Kyoto Protocol was amended to encompass a second commitment period, 2013-2020, via the Doha Amendment [8]. After all these iterative developments, a landmark agreement was struck in 2015 with the adoption of the Paris Agreement, governing emission reductions from 2020 onward [9]. The Paris Agreement marks the first time that a majority of world governments have agreed to legally binding limits to global temperature rises. Its passage in 2016 represents the fruit of the more than two decades of international negotiations on combating climate change. 139 governments have ratified the accord, including the US, China, India, and the EU [10]. Under the agreement, all governments that have ratified the accord now carry an obligation to hold global warming to no more than 2.0 °C above pre-industrial levels. References [1] http://www.who.int/mediacentre/events/governance/wha/en/ [2] World Health Assembly resolution 61/19, Climate Change and Health, WHA61.19 (24 May 2008), available from http://www.who.int/globalchange/A61_R19_en.pdf?ua=1. [3] United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, New York, 9 May 1992, available from http://unfccc.int/files/essential_background/background_publications_htmlpdf/application/pdf/conveng.pdf. [4] Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, Kyoto, 11 December 1997, available from https://unfccc.int/resource/docs/convkp/kpeng.pdf. [5] United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change draft decision -/CP.15, Copenhagen Accord, FCCC/CP/2009/L.7 (18 December 2009), available from https://unfccc.int/resource/docs/2009/cop15/eng/l07.pdf. [6] United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change draft decision -/CP.16, Cancún Accord, FCCC/CP/2010/L.5 (10 December 2010), available from http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/2010/cop16/eng/l05.pdf [7] https://www.carbonbrief.org/two-degrees-the-history-of-climate-changes-speed-limit [8] Doha amendment to the Kyoto Protocol, Doha, 8 December 2012, available from https://unfccc.int/files/kyoto_protocol/application/pdf/kp_doha_amendment_english.pdf [9] Paris Agreement, Paris, 12 December 2015, available from https://unfccc.int/files/essential_background/convention/application/pdf/english_paris_agreement.pdf [10] http://unfccc.int/paris_agreement/items/9485.php 5 CONFERENCE SUB-THEMES In the context of previous international action addressing climate change and world health, the 2017 AMWHO International Conference will revolve around four sub-themes. These sub-themes encompass four overarching policy objectives that need to be achieved to successfully resolve the challenge that climate change poses to human health worldwide. Mitigating Causes of Climate Change Policies must be outlined for mitigating the various causes of climate change in order to improve health outcomes. These strategies must be amenable to high- and low-income countries alike. The direct cause of climate change indeed is the pollution of the air with greenhouse gases. While this issue takes center stage, peripheral causes must also be addressed. For example, improvement of inter- and intragovernmental communication is key to making progress in partnerships aimed at addressing climate change and world health. Building Preventative Capacity for Climate Change Response While addressing causes of climate change will help to mitigate the intensification of its negative effects on human health in the long term, the world must also work to relieve immediate effects and long-term residual effects. There is much evidence suggesting that the Earth can indeed recover from climate change impacts. To make this a reality, countries must systematically take a preventative stance against climate change. Researchers have identified preventative health measures with high benefit-cost ratio, advising governments to pursue them as initial steps. These measures include scaling up water and sanitation services and addressing vulnerabilities to natural disasters. Improvement of infrastructure is also key, particularly in the arenas of sustainability, emergency response, and health workers. 6 CONFERENCE SUB-THEMES, CONTINUED. Developing Surveillance and Study of Climate and Health It is of critical importance that countries better monitor their changing weather patterns, the health of their population, and the relationship between the two. This way, progress in addressing the health effects of climate change can be tracked. An enhanced surveillance capacity must be developed by all countries to meet this end. Complementing this need is the need for improved climate change research, particularly at the national and regional levels. Evidence-based research that minimizes policy-relevant uncertainty not only contributes to the knowledge in the field but also provides a basis for rationalizing climate and health observations. Integrating Climate Change into Decision-making All countries should target incorporating climate change-based policies into their governing systems to better improve health outcomes. Establishing inter-sectoral collaboration within and outside the government is key for allowing the health sector to communicate concerns and advise public and private officials. This goal could be helped by generation of public and professional awareness on the gravity of climate effects on human health. Decision-making that takes into account climate and health should always be informed by data and supported by the health sector. 7