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20 Global Climate Change Overview of Chapter 20  Introduction to Climate Change  Causes  of Global Climate Change Effects of Climate Change  Melting Ice and Rising Sea Level  Changes in Precipitation Patterns  Effects on Organisms  Effects on Human Health  Effects on Agriculture  Dealing with Global Climate Change © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Climate Change Terminology  Greenhouse Gas   Positive Feedback   Change in some condition triggers a response that intensifies the changed condition Infrared Radiation   Gas that absorbs infrared radiation Radiation that has a wavelength that is longer than that of visible light, but shorter than that of radio waves Greenhouse Effect  Increase of heat in a system where energy enters (often as light), is absorbed as heat, and released sometime later © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Introduction to Climate Change  Evidence for Climate Change  16 warmest years since mid-1800s have occurred since 1990  Phenological spring in N. hemisphere now begins 6 days earlier (date the buds of specific plants open)  Warming is not due to natural causes  Human produced greenhouse gases are most plausible explanation © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Introduction to Climate Change: Mean Annual Global Temperature 1960–2010 © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Greenhouse Gases  Greenhouse gas concentrations are increasing © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Causes of Climate Change  Increased concentration of CO2 (right)  Burning fossil fuels in cars, industry and homes  Deforestation  Burning of forests © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Greenhouse Effect © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Pollutants That Cool the Atmosphere  Atmospheric Aerosols  Both human and natural sources  Tiny particles (or sulfur) that remain in troposphere for weeks or months  Sulfur-laden layer in the atmosphere reduces the amount of sunlight reaching earth  Complicates models of climate change © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Climate Models  Climate affected by:  winds,    clouds, ocean currents, and albedo Used to explore past climate events Advanced models can project future warming events Models are only as good as the data and law used to program them  They have limitations © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Climate Models © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Effects of Global Climate Change  Wildfire in California © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Effects of Global Climate ChangeMelting Ice and Rising Sea Levels   IPCC projects sea-level rise of18-59cm by 2100 Sea level rise caused in 2 ways  Thermal Expansion  Melting of land ice  Melting has positive feedback  Increased melting decreases ice, which decreases albedo leading to further warming © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Melting Ice and Rising Sea Levels 1938 Insert Figure 20.6a Insert Figure 20.6c 1981 1998 Insert Figure 20.6b Insert Figure 20.6d 2005 Grinnell Glacier, Glacier National Park © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Case-In-Point Impacts in Fragile Areas   Eskimo Inuit live traditional life dictated by freezing climate Climate change is altering their existence  Wildlife displaced  Reduced snow cover and shorter river ice seasons  Thawing of permafrost (right) © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Effects of Global Climate ChangeChanging Precipitation Patterns  Some areas will get more water, some areas will have greater droughts © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Effects of Global Climate ChangeEffects on Organisms  Zooplankton in parts of California Current have decreased by 80% since 1951  Affecting    entire food chain Species have shifted their geographic range Migrating birds are returning to summer homes earlier Ecosystems at greatest risk of species loss (short term): coral reefs, mountain ecosystems, coastal wetlands, tundra, and polar spas © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Effects on Organisms - Coral Reefs  Coral reefs can be bleached (right) due to increase in water temperature  Affects coral symbiotes and makes them more susceptible to diseases © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Effect on Organisms - Vegetation © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Effect on Organisms - Vegetation © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Effects on Human Health  Increased number of heat-related illnesses and deaths © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Effects on Agriculture  Difficult to anticipate  Productivity will increase in some areas and decrease in others     Rise in sea level will inundate flood plains and river valleys (lush farmland) Effect on pests is unknown Warmer temperatures will decrease soil moisture - requiring more irrigation Location (i.e., elevation and altitude) where certain crops can be grown may have to change © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. International Implications of Climate Change  Developed vs. Developing countries  Differing self- interests  Differing ability to meet the challenges of climate change © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Dealing with Global Climate Change  Two ways to manage climate change  Mitigation: Limiting greenhouse gas emissions to moderate global climate change  Adaptation: Learning to live with environmental changes and societal consequences brought about by global climate change © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Relationship Between Mitigation and Adaptation © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Dealing with Global Climate Change - Mitigation     Locate/invent alternative fuels to fossil fuels Increase efficiency of cars and trucks Carbon Capture and Storage Plant and Maintain trees to naturally sequester carbon © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Dealing with Global Climate Change - Adaptation  Rising sea levels and coastal populations  Move inland  Construct dikes and levees   Adapt to shifting agricultural zones NYC sewer line © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. International Efforts to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emission  Kyoto Protocol  Legally binding  Provides operational rules on reducing greenhouse gases  By 2010, 183 countries had ratified it  US has not sign it - it will be difficult to implement without US backing  EPA is taking it upon itself to define laws associated with CO2 reduction in US © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 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