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CARE International Position Paper Humanitarian Implications of Climate Change Climate change may represent the biggest humanitarian challenge the world has ever faced. The intensity and frequency of events such as floods, droughts and cyclones are on the rise. In many parts of the world, their range and duration are growing. The best scientific models predict these trends will continue. Current humanitarian funding is insufficient to meet today’s basic needs. Making matters worse, most of it is spent on emergency response, which is a relatively inefficient way to utilize limited resources in comparison to investing in disaster risk reduction. The stark challenge posed by climate change requires that we do things differently. The humanitarian community must: Place greater emphasis on reducing people’s vulnerability to climate-related shocks and stresses before they happen, and Make support to long-term development and enhanced livelihoods security part of a holistic response to emergencies. Collaborate with the development community to ensure that development interventions consider the impacts of climate change and integrate appropriate disaster risk reduction measures. Key Messages The threat of climate-related hazards, such as droughts, floods and cyclones, is growing. Meanwhile, rising temperatures, erratic rainfall and other changing climatic conditions are eroding people’s capacity to cope with and recover from these hazards when they hit. Therefore, it is essential for the international community to quickly make deep cuts in global greenhouse gas emissions. The longer we wait for action in line with the science, the greater the longterm humanitarian costs will be. These costs may well exceed willingness or capacity to pay. Regardless of the extent to which emissions are reduced, there will be a short-term (i.e. next 20-30 years) rise in humanitarian risks.1 There is an inherent justice issue around climate change – those who have contributed least to causing the problem are suffering most from its consequences. The international community needs to increase its investment in disaster risk reduction – especially in poor countries already experiencing an increase in extreme weather. Emergency response interventions must be linked to ongoing development and must focus on livelihoods security, community resilience and development of local capacity. Disaster risk reduction is a fundamental element of climate change adaptation. Investment in climate change adaptation is a critical component of the global response to impact of climate change. Development efforts must integrate climate change adaptation, including disaster risk reduction, to reduce the vulnerability of the poor to climate-related shocks and stresses. Women are particularly vulnerable to natural hazards as a result of their role in the household and limitations in access to information, resources and services. Therefore, efforts to reduce vulnerability to disasters must include women’s empowerment. Background In 2007, the UN launched 16 flash appeals,2 the most ever launched in a single year. 3 With the exception of an earthquake in Peru, all these appeals were launched in response to climate-related disasters. The Global Disaster Review 2007 reports “disaster occurrence, over the last 30 years, has increased far faster than the number of deaths, which has remained relatively constant.” 4 This is good news. However, the Review goes on to note an upsurge in the number of smaller disasters with relatively low mortality rates. This is a problem because low body counts typically render these events, and their devastating impact on livelihoods and development, invisible to the humanitarian community. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was established by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) to provide the best CARE International Position Paper - Climate Change and Humanitarian Implications June 2008 1 possible scientific counsel to the international community. It is composed of the world’s leading scientists on climate change, and its impacts.5 The IPCC’s Fourth Assessment Report (4thAR), which was released in 2007, predicts further increases in the frequency, intensity, extent and duration of flooding, drought, storms, and heat waves. The 4thAR also notes the particular vulnerability of poor communities to worsening hazards as a result of their limited adaptive capacity and dependence on climate-sensitive resources for their livelihoods and basic needs (including water and food). 6 It has been estimated that for every dollar invested in disaster preparedness, seven dollars are saved in disaster response7. However, time and time again, action by the global humanitarian community is “too late, too brief, inappropriate and inadequate” 8. This results in a cycle of poverty and vulnerability to disaster which is difficult to break. The predicted impacts of climate change will exacerbate this downward spiral by increasing the frequency, intensity and extent of extreme weather events. A fundamental overhaul of the global humanitarian response system is needed to deal with this unprecedented challenge. Current Issues and Debates Assessments that trigger early warning systems define vulnerability too narrowly. They currently focus on food production and availability of water and ignore other key indicators (such as rising food prices) that would provide earlier – and more robust – insights into the need to intervene. As well, governments are sometimes reluctant to declare an emergency, leading to delays in responding to growing crises. In other cases, when an emergency is declared, the consequences are exaggerated, leading to confusion in planning the response. Food aid, which comprises a large proportion of humanitarian assistance, has been criticized as a “quick fix” which does not address the underlying causes of the emergency i.e. vulnerabilities. Further, food aid can exacerbate the situation by distorting local markets, potentially leaving the poor and farmers in a worse situation than before the emergency. Donor governments’ use of domestic food surpluses to supply food aid, rather than selecting aid delivery mechanisms based on the specific needs and priorities of recipient countries, is inefficient and can be counterproductive. 9 Few humanitarian interventions address the sustainability of livelihoods post-emergency. When disasters hit, the world often responds with generous food aid. However little or no funding is provided for mitigation and recovery initiatives such as livestock protection or support for agricultural recovery. This undermines ongoing development efforts and leaves people with few options to go forward once emergency aid flows end. Small and medium disasters (silent emergencies) have a significant impact on livelihoods but receive less attention and aid than high profile, large-scale events. There is a correlation between the amount of media attention received by an emergency and the amount of aid allocated. 10 Despite a 1970 commitment by OECD-DAC members to increase development assistance to 0.7% of Gross National Income, most DAC members are lagging far behind this target. More development aid, delivered more effectively, could substantially reduce people’s vulnerability to disasters. Developed country governments are also failing to deliver on commitments to provide financial support for developing countries to adapt to climate change. While there is widespread consensus that climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction should be mainstreamed into development policies, programs and projects, there are few practical tools available and limited experience to draw on to make this happen. CARE, Climate Change and Disasters CARE responds to disasters by providing relief and longer-term community rehabilitation, including: food aid and food security, temporary shelter, clean water, sanitation services, medical care, family planning and reproductive health services. CARE joins with other organizations to call for an overhaul of the humanitarian response system and greater investment/emphasis on disaster risk reduction and livelihood security. The imperative to help the world’s most vulnerable people adapt to climate change lies at the heart of CARE’s strategic response to climate change. 11 CARE’s approach to adaptation focuses on: disaster risk reduction; making livelihoods more resilient to climate-related shocks and stresses; developing local organizations’ capacity to address climate change; and social mobilization/advocacy to address the underlying causes of vulnerability. CARE International Position Paper - Climate Change and Humanitarian Implications June 2008 2 Important Concepts and Terms Climate Climate in a narrow sense is usually defined as the ‘average weather’, or more rigorously, as the statistical description in terms of the mean and variability of relevant quantities over a period of time ranging from months to thousands or millions of years. These quantities are most often surface variables such as temperature, precipitation, and wind. The classical period of time is 30 years, as defined by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO)12. Climate Change Climate change refers to any change in climate over time, whether due to natural variability or as a result of human activity. This usage differs from that in the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), which defines ‘climate change’ as: ‘a change of climate which is attributed directly or indirectly to human activity that alters the composition of the global atmosphere and which is in addition to natural climate variability observed over comparable time periods’ 13. Vulnerability The degree to which people and systems are susceptible to, or unable cope with, adverse effects of climate change, including climate variability and extremes. Vulnerability is a function of the character, magnitude, and rate of climate variation to which a system is exposed, its sensitivity, and its adaptive capacity14. Adaptive Capacity The ability of a system to adjust to climate change (including climate variability and extremes) to moderate potential damages, to take advantage of opportunities, or to cope with the consequences 15. Adaptive capacity is primarily determined by access to and control over various forms of capital - natural, human, social, physical, political and financial. Disaster Risk Reduction The systematic development and implementation of policies, strategies, and practices to minimize vulnerabilities and disaster risks throughout a society, to avoid (prevention) or limit (mitigation and preparedness) adverse impact of hazards within the broad contexts of sustainable development 16. Adaptation to Climate Change Adaptation is adjustment in natural or human systems in response to actual or expected climatic stimuli or their effects, which moderates harm or exploits beneficial opportunities. Various types of adaptation can be distinguished, including anticipatory and reactive adaptation, private and public adaptation, and autonomous and planned adaptation17. From a CARE perspective, adaptation is a holistic process which involves supporting resilient livelihoods, reducing risk of disasters, building local capacity, and addressing the underlying causes of vulnerability. Intelligent Recovery Decision and actions taken after a disaster with a view to restoring the living conditions of the stricken community, while integrating necessary disaster risk reduction measures and strengthening capacities to adjust and build resilience to face future risks. CARE International Position Paper - Climate Change and Humanitarian Implications June 2008 3 References 1 Humanitarian Impacts of Climate Change: Mapping emerging trends and risk hotspots, Volume 1: Summary for decision-makers. Dr. Charles Ehrhart, Dr Andrew Thow, Mark de Blois, and Professor Alyson Warhurst, June 2008. 2 UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) Website: http://ochaonline.un.org/humanitarianappeal/webpage.asp?Site=2007&Lang=en. Accessed March 2008. 3 Climate Alarm: Disasters increase as climate change bites. Oxfam Briefing Paper 108, Oxfam International, November 2007 4 Disaster Risk Reduction: Global Review 2007, UN International Strategy for Disaster Reduction: http://www.preventionweb.net/english/professional/publications/v.php?id=1130. Accessed March 2008. 5 IPCC Website: http://www.ipcc.ch/about/index.htm. Accessed March 2008. 6 Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Working Group II Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report, April 2007. 7 Simms, A. Up in Smoke: Africa. Working Group on Climate Change and Development. New Economics Foundation, London, 2005. 8 Living on the edge of emergency: an agenda for change. CARE International UK, October 2006. 9 Living on the edge of emergency: an agenda for change. CARE International UK, October 2006. 10 Causing Hunger: an overview of the food crisis in Africa. Oxfam Briefing Paper 91, July 2006. 11 For more information about CARE’s response to climate change, visit our website at http://wwww.careclimatechange.org 12 IPCC, 2007: Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Annex I., M.L. Parry, O.F. Canziani, J.P. Palutikof, P.J. van der Linden and C.E. Hanson, Eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 976pp. 13 IPCC, 2007: Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Annex I., M.L. Parry, O.F. Canziani, J.P. Palutikof, P.J. van der Linden and C.E. Hanson, Eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 976pp . 14 IPCC, 2007: Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Annex I., M.L. Parry, O.F. Canziani, J.P. Palutikof, P.J. van der Linden and C.E. Hanson, Eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 976pp. 15 IPCC, 2007: Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Annex I., M.L. Parry, O.F. Canziani, J.P. Palutikof, P.J. van der Linden and C.E. Hanson, Eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 976pp. 16 United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (UN/ISDR). 17 IPCC, 2007: Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Annex I., M.L. Parry, O.F. Canziani, J.P. Palutikof, P.J. van der Linden and C.E. Hanson, Eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 976pp. CARE International Position Paper - Climate Change and Humanitarian Implications June 2008 4