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Under-Secretary-General John Holmes’ remarks at Climate Change “From the perspective of human security” Tuesday, 31 July 2007, 13:15 to 14:45 Conference Room 6, United Nations Headquarters HUMAN SECURITY AND DISASTER REDUCTION Human Security is a fundamentally important concept and one with which my office is very closely associated as the Trust Fund for Human Security sits within OCHA. Human Security looks at the root causes of the vulnerabilities of individuals and the connections between environmental, development and population stresses that are often intensified by other threats like conflict, poverty, challenges to food security, and risks such as poor housing in highly vulnerable areas. It has become obvious that climate change is the biggest threat the planet faces, especially to the poorest and the most vulnerable among us. Climate change, and the natural hazards and extreme weather events that are associated with it, are not some distant, future threat. The threat to human security is here, it’s real, and it’s today. While it is difficult to link any single event to climate change, the trend line is clear. Earlier today in the General Assembly, many of you heard about the dramatic environmental and economic effects of a 2 degree change in the Caribbean. In other parts of the world, climate change means that scarce resources are causing increased shortages, tensions and potential for conflict. Indeed, more people are threatened by natural hazards and extreme weather than at any time in history. Over the past 30 years, the number of disasters triggered by natural hazards - storms, floods and droughts - has already increased threefold. The number of people affected has roughly doubled every ten years. Last year, 134 million people suffered from natural hazards that cost thousands and thousands of lives as well as $35 billion in damages. We know that disasters can destroy decades of development literally overnight. Unlike the polar bears floating on ice floes in the arctic, we know exactly what is happening to us and it is within our power to do something about it. We have to make our communities more resilient, and to reduce our exposure to climaterelated risks. Luckily, disaster reduction policies and tools already exist and are readily available for use as climate change adaptation measures. We need to reduce the vulnerability of communities to natural hazards, through strengthened flood management systems, early warning and evacuation systems, sound building codes, environmental management of risk prone areas, education programmes and community-based risk management programs. It means planting mangrove forests on exposed coastlines. It means educating school children and communities on what to do when a hurricane or torrential flood hits. It means putting together political decision-making with scientific knowledge. It means preparing now for a more unpredictable future. These risk-reducing policies and practices are not necessarily expensive and they are also cost-effective – not only do they save lives, they also save livelihoods and assets, and so help to safeguard development investments and the achievements of the Millennium Development Goals. There have been studies that show that every one dollar invested in disaster reduction saves 4 to 7 in the long run. Bangladesh has managed a truly remarkably reduction in the number of deaths from typhoons without spending billions and billions. Another example that shows the value of disaster reduction measures is the hurricane that hit the island of Hispaniola in 2004, killing fewer than 10 in the Dominican Republic, but more than 3000 in Haiti where deforestation is rife. A final illustration of the value of these measures is the famous one from the Indonesian island of Simelue, where traditional knowledge told people to run to the hills when they saw the waters recede. Far fewer lives were lost there than in neighboring Aceh. To be able to implement these measures on a broad scale, we need a multistakeholder strategy. The basis for action by the international community is The Hyogo Framework for Action, which was endorsed by 168 countries in Kobe, Japan in the aftermath of the tsunami in January 2005. The Hyogo Framework provides us with a common and comprehensive roadmap for taking action today to be better prepared for natural hazards and to reduce the risks of disasters tomorrow. ISDR provides the multi-stakeholder framework for us to do this. I would like to take just a few moments to talk about the Global Platform for Disaster Risk Reduction that took place in June in Geneva. It was remarkable in terms of the levels of enthusiasm and attendance as well as for the ideas it produced. With over 1100 participants and 120 governments, The Global Platform restated its commitment to the implementation of Hyogo Framework for Action, and provided many examples of good practices to be shared. It also took up the issue of megacities. 8 of the world’s 10 biggest cities are in areas prone to earthquakes, and six of them are near coasts. The risk of a huge calamity is real. The only disappointments from the meeting were the levels of political and media interest. In my opinion, the lack of a recent tsunami or Pakistan earthquake has allowed people to become complacent again. A final point to make is that just as the link between climate change and disaster reduction is clear, the Hyogo Framework and the tools of disaster risk reduction are also a natural complement to the Framework Convention on Climate Change. Used together, the Hyogo Framework and the Framework Convention will enable us to respond and adapt more effectively to the short term and the long term threats climate change poses to human security. As mentioned earlier, Japan has a very important role to play in this linkage. I hope disaster reduction is not only on the agenda of this year’s 24 September event, but also for the TICAD IV Conference in Japan in 2008 and next year’s G8 Summit in Hokkaido.