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Transcript
WCRP-CCL
Special Joint Session
Antalya, Turkey, 18 February 2010
Enhancing Climate Change Research and
Application in Developing Countries
Fredrick Semazzi, North Carolina State University, USA
with contributions from :
Richard Anyah; U. Connecticut, USA
Rodney Martínez Güingla; CIIFEN, Ecuador
Laban Ogallo; ICPAC, Kenya
Chris Reason; U. Cape Town, S. Africa
Liqiang Sun; IRI, USA
Richard Washington; Oxford Univ, UK
Outline of Talk
GAPS & OPPORTUNITIES FOR ENHANCING
CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH IN DEVELOPING
COUNTRIES
• Research
• Institutional framework
• Capacity building
• Recommendations
RESEARCH
WMO-RCOF PROCESS
• Serves 11 regions and & covers most of the developing
countries in the world
• It represents the state-of-the-art for operational climate
prediction in developing countries
• As we think ahead about the potential role of climate research &
WCRP-CCL cooperation the RCOF process is the reference we
should target for improvement
Existing RCOFs Worldwide
1.
GHACOF: Greater Horn of Africa COF
2.
SARCOF: Southern Africa COF
3.
PRESAO: Western Africa
4.
COFPRESAC: Central Africa COF
5.
FOCRAII: Forum On regional Climate monitoring, assessment and prediction for Regional Association II (Asia)
6.
SSACOF: Southeast of South America COF
7.
WCSACOF: Western Coast of South America COF
8.
CCOF: Caribbean COF
9.
FCCA: Foro Regional del Clima de América Central
10.
PICOF: Pacific Islands COF
11.
SEECOF: SouthEastern Europe COF
Review for the Tenth Anniversary of RCOF
RCOF
Research
Needs
… But we need an efficient mechanism for collaboration between
WCRP Research Projects (e.g CLIVAR) & CCL member Nations …
WCRP
• Recommend GFCS to include Framework for Research
Incubation Projects (RIPs); e.g., research for integration of
adaptation actions into development plans; cost/benefits
analysis research, RCM, capacity building, etc
• Research outcomes may be used to encourage developing
countries to invest more in climate research to support incountry RIPs activities; & break the ‘cycle’
• The cycle begins with poor support and funding for research
and climate services for WCRP & CCL communities,
• A consequent inability to meet stakeholder needs
• Which results in the further erosion of support
• Working as partners under the RIPs framework, WCRP & CCL
communities in developing countries can concretely
demonstrate the benefits of climate research and climate
services & break cycle
• Therefore, creating stakeholders for the climate services who
will use and advocate for research and its outcomes.
Applying the “Funnel” to the Transition Process
Research and Development
1
1.
Large “volume” of R&D,
funded through AOs,
Agency Labs…
2
Smaller set of R&D
products suitable for
operations.
Operations
3.
Systematic transition steps
R2O.
4
4.
Systematic transition steps
O2A
5.
Delivery to diverse USER
community
2
GFCSNCEP
is
uniquely
is uniquely
positioned
to
positioned
to provide
provide
an an
operational
operational
infrastructure
infrastructure
for the
for the
transition
transition
process
process
RN
I CE
PP
S
R2O
3
O2A
5
User Community
Capacity Building
Goals:
-To increase the pool of experts who can undertake
research at the interface of climate change science and
other disciplines associated with climate change
mitigation/adaptation developmental planning.
-To increase the pool of experts who can integrate
climate and impacts disciplines information to minimize
vulnerability
- Build on successful partnerships with START
Contribution from Ongoing Research & Capacity
Building Activities to the GFCS can be
Streamlined through F-RIPS
E X A M P L E S:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
GIRAFFE (reGionally IntegRated southern AFrican climate and Forecasting
for sociEty; South Africa)
Water Allocation System in Ceara Brazil (IRI)
Climate-Hydroelectric Program in Ecuador
WMO-World Bank Greater Horn of Africa Project
START Capacity Building Program
ICTP Modeling Capacity Building Program
AMMA
East African Community (EAC) Marine Early Warning System (proposed)
Regional Climate Centers (RCCs) capacity building and research program
Google Meningitis project (NCSU)
NSF Lake Victoria RCM research project (NCSU)
Others of equal or greater importance
Recommendations
• WCRP-CCL partnership consider to promote the development of a
Test-Bed or Framework for Research Incubation Projects (RIPs;
coordinating mechanism) to identify gaps and undertake research to
support the end-to-end paradigm from climate observations to
decision making; WCRP & CCL can contribute expert guidance at
multiple levels
• One of the important focus of this framework should aim at research
outcomes and climate services that will encourage developing
countries to make further investment in climate research
• WCRP-CCL partnership consider to promote the development and
implementation of a capacity building framework to increase the pool
of experts who can integrate climate and impacts disciplines
information to minimize risk and vulnerability to climate change
• All the three areas above, should fully engage policy
makers/governments of developing countries through CCL