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WCRP-CCL Special Joint Session Antalya, Turkey, 18 February 2010 Enhancing Climate Change Research and Application in Developing Countries Fredrick Semazzi, North Carolina State University, USA with contributions from : Richard Anyah; U. Connecticut, USA Rodney Martínez Güingla; CIIFEN, Ecuador Laban Ogallo; ICPAC, Kenya Chris Reason; U. Cape Town, S. Africa Liqiang Sun; IRI, USA Richard Washington; Oxford Univ, UK Outline of Talk GAPS & OPPORTUNITIES FOR ENHANCING CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES • Research • Institutional framework • Capacity building • Recommendations RESEARCH WMO-RCOF PROCESS • Serves 11 regions and & covers most of the developing countries in the world • It represents the state-of-the-art for operational climate prediction in developing countries • As we think ahead about the potential role of climate research & WCRP-CCL cooperation the RCOF process is the reference we should target for improvement Existing RCOFs Worldwide 1. GHACOF: Greater Horn of Africa COF 2. SARCOF: Southern Africa COF 3. PRESAO: Western Africa 4. COFPRESAC: Central Africa COF 5. FOCRAII: Forum On regional Climate monitoring, assessment and prediction for Regional Association II (Asia) 6. SSACOF: Southeast of South America COF 7. WCSACOF: Western Coast of South America COF 8. CCOF: Caribbean COF 9. FCCA: Foro Regional del Clima de América Central 10. PICOF: Pacific Islands COF 11. SEECOF: SouthEastern Europe COF Review for the Tenth Anniversary of RCOF RCOF Research Needs … But we need an efficient mechanism for collaboration between WCRP Research Projects (e.g CLIVAR) & CCL member Nations … WCRP • Recommend GFCS to include Framework for Research Incubation Projects (RIPs); e.g., research for integration of adaptation actions into development plans; cost/benefits analysis research, RCM, capacity building, etc • Research outcomes may be used to encourage developing countries to invest more in climate research to support incountry RIPs activities; & break the ‘cycle’ • The cycle begins with poor support and funding for research and climate services for WCRP & CCL communities, • A consequent inability to meet stakeholder needs • Which results in the further erosion of support • Working as partners under the RIPs framework, WCRP & CCL communities in developing countries can concretely demonstrate the benefits of climate research and climate services & break cycle • Therefore, creating stakeholders for the climate services who will use and advocate for research and its outcomes. Applying the “Funnel” to the Transition Process Research and Development 1 1. Large “volume” of R&D, funded through AOs, Agency Labs… 2 Smaller set of R&D products suitable for operations. Operations 3. Systematic transition steps R2O. 4 4. Systematic transition steps O2A 5. Delivery to diverse USER community 2 GFCSNCEP is uniquely is uniquely positioned to positioned to provide provide an an operational operational infrastructure infrastructure for the for the transition transition process process RN I CE PP S R2O 3 O2A 5 User Community Capacity Building Goals: -To increase the pool of experts who can undertake research at the interface of climate change science and other disciplines associated with climate change mitigation/adaptation developmental planning. -To increase the pool of experts who can integrate climate and impacts disciplines information to minimize vulnerability - Build on successful partnerships with START Contribution from Ongoing Research & Capacity Building Activities to the GFCS can be Streamlined through F-RIPS E X A M P L E S: • • • • • • • • • • • • GIRAFFE (reGionally IntegRated southern AFrican climate and Forecasting for sociEty; South Africa) Water Allocation System in Ceara Brazil (IRI) Climate-Hydroelectric Program in Ecuador WMO-World Bank Greater Horn of Africa Project START Capacity Building Program ICTP Modeling Capacity Building Program AMMA East African Community (EAC) Marine Early Warning System (proposed) Regional Climate Centers (RCCs) capacity building and research program Google Meningitis project (NCSU) NSF Lake Victoria RCM research project (NCSU) Others of equal or greater importance Recommendations • WCRP-CCL partnership consider to promote the development of a Test-Bed or Framework for Research Incubation Projects (RIPs; coordinating mechanism) to identify gaps and undertake research to support the end-to-end paradigm from climate observations to decision making; WCRP & CCL can contribute expert guidance at multiple levels • One of the important focus of this framework should aim at research outcomes and climate services that will encourage developing countries to make further investment in climate research • WCRP-CCL partnership consider to promote the development and implementation of a capacity building framework to increase the pool of experts who can integrate climate and impacts disciplines information to minimize risk and vulnerability to climate change • All the three areas above, should fully engage policy makers/governments of developing countries through CCL