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Alcohol marketing and consumption: A review of the scientific evidence Patrick Kenny School of Marketing, Dublin Institute of Technology Institute for Social Marketing, University of Stirling [email protected] Product Promotion What is marketing? Place Price Product Not just the physical product but the brand Brands have personalities Appeal to consumers with those characteristics or who want to have those characteristics Alcohol expectancies Positioned in the market and target consumers New product development Positioning of alcopops “Young people seem less prepared to sip beer for hours, culturally they like short sharp fixes…five years ago there were less alternatives to getting a buzz or getting high. The challenge for the industry is to make alcohol part of that choice.” “Youngsters can get Ecstasy for £10 or £12 and get a much better buzz than they can from alcohol...it is a major threat to alcohol led business” Price Connected to the brand Supports the positioning of the brand and is targeted at a specific market Place Physical distribution of the brand and merchandising Carefully negotiated to reinforce brand position Promotion It is NOT just television advertising Advertising Sponsorship Online PR Packaging Focused around the brand, not the product Highly integrated and mutually reinforcing Most research on advertising Alcohol marketing attracts the young Humour Music Animal characters Storyline The more likeable the ad, the greater the influence Focus on the product itself is less appealing Young people vulnerable “Adolescent self-consciousness and self-doubt may lead them to rely on consumption symbols for self-expression and self-worth and to manifest materialism to a greater extent than adults…adolescents may be especially tempted to use heavily advertised , popular brands of alcohol …because these brands may fulfill their needs for immediate gratification and thrill seeking and their need for high-status consumption symbols” Pechmann et al 2005 The industry’s main argument Alcohol is a mature market Advertising causes brand switching in mature markets Advertisers are not concerned with their competitors brands or with increasing product category as a whole Relies on econometric studies How industries evolve Econometric studies Statistical models that seek relationships between total alcohol consumption and total advertising expenditure Sometimes include other factors Income, price, economic growth, time of year. the weather(!) Results of econometric studies Generally suggest that there is no (or very small) relationship between advertising and alcohol consumption Similar results when examining consumption before and after advertising bans Weakness of econometric studies Use only estimates of advertising expenditure Estimates only cover media costs, not creativity Even with exact costs, it’s still too blunt Ignores creativity, interaction and media vehicle effects No control for international spillover Rarely account for lagged effects across time Effects of extra advertising likely to be very small Ignores wider marketing mix and integration Examines entire market and ignores segmentation issues Why segmentation is important Young people a significant concern A weak impact of advertising at the level of the population may just reflect the average of no effect amongst established drinkers and a more significant impact on younger consumers (Aitken & Hastings, 1992) Younger adolescents with less drinking experience and less cognitive development are more susceptible to advertising (Collins et al 2007). The irony of econometric research Marketers do not use econometrics to evaluate the effectiveness of their campaigns Advertising effectiveness examined at level of the consumer Consumer level appropriate for alcohol debate Alcohol expectancies at the individual level an important driver of behaviour Longitudinal studies Most scientifically rigorous Tracks consumers over time Capable of showing causality Meier et al (2008) “Regardless of their explicit intention there is evidence for an effect of alcohol advertisements on underage drinkers. Consistent with this, evidence suggests that exposure to…TV, music videos and billboards, which contain alcohol advertisements, predicts onset of youth drinking and increased drinking.” Anderson et al (2009) “Longitudinal studies consistently suggest that exposure to media and commercial communications on alcohol is associated with the likelihood that adolescents will start to drink alcohol…Based on the strength of this association, we conclude that alcohol advertising and promotion increases the likelihood that adolescents will start to use alcohol, and to drink more if they are already using alcohol.” Smith & Foxcroft (2009) “The data from these studies suggest that exposure to alcohol advertising in young people influences their subsequent drinking behaviour. The effect was consistent across studies, a temporal relationship between exposure and drinking initiation was shown, and a dose response between amount of exposure and frequency of drinking was clearly demonstrated…It is certainly plausible that advertising would have an effect on youth consumer behaviour, as has been shown for tobacco and food marketing.” Other aspects of marketing Branded clothing Sponsorship Pricing New product development Online marketing • McClure et al (2006) • Fisher et al (2007) • Wyllie et al (1989) • Coate & Grossman (1988) • Goldberg et al (1994) • Jackson et al (2000) • Casswell (2004) ASAI Code Section 7.4(a) should not imply that the presence or consumption of alcohol can contribute to social…success or distinction Section 7.4(b) should not suggest, by word or allusion that the presence or consumption of alcohol can contribute towards sexual success or make the drinker more attractive. Strategic ambiguity Mixed messages Evidence that young people consider “responsible drinking” to mean not drink driving Can those who profit from alcohol be expected to credibly encourage its reduced consumption? Codes and regulation Has been an improvement with respect to compliance Fewer complaints Central Copy Clearance May be due to reduced motivation from public Reduction from 33% to 25% of viewership underage age an improvement but does not go far enough The risk of complacency None of the research is predicated on the content of the ads or their compliance with codes Mere existence of ads normalises consumption How to regulate below the line promotions?