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Warm-up: (3-14-17) 1. List 3 sources of methane that you have learned about this year. 2. What trend does the Keeling curve show? What accounts for the seasonal fluctuation in CO2? 3. Over the last million years, glacial periods lasting about ___ years have alternated with interglacial periods lasting about ___ years. 4. What was the concentration of CO2 (in ppm) in the troposphere around 1900? 2000? now? 5. T/F. Sulfur dioxide and NO2 are greenhouse gases. 6. Explain how heat is transferred from the equator to the poles. Chapter 19-1 pt.2 Global Climate Change Goals for today: List sources of methane and nitrous oxide (N2O) Describe how slowing down the Great Ocean Conveyer Belt can influence climate Explain how the oceans and the albedo effect can change climate Describe what is causing sea levels to rise Major Greenhouse Gases The major greenhouse gases are: water vapor carbon dioxide Methane nitrous oxide (N2O) These gases have always been present. Major Greenhouse Gases Increases in average concentrations between 1860 and 2004, mostly due to: Fossil fuel burning Deforestation Agriculture Burning methane releases… Clearing land for agriculture releases… Cows release… Bacteria that live in wetlands release _____ _____ has a global warming potential of 20-25 times more potent compared to CO2 Using more inorganic fertilizers release _____ Trees and the ocean are carbon _____ because they absorb CO2 out of the atmosphere. Nitrous oxide is produced naturally in soils by microbes doing denitrification and nitrification. Emissions of N2O can be increased by: use of synthetic and organic fertilizers Sewage- break down of urea, ammonia, proteins during fossil fuel combustion production of nitrogen-fixing crops livestock manure on croplands Planting _____ fields- N2O and methane Oceans Why haven’t we seen more of an increase in CO2 in the atmosphere in the last century? Oceans can absorb _____ and _____ About ½ the CO2 emitted by humans is absorbed by oceans. If they absorb too much CO2, what happens to the pH? What happens next? If the oceans warm up, what are some consequences? Rising Sea Levels During the last century, the world’s sea level rose by 10-20 cm, mostly due to: runoff from melting land-based ice expansion of ocean water as temperatures rise Computer climate models Understanding past climate and predicting future climate change rely on computer climate models Global temperature computer model Which seems to be warming more? Arctic or Antarctic EFFECTS OF GLOBAL WARMING Between 1979 and 2005, average Arctic sea ice dropped 20% (as shown in blue hues above). How is a polar bear like a canary? Ice is thinning. Good news for boats that want to go through the Northwest passage, but bad news for polar bears. Antarctic sea ice is not changing very much Grows in winter, shrinks in summer But in 2002, the Larsen B ice shelf in the Antarctic, collapsed over a few months Size of Rhode Island Pools of water collecting on the surface started to seep under the ice Made wedges that later collapsed Now, the land ice is no longer held back from the ocean Albedo Average overall albedo of Earth: 0.30 to 0.35 0 is energy completely absorbed (not reflected) Example would be dark colored surfaces 1 is energy completely reflected (not absorbed) If Earth’s albedo increased, what would happen to the surface temperature? Snow albedo can be as high as 0.9 Clouds also reflect light Which is more dense? cold water or warm water Salty or fresh water Currents Rising Sea Levels During this century rising seas levels are projected to flood low-lying urban areas, coastal estuaries, wetlands, coral reefs, and barrier islands and beaches. Rising Sea Levels Ex. Bangladesh- climate refugees 50% of the population of Bangladesh lives less than 5 meters above sea level. Scientists predict Bangladesh will lose 17% of its land by 2050 due to flooding caused by climate change. The loss of land could lead to as many as 20 million climate refugees from Bangladesh. Rising Sea Levels If seas levels rise by 9-88cm during this century, islands and their coral reefs will be flooded. Inc. erosion of coasts Contaminate aquifers with salt Flooding More flooding and stagnant water could mean more… Spread of Malaria and Mosquitoes Warmer temperatures in Alaska, Russia, and the Arctic are melting permafrost releasing more CO2 and CH4 into the troposphere. Rising temperatures melt permafrost releasing more methane and carbon dioxide. This is a (positive, negative) feedback loop. Methane may be released from oceanic mud as ocean waters warm. Gas seep sites are covered by methane hydrates (frozen) solid crystals of methane encapsulated in ice due to low temperatures and high pressures 55 million years ago, Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM) Foram data shows a brief period of extreme warming due to massive greenhouse gas increase Deep ocean warmed 6-7 degrees C Methane released turned into carbon dioxide that left the ocean, went into the atmosphere, then went back into the ocean again. No shells in some layers. Phenology Phenology: study of the timing of seasonal activities such as flowering or breeding We can see how these are influenced by variations in climate Ex. Spring coming too early or late Migrating butterflies + blooming flowers Birds having babies + abundance of caterpillars Final Thoughts… Climate change reduces Arctic/Antarctic sea ice. This can lead to more land based ice entering the ocean. This will cause … Alpine glaciers are melting. This will result in… Rising sea levels could result in… As the location of certain types of vegetation shifts, … Warmer oceans could cause… Melting permafrost could lead to… Fewer glaciers means the albedo of Earth will _____, and this will lead to a _____ in temps. Check for Understanding: 1. Increased greenhouse gases originate from _____ 2. Explain how oceans affect climate. 3. Rising sea levels can lead to… 4. List 3 ways biodiversity will be reduced by climate change.