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Quantitative Genetics www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 1 Quantitative genetics § Metric traits – show continuous variation – cannot be grouped into discrete categories – are affected by environmental influence (to a larger extent) § Traits such as: – – – – growth, Survival, Reproductive ability cold hardiness, Drought hardiness wood quality, Disease resistance economic Traits! Adaptive Traits! Applied & Evolutionary § Genetic Principles: – builds upon both Mendelian and population genetics – not limited to traits influenced by only one or a few genes – analysis encompasses traits affected by many genes www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 2 Quantitative genetics § Extends analysis of Mendelian traits (with discrete phenotypes) to metric traits (continuously distributed, often influenced by many genes) § Describes genetic variation based on phenotypic resemblance among relatives § Is usually the primary genetic tool for plant and animal breeding § Provides the basis for evaluating the relative genetic merit of potential parents § Provides tools for predicting response to selection (genetic gain) www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 3 Distinctions § Mendelian vs metrical – lies in the magnitude of effect – recognizable discontinuity – Mendelian (major) – non-recognizable discontinuity – metrical (minor) § How can Mendelian and metrical inheritance be reconciled? § How can we explain the continuous variation of metrical traits in terms of the discontinuous categories of Mendelian inheritance? – simultaneous segregation of many genes – non-genetic or environmental variation (truly continuous effects) www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 4 Additive trait with two genes Consider crossing AABB x aabb, where phenotypically: AABB, with 4 doses aabb, with 0 doses Then crossing F1: AaBb x AaBb Genotype/ (Dose) AB (2) Ab (1) aB (1) ab (0) Doses, Color & Number AB (2) AABB (4) AABb (3) AaBB (3) AaBb (2) 4 doses, 1 Ab (1) AABb (3) AAbb (2) AaBb (2) Aabb (1) aB (1) AaBB (3) AaBb (2) aaBB (2) aaBb (1) ab (0) AaBb (2) Aabb (1) aaBb (1) aabb (0) www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 3 doses, 4 2 doses, 6 1 doses, 4 0 doses, 1 5 Now consider a trait influenced by 3 genes § Similar to previous example with 2 genes § ‘Upper-case' alleles (black dots) behave as unit doses. § Genotypes with comparable doses are grouped together in colored boxes § Colors depict groups with identical phenotypes § Gene effects are additive Hartl & Jones, 2004. www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 6 Phenotypes § Phenotypic categories from the previous slide are represented here in the histogram, with bar heights showing the relative frequency of each category § Quantitative genetics describes populations using trait means variances, as well as co variances among traits and relatives www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 7 How to describe a population? § Mean ≈ average § Variance is dispersion around the mean – individual observations (usually) differ from the mean – deviation is distance from mean – variance is average squared deviation www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 8 Height in humans is a quantitative trait Students from the University of Connecticut line up by height: 5’0” to 6’5” in 1” increments. Women are in white, men are in blue Crow 1997. Genetics 147:1-6 www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 9 Population properties for metrical traits Means, variances, covariances § Measuring variation within and among families allows estimating genetic and environmental variance components § Phenotypic resemblance among relatives allows estimating heritability, breeding values, genetic correlations and so forth www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 10 We also measure properties of genes § Dominance – allelic interactions at a locus § Epistasis - non-allelic interactions § Pleiotropy – allelic affects on multiple traits § Linkage – genes on the same chromosome tend to be inherited together § Fitness – how genes affect the likelihood that an individual survives and reproduces (may be natural or artificial) www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 11 Phenotypic expression of a metrical trait www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 12 Partitioning phenotypic variance § As we’ve seen, an individual’s phenotype reflects both genetic and environmental influences, modeled as P=G+E § With variances shown as Var (P) = Var (G) + Var (E) or σ2p = σ2G +σ2E § Where – P = Phenotypic variance – G = Genetic variance – E = Environmental variance www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 13 Partitioning phenotypic variance § Genetic variance includes a combination of additive and nonadditive (mostly dominance, but also epistasis and other) G=A+I § With variances (and expanding from the previous slide) Var (P) = Var (A) + Var (I) + Var (E) Or σ2p = σ2A +σ2I + σ2E § Where – A = Additive genetic variance (breeding value) – I = Interaction, or non-additive – E = Environmental Variance www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 14 Breeding value (additive genetic value) § The sum of all average allelic effects at each locus influencing the trait of interest – alleles, not genotypes are passed on to the next generation § Breeding value is a concept associated with parents in a sexually breeding population § Historically, average allelic effects could not be measured…now they can – how? – what is effect of population gene frequencies on average effect? www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 15 Non-additive genetic variance § Non-additive effects depend on the interactions of specific alleles § Specific combinations of allelic effects cannot be predicted in a general way, for example § Dominance – dominant (vs. recessive) gene action reflects allelic interactions for one gene – multiple genes can be involved simultaneously – dominance variance summarizes all of these interactions § Epistasis – allelic interactions involving specific combinations of alleles of different genes – may involve two or more genes – epistatic variance summarizes all of these interactions www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 16 Genetics and the environment § Among trees, phenotypic variation for most traits represents more environmental variation, rather than genetic § It’s hard to judge the genetic value of a tree just by looking at it § Heritability (h2) – the percentage of variation among trees that is genetic – h2 ranges from 0 to 100% (0 to 1) – Heritability for growth is often only 10-30% (0.10 – 0.30) – Low heritabilities make genetic improvement difficult www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 17 Heritability (h2) P = G + E h2 = σ2G /σ2P www.pinegenome.org/ctgn P E G 18 18 Heritability A measure of the degree to which the variance in the distribution of a phenotype is due to genetic causes § In the broad sense, heritability is measured by the total genetic variance divided by the total phenotypic variance § In the narrow sense, it is measured by the genetic variance due to additive genes divided by the total phenotypic variance § Heritability is mathematically defined in terms of population variance components. It can only be estimated from experiments that have a genetic structure: sexually produced offspring in this case www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 19 Narrow-sense heritability, h2 § Thus, narrow sense heritability can be written as h2 = σ2A/ σ2P = σ2A/ (σ2A + σ2I + σ2E) § Where – σ2P is the phenotypic variance, which can be partitioned as – σ2A is the additive genetic variance (variance among breeding values in a reference population) – σ2I is the interaction or non-additive genetic variance (which includes both dominance variance and epistatic variance) – σ2E is the variance associated with environment www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 20 Broad sense heritability (H2, or h2b) § Broad sense heritability is used when we deal with clones! Clones can capture all of genetic variance due to both the additive breeding value and the non-additive interaction effects. Thus, H2 = σ2G / (σ2A + σ2I + σ2E) = (σ2A + σ2I) / (σ2A + σ2I + σ2E) § Consequently, broad sense heritability is typically larger than narrow sense heritability and progress in achieving genetic gain can be faster when clonal selection is possible. What might be a drawback to clonal based programs? www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 21 Genetic gain (G) Level of improvement in one or more measured traits as compared to natural or unimproved populations § Usually expressed as a percentage § Improvement is determined by two factors: – Heritability of the trait (h2) – Selection Differential (S) § Genetic Gain = Heritability x Selection Differential G = h2 x S § Gain can be expressed in other ways as well www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 22 Another expression of genetic gain G = h2 i σp § A related measure of genetic gain is based on three parameters…for this measure, S = i x σp, where – Heritability (h2 or H2) – Measure of the degree to which the variance in the distribution of a phenotype is due to genetic causes – Selection intensity (i) – Difference between the mean selection criterion of those individuals selected to be parents and the average selection criterion of all potential parents, expressed in standard deviation units – The proportion of trees selected from the population of trees measured for the trait – Phenotypic standard deviation of a trait (σp) www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 23 Predicting genetic gain Gain = h2 × (selec1on differen1al) selec1on differen1al = i × σP Gain = h2 × i × σP Get more gain by controlling the environmental variation and increasing h2 www.pinegenome.org/ctgn Get more gain by selec1ng a smaller propor1on of the popula1on 24 24 Calculating the selection differential S = 1.6 S = 2.8 S = 1.4 (from Falconer and Mackay 1996) § Selection differential is a function of the selection intensity (i), which is related to the proportion of the population selected, and the variability of the population (σP): Selection Differential = i x σp www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 25 A little more on selection intensity § The factor most under breeders control § i increases as the fraction of trees selected decreases § Law of diminishing returns takes hold § Intensity drops rapidly with increasing number of traits selected simultaneously (See White et al. 2007 p. 342) White et al 2007 www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 26 Additional complications: more traits and how they are evaluated § Selecting on one or a few traits is complicated enough § As more traits are evaluated, then we must also consider – – – – indirect selection genetic correlations correlated selection response methods for multi-trait selection § Including a few to (perhaps) thousands of genetic markers to facilitate selection is a non-trivial matter www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 27 Genetic correlations § Correlations in phenotype – may be due to genetic or environmental causes – may be positive or negative § Genetic causes may be due to – pleiotropy – linkage – gametic phase disequilibrium § The additive genetic correlation (correlation of breeding values) is of greatest interest to plant breeders – genetic correlation usually refers to the additive genetic correlation (rG is usually rA ) § We typically measure phenotypic correlations Falconer and Mackay, Chapt. 19; Bernardo, Chapt. 12 www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 28 Indirect selection § Can we make greater progress from indirect selection than from direct selection? § Molecular markers are strongly inherited (h2~1), and yet their correlation with a desired trait can be indirect § Need to consider other factors in using markers (e.g. time & cost) § Is there a benefit to practicing both direct and indirect selection at the same time? www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 29 Strategies for multiple trait selection § We usually wish to improve more than one trait in a breeding program § Traits may be correlated or independent from each other § Options… – independent culling – tandem selection – index selection www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 30 Independent culling § Minimum levels of performance are set for each trait 10 9 8 7 Trait Y 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Trait X Jennifer Kling, OSU www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 31 Tandem selection § Conduct one or more cycles of selection for one trait, and then select for another trait 10 9 8 Select for trait X in the next cycle 7 Trait Y 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Trait X Jennifer Kling, OSU www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 32 Selection indices § Values for multiple traits are incorporated into a single index value for selection 10 9 8 7 Trait Y 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Trait X Jennifer Kling, OSU www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 33 Effects of multiple trait selection § Selection for n traits reduces selection intensity for any one trait § Reduction in selection intensity per trait is greatest for tandem selection, and least for index selection § Expected response to selection index selection ≥ independent culling ≥ tandem selection § To this discussion we will ultimately add the approaches of BLUP and genome wide selection www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 34 How to estimate the genotype of a tree? Traditionally, by measuring… § The average performance of many “copies” of the same tree (i.e., the same genotype) – Clones can be produced via rooted cuttings or tissue culture § The average performance of its offspring § The average performance of its siblings – (i.e., 'brothers and sisters') www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 35 Genetic evaluation trials § Common-garden experiments can be used to separate genetic from environmental effects Plantation #1 Block #1 Block #2 Plantation #2 Block #1 Block #2 Family 8 Family 6 Family 3 Family 8 Family 7 Family 2 Family 7 Family 5 Family 3 Family 9 Family 9 Family 1 Family 4 Family 8 Family 8 Family 9 Family 9 Family 5 Family 4 Family 4 Family 6 Family 1 Family 1 Family 6 Family 2 Family 7 Family 2 Family 2 Family 1 Family 4 Family 5 Family 3 Family 5 Family 3 Family 6 Family 7 www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 36 Estimating a tree’s genotype § Until recently, this has been accomplished using evaluation trials § As genomics tools and platforms have developed, we are more seriously evaluating the potential of genetic markers to augment phenotypic assessments – QTL mapping in pedigreed populations – association genetics § How might marker data be incorporated in breeding? – – – – selection index correlated traits BLUP genomic selection § We will revisit this question over the next few days www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 37 Summary: Quantitative genetics § Quantitative genetics deals with metrical traits – two or more loci, their interactions with each other and their environment § Properties of populations and genes § Crop improvement programs use basic parameters of means, variances, covariances to calculate relevant heritabilities, gain, etc § Characterizing genotypes require breeding and evaluation of offspring or other relatives www.pinegenome.org/ctgn 38