Download here - MtnClim 2016

MtnClim 2016
7 th Mountain Climate Conference
M. F. Meier - U.S. Geological Survey Photographic Library
Mountains Without Snow:
What Are the Consequences?
Sponsored by the
Consortium for Integrated Climate Research
in Western Mountains
(CIRMOUNT)
October 17-20, 2016
Sleeping Lady Resort
Leavenworth, Washington
www.mtnclim.org
The Lillian Glacier in the Olympic National disappeared between 1905 and 2010. This pair of photos is
part of an exhibit that will be shown by Dr. Jon Riedel, a Geologist with the North Cascades National
Park, during our Wednesday evening program.
Taken in 1947. Photo credit NPS.
Taken in 2010. Photo credit Bill Baccus.
CONTENTS
Sponsors ……………………………..……………….………………………...…1
Organizers………………………………………………………………………….2
Introduction…………………………………………………………………………3
Oral Presentations.……………...…………….……………..……...……………4
Poster Presentations.……………...…………….………………...……………14
Leavenworth Information ……………………………....………......................18
Property Map …………………………………………....………......................19
October 17-20, 2016
Sleeping Lady Resort
Leavenworth, Washington
www.mtnclim.org
THANK YOU TO MtnClim 2016 SPONSORS!
We are grateful for the generous support of the many sponsors of MtnClim
2016. Their contributions have allowed us to host the conference in a beautiful
facility, keep registration costs low, support participation of students and young
scientists, and ensure a high-quality scientific agenda.
The variety of
organizations involved with this year’s conference demonstrates broad interest
in the scientific objectives of the Mountain Climate Conference series.
U.S. Forest Service — Pacific Northwest Research Station, Office of
Research and Development, Office of Sustainability and Climate Change
General expenses, Early Career Scientists session, student support
U.S. Geological Survey — Global Change Research Program,
General expenses, travel expenses
Northwest Climate Science Center
Student support
Western Washington University — Huxley College, Provost’s Office,
Graduate School, Institute for Energy Studies
General expenses, travel expenses, student support
University of Washington — College of the Environment, Climate
Impacts Group, School of Environmental and Forest Sciences
General expenses
University of Nevada-Reno — College of Science, Department of
Geography, Sudeep Chandra
General expenses
Cascadia Partner Forum
Coffee breaks
We thank Richard Zabel and the Western Forestry and
Conservation Association for assisting with registration and
financial logistics.
www.mtnclim.org
1
Organizers
Andrew G. Bunn
Professor
Environmental Sciences
Western Washington University
David L. Peterson
Research Biologist
USDA Forest Service,
Pacific Northwest Research Station
Scotty Strachan
Environmental Research Coordinator
Department of Geography,
University of Nevada Reno
Advisory Group
Connie Millar, USDA Forest Service
Jill Baron, USGS
Sudeep Chandra, University of Nevada Reno
Diane Delany, USDA Forest Service
Mike Dettinger, USGS
Henry Diaz, NOAA
Solomon Dobrowski, University of Montana
Dan Fagre, USGS
Gregg Garfin, University of Arizona
Greg Greenwood, Mountain Research Institute
Jeff Hicke, University of Idaho
Jeremy Littell, USGS
Kelly Redmond, Desert Research Institute
Nathan Stephenson, USGS
Christina Tague, UC Santa Barbara
The ringer of the bells
www.mtnclim.org
2
The 2016 Mountain Climate Conference will continue the tradition of excellence
established by over a decade of MtnClim meetings by working at the intersection
of climate and a host of other scientific disciplines including hydrology, ecology,
and glaciology. The 7th Mountain Climate Conference will explore the central
theme: Mountains Without Snow: What are the Consequences? In sessions
on current science themes, climate policy and decision-support, MtnClim 2016
will look for opportunities to interweave discussions of the roles snowpack plays
in water resources, power generation, ecophysiology, and human communities,
with particular focus on the question: How ready are we to foresee the full range
of consequences of mountains without snow?
Every MtnClim meeting includes oral and poster presentations featuring keynotes
by thought leaders in the field as well as highlighting exceptional early-career
scientists, providing forums for resource managers, and integrating
undergraduate and graduate students.
www.mtnclim.org
3
Monday October 17, 2016
900am500pm
Field trip (FULL): Fire Ecology of the Eastern Cascade Range
Leader: Richy Harrod, fire ecologist, Okanogan-Wenatchee National Forest
Schedule: 830am - 500pm. Participants who are already signed up should
meet in the Sleeping Lady parking lot.
400-600pm
Registration
Chapel Theater
600-730pm
Welcome Dinner (included with registration)
Kingfisher Restaurant and Wine Bar, Sleeping Lady Resort
730-830pm
Keynote: MtnClim Weather Since 2014 (Chapel Theater)
Speaker: Kelly Redmond, Regional Climatologist and Deputy Director
Western Regional Climate Center, Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV
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Abstractsforalloralandposterpresentationsareonlinewww.mtnclim.org
Tuesday October 18, 2016 (Chapel Theater unless otherwise noted)
800-900am
900am-noon
Keynote: Elevation-Dependent Warming (EDW): Evidence, Mechanisms and
Research Needs
Speaker: Ray Bradley, University Distinguished Professor in the Department
of Geosciences & Director of the Climate System Research Center, University
of Massachusetts
There is increasing evidence that the rate of warming is amplified with
elevation, so that high mountain environments are experiencing more rapid
changes in temperature than at lower elevations. This “elevation-dependent
warming” (EDW) has important implications for the mass balance of high
altitude glaciers and associated runoff, as well as for rare and endangered
species that reside in restricted altitudinal zones within many mountain
ranges. Detecting and attributing the causes of EDW is confounded by data
limitations and the difficulties of modeling processes in complex terrain. We
may not be monitoring some of the regions of the globe that are warming the
most.
Session: The Role of Climate in Mountain Lakes & Streams
Chair: Jill Baron
Atmospheric deposition of nutrients and dust, rapid warming, species
introductions and extirpations, and increasing development are causing the
greatest rates of change in mountain lakes and streams since deglaciation.
We will explore contemporary mountain waters in a global change context,
with presentations on physical, ecological, and biogeochemical observations
and projections.
900-915
SPATIOTEMPORALLY VARIABLE THERMAL LANDSCAPES AND
IMPLICATIONS FOR PACIFIC SALMON IN A CHANGING CLIMATE
Amy Fullerton, Fish Ecology Division, NOAA Northwest Fisheries Science
Center, Seattle, WA
915-930
THE MASSIVE NORWEST STREAM TEMPERATURE DATABASE AND
HIGH-RESOLUTION CLIMATE SCENARIOS: HOW CROWD-SOURCING
AND SOCIAL NETWORKING FORGED A USER-COMMUNITY ACROSS
THE AMERICAN WEST TO PROTECT AQUATIC BIODIVERSITY
Dan Isaak, US Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Boise, ID
930-945
DOES SNOWPACK AFFECT LOW FLOWS IN WESTERN MOUNTAIN
RIVERS AND STREAMS?
Christopher Konrad, US Geological Survey, Washington Water Science
Center, WA
945-1000
EFFECTS OF A SHIFTING SNOWMELT REGIME ON INFLOW MIXING IN A
LARGE ALPINE LAKE
Derek Roberts, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University
of California, Davis, CA
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Abstractsforalloralandposterpresentationsareonlinewww.mtnclim.org
1000-1015
1015-1045am
CLIMATE REGULATES ALPINE LAKE ICE COVER PHENOLOGY AND
AQUATIC ECOSYSTEM STRUCTURE
Daniel Preston, Department of Integrative Biology, Oregon State University,
Corvallis, OR
Break
1045-1100
COMPARISON OF NITRATE CHEMISTRY AND PHYTOPLANKTON
BETWEEN GLACIER-FED AND SNOW-FED MOUNTAIN LAKES WITHIN
NORTH CASCADES NATIONAL PARK
Jason Williams, Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, Washington
State University, Pullman, Washington
1100-1115
DETECTING ATMOSPHERIC DEPOSITION OF NITRATE, ITS SOURCES
AND EFFECTS ON LAKES IN THE UINTA MOUNTAINS, UTAH
Beth Hundey, Department of Geography, The University of Western Ontario,
London, Ontario, Canada
1115-1130
IS THERE A HISTORY OF EUTROPHICATION PRESERVED IN THE
SEDIMENTS OF THE LOCH, ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK?
Isabella Oleksy, Natural Resource Ecology Laboratory, Colorado State
University, Fort Collins, CO
1130-1145
CHANGING TROPHIC STATE OF AN ALPINE AND A SUBALPINE LAKE IN
ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK
Jill Baron, U.S. Geological Survey, Natural Resource Ecology Laboratory,
Colorado State University, Fort Collins CO
1145-1200
Panel
1200-200pm
200-500pm
Lunch (Kingfisher Buffet)
Session: Contributed Talks I
Chair: Dave Peterson
200-215
TALLYING UP THE CALIFORNIA DROUGHT
Michael Dettinger, US Geological Survey, Carson City, NV
215-230
ALASKA TREELINE AND FOREST CLIMATE: FROM THE PERHUMID TO
THE ARCTIC
Jeremy Littell, US Geological Survey, DOI Alaska Climate Science Center,
Anchorage, AK
230-245
SNOW AND FOREST SURFACE TEMPERATURES: FEBRUARY 2016
YOSEMITE FIELD EXPERIMENT FROM POINT TO AIRPLANE TO
SATELLITE
Jessica Lundquist, Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of
Washington, Seattle, WA
245-300
SEASONAL AND INTERDECADAL VARIABILITY IN ENSO-INFLUENCE ON
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
Stephanie McAfee, Department of Geography, University of Nevada, Reno
NV
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Abstractsforalloralandposterpresentationsareonlinewww.mtnclim.org
300-315
315-345pm
TEMPERATURE SENSOR NETWORKS: SAMPLING, ANALYSIS, AND
INTERPRETATION
Stuart Weiss, Creekside Center for Earth Observation, Menlo Park, CA
Break
345-400
INVESTIGATING HYDROCLIMATE VARIABILITY IN EASTERN
WASHINGTON USING TREE-RING ISOTOPES (δ18O AND δ13C).
Adam Csank, Department of Geography, University of Nevada, Reno, NV
400-415
RESPONSE AND RESILIENCY OF WESTERN GRAY SQUIRRELS
(SCIURUS GRISEUS) TO CLIMATE CHANGE AND LARGE-SCALE
DISTURBANCE IN THE NORTH CASCADES
Kristina Bartowitz, Pacific Biodiversity Institute, Winthrop, WA
415-430
THE COMPOUNDING CONSEQUENCES OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND
WILDFIRE FOR A HIGH ELEVATION WILDFLOWER IN WESTERN NORTH
AMERICA
Trevor Bloom, Department of Biology, Western Washington University,
Bellingham, WA
430-445
FIRE INFLUENCES FOREST STRUCTURE IN ALPINE TREELINE
ECOTONES
Alina Cansler, School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, University of
Washington, Seattle, WA
445-500
SPATIAL HETEROGENEITY OF VEGETATION INCREASES FOREST
RESISTANCE TO WILDFIRE, AND MODERN FORESTS HAVE A HIGH
POTENTIAL FOR LARGE, STAND-REPLACING EVENTS
Michael Koontz, Graduate Group in Ecology, University of California, Davis,
CA
200-500pm
Session: Contributed Talks II (NB: Woodpecker Room)
Chair: Connie Millar
200-215
PLANT AND MICROBIAL FUNCTIONAL TYPES AT THE SNOWFIELDS
AND PERIGLACIAL PATTERNED GROUND OF GLACIER NATIONAL PARK
Martha Apple, Department of Biological Sciences, Montana Tech, Butte, MT
215-230
FINE-SCALE ENVIRONMENTAL INFLUENCES ON RED FIR SEEDLINGS
IN THE SIERRA NEVADA
Danielle Christianson, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA
230-245
THE EFFECT OF SEVERE DROUGHT ON TREE MORTALITY IN OLDGROWTH MIXED CONIFER FORESTS OF THE SIERRA NEVADA
CALIFORNIA
Adrian Das, U.S. Geological Survey, Western Ecological Research Center,
Three Rivers, CA
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Abstractsforalloralandposterpresentationsareonlinewww.mtnclim.org
245-300
THE INFLUENCE OF SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT, SUMMER DROUGHT,
AND HABITAT QUALITY ON SPATIOTEMPORAL PATTERNS OF SPRUCE
BEETLE INFESTATION IN THE SOUTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAINS
Sarah Hart, Department of Geography, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO
300-315
MICROSITES PROMOTING SEEDLING REGENERATION IN THE ALPINE
TREELINE ECOTONE WORLDWIDE
Adelaide Johnson, US Forest Service, PNW Research Station, Juneau, AK
315-345pm
Break
345-400
ARE CLIMATE-GROWTH RELATIONSHIPS AT TREELINE CHANGING?:
ENERGY LIMITATION AND MOUNTAIN HEMLOCK IN A WARMING
CLIMATE
Summer Kemp-Jennings, School of Environmental and Forest Sciences,
University of Washington, Seattle, WA
400-415
ECOPHYSIOLOGICAL RESPONSES OF SOUTHWEST SKY ISLAND
FORESTS TO SEASONAL AND TOPOGRAPHIC VARIABILITY
Patrick Murphy, School of Geography and Development, University of
Arizona, Tucson, AZ
415-430
RAPID DEMOGRAPHIC SHIFTS AT TREELINE IN GREAT BASIN
BRISTLECONE AND LIMBER PINE FORESTS
Brian Smithers, Department of Plant Sciences, University of California, Davis,
CA
430-445
TEMPORAL SHIFTS IN CARNIVORE DISTRIBUTION ALONG
ELEVATIONAL GRADIENTS IN NEW ENGLAND: AN INVESTIGATION OF
THE CONSEQUENCES OF CLIMATE CHANGE
Alexej Sirén, US Geological Survey, DOI Northeast Climate Science Center,
Amherst, MA
445-500
USING CALIFORNIA’S HOTTER DROUGHT AS A PREVIEW OF THE
FUTURE: THE LEAF TO LANDSCAPE FOREST VULNERABILITY
PROJECT
Nathan Stephenson, U.S. Geological Survey, Western Ecological Research
Center, Three Rivers, CA
630-730pm
Dinner (on your own, recommend Kingfisher)
730-930pm
Poster Session (Salmon Gallery)
With no host bar
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Abstractsforalloralandposterpresentationsareonlinewww.mtnclim.org
Wednesday October 19, 2016 (Chapel Theater)
800-830am
830-noon
Keynote: Managing an Electric Utility in a Time of Climate Change
Speaker: Steve Wright, General Manager, Chelan Public Utility District and
former BPA Administrator
Climate change is likely to have tremendous impacts on electric utilities in the
Pacific Northwest because it will affect generation supply, the amount and
shape of demand, and environmental stewardship obligations. With 35 years
experience in the Northwest electric utility industry and 15 as a CEO, Steve
Wright will speak about the operational and policy challenges resulting from
an uncertain climate future.
Session: Mountains Without Snow--What Are the Consequences?
Chair: Mike Dettinger
Snowpacks during the recent 2011-2015 interval were in some years less
than 50% of normal across the mountains of the Pacific Northwest and Great
Basin and as low as 5% of normal in California, sparking much talk of "snow
drought.. These years have provided a (hopefully rare) opportunity to
experience and explore conditions that are projected to become more
common within the next century. This session aims to examine recent
research and monitoring of changing snowpacks across the West, projections
of future snowpacks, and what continued snow drought might mean to water
and energy supplies, vegetation dynamics, wildlife populations, and
geomorphology. Interpretations and dialogue will focus on the potential
impacts to local communities and economies. The purpose of the session is to
review existing science and identify gaps where further research is needed. A
series of short presentations will be followed by an open discussion facilitated
by the speakers.
830-850
EVIDENCE FOR SLOWER SNOWMELT IN A WARMER WORLD
Keith Musselman, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO
850-910
SLOWER SNOWMELT IN A WARMER WORLD WILL ALTER SUBSURFACE
HYDROLOGY AND BASIN-SCALE WATER BUDGETS
Adrian Harpold, Department of Natural Resources and Environmental
Science, University of Nevada, Reno, NV
910-930
NO SNOW NO FLOW?: NEW INSIGHTS FROM A YEAR WITHOUT SNOW
IN THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS OF OREGON, USA
Gordon Grant, US Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station,
Corvallis, OR
930-950
NEW METRICS FOR CHARACTERIZING MOUNTAIN SNOWPACKS IN A
WARMING WORLD
Anne Nolin, College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon
State University, Corvallis, OR
950-1010
SNOW PROMOTES FOREST GROWTH IN WATER-LIMITED PINE
FORESTS—A RELATIONSHIP AMPLIFIED BY FOREST DENSITY
Kelly Gleason, US Geological Survey, Southwest Biological Science Center,
Flagstaff, AZ
9
Abstractsforalloralandposterpresentationsareonlinewww.mtnclim.org
1010-1030
1030-1100am
SNOW VERSUS RAIN: DO CONIFER SPECIES DIFFER IN SOURCE
WATER USE ACROSS A MONTANE ECOSYSTEM IN THE NORTHERN
ROCKY MOUNTAINS?
Jia Hu, Ecology Department, Montana State University, Bozeman, MT
Break
1100-1120
STRATEGIES FOR CONSERVING MONTANE AMPHIBIANS IN A LESS
SNOWY FUTURE
Jonah Piovia-Scott, Biological Sciences, Washington State University,
Vancouver, WA
1120-1140
THE PHENOLOGY OF WILDERNESS USE
Adrienne Marshall, Energy and Resources Group, University of California,
Berkeley
1140-1200
WATER CONSERVATION CHALLENGES IN MOUNTAIN COMMUNITIES IN
THE COLUMBIA BASIN IN CANADA
Hans Schreier, Faculty of Land & Food Systems, University of British
Columbia, Vancouver, BC
1200-100pm
100-200pm
Lunch (Kingfisher Buffet)
Machida Session: Valuing Snow and Ice as They Wane
Chair: Connie Millar
The cryosphere is important as an economic resource and is woven into the
culture and psychology of mountain communities. How will these roles change
as global warming thins the snowpack, melts the glaciers and thaws the
permafrost? What will the social and economic impacts of these changes be?
100-115
LOW MOUNTAIN SNOWPACK DRIVES TEMPORAL MISMATCHES
BETWEEN SOCIAL AND ECOLOGICAL SYSTEMS IN MT. RAINIER
NATIONAL PARK
Ian Breckheimer, Department of Biology, University of Washington, Seattle,
WA
115-130
IMPACTS OF DECREASING SNOWPACK IN MEDITERRANEAN
MOUNTAINS: THE EXAMPLE OF THE SPANISH PYRENEES
J. López-Moreno, Pyrenean Institute of Ecology, Spanish Research Council
(CSIC), Zaragoza, Spain
130-145
ASSESSING VULNERABILITY TO HYDROCLIMATIC CHANGE IN THE
TROPICAL PERUVIAN ANDES
Bryan G. Mark, Department of Geography, Ohio State University, Columbus,
OH
145-200
TREATIES, TRIBES, AND FISH: HOW INDIGENOUS RIGHTS TO HARVEST
CAN INFLUENCE GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE AND ENVIRONMENTAL
POLICY
Emma Norman, Northwest Indian College, Bellingham, WA
10
Abstractsforalloralandposterpresentationsareonlinewww.mtnclim.org
200-300pm
Session: Why Does It Rain in the Mountains?
Chair: Joe Casola
Historically, surface weather instruments have been sited in low-lying
areas. These networks do not accurately represent the climate in adjacent
mountainous areas, especially for precipitation. This session will highlight
recent research characterizing mountain precipitation in the estern U.S.,
including observational and modeling efforts.
200-203
INTRODUCTION AND GOALS OF THE SESSION
Joe Casola, Climate Impacts Group, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA
203-211
THE FUNDAMENTAL IMPORTANCE OF CONTEXT: DISENTANGLING THE
EFFECTS OF PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE TRENDS IN
MOUNTAINS OF THE NORTHWEST U.S.
Charles Luce, US Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Boise, ID
2011-219
HIGH ELEVATION PRECIPITATION UNCERTAINTY AND INFERENCE OF
SIERRA NEVADA PRECIPITATION PATTERNS FROM STREAMFLOW
Brian Henn, Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes, Scripps
Institution of Oceanography, UC San Diego, La Jolla, CA
219-227
LESSONS FROM GAUGES ON HIGH
John Abatzoglou, Department of Geography, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID
227-235
PALEOCLIMATE PERSPECTIVES ON RAIN AND SNOW IN THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST
Erika Wise, Department of Geography, University of North Carolina, Chapel
Hill, NC
235-243
REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS: WHAT DO THEY SAY ABOUT MOUNTAIN
PRECIPITATION?
Guillaume Mauger, Climate Impacts Group, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA
243-300
Panel
300-330pm
Break
330-530pm
Session: Mountains Without Snow = Mountains Without Glaciers
Chair: Dan Fagre
This session will examine recent research and monitoring of glaciers in North
America that are enhanced by better networks and utilize technological
advances. These include integrated mass balance programs, developing
geodetic approaches, linking glacier recession to basin scale water budgets,
and examining ecosystem linkages.
330-350
MODERNIZING GLACIER MASS BALANCE RESEARCH
Louis Sass, US Geological Survey, DOI Alaska Science Center, Anchorage,
AK
350-410
BIOPHYSICAL LINKAGES IN COASTAL ALASKA’S ICEFIELD-TO-OCEAN
ECOSYSTEM
Shad O’Neel, US Geological Survey, DOI Alaska Science Center, Anchorage,
AK
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Abstractsforalloralandposterpresentationsareonlinewww.mtnclim.org
410-430
FROM N=3 TO N=200,000: APPLICATION OF GPR TO MEASURE SNOW
ACCUMULATION ON GLACIERS
Daniel McGrath, US Geological Survey, DOI Alaska Science Center,
Anchorage, AK
430-450
AN INVENTORY OF GLACIERS ACROSS THE AMERICAN WEST AND
THEIR CHANGES OVER THE PAST CENTURY
Andrew Fountain, Department of Geology, Portland State University, Portland,
OR
450-510
GLACIAL MASS BALANCE IN WASHINGTON’S NATIONAL PARKS
Jon Riedel, US National Park Service, North Cascades National Park, SedroWoolley, WA
510-530
Panel
530-615
No-host reception (Salmon Gallery)
615-715pm
715pm
Evening Program: Pacific Northwest Glacier Photography Exhibit
Presenter: Jon Riedel (National Park Service)
Jon Riedel will present a series of photographs illustrating change in Pacific
Northwest glaciers during the last century. Most of the images span the last
50 years, while a few show changes during the past century.
Dinner (on your own, recommend Kingfisher)
12
Abstractsforalloralandposterpresentationsareonlinewww.mtnclim.org
Thursday October 20, 2016 (Chapel Theater)
900-930am
930-1030am
930-100
1000-1030
1030-1100am
Keynote: Advances in Snow Hydrology and Water Management with the NASA
Airborne Snow Observatory
Speaker: Thomas Painter, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of
Technology, Pasadena, CA
The Airborne Snow Observatory (ASO) is a measurement and modeling system
that combines scanning lidar, an imaging spectrometer, and process modeling
to greatly improve understanding of snow distribution, snowmelt distribution,
water allocation, runoff forecasting, and ecosystem function.
Session: Early Career Scientists
Chair: Sudeep Chandra
BIG UNRESOLVED QUESTIONS IN ECOHYDROLOGY REQUIRE
TRANSDISCIPLINARY MOUNTAIN SCIENCE
Adrian Harpold, Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Science,
University of Nevada, Reno, NV
CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA: EFFECTS OF
DROUGHT AND CLIMATE WARMING ON WATER TEMPERATURE IN A
SNOWMELT DOMINATED LAKE
Steven Sadro, Environmental Science and Policy, University of California,
Davis, CA
Break
1100-1130
PRECIPITATION CHARACTERISTICS, SOIL MOISTURE DEFICIT, AND
CONIFER RESPONSE DURING THE 2012-2015 DROUGHT AS OBSERVED
ACROSS INSTRUMENTED MOUNTAIN LIFE ZONES IN THE GREAT BASIN
Scotty Strachan, Department of Geography, University of Nevada, Reno, NV
1130-1200
RANGE-WIDE DEMOGRAPHIC RESPONSES OF AN ALPINE PLANT TO
MUTIPLE CLIMATE DRIVERS
Meagan Oldfather, Department of Integrative Biology, University of California,
Berkeley, CA
1200-100pm
100pm
100-500pm
Lunch (Kingfisher Buffet)
Meeting adjourns
Workshop for Natural Resource Managers (Woodpecker Room)
All MtnClim attendees are invited to participate in the workshop, with a special
invitation to local federal, state, tribal, and private sector resource
managers. Be prepared to engage in a lively discussion and to develop on-theground solutions.
NOTE: There is no registration cost for resource managers to attend the
workshop or the morning session of the conference.
Contact Dave Peterson for more information.
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Abstractsforalloralandposterpresentationsareonlinewww.mtnclim.org
POSTER SESSION
The poster session is in the Salmon Gallery. Posters may be set up any time on
Tuesday, Oct. 18, and presenters should be present that evening, 730-930 pm. Posters
can remain up until Thursday, Oct. 20, 500 pm.
SNOW, HYDROLOGY, AND CLIMATE
SNOWY MOUNTAINS WITHOUT SNOW? INSIGHTS FROM A NEW SEDIMENT CORE FROM BLUE
LAKE, KOSCIUZSKO NATIONAL PARK, AUSTRALIA
Douglas H. Clark et al.
CONSEQUENCES OF MIDLATITUDE PACIFIC STORM TRACK VARIABILITY FOR ECOSYSTEMS OF
WESTERN NORTH AMERICA
Matthew Dannenberg & Erika Wise
CHANGES FROM SNOW TO RAIN CAN INCREASE OR DECREASE STREAMFLOW AND
GROUNDWATER RECHARGE DEPENDING ON LOCAL CLIMATE AND SOILS
Patrick Longley et al.
TRANSFERABILITY OF SPACE-FOR-TIME MODELS OF SNOW
Abbigail Lute & Charles Luce
IMPACTS OF FORECASTED CLIMATE CHANGE ON SNOWPACK IN THE NOOKSACK RIVER BASIN
Robert Mitchell et al.
TRENDS IN SNOW, RAIN AND STREAMFLOW IN WYOMING’S WIND RIVER MOUNTAIN RANGE
Imtiaz Rangwala
UNDERSTANDING WESTERN USA MOUNTAIN HYDROCLIMATOLOGY UNDER PRESENT AND
FUTURE CONDITIONS USING A NEXT-GENERATION VARIABLE-RESOLUTION GLOBAL CLIMATE
MODEL
Alan Rhoades et al.
14
Abstractsforalloralandposterpresentationsareonlinewww.mtnclim.org
SNOW IN THE WESTERN US UNDER ANTHROPOGENIC WARMING
Sihan Li et al.
CLIMATOLOGY AND ECOLOGICAL EFFECTS
TOPOGRAPHY AND MICROCLIMATE AND PEPPERWOOD PRESERVE, CALIFORNIA
Pushpam Aji John et al.
YELLOW-CEDAR IN ALASKA 1995-2013: POPULATION-LEVEL CHANGES IN THE CONTEXT OF
CLIMATE
Tara Barrett & Robert Pattison
NICHE SPACES IN THE GROWTH AND POSITION OF HIGH ELEVATION BRISTLECONE PINE IN
THE GREAT BASIN, U.S.A.
Andy Bunn et al.
UNCERTAINTIES IN DROUGHT RISK ASSESSMENT UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE BECAUSE OF
DIFFERENCES IN METHODOLOGICAL CHOICES FOR THE ESTIMATION OF EVAPORATIVE
DEMAND
Candida Dewes et al.
ASPEN STAND VULNERABILITY AND UNDERSTORY COMPOSITION ALONG ENVIRONMENTAL
GRADIENTS
Jamie Jarolimek & Eva Strand
INITIATING CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIO PLANNING FOR WHITEBARK PINE AND AMERICAN
PIKA
Jherime Kellermann et al.
INVESTIGATING SUMMER LAPSE RATES IN DENALI NATIONAL PARK
Stephanie McAfee et al.
RESPONSE OF DOUGLAS-FIR NITROGEN UPTAKE TO CHANGES IN SOIL MOISTURE AND
NITROGEN AVAILABILITY THROUGHOUT THE GROWING SEASON
Claire Qubain et al.
EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON TRADITIONAL MEDICINAL PLANTS
Carol Wilson
VISUALIZATION OF PLANT FUNCTIONAL TRAITS ALONG A GRADIENT OF ELEVATION IN THE
CAIRNGORM MOUNTAINS OF SCOTLAND
Damian Valles et al.
TOPOGRAPHIC AND SEASONAL CONTROL ON N AVAILABILITY IN WESTERN MONTANE FOREST
ECOSYSTEM
Yuriko Yano et al.
ECOLOGICAL DISTURBANCE
CLIMATE INFLUENCES ON MOUNTAIN PINE BEETLE OUTBREAKS IN LODGEPOLE AND
WHITEBARK PINE FORESTS IN THE WESTERN US
Polly Buotte et al.
15
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DISTURBANCE AT TREELINE: A MECHANISM FOR CHANGE OR STABILITY IN AN ERA OF GLOBAL
CHANGE?
Alina Cansler et al.
REDUCING OUR IMPACT ON RIVERS AND STREAMS THAT ARE AFFECTED BY HYDROELECTRIC
DAMS, BY IMPROVING THE TECHNOLOGIES THAT ARE USED TO HARNESS HYDROELECTRIC
POWER
Christian Cultee
ASSESSING HISTORICAL CLIMATE AND FINE FUEL DRIVERS OF REGIONAL-FIRE YEARS IN
CENTRAL AND EASTERN OREGON
Emily Heyerdahl et al.
PATTERNS OF POST-FIRE FOREST RECOVERY IN COMPLEX TOPOGRAPHY
Caitlin Littlefield
RELATIONSHIP OF VEGETATION COMMUNITY AND SOIL MOISTURE PATTERNS TO WILDFIRE
RE-BURN FREQUENCY: ECOSYSTEM VULNERABILITY FRAMEWORK AND PRELIMINARY FIELD
RESULTS FROM MT. ADAMS
Kevan Moffett et al.
VEGETATION MORTALITY, RESILIENCY AND RECOVERY FOLLOWING LARGE WILDFIRES IN THE
METHOW VALLEY AND ADJACENT MOUNTAINS (WA)
Peter Morrison & Kristina Bartowitz
AVALANCHES AS A DRIVER OF LANDSCAPE CHANGE AND A HAZARD IN GLACIER NATIONAL
PARK, MONTANA.
Erich Peitzsch et al.
PALEOECOLOGY AND HISTORICAL CHANGE
PACIFIC CREST TREELINE: A TREELINE MONITORING TRANSECT
Christopher Kopp
UPPER MISSOURI RIVER BASIN STREAMFLOW RECONSTRUCTIONS FOR IMPROVED
HYDROLOGIC OPERATIONS
Justin Martin et al.
THE EFFECT OF BATHYMETRY IN SMALL LAKES ON THE COMPOSITION OF THE DIATOM FLORA:
APPLICATIONS FOR EVALUATING PAST CLIMATE VARIABILITY
Scott Starrat
KEY DRIVERS OF HOLOCENE VEGETATION CHANGE AND FIRE ACTIVITY, MISSION MOUNTAINS,
NORTHWESTERN MONTANA.
David McWethy
DO HIGH ELEVATION CONIFERS FIND REFUGIA AT LOW ELEVATIONS AND ON NORTH ASPECTS
DURING WARM CLIMATES IN THE GREAT BASIN, USA?
Constance Millar et al.
NORTH AMERICAN 0.5 DEGREE GRIDDED SUMMER TEMPERATURE RECONSTRUCTIONS
Greg Pederson et al.
16
Abstractsforalloralandposterpresentationsareonlinewww.mtnclim.org
SIMULATED IMPACT OF PALEOCLIMATE CHANGE ON FREMONT NATIVE AMERICAN MAIZE
FARMING IN UTAH AT THE MCA-LIA TRANSITION, CA. 12-13TH C. CE
Marcus Thomson and Glen MacDonald
PAST AND ONGOING OBSERVATIONS OF PINUS PONDEROSA TREE-RING GROWTH IN THE
SHEEP RANGE, NV, USA
Charles Truettner et al.
CONNECTING WITH CITIZEN SCIENCE TO TRACE STABLE ISOTOPES IN RAIN AND SNOW IN THE
COLUMBIA RIVER BASIN
Erika Wise et al.
PALEOCLIMATIC INDICATORS OF SURFACE WATER RESOURCES IN THE CHUSKA MOUNTAINS,
NAVAJO NATION
Becky Brice et al.
RESOURCE MANAGEMENT AND PEOPLE
CREATION OF AN UNDERGRADUATE MOUNTAIN RESEARCH INSTITUTE CURRICULUM
John All et al.
ADAPTING NATURAL RESOURCE MANAGEMENT TO CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST: THE BLUE MOUNTAINS, SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON, AND SOUTHWEST
WASHINGTON ADAPTATION PARTNERSHIPS
Jessica Halofsky & David Peterson
CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION LIBRARY
Joanne Ho
ADAPTING NATURAL RESOURCE MANAGEMENT TO CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE ROCKY
MOUNTAINS: THE NORTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN AND INTERMOUNTAIN ADAPTATION
PARTNERSHIPS
David Peterson & Jessica Halofsky
GENETIC CLASSIFICATION AND IDENTIFICATION OF OLD APPLE GENOTYPES IN THE KWINA
ESTATE – A MOVE TOWARDS FOOD SOVEREIGNTY AND SECURITY
Na’ta’ne Miles et al.
CLIMATE CHANGE FROM AN INDIGENOUS PERSPECTIVE: LOOKING AT THE INDIGENOUS
ASPECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE TO HELP PREPARE TRIBAL COMMUNITIES
Lisa Redsteer
17
Abstractsforalloralandposterpresentationsareonlinewww.mtnclim.org
Welcome to Leavenworth, Washington!
Leavenworth is a small town in Chelan County, Washington, comprising an area of 3.24 km2. It is
located at about 460 m elevation. Summer climate is warm; July maximum and minimum
temperatures are 31C and 11C, respectively. Winter climate is cold; January maximum and
minimum temperatures are 1C and -8C, respectively. Annual mean precipitation is 640 mm, most of
which falls between October and March, and much of which is snowfall.
Leavenworth sits on the southeast side of the North Cascades collage, a group of terranes that
accreted to North America about 90 mya. As accretion continued, they were cut into horizontal (eastwest) slices. During the Eocene, the area was again cut into vertical slices, creating the Entiat Fault
and Leavenworth Fault, which cuts through the western edge of town. During the Pleistocene, an
alpine glacier originating from the southwest in the Mt. Stuart range made its way to where the town
is today. Leavenworth sits on the terminal moraine of that glacier. About 19,000 years ago, a rock
slide dammed the Columbia River south of Wenatchee. The temporary dam, in conjunction with one
of the Lake Missoula floods, caused the water to back up the Wenatchee valley where it was
stopped by the glacier at Leavenworth. As the glacier retreated, the south side of Leavenworth was
a lake dammed up by the moraine. The bridge on the east side of town is a good vantage point to
see where the Wenatchee River cuts through the moraine today.
Local native vegetation is primarily dry, mixed conifer forest, dominated by ponderosa pine, Douglasfir, and grand fir. Most of the lower elevation forest was logged by the early 1900s, so extant forests,
primarily within the Okanogan-Wenatchee National Forest, are second growth. Wildfire is an
important ecological disturbance in these forests, and although fire occurrence has decreased
greatly since pre-settlement times, several large fires have occurred during the past 10 years. Most
current forests on public lands are managed for habitat restoration, water resources, recreation, and
a wide range of ecosystem services. Much of the down-valley vegetation on private land, including
shrub-steppe habitat, has been converted to fruit orchards.
The original residents of the region were the the Yakama, Chinook and Wenatchi people, who have
lived there for over 10,000 years. Native Americans prospered on the natural resources in the area,
including forests, plentiful water, wildlife, and fish (including salmon), with villages moving seasonally
from higher mountain locations to lower valley locations. These tribes persist in the area today, and
their cultures and lifeways are celebrated annually at the Wenatchee River Salmon Festival. The
Confederated Tribes of the Yakama Nation are well known for their highly successful resource
management program on the Yakama Indian Reservation.
The original Euro-American economy of Leavenworth was based on railroad transportation and
logging, starting in the 1890s. This persisted well into the 20th century, and evidence of the railroad
and timber economy remain in the area. Fruit production (especially apples) has been a prominent
component of the economy in Chelan County for decades. Logging declined in the 1960s, and the
economy began to struggle. After considerable discussion about how to turn things around,
Leavenworth was “reborn” as a Bavarian-style town. The new theme saved the town and provides
the economic foundation of Leavenworth today. Visitors now come to Leavenworth for a wide range
of festivals, including the Oktoberfest celebration, as well as many recreational opportunities in the
mountains. Based on its reputation for tourism and especially its Christmas festival, the Arts and
Entertainment Network named Leavenworth the Ultimate Holiday Town USA. The population was
1,965 as of the 2010 census.
18
Property Map
N
ENTRANCE
I CICLE R OAD
MERCANTILE
O’GRADY’S
GREENHOUSE
SNOWY OWL
THEATER
Snowy Owl
Theater
PARKING
I R R I G AT I O N C H A N
NEL
MEADOW
STAGE
MEADOW
FOUNTAIN
CLUSTER
BEYER
SHAMAN
SALMON
TSUTAKAWA
FOUNTAIN
OF DREAMS
QUAIL
GUEST
LAUNDRY
FOREST
CLUSTER
CANYON WREN
RECITAL HALL
HOT POOL
140’s
ANGELL
EMISSARIES
COTTONWOOD
CLUSTER
120’s
150’s
DRY SAUNA & SHOWER
POOL
MEADOW
CLUSTER
110’s
ASPEN LEAF
RESORT SPA #1
FITNESS
ROOM
GUEST
UNLOAD
DIPPER
LIBRARY
PLAY BARN
POP/ICE
HUT
157
OFFICE/GUEST
CHECK IN
100’s
GROTTO
BAR
ROCK
CLUSTER
15
8
MERGANSER
EV CHARGING
STATION
GIFT SHOP
NUTHATCH
COUNCIL
FIRE CIRCLE
ROOKERY
BUNKHOUSE
ARTS
WORKSPACES
S TA F F A N D
STUDENT
PA R K I N G
130’s
POND
CLUSTER
TADPOLE
ICCA
OFFICE
PA R K I N G
VOLLEYBALL/
HORSESHOES
SLEEPING
CABINS
I C I C L E C RE E K
C E NT E R F OR
T H E ARTS
CAM PU S
ASPEN LEAF
DAY SPA #2
SLEEPING
LADY
ORGANIC
GARDEN
EYRIE
FLICKER
WOODPECKER
TERRACE
WATER FEATURE
CHAPEL THEATER/
SALMON GALLERY
KINGFISHER
RESTAURANT
& WINE BAR
CHIHULY
ICICLES
LE G E N D
MEETING ROOMS
DINING/BAR
RESTROOMS
LODGING
PERFORMING ARTS
WALKING PATH
OFFICE/GIFT SHOP
AMENITIES
ROAD
BBQ
KNOLL
KINGFISHER
STAGE
KINGFISHER
FIRE CIRCLE
ICICLE CREEK
Kingfisher Restaurant & Wine Bar Hours:
~ Dinner Seatings: Sunday – Thursday, 5:30 – 8 pm;
Friday & Saturday, 5:30 – 8:30 pm
Play Barn Hours:
6 am – 10 pm. Accessible
with your room key.
~ Magpies’ Wine Bar opens at 5:30 pm daily
O’Grady’s Hours:
Opens at 7 am daily
~ Breakfast Served: 7:30 – 9 am, Monday–Friday;
Extended hours until 10 am on Saturday & Sunday
The Grotto Bar Hours: Opens at 4 pm Labor Day
until Memorial Day, and 5 pm beginning Memorial Day.
Tapas Menu served from 5 – 9 pm
The Mercantile Hours:
9 am – 4:30 pm daily
Rock Pools Hours:
5 am – midnight, with adult-only hours
from 5 – 7 am and 10 pm – midnight.
Accessible with room key.
Aspen Leaf Spa Hours:
Dial ‘350’ for appointment availability.
Accessible with your room key
24 hours: Fitness Room, Library,
Sauna, Guest Laundry
Guest Service is open 24 hours and is just a call away. Dial ‘0’ from any room or telephone on property.
Sleeping Lady is a smoke-free environment inside and out.