Download Stand alone and web based decision support systems for climate

Stand alone and web based decision support
systems for climate change adaptation:
the ClimWatAdapt Project
Carlo Giupponi 1 and Goerge Cojocaru2
1 Università
Ca’ Foscari di Venezia and Euro-Mediterranean Centre for Climate Change, Italy
2 Tiamasg Foundation, Bucharest, Romania
CLIMWATADAP: Climate Adaptation – Modelling water scenarios and sectoral impacts
Contract N° DG ENV.D.2/SER/2009/0034
Reference conceptual frameworks/models
EEA
UNECE
Integrated
Assessment
Framework
CWA Integrated Aaaessment Framework: overview
IAF structure
Main CWA-IAF tools
1. LISFLOOD: used to model water
availability, floods and droughts under
future climate conditions, developed in the
ENSEMBLES project.
2. WaterGAP: used to model future water
uses driven by socio-economic scenario
input from the SCENES project.
3. ICES: used to assess the economic
consequences of adaptation measures in
an economic equilibriums perspective.
4. mDSS: used to analyze alternative options
with multi-criteria decision methods
(MCDM).
Catalogue of measures
Title of the measure
Description, link to
vulnerability framework
Assessment
EU Policies and
implementation
How the measure reduce vulnerability
and what are the prospects of the
measure to contribute to climate risk
management
Catalogue of measures
Title of the measure
Description, link to
vulnerability framework
Assessment
EU Policies and
implementation
Quantitative results from the
Integrated Assessment
Framework IAF
Expert and
stakeholder judgments
literature review
Assessment of the measures: Stand alone DSS
Elements of
the IAF
activated for
the
quantitative
assessment
with WaterGap
and mDSS
Assessment of CCA measures (stand alone DSS)
focus on effectiveness in reducing
vulnerability (1/2)
GIS data
Indicators
& measures
Value
functions
Multi
Criteria
Analysis
Scenarios
& DPSIR
Quantitative
assessment of
spatially distributed
adaptation measures for the
water sector:
ad hoc WaterGap model
simulations analysed with mDSS
Assessment of CCA measures (stand alone DSS)
focus on effectiveness in reducing
vulnerability
Quantitative assessment of spatially
distributed adaptation measures
for the water sector:
ad hoc WaterGap model simulations
analysed with mDSS
Assessment of the measures: participation & online DSS
Elements of
the IAF
activated for
the expert
knowledge
elicitation
exercise and
the web
prototype
Assessment of the measures: selected criteria
Assessment of the measures: participation & online DSS
Conclusions
Socio-cultural, institutional and political capacity to implement CCA
measure(s) might be problematic in Europe
Knowledge exchange and network building is important, and shared
conceptual frameworks developed upon the main policy references may
help
Integrated assessment frameworks can provide significant contributions
to facilitate the process of mainstreaming CCA into European policies at
various scales
Quantitative assessment requires disciplinary skills and ad hoc tools
(models) and it can be facilitated by the use of stand-alone combinations
of modelling and DSS software
In some cases, only qualitative assessment is feasible or preferred, and
this can be done with the involvement of experts through DSS platforms,
which can be made available online, and thus facilitate stakeholders’
involvement in the decision process
Correct and effective use of DSS tools should not be aimed at
providing THE answer to the problem, but at supporting and
facilitating the management of the DM process
CWA in the Climate Adaptation Platform
15
CWA in the Climate Adaptation Platform
16
Thank you!
[email protected]
http://www.tiamasg.com/mDSS/wDSS1/#/Start