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Stand alone and web based decision support systems for climate change adaptation: the ClimWatAdapt Project Carlo Giupponi 1 and Goerge Cojocaru2 1 Università Ca’ Foscari di Venezia and Euro-Mediterranean Centre for Climate Change, Italy 2 Tiamasg Foundation, Bucharest, Romania CLIMWATADAP: Climate Adaptation – Modelling water scenarios and sectoral impacts Contract N° DG ENV.D.2/SER/2009/0034 Reference conceptual frameworks/models EEA UNECE Integrated Assessment Framework CWA Integrated Aaaessment Framework: overview IAF structure Main CWA-IAF tools 1. LISFLOOD: used to model water availability, floods and droughts under future climate conditions, developed in the ENSEMBLES project. 2. WaterGAP: used to model future water uses driven by socio-economic scenario input from the SCENES project. 3. ICES: used to assess the economic consequences of adaptation measures in an economic equilibriums perspective. 4. mDSS: used to analyze alternative options with multi-criteria decision methods (MCDM). Catalogue of measures Title of the measure Description, link to vulnerability framework Assessment EU Policies and implementation How the measure reduce vulnerability and what are the prospects of the measure to contribute to climate risk management Catalogue of measures Title of the measure Description, link to vulnerability framework Assessment EU Policies and implementation Quantitative results from the Integrated Assessment Framework IAF Expert and stakeholder judgments literature review Assessment of the measures: Stand alone DSS Elements of the IAF activated for the quantitative assessment with WaterGap and mDSS Assessment of CCA measures (stand alone DSS) focus on effectiveness in reducing vulnerability (1/2) GIS data Indicators & measures Value functions Multi Criteria Analysis Scenarios & DPSIR Quantitative assessment of spatially distributed adaptation measures for the water sector: ad hoc WaterGap model simulations analysed with mDSS Assessment of CCA measures (stand alone DSS) focus on effectiveness in reducing vulnerability Quantitative assessment of spatially distributed adaptation measures for the water sector: ad hoc WaterGap model simulations analysed with mDSS Assessment of the measures: participation & online DSS Elements of the IAF activated for the expert knowledge elicitation exercise and the web prototype Assessment of the measures: selected criteria Assessment of the measures: participation & online DSS Conclusions Socio-cultural, institutional and political capacity to implement CCA measure(s) might be problematic in Europe Knowledge exchange and network building is important, and shared conceptual frameworks developed upon the main policy references may help Integrated assessment frameworks can provide significant contributions to facilitate the process of mainstreaming CCA into European policies at various scales Quantitative assessment requires disciplinary skills and ad hoc tools (models) and it can be facilitated by the use of stand-alone combinations of modelling and DSS software In some cases, only qualitative assessment is feasible or preferred, and this can be done with the involvement of experts through DSS platforms, which can be made available online, and thus facilitate stakeholders’ involvement in the decision process Correct and effective use of DSS tools should not be aimed at providing THE answer to the problem, but at supporting and facilitating the management of the DM process CWA in the Climate Adaptation Platform 15 CWA in the Climate Adaptation Platform 16 Thank you! [email protected] http://www.tiamasg.com/mDSS/wDSS1/#/Start