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World Meteorological Organization THE WMO VOLUNTARY OBSERVING SHIP PROGRAMME: Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission of UNESCO AN ENDURING PARTNERSHIP W eather forecasting, operational planning for maritime activities, the design of vessels and coastal and offshore facilities, the exploitation of marine and sea-bed resources, the response to oil spills at sea and climate research all require a knowledge of weather conditions over the oceans. This pamphlet highlights the continuing importance of meteorological observations from voluntary observing ships (VOS) in addressing these information requirements and in illustrating the vital nature of the data provided by this highly cost-effective mechanism. Mariners face many hazards — storms, rough seas, ice and icebergs. As early as 1853, this reality led seafaring nations to organize the first formal international meteorological meeting to coordinate weather observing at sea. Since that time, ships’ meteorological observations have provided essential inputs to weather warnings and forecasts, which have become progressively more accurate. During the past two decades, however, the need for improved knowledge of ocean weather and climate has been further reinforced by the threat of global warming and by the prospect that weather forecasts can be made on time-scales of months to years by using information on oceanic conditions. In response to these expanded requirements, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC) of the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) have been working with the maritime community to enhance voluntary observational programmes carried out by ships at sea. Today, WMO’s World Weather Watch (WWW) coordinates round-the-clock monitoring to take the pulse of the weather over Temperature and humidity profiles over the oceans are vital to weather and climate forecasting. At the global level, the WMO World Weather Watch Programme is the international cooperative programme which arranges for the gathering and distribution, in real time and on a worldwide scale, of meteorological information including marine weather and oceanographic observations, forecasts and other bulletins. the oceans and the continents, drawing on meteorological observations from ships, drifting and moored buoys, oil rigs and orbiting satellites as well as from inland observing sites. The WMO VOS Programme, under which ships are recruited by National Meteorological Services (NMSs) to record and transmit meteorological observations (the most critical being air pressure, air temperature, sea-surface temperature, wind and sea state), is a vital component of the WWW. Meteorological observations made Observations from Voluntary Observing Ships are a vital component of the World Weather Watch Severe weather conditions will always pose a hazard to ships and cargoes. by officers onboard vessels participating in the programme are recorded in meteorological logbooks and coded in a standardized format for immediate transmission to shore. They are then routed around the world on WMO’s Global Telecommunication System (GTS) for use by meteorologists, ship routing services, radio and television broadcasts and other clients. Until recently, VOS reports were usually transmitted in Morse code to coastal radio stations but, with the implementation of the Global Maritime Distress and Safety System (GMDSS), most are now relayed via satellite communication or by voice radio. Vessels participating in the VOS Programme are generally classified into one of three major categories. So-called “Selected Ships” carry out a complete programme of meteorological observations and utilize the full WMO SHIP code for relay of their reports; “Supplementary Ships” undertake a somewhat reduced observational programme and use an abbreviated code form; and any vessel travelling through a data-sparse region may be recruited into a third category, known as “Auxiliary Ships”, and requested to supply limited observations. Worldwide VOS numbers reached a peak of about 7 700 ships in 1984–85 but have declined since that time with just over 6 700 vessels from 52 countries participating in early 2000. This decline reflects the continuing trend towards fewer but larger ships but has been balanced, to some extent, by the fact that vessels, in general, now spend reduced time in port. This fact, in addition to improved communications via satellite, has actually lead to enhancements in both the quantity and the quality of meteorological reports received from the VOS. The VOS Programme operates at no direct cost to participating vessels. No communication charges are levied for the transmission of meteorological observations from these vessels. In addition, Port Meteorological Officers (PMOs) provide free training both in weather observing and in the use of WMO codes, while essential meteorological supplies are also provided by participating NMSs. Damage from sea ice and icebergs is also an ongoing threat to shipping in high latitudes. ARE OBSERVATIONS FROM VOLUNTARY OBSERVING SHIPS REALLY NECESSARY TODAY? The question “Do we really need observations from ships now that we have weather satellites?” is still frequently asked, even though the need for enhanced observational coverage of the world’s oceans is increasingly accepted. The answer is most emphatically “YES”! Observations from VOS significantly complement the bird’s eye view of the global distribution of clouds, weather systems and ocean variables obtained from satellites, as well as provide a long-term observational record. They supply information on variables and phenomena which cannot, as yet, be accurately, reliably and consistently observed from space. Perhaps the most critical of these variables is surface air pressure. Along with measurements from buoys and other surface platforms, they are essential for the More VOS are needed in the southern oceans and high latitude waters. Mapping position plot chart of data received during August 2000 Messages:SHIP Total: 181 329 calibration or “ground-truthing” of satellite observations. Furthermore, reports from VOS continue to be used routinely in the preparation of weather forecasts, thus supplying a constant “reality check” on actual weather conditions, contributing directly to short-range prediction and providing important inputs to numerical weather prediction (NWP) models1. Both observations from VOS and satellite data are, today, indispensable and complementary meteorological tools. Without VOS observations, the provision of timely and accurate weather forecasts and warnings for mariners would be seriously compromised. It is less widely appreciated that historical records of observations from VOS also find ever-increasing practical applications, in this way contributing design statistics used in 1 Modern weather forecasting relies heavily on computerized NWP models. The accuracy of NWP model forecasts, however, depends on the accuracy of the initial conditions used to start the model runs. VOS observations are vitally important in establishing accurate initial conditions over the vast oceanic areas of the globe. ship and oil rig construction and in coastal engineering, facilitating the selection of seasonal “weather windows” for vulnerable marine operations and underpinning the analysis of climatic variations. Reflecting the importance of these historical records of oceanic weather conditions, WMO established the Marine Climatological Summaries Scheme in 1963. Under this scheme, observations recorded in ships’ meteorological logbooks are extracted, quality controlled, archived, processed into climatological summaries and exchanged in a globally coordinated and consistent manner. In addition, historical marine meteorological observations recorded in ships’ logbooks since the nineteenth century form one of the longest continuous climate records in existence and are essential to the assessment of natural and anthropological climate changes. It is vital that this record be continued. In summary, the observations from VOS continue to provide essential inputs to operational weather forecasting, supply “ground truth” measurements for calibration of satellite readings, add to our growing knowledge of ocean climates, increase our understanding of the linkages between the oceans and the atmosphere and contribute to the development of important historical databases. The advent of the age of the weather satellite has in no way diminished the importance of reports from VOS. THE EXPANDING REQUIREMENTS FOR OCEAN OBSERVATIONS During the past several decades, three major factors have combined to increase the need for observations from the world’s oceans: (a) The growth in the demand for specialized marine meteorological services; (b) El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the potential for useful long-range forecasts; and (c) The spectre of global warming. VOS meteorological instrumentation is maintained and calibrated by port meteorological officers. Specialized marine meteorological services Since the end of the Second World War, marine meteorology has expanded to include a variety of specialized or tailored services. Weather routing has become a highly valued service for vessels engaged in trans-ocean voyages. The commercial fishing industry has become increasingly reliant on up-to-date meteorological and oceanographic observations and forecasts to optimize fishing Observations from the oceans are essential to understanding the Earth’s climate system Automated shipboard observational and data transmission systems are under development in several countries. effort. Tailored products support increased traffic volumes and ship sizes in coastal regions and harbours as well as the operations of specialized vessels such as hovercraft, hydrofoils and high-speed ferries. Site-specific meteorological support has become critically important to sensitive offshore oil and gas operations such as drilling, pipe laying and re-supply as well as to respond to oil spills at sea. All of these services have generated pressures for more detailed and accurate observational data from the open sea, coastal waters and harbour approaches. Remember: help improve the quality of forecasts and warnings and contribute to the enhancement of safety at sea. Become involved with the VOS! The promise of accurate long-range forecasts Climate is subject to variations on all timescales, from seasons to decades and beyond. The best known of these variations is associated with the ENSO phenomenon. This shift or seesaw of atmospheric pressure across the equatorial Pacific Ocean occurs irregularly, roughly every two to seven years and is linked to changes in tropical seasurface temperature patterns, with the eastern Pacific tending to be unusually warm during El Niño years. Around the globe, droughts, floods, the collapse of important fisheries and other unusual phenomena are often associated with El Niño. The existence of a connection between tropical sea-surface temperatures and weather in distant regions for months ahead has raised hopes that useful monthly to seasonal weather forecasts can be developed. This has stimulated efforts to develop such products, bringing increased requirements for observations from ocean areas. (continue in other side) For more information about the VOS, please contact: Ocean Affairs Division World Meteorological Organization 7 bis, avenue de la Paix P.O. Box 2300 CH-1211 Geneva 2, SWITZERLAND ✆: (41 22) 730 82 37 Fax: (41 22) 730 80 21 E-mail: [email protected] Internet: http://www.wmo.ch Unusual weather conditions are often experienced around the globe during the El Niño years. The spectre of global warming During the past two decades, concern regarding the potential impacts of global warming has intensified efforts to understand the functioning of the global climate system. In addressing this challenge, the Second World Climate Conference (Geneva, 1990) identified the need for a comprehensive ocean observing system as a vital component of the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS). Subsequently, in 1998, the Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) called on the world’s Governments to enhance substantially Both the ocean and atmosphere are regularly measured from the VOS. There is a need for a long-term observing system to monitor, describe and understand the physical and biogeochemical processes that determine the ocean circulation, the seasonal-to-century climate changes in the ocean, and to provide observations needed for climate predictions......... Most ocean measurements are not made on adequate temporal and spatial scales. ……….. Data coverage is very poor, particularly in southern latitudes, in Polar regions, and in the deep ocean. systematic monitoring and data collection activities over and within the oceans. The provision of specialized services, the development of long-range forecasts and climate change research require oceanic observations with increased accuracy and coverage. In 1988, WMO initiated the VOS Special Observing Project — North Atlantic (VSOP — NA) to address these latter aspects. This three-year study of the effects on ship observations of different instrumentation and observing practices involved 46 vessels from Expendable bathythermographs sample the structure of the upper layers of the ocean. the voluntary observing fleet and has provided a great deal of invaluable information2. A related, more recent, initiative has targeted the creation of a high quality reference set of ship observations for climate applications — the so-called “VOS subset for climate”. 2 Its success is largely attributable to the committed efforts of the Masters’ and ships’ companies who participated in the study. THE IMPACT OF ADVANCES IN OBSERVING TECHNOLOGY Recent technological advances have made it possible for volunteer observers to carry out complex observational tasks previously performed by meteorological and oceanographic specialists. As a result, voluntary shipboard observing programmes have expanded to include observations of the upper atmosphere and subsurface oceanographic measurements from a relatively small number of specially selected ships. Under the aegis of WMO’s automated shipboard aerological programme (ASAP), radiosonde ascents from commercial vessels have grown to around 5 700 annually, enhancing the accuracy of meteorological analyses over the oceans. Similarly, expendable bathythermographs (XBTs)3 deployed from vessels participating in the IOC-WMO ship-of-opportunity programme (SOOP) observe the structure of the upper layers of the oceans along their routes. Processed XBT data are relayed via the GTS to meet operational needs4 while the original XBT measurements are collected at the end of each voyage, quality controlled and archived in designated global data centres for use by the global research community. 3 Expendable bathythermographs sample the water column as they sink, relaying thermal data to a shipboard processing unit via a thin copper wire. At present, about 100 vessels participate in the SOOP. Most are also VOS participants. 4 These include climate monitoring and prediction, fisheries, shipping and defense applications. The Contracting Governments undertake to encourage the collection of meteorological data by ships at sea and to arrange for their examination, dissemination and exchange in the manner most suitable for the purpose of aiding navigation. General Regulations determined by the International Conference on Safety of Life at Sea, London, 1960, Regulation 4(a), Chapter 5. Volunteer observer David Vail of MV Bluerose receiving an award from Canadian PMO Randy Shepherd. CURRENT CHALLENGES AND FUTURE DIRECTIONS FOR THE VOS PROGRAMME Despite its undoubted successes, it is clear that the WMO VOS scheme faces some significant challenges. VOS reports are heavily concentrated along the major oceanic shipping routes. Large data-sparse areas exist in oceans in the southern hemisphere and in high latitudes. Relatively few observations are received from coastal waters and harbour approaches. VOS numbers have been declining and changes in global shipping practices have made recruitment more difficult. Today’s modern ships are increasing in size and becoming highly automated. Crew size has been substantially reduced, leaving less time available for voluntary observing duties. Furthermore, the new climate modelling and long-range forecasting priorities impose pressures for enhanced observational distribution and accuracy. The need to address these challenges points to four priorities for the future evolution of the VOS programme: (a) The decline in numbers of participating vessels must be arrested. To that end, the attention of shipping companies, ships’ officers, navigation schools and colleges must be drawn to the vital contribution made by VOS to marine safety and efficiency, to the prevention and clean-up of marine pollution, to operational planning, vessel design and to the advancement of our understanding of the climate system; (b) Additional VOS must be recruited in datasparse ocean areas and increased reporting encouraged in coastal waters. This will require more active involvement of countries with expanding registers of shipping5, reinforced by substantial capacity building support to developing countries adjacent to climaticallysensitive ocean regions6. Equally, as hydrocarbon and mineral development steadily expands into “frontier” ocean regions, efforts must continue to obtain additional observations from icebreakers, supply vessels, oil rigs and other coastal and offshore platforms; (c) The introduction of software packages and automated observation systems must be accelerated to reduce workload and minimize errors in coding and transmitting VOS reports. Such systems have the potential to arrest the decline in numbers of VOS, encourage recruitment, improve data quality and reduce operating costs; (d) Requirements for observational data to document climate variations and climate change and to validate climate model predictions may be expected to continue indefinitely. Consequently, continuing attention must be paid to ensuring enhanced coverage and accuracy of VOS observations. 5 Increasingly, the world’s sea-borne commerce is carried in vessels operating under “flags of convenience” registered in developing countries or crewed by their nationals. 6 Countries with well-developed VOS fleets are ideally placed to provide practical assistance. CONCLUSION Meteorological observations from VOS continue to make a vital contribution to marine safety and efficiency, providing realtime reports needed for weather forecasting and historical data needed for planning and design. They contribute substantially to increasing our understanding of the atmosphere — ocean linkages, essential in addressing the issue of global warming and for the development of accurate long-range weather forecasts. They also provide vital ground truth measurements for the calibration of satellite observations. These realities will remain unchanged in the foreseeable future. The VOS and its sister programmes represent a highly cost-effective approach to oceanic data collection. At a time when demands for observations from the oceans are increasing, they also possess significant potential for expansion in climatically important, data sparse, regions. Realization of this potential will, however, require investments in capacity building, in vessel recruitment, in software development and in automated observing systems. It will also require the continuation of the long tradition of voluntary ocean data collection by the world’s seamen which has made the VOS programme such a classic example of enlightened cooperation and enduring partnership.