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Hereditas 130: 257-264 (1999) Deleterious mutations can reduce differentiation in small, subdivided populations PEKKA PAMILO', SNAEBJORN PALSSON' and OUT1 SAVOLAINEN2 ' Depurtment of Conservation Biology and Genetics, University of Uppsulu, Sweden. Department of Biology, University of Oulu, Finland. Pamilo, P., Palsson, S. and Savolainen, 0. 1999. Deleterious mutations can reduce differentiation in small, subdivided populations.-fferedituj 130: 257-264. Lund, Sweden. ISSN 0018-0661. Received February 24, 1999. Accepted April 28, I999 We study the effects of multilocus selection on genetic differentiation at linked neutral loci by using computer simulations. Two types of selection are examined, purifying selection against deleterious mutations and stabilizing selection at a quantitative, polygenic trait. Deleterious recessive mutations cause background selection that is predicted to reduce the heterozygosity at linked loci and to increase population differentiation (measured as FSTor GsT). Our simulations show that background selection in small subdivided populations can lead to an immigrant advantage that homogenizes the populations and reduces differentiation. Such a reduction is not observed in a case of high selfing rate (90% selfing), as reduced variation within populations cancels out the effects on absolute differentiation caused by background selection to give no net change in GsT. In general, inbreeding leads to increased differentiation both in a completely neutral case and under background selection. Strong stabilizing selection at a quantitative trait with the same optimal phenotype in each population slightly increases the level of differentiation over that observed under a neutral model. Pekku Pamilo, Department qf Consrrvution Biology und Genetics, Uniurrsity of' Uppsulu, Box 7003, SE- 750 07 Uppsulu, Sweden Gene flow among closely located populations is commonly inferred from measures of genetic differentiation (SLATKINand BARTON 1989; BEAUMONTand NICHOLS1996). WRIGHT'S(1943) island model of migration relates, at equilibrium, the spatial distribution of allele frequencies to the number of immigrants in each generation. At equilibrium, the level of differentiation is expected to be FST = l/(l 4N,m 4Nev), where N , is the effective population size, m is the immigration rate and v the mutation rate. The relationship can be easily modified for situations where dispersal and ploidy levels are sex-dependent (BERG et al. 1998). The application of this relationship to infer dispersal is restricted as the expected distribution of allele frequencies requires a drift-migration equilibrium and constant population sizes, although a similar distribution can be obtained by sampling from an infinite source under a stochastic demographic process (birth, death and immigration) (RANNALA1996). Another important assumption is the neutrality of the genetic markers used to estimate differentiation. The behaviour of neutral loci depends also on the effect of selected loci elsewhere in the genome, whether selection is directional favouring universally (SLATKIN and WIEHE 1998) or locally (CHARLESWORTH et al. 1997) advantageous alleles, balancing, or purifying against deleterious mutations (CHARLESWORTH et al. 1997). The theory of background selection focuses particularly on the effects of + + recessive harmful mutations. Purifying selection against them reduces the effective population size and thus decreases the neutral heterozygosities at linked loci (CHARLESWORTH et al. 1993). The theory of background selection further predicts that a decrease in the heterozygosity within populations (H,) leads t o an increase in the relative differentiation of populations measured as (HT - H,)/HT (CHARLESWORTH et al. 1997). The effect of recessive harmful alleles can differ from the above predictions when populations are I 10" I neutral variation increased variation \ decreased variation 1 Nhs Fig. 1. Division of the parameter space defined by the product Nhs and the recombination rate Y, showing the areas where associative overdominance (increased variation) and background selection (decreased variation) affect most the heterozygosity of linked neutral loci. The boundaries between the three areas are not sharp. Based on PALSSONand PAMILO (1999) 258 P. Pnmilo et d. small and recombination is restricted. Individuals homozygous for many harmful alleles are likely to be homozygous also for linked neutral markers, and selection against such homozygotes leads to so called associative overdominance at the neutral loci (OHTA 1971). As a result, the individual fitness is positively associated to the number of heterozygous marker loci in the genome (PAMILOand PALSSON1998), and the level of population heterozygosity can exceed the neutral expectation or at least the expectation derived from the background selection model (Fig. 1, PALSSONand PAMILO1999). Linkage effects depend also on the mating system. Inbreeding reduces gene flow before mating, restricts recombination and lowers the effective population size within populations. These features are expected to strengthen the effects of background selection and to reduce heterozygosity within populations and to increase the differentiation when measured as FsT (CHARLESWORTH et al. 1997). The aim of the present study is to examine the effects of selected loci on genetic differentiation of populations as estimated from neutral loci. We use two different selection models, namely (i) purifying selection against harmful recessive mutations that can occur at many loci, and (ii) stabilizing selection with additive allelic effects at polygenic quantitative traits with an intermediate optimum. The underlying hypotheses are as follows. (i) An immigrant entering a population is likely to carry a different array of harmful mutations than the old residents of the population do. These mutations occur mainly as heterozygotes when rare, giving selective advantage to the descendants of the immigrant. Selection has thus a homogenizing effect and the immigrant advantage increases the heterozygosity within populations. (ii) Stabilizing selection is expected to reduce the additive genetic variance within populations as this reduces segregational load (KIMURA1983), and partially isolated populations can become fixed at different quantitative trait loci. If the optimal phenotype is the same in each population, an immigrant and the gametes produced by it are expected to carry optimal allelic arrays. However, in a later generation recombination between resident and immigrant haplotypes leads to gametes and genotypes that depart from the optimum and increases the phenotypic variance. Stabilizing selection can thus be predicted to reduce the effective gene flow by selecting against the descendants of an immigrant (GOLDSTEIN and HOLSINGER 1992). We will here examine these models using multilocus computer simulations that also allow us to incorporate the effects of inbreeding. Hereditas 130 (1999) MODELS Genomic structure. The study is based on simulating individual multilocus genotypes. The individuals are diploid with L selected loci and one neutral marker located in the same chromosome. The number of crossovers per gamete and generation follows a Poisson distribution with parameter R . The expected number of crossovers between two adjacent loci (Y) depends on both R and the number of loci ( L ) . The neutral marker locus is located in the middle of the chromosome (unless stated otherwise) and follows the infinite allele model with a mutation rate of o = 5 x l o p 4 per gamete per generation (v = 2 x l o p 4 when simulating larger population sizes, see below). Selection. We model two different types of selection. In the model of harmful alleles L = 1,000. The harmful alleles arise at the rate U = 0.1 per haploid gamete and each locus has the same probability of mutating. This value corresponds roughly to the observed values of 0.5 per diploid genome in Drosophiln (KETGHTLEY 1994) and inbreeding plants (CHARLESWORTH et al. 1990). The harmful alleles are recessive and the mutilocus fitness of an individual is given as w = (1 - s)110'11( 1 - It,y)h"t where s is the selection coefficient against homozygotes, h is the dominance coefficient, horn is the number of homozygous and her of heterozygous loci within an individual. The simulations are run with fixed values of s = 0.1 and h = 0.1. The polygenic model has L = 100 loci affecting a quantitative trait. Each locus can have two types of alleles: 1 or 0. All genetic effects are additive both within and between the loci, and the optimal phenotype is produced by an equal number of l - and 0-alleles. The individual fitnesses w, follow a normal distribution as w ,= exp[ - 0.5(x, - lOO)*/VI where x, is the number of I-alleles in the genome of an individual i, and V is the variance (parameter) of the distribution. The shape of the fitness curve is varied by varying the values of V. Inbreeding depression. The level of potential inbreeding depression is measured as Dep,,, = (CL ws,,,)/w, where w is the mean fitness within the subpopulation and wYelfis the fitness of individuals that would be produced by selfing. Similarly, immi- w)/ grant advantage is measured as Ado,,, = (w,,~ w,where iv is the mean fitness of offspring produced within a subpopulation and wout is the fitness of offspring that would be produced by selecting parents from two different subpopulations. ivout is calculated Effects o f multilocus selection Hereditas 130 ( I 999) 1 x 100 4 x 25 Fig. 2. The population models examined. In most cases, the total population size is 100, consisting of either one population with N = 100 individuals or four populations with N = 25 individuals each and exchanging migrants according to the island model. by drawing 100 random pairs from two different subpopulations and forming a putative offspring for each such pair. Dep,,, and Adv,,, are finally calculated as means over generations. Demoguupfry. The population follows a simple demography with fixed population sizes and discrete generations. The population consists either of one population with N = 100 individuals, or of four subpopulations each with N = 25 and with a migration rate of m between all pairs of populations (Fig. 2, in one series of simulations N gets values ranging from 100 to 500). The number of immigrants is selected from a Poisson distribution with parameter Nm. Migration occurs before mating and the migrants are selected randomly. In each generation, N new offspring are produced by selecting the parents on the basis of the fitness values among the parental generation. Mating is random unless otherwise mentioned. We also simulate a mainland-island model assuming an infinitely large source population that contributes immigrants to the small populations that are under the study (see below). Simulutions. The population is simulated first for 2,000 generations in order to stabilize the genetic structure. Thereafter, heterozygosities and differentiation are recorded for 20,000 generations (harmful mutation model) or 10,000 generations (quantitative trait model). The simulations include 10 replicates for each set of parameter values when the total population size is 100 (1 x 100 or 4 x 25) and 5 replicates when the population is larger. Vaviurion und difierenriution. Genetic variation at the marker locus is measured as expected heterozygosity 1 - Zpf, where p , is the frequency of the ith allele. Differentiation among the populations is measured as Gsr = (HT - H,)/H,, where H, is the expected heterozygosity in the total population and H , the mean expected heterozygosity within the sub- 259 populations. The mean value of G,, over the generations (i) in a single simulation replicate is calculated by weighting with the heterozygosity (HT,,), which means that G,, = E(HT,, - Hs,,)/XHT,!,where the heterozygosities are calculated within a generation i. In the set of simulations with large populations ( N > IOO), Gs, is given as a mean over generations. The expected relationship between the measures of differentiation (GsT and FST)is GsT = (n - I)F,,/n where n is the number of subpopulations (NEI 1986). RESULTS Deleterious mutations Effects of deleterious mutations are examined with fixed values of s = h = 0.1. Background selection reduces somewhat the heterozygosity at the linked neutral locus when we assume one population of size N = 100. The same holds for a subdivided population. The total heterozygosity in a subdivided population with N m = 1 is a little higher but very close to the value in one large population. Restricted migration (Nm = 0.1) reduces the heterozygosity within subpopulations but increases the total heterozygosity. Background selection reduces the heterozygosities, particularly the total heterozygosity HT. The changes take place in such a way that GST decreases with background selection (Table 1). This decrease is particularly clear when the migration rate is low and linkage is tight. The effect of linkage and population subdivision on the occurrence of harmful alleles is shown by the measures of inbreeding depression and immigrant advantage (Table 2). Subdividing the population, while keeping mating random within the subpopulations, increases the inbreeding depression manifold. There are only slight differences between the two migration rates used, and tightening linkage increases the inbreeding depression slightly in the subdivided populations. Reducing migration increases the immigrant advantage markedly. When the migration rate is low ( N m = O.l), the offspring of an immigrant can have a fitness advantage of several percent. It is important to examine to what extent the present results are restricted by the overall small size of the population. We remove this restriction at least partly in a mainland-island model by allowing immigration from an infinite source. These immigrants are assumed to carry unique neutral alleles. Using a rate of 0.1 immigrants per generation to the total population thus doubles the number of new mutations (100 individuals with a neutral mutation rate of 5 x l o p 4 per gamete produce also 0.1 mutations per generation). The number of harmful alleles in the immi- 260 P. Pumilo et al. Hereditas 130 (L999) grants follows a Poisson distribution with a mean U/2hs per gamete, and the sites of these mutations are assumed to be randomly distributed. Immigration from such an infinite source elevates naturally the heterozygosities, but the values of G,, among the subpopulations are practically unaffected (Table I One set of simulations have four subpopulations with local N ranging from 100 to 500, and Nm = 0. I (Table 3 ) . The results show that an increasing population size increases genetic differentiation with tight linkage ( r = lop4) but not when Y = When N becomes larger ( > 300), the value of G,, reaches and exceeds the level obtained for a completely neutral model without any background selection. Inbreeding is expected to reduce the frequencies of harmful alleles. 20% selfing reduces the inbreeding depression within the subpopulations (Table 2). However, the level of immigrant advantage (Table 2) and G,, are practically unaffected by this level of selfing. A high selfing rate (90'Yo) further increases the immigrant advantage (Table 2), but it also lowers the heterozygosities within populations in such a way that differentiation increases relative to the levels under random mating or 20% selfing (Table I). It also seems that a high selfing rate (9OYi) does not purge harmful alleles in a single population of N = 100 as efficiently as a lower selfing rate (20%) does. When N m = 0.1, the absolute level of differentiation decreases as linkage gets tighter (the difference HT - H , = 0.19, 0.12 and 0.11 with tightening linkage for 90% selfing, 0.15, 0.16 and 0.09 for 20% selfing, and 0.20, 0.16 and 0.08 for the random mating case, values from Table 1). However, the overall effect of reduction in both heterozygosity and absolute differentiation is that background selection does not affect G,, when the inbreeding rate is high (90')/0). Stabilizing selection Stabilizing selection is simulated with three different strengths of selection, i.e. V = 16, 100 or 500 (Table 4). When the genotype departs from the optimum by four allelic units, the fitness is reduced to 0.61 for V = 16, to 0.92 for V = 100 and 0.984 for V = 500. If the departure is 10 alleles, the fitnesses are reduced to 0.04, 0.61 and 0.90, respectively. In other words, the smaller the variance the stronger the selection. Genetic variation at the neutral marker locus is almost the same in the presence of stabilizing selection as for a completely neutral model in the cases with one population of size N = 100 and with 4 subpopulations of size N = 25 each with one immigrant per generation (Table 5). The effect of stabilizing selection is more evident with restricted migration ( N m = 0.1). Tight linkage (r = l o p 3 vs. l o p 2 )reduces the total heterozygosity a little and decreases differentiation, but the effects are small (Table 5). The strength of selection affects the results only little, with strong selection slightly increasing differentiation. Strong selection ( V = 16) raises the level of differenti- Table 1. The values of heterozygosity (HT and H,) and the amount of dijferentiution (GJ for the model of harmjul recessive alleles (s = h = 0.1). The values are given jbr various migration rates among the subpopulations. 'Closed system' refers to our basic model in which no immigrants arrive from any source outside the populations studied (Fig. 2), and ,j-ee' refers to the model with one population of size N = 100 ((I) Closed system Neutral r = lo-' r= 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.16 0.16 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.15 0.14 0.12 0.34 0.35 0.37 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.33 0.29 0.20 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.59 0.53 0.40 0.25 0.28 0.35 0.56 0.50 0.41 ( b ) Immigration from an injnite source Neutral r= r=10-~ ( c ) 20% selfing Neutral r = 10-3 r=10-~ 0.15 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.10 0.16 0.16 0.14 0.25 0.27 0.19 0.10 0.11 0.10 0.59 0.57 0.46 0.14 0.13 0.10 0.12 0.08 0.10 0.09 0.06 0.06 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.27 0.18 0.16 0.08 0.05 0.05 0.72 0.71 0.70 (d) 90%~srlfing Neutral r= r= Hereditas 130 (1999) Effects o f multilocus selection 26 1 Table 2. The observed inbreeding depression Dep,,,,, = (w- w,<,,,)/w and the immigrant advantage Adv,,,?,,7= (woufw)/w in the model ojhurmful alleles,for cmes with either random mating within the subpopulations or with selfing. The values are given j o r various migrution rates among the subpopulations, and Yree ' refers to the model with one population of size N = 100 Mating Free Nin = 1 Dep,,, DeP,", Adv,,, Dep,,,, Adv,,,, 10-4 0.026 0.02 1 0.087 0. I00 0.026 0.028 0.074 0.098 0.065 0.094 10-~ 0.008 0.007 0.061 0.069 0.034 0.038 0.055 0.069 0.068 0.102 0.020 0.015 0.009 0.009 0.049 0.054 0.009 0.009 0.089 0.117 r Random 10-3 20% selfing 90% selfing lo-3 10-4 ation above that of a completely neutral model, whereas weak selection ( V = 100 or 500) keeps the differentiation at the same level as for a completely neutral model. Nm = 0.1 fragmented populations pointing out that the consequences can be different from those in large populations. The studies by CHARLESWORTH et al. (1997) and us show that the amount of genetic differentiation can be affected by background selection, and this DISCUSSION effect depends on the population size. The present results apply particularly to endangered species that Genetic differentiation depends on the population live in small and fragmented populations. It is known size, level of gene flow and the effects of selection. In that the heterozygosity-reducing effects of bdckthe absence of selection, subdivision increases the ground selection can change to heterozygosity-inoverall effective population size by a factor of l/(l creasing effects of associative overdominance when FsT)(BARTONand WHITLOCK1996) and a subdithe product Nhs is small (PAMILO and PALSSON1998, vided population can maintain genetic variation more PALSSONand PAMILO1999, Fig. 1). The present easily than a single continuous population of the results show that associative overdominance can fursame total size. Selfing reduces the effective populathermore reduce differentiation among populations. tion size, and the amount of gene flow is also devalThis is opposite to the earlier conclusions of ued by 1 F, where F is the equilibrium inbreeding CHARLESWORTH et al. 1997. Although they pointed coefficient in an infinite population with the same out the possibility of immigrant advantage, their amount of selfing (NORDBORG 1997). Differentiation simulations did not show it. They detected a slight in metapopulations is further affected by the dynamics of extinction-recolonization events (INGVARSSON tendency for decreased diversity component between populations (HT - H,) which could be caused by 1997). The present results confirm that differentiation immigrant advantage (they used nucleotide diversities can also be affected by selection at linked loci. Stabin instead of H but the interpretation is the same). lizing selection can increase differentiation even when However, reduction of the total heterozygosity was so the optimal phenotype is the same in all subpopulalarge that the overall effect of background selection tions, but the effects are rather weak and apparent was an increase of differentiation (FST). The reduconly with strong selection. Local adaptation can sigtion of the between-population component of genetic nificantly strengthen that effect (CHARLESWORTH et diversity is not predicted by the analytical theory, al. 1997). probably because the theory assumes linkage equiNeutral loci are affected by selection at linked loci librium between loci. and the effects depend on whether selection favours It seems evident from our results that the differenadvantageous alleles (SLATKINand WIEHE 1998), tiation-reducing effect of associative overdominance purges deleterious alleles (CHARLESWORTH et al. weakens with increasing population size in a qualita1997, this study) or is stabilizing (GOLDSTEIN and tive agreement with the predictions by HOLSINGER1992, this study). It is not straightforCHARLESWORTH et al. (1997). One should note that ward to say what is the overall effect, especially as the predicted neutral GSTin our simulations (Table 3) that effect also depends on the population structure, decreases with increasing N , because the role of muamount of gene flow and extinction-recolonization tations becomes more important with the increasing dynamics. We have shown possible effects in small, + 262 P. Pando et al. Hereditas 130 (1999) Table 3. The values of heterozygosity ( H , and Hs) and the umount oj' dilferentiution (GST),for the model with aLleles. The uulws ure giwn .fix fwo r e ~ ( j n ~ ~ irutes, n u t and ~ ~ ~the~ local pnpulution size N runging h a r m ~ urecessive ~ from 100 to 500. The nuinher qf inimigr~uit.vin euclz subpopulation is Nnz = 0.1 per generation. Note that the expected neutral di&entiution E,,(GhYT) depends on the populution size as the nuniher qf mutations (2Nu) increases with N . The mutation rute qf thcj murker is v = 2 x N 100 200 300 400 500 y= ,. 10-3 = MG) 10-4 HT HS GST HT HS GST 0.287 0.447 0.525 0.726 0.587 0.087 0.146 0.206 0.314 0.291 0.526 0.556 0.563 0.580 0.490 0.166 0.223 0.541 0.648 0.400 0.058 0.055 0.174 0.234 0.148 0.360 0.467 0.616 0.627 0.6 I8 product Nu. With a large population size, the number of harmful alleles per genome decreases and the linkage disequilibria are weaker. As a consequence, the associative effects lose significance unless linkage is very tight. The important population size is given by the species population size rather than the local size within subpopulations (CHARLESWORTH et al. 1997). The mainland-island model with an infinite source of immigrants did not, however, change our results. The assumption that each immigrant carried a new marker allele maximised the linkage disequilibria in our simulations and contributed to this result. We have elsewhere examined the role of different parameters ( N , h, s, r, u ) as determinants of associative overdominance in a single population (PAMILOand PALSSON1998, PALSSONand PAMILO 1999). It seems reasonable to assume that parameter combinations leading to associative overdominance within populations (see Fig. 1) also affect the patterns of differentiation most. Inbreeding is generally predicted to strengthen the effects of background selection (CHARLESWORTH et al. 1993, 1997). A selfing rate of 90% increased F,, fourfold in the simulations of CHARLESWORTH et al. (1997). We detected a clear, but much weaker, effect. Differentiation in a selfing population increased even in a completely neutral model, and background selection had no additional effect. A low selfing rate (20%) in our study showed a very mild (if any) effect. Selfing is expected to be negatively correlated with the migration rate ( HEDRICK 1990) but this was not assumed in our simulations, and the inbreeding effects were caused by a reduction of the effective population size and recombination rate. The increased immigrant advantage in a selfing population reduces differentiation, whereas background selection promotes relative differentiation by reducing the within-population heterozygosity. The overall level of differentiation remains 0.507 0.48 1 0.458 0.436 0.417 largely unchanged. It should be emphasized that we have not explored the effects of varying selection (varying s and h). For values used, 20% selfing purged harmful alleles in a single population of size N = 100, whereas 90% selfing led to a higher inbreeding depression (Table 2). It seems likely that high inbreeding leads to accumulation of harmful alleles ( P A M I L O et al. 1987), to homozygosity within the inbred lines and to a large fitness difference between inbred and crossbred individuals. The specific outcome of this process must depend on both h and s (HEDRICK1994). We should note that the level of inbreeding depression in our simulations is smaller than that observed in many organisms (RALLSet al. 1988; BARRETTand KOHN 1991). Model-based studies, such as ours, predict the pattern of differentiation from the defined evolutionary process, whereas the empirical studies generally aim Table 4. Fitness of individuals under stabilizing selection depending on how muny ullelic units the genotype departs ,from the optimum. The calues are ,for three d@wiit strengths qf selection us indicated by the uuriunce ( V ) of the ,fitness distribution Departure from the optimum 0 I 2 4 6 8 10 15 20 Fitness for different strengths of selection V=16 V = 100 V=500 1 0.969 0.883 0.606 0.325 0.135 0.044 0.001 0.000 I 0.995 0.980 0.923 0.835 0.726 0.606 0.325 0.135 1 0.999 0.996 0.984 0.965 0.938 0.905 0.799 0.670 263 Effects of multilocus selection Hereditas 130 (1999) Table 5. Distribution of genetic variation among populations when there is stabilizing selection. H , and G,, measure the genetic variation and &?eventiation at the linked marker, nb and n , are the numbers o j heterozygous polygenic loci when the gametes are taken randomly from two dijfferent subpopulations or from the same population, respectively 10-2 16 100 500 0.16 0.16 0.16 9.6 12.5 14.0 0.166 0.153 0.203 0.156 0.145 0.144 11.6 14.4 15.5 9.5 12.0 12.8 0.377 0.317 0.366 0.672 0.598 0.596 27.7 27.6 27.3 7.8 9.7 10.0 10-3 16 100 500 0.15 0.14 0.20 10.1 12.7 13.8 0.157 0.154 0.190 0.151 0.145 0.147 11.7 14.3 15.4 9.7 11.9 12.7 0.286 0.294 0.300 0.633 0.579 0.573 24.8 26.7 27.5 8.0 9.8 10.5 n n 0.33 ‘3.59 NPiitral mnrlpl 16 I < to infer the process from the observed pattern. A s pointed o u t by FELSENSTEIN (1 982) such an inference is problematic as different processes can lead to a similar pattern. Additional difficulties are caused by the artificiality of the island model and by the large stochastic variation of the single-locus estimates of FST (or GST). It is also important to note that the estimates are diversity-dependent in the sense that the homozygosity within populations sets the upper limit t o FST, this can become restrictive with highly variable markers. Multilocus data narrow down the confidence limits of the estimates and they also provide information for more detailed analyses. It is possible to compare the patterns of differentiation in different parts of the genome and relate them to the recombination rates in order t o infer possible effects of linked selected loci (CHARLESWORTHet al. 1997). Multilocus estimates allow also assignment of single individuals t o the populations of origin, which can reveal individuals who (or whose parents) have been immigrants (DAVIES et a]. 1999). 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