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Download Rural People`s Attitudes to Climate Change
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Climate change communication: engaging science with the rural sector Chris Evans School of Agriculture & Environment, Curtin University Dr Christine Storer School of Agriculture & Environment, Muresk Dr Angela Wardell-Johnson Centre for Advanced Studies in Australia, Asia and the Pacific Introduction National Agricultural & Climate Change Action Plan 2006 – 2009 (2006) Adaption Strategies to build resilience in agricultural systems Mitigation strategies – reduce emissions Barrier? Farmer scepticism of climate change and the threat R&D – enhance agricultural sectors Capacity to respond to climate change Awareness & communication to inform decision making of farmers & communities Research Questions “attitude defines risk perception” Sjoberg (2000) The research also questioned : z z z Did rural Western Australians think that climate change was: Occurring Natural or human induced A tangible future threat to business & communities z If perceptions of science and government were influencing attitudes z z What contributed to the development of attitudes What identified different groups of responses to climate change Methodology Surveys: Secondary locations (n=82) Total surveys 411 z Analysis Mingenew *PATN; Numerical Taxonomy; Dowerin Multivariate approach *SPSS (Ver 15 2008) *Excel (2003, 2007) Perth Newdegate References - Wardell – Johnson (2005); Belbin et al (2003) • Dowerin Fieldday (n=129) z Newdegate Fieldday (n=122) z Mingenew Fieldday (n= 78) Have rural people noticed changes in the climate over the last 10 years ? Noticed between some to a lot of change in climate 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 82% 80% 63% Decreased rainfall Increased variability More extreme events Is climate change occurring & is it natural (Not influenced by greenhouse emissions) 50% Climate change is not natural Accept human induced climate change Over half uncertain if climate change is occurring & if its natural Believe climate change is natural Sceptical of human induced climate change 40% 28% 30% 36% 25% 21% 20% 25% 14% 12% 10% 18% 13% 8% 0% Disagree Probably Uncertain Probably agree Agree disagree Climate change is occurring Climate change is natural Is climate change perceived as a major threat The Engaged Perception of climate change threat 50% 40% The dismissive 30% 24% The TheDisengaged Confused The Confused The 42% disinterested 33% 17% 20% 10% The doubtful 16% 10% 18% 17% 16% 7% 0% Disagree Probably disagree Unsure Community Threat Maibach, Roser – Renouf, Leiserowitz, 2009 Probably agree Farm /Business threat Agree Is science’s credibility important in transferring climate change knowledge? 100% Credibility perceptions of science 80% 60% 67% 50% 59% 44% 40% 20% 0% Science divisive Funding source Science & agriculture cooperate Increase research funding Is the message getting through? Information Transfer 100% 80% 60% 40% 78% 33% 20% 37% 25% 42% 33% 0% Important to be informed Information easy to understand Scientific information useful Climate change Threat to is human communities induced Threat to business Accept Sci Info Useful Value Sci-View 0.0946 0.0946 Column Fusion Dendogram 0.0625 0.0625 0.0304 0.0304 Characteristics of Groups Acceptors Accepts human induced climate change Values science Sci - Journals Co-operate Climate Info easy Sceptics Science Unable All Factors Naturally Adapt Science Divisive Sci- Exaggerate Funding Sources People contribute Sceptics Sceptical - Climate change natural Does not value science Uncertains Not sure about climate change or science Group profiles – Strategic variables Respondents attitudes to climate change Group 3 Acceptors 17% Group 1 Uncertain 50% Group 2 Sceptical 15% 110% 90% 70% 50% 30% 10% Group 3 Accept Valued science Group 1 Uncertain Valued information Group 2 Sceptical Easy to understand Experience / knowledge 3.7 Group 3 (Acceptors) 3.4 5 Group 2 (Sceptics) 4.5 4.4 Group 1 (Uncertain) 3.7 1 2 3 Time lived in area 4 5 Time involved in farming Mean scale- years: 3 = 11 – 20, 4 = 21 -30, 5 = 31 – 40, 6 = 41 – 50, 7 = 50+ 6 7 Farmers time & experience versus science’s views Farmers value of science views 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1 - 10 years 11 -20 years 21 - 30 years 31 -40 years 41 - 50 years 51 + years Value Value highly Linear (Value) Linear (Value highly) Challenges & opportunities for science’s engagement with the rural sector z z z z Challenges Uncertainty or scepticism of science Poor understanding of the information Influences of local knowledge & experience Opportunities Influences of local knowledge & experience Social networks – information pathways? Social structures – valued views of climate change 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 73% 77% 72% 80% 65% 49% Uncertain Sceptical Value family, friends & neighbours views Acceptors Value Industry & landcare views Farmers behavioural responses Responses - engagement 80% 71% 70% 59% 60% 50% 39% 40% 30% 20% 40% 45% Office Home 28% 26% 19% 10% 0% Farm Change Trial new Use new practices enterprises enterprises Farmers- Responding Acceptors to climate Poor seasons Invest enviromental sustainability Useful climate change information sources 3 Local information 2.5 2 Agri Newspapers Regional Seminars Industry radio Fielddays Landcare Family Groups Friends Distant information 1.5 Internet Science Journals 1 Science Knowledge Scientific Information Translation / Modification 0.5 Agri Newspapers Key – Mean 0 = not useful 1 = little use 2 = useful 3 = very useful Regional Radio Seminars Fielddays Industry Papers Agri Consultants Family Friends Internet Science Journals Gov CPRS paper Agri Consultants CPRS Green paper Conclusions z z z z Uncertainty Science credibility Information comprehensibility Information transfer networks Acknowledgements z z z z z z z z Maureen Rogers & Charles Sturt University The Organising Committees of the Dowerin, Newdegate, Minignew and Katanning Fielddays Royal Agricultural Society Cattle Sheep & Alpacas Stewards Waroona Show Organising Committee The rural people who generously gave their time to participate in the survey Data Collection Team – Peter Gwynne, Eva Varga & Daniel Hoare Mr. David Gray, DAFWA, Katanning Graeme Anderson, DPI Victoria